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carltonp

IB Trades Executing at Bid and Ask Rather Than Last Price

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Hello Traders,

 

I'm using IB as my broker. For some reason, my trades were continually executed at bid/ask rather than last price. For example, I submitted a long trade to be executed at 11824. The trade was executed at 11830 at ask price, even though the last price never reached 11830.

 

Can someone please enlighten me.

 

Cheers

 

Carlton

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You might want to enlighten us first:

- what are you trading?

- what type of orders are you using?

- are you entering them directly on tws and if not do you know what was on tws?

and

- when you say the last price never reached x, the ask and your execution, what do you mean (what data are you looking at?)

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Carlton,

 

If you put a limit order at 11824, you would have been filled at 11824 or not at all.

 

You obviously used a market order. A market order will be filled at the best bid/ask at the time of the order.

 

Once your order was filled at 11830, that became the 'last print' so 11830 had to have been reached.

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You might want to enlighten us first:

- what are you trading?

- what type of orders are you using?

- are you entering them directly on tws and if not do you know what was on tws?

and

- when you say the last price never reached x, the ask and your execution, what do you mean (what data are you looking at?)

 

Gents, thanks for responding.

 

I'm trading mini dow(YM).

 

I'm placing buy-stop orders.

 

I'm entering them directly on TWS.

 

So, yesterday I placed a buy-stop order at 11824. The trade was executed at 11830. I don't have a problem with that. The problem is, the last price never reached 11830, however the ask price did. I've attached a snapshot of the exact trade as it happened yesterday. You will see that I have placed a buy stop at 11824. You will also see that the trade has executed at 11830 at the ask. However, you notice that the last price is 11826. What you won't we is that the actual last price never reached 11830. Normally, my the trades will be executed at the last price and not at bid / ask.

 

I hope this visual helps you to help me understand.

 

Thanks

YMPrice.jpg.86073b85f9d9c415b134893025ccc82d.jpg

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A stop order (not stop limit) will execute at the extreme of current range.

 

IB's data feed (not the 5 second bar version but the real time one) shows a price every 100ms. Its the last price in that 100ms and if the extreme is greater it doesn't show. So you can get filled and the price not show up. Not every price is necessarily shown.

 

If you ask IB to confirm it they can check but it will have filled at the extreme.

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another thing to check on TWS.

If submitting some orders and they are filled, the reported price they are filled at can easily be confused with the limit price sent

 

In this example below, I sent a LMT order to buy at 1.302...the actual trades were done at 1.3018 in two tranches.

 

- BOT 50K EUR EUR.USD Cash 1.302 USD IDEALPRO 15:27:29

BOT 20K EUR EUR.USD Cash 1.30180 USD IDEALPRO 15:27:29

BOT 30K EUR EUR.USD Cash 1.30180 USD IDEALPRO 15:27:29

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A buy stop limit order doesn't ensure execution, but it will ensure that you get the price you want or better.

 

What I do with my own trading interface to IB when trading the CL is, if I want in the market immediately but don't want a market order which could slip me 2-4 ticks, I go 1 tick inside the bid on a buy limit or 1 tick inside the ask on a sell limit.

 

If I am staggering buy orders ahead of where the last is in an uptrend (e.g. 20 ticks between entries), I'll put in stop limit orders when my averaged up buy-ins are closer to my initial position abd have the ones farther away with stop order triggers where the slippage isn't going to threaten my overall cost average within the trade.

 

I'll give you an example of an actual pleasant experience I have had with limit orders. I'll have my software set to trigger a limit buy (or sell if going short) on touching, say, a 20 ema on a 5 min chart. The CL can get pretty jumpy on such an event so by the time my limit buy at, for example, hits 95.50 and got executed, I found that I got filled at 95.45...5 ticks better than what I wanted and then price is suddenly at 95.55 or better, 10 ticks to the positive in the blink of an eye. Had I placed that limit order directly in the market beforehand, I would have gotten filled at 95.50.

 

You can see what's going on here. The software sees a last of 95.50, sends the limit order to the exchange. Meanwhile, the exchange sees my limit order at 95.50 while its ask is touching 95.45. I get a much better fill in this case. It helps to keep me from getting stopped out on a sudden surge into support / resistance because my stop loss order, along with a target offset from the actual limit fill price reported by the exchange, is submitted as an OCO order on the execution status info from the entry. It doesn't happen a lot, but when it does, it's usually a good thing (for a change!)

 

Over the long term, if you're executing market orders based on something like X seconds before a bar close, you'll see price favoring you many times too relative to the actual closing price of that bar. You've got a lot of programs out there waiting for the exact close of a price bar (5 min being a common one) before they react so a market order like 3 secs before the close averages out pretty well to that close. I prefer this approach to finding out the closing price first and then entering a limit order because A) you can and will get skipped over at your ideal entry point and B) you're NOT going to like your at-the-market fills if your analysis is right and that closing price was what you wanted to have all along.

Edited by steveh2009

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Gents, thanks for responding.

 

I'm trading mini dow(YM).

 

I'm placing buy-stop orders.

 

I'm entering them directly on TWS.

 

So, yesterday I placed a buy-stop order at 11824. The trade was executed at 11830. I don't have a problem with that. The problem is, the last price never reached 11830, however the ask price did. I've attached a snapshot of the exact trade as it happened yesterday. You will see that I have placed a buy stop at 11824. You will also see that the trade has executed at 11830 at the ask. However, you notice that the last price is 11826. What you won't we is that the actual last price never reached 11830. Normally, my the trades will be executed at the last price and not at bid / ask.

 

I hope this visual helps you to help me understand.

 

Thanks

 

Carlton,

 

I trade live everyday with IB, and 95% of my entries are with a buy-stop or sell-stop. So maybe I can clear a few things up.

 

First of all, I see you're trading sim, so its possible you got a goofy fill that would not have been filled in a live account.

 

A typical buy stop is a market order placed above the current bid/ask. When the price you set your order at is printed (the last price) your order is sent to the exchange as a market order and your order is filled at the ask. If the market is moving fast, there's potential for slippage.

 

I don't trade the YM but I see it has decent liquidity, so the 6 tick slippage you received is probably unusual.

 

~Mike

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Carlton,

 

I trade live everyday with IB, and 95% of my entries are with a buy-stop or sell-stop. So maybe I can clear a few things up.

 

First of all, I see you're trading sim, so its possible you got a goofy fill that would not have been filled in a live account.

 

A typical buy stop is a market order placed above the current bid/ask. When the price you set your order at is printed (the last price) your order is sent to the exchange as a market order and your order is filled at the ask. If the market is moving fast, there's potential for slippage.

 

I don't trade the YM but I see it has decent liquidity, so the 6 tick slippage you received is probably unusual.

 

~Mike

 

Hey Mike, do you work for IB? (just joking). When I called their support team they virtually said what you mentioned. However, you're explanation made it really clear for my simple brain to comprehend.

 

As you use IB and TWS, can you tell me if its possible to place a 'buy stop limit order' as suggested by SteveH?

 

Cheers

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No, I don't work for IB, but I've used them for several years. :)

 

I read steve's post but I'm not sure I completely understand his approach.

 

Typically, a limit order (for a long trade) is placed below the current price and is filled if price moves down to your limit price. But just because price prints at your limit doesn't mean your order will be filled. Limit orders are time-stamped and filled in the order they're received at the exchange. (the queue) So when price prints at your limit -- first, market orders are filled, then the limit orders are filled in order. If there are not enough sellers, price will move back up without filling all the limit orders.

 

Personally I don't like limit orders because you are guaranteed to be filled on all your losing trades, but many of your 'potential' winning trades will never be filled.

 

Back to steve....By the time his limit order reached the exchange, price had moved down giving him a better fill. Couldn't price have, just as easily, moved up leaving him behind without a fill?

 

Maybe steve could chime in.

 

~Mike

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<<<< Personally I don't like limit orders because you are guaranteed to be filled on all your losing trades, but many of your 'potential' winning trades will never be filled. >>>>

 

I've seen variations of this, including "I don't buy pullbacks, I buy breakouts" based on the same logic.

 

Someone said "Simplicity is the peak of civilization" and such ideas fall into that camp. But someone exceptionally wise said "Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not one bit simpler." And overly simplifying heuristics such as the one above fall into the "one bit too simple" category.

 

As a trader you need to evaluate each possible trade for win rate, win/loss, variability in those, and thus expectancy and profit factor and reliability. You might find that the cost of paying the sometimes very large spread outweighed the number of trades you missed. Or you might not. But unless one does the numbers one doesn't ever know.

 

 

 

 

ps. My favourite quote on simplicity is Oscar Wilde's "I adore simple pleasures. They are the last refuge of the complex."

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Kiwi,

 

Another saying... 'There's more than one way to skin a cat.'

 

If you prefer to enter trades with limit orders... great. I don't.

 

The majority of my trades are buying/selling pullbacks. You don't have use limits to trade pullbacks. And guess what... I never miss a winning trade, but by using a buy stop I avoid some losers.

 

Yes I try to keep things simple. Warren Buffett once said "trading is simple but not easy"

I completely agree.

 

~Mike

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Back to steve....By the time his limit order reached the exchange, price had moved down giving him a better fill. Couldn't price have, just as easily, moved up leaving him behind without a fill?

 

Correct. That is the tradeoff. Apparently steve has found through his experience that he will typically not pick a price such that he will be one of the last ones filled (in other words, price will typically overshoot a bit), so he can afford the chance of doing a software-triggered order this way for the chance at a better price. Depends on the market; steve said, I think, that he trades CL. I used to, and can easily see this being useful in that market. In the market I trade, it is highly liquid and virtually no reason to do something like that.

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carltonp or anyone else using IB: have you considered using a different data feed for data only, while still using IB for your order routing (I am guessing you can do this in IB?)?

 

I ask because I can't imagine doing business with a data feed that does not accurately show transactions. I personally couldn't live even with the snapshot way they show transactions; I also knew another trader (a good one) who would say that the high and low prints would sometimes not be correct due to the snapshot being off. Why would you trade with this garbage of a data feed? It's almost as bad as spot forex; no accuracy not only in the timing of the transactions shown, but many transactions not even shown period!?

 

So you can get filled at a price that does not show on your chart as having printed... I know a trader who uses IB who this has happened to quite often... so what about IB makes you stay with them?

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carltonp or anyone else using IB: have you considered using a different data feed for data only, while still using IB for your order routing (I am guessing you can do this in IB?)?

 

I ask because I can't imagine doing business with a data feed that does not accurately show transactions. I personally couldn't live even with the snapshot way they show transactions; I also knew another trader (a good one) who would say that the high and low prints would sometimes not be correct due to the snapshot being off. Why would you trade with this garbage of a data feed? It's almost as bad as spot forex; no accuracy not only in the timing of the transactions shown, but many transactions not even shown period!?

 

So you can get filled at a price that does not show on your chart as having printed... I know a trader who uses IB who this has happened to quite often... so what about IB makes you stay with them?

 

IB is my primary broker and I use TWS to execute trades and have charts running IB data alongside another data feed. For me the test of reliability on executions is, am I getting the price I see on the screen? IOW, if I hit the bid or ask, do I get filled? Invariably the answer is yes. I'm on the ES most of the time, however, and the levels tend to be thick.

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IB is my primary broker and I use TWS to execute trades and have charts running IB data alongside another data feed. For me the test of reliability on executions is, am I getting the price I see on the screen? IOW, if I hit the bid or ask, do I get filled? Invariably the answer is yes. I'm on the ES most of the time, however, and the levels tend to be thick.

 

Maybe I'm spoiled because I have a good broker, but seems to me that this should be pretty much the minimum requirement and only major requirement for any broker, namely, you should get filled at the proper price on a market order. Since you're running another data feed which is reliable, I get this. But some people use IB for data and execution, and given the truly terrible quality of their data, I can't imagine trying to trade with it alone, unless it's a long term swing trader who doesn't care about a few ticks missing from the chart here and there, and who doesn't look at the immediate order flow.

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Maybe I'm spoiled because I have a good broker, but seems to me that this should be pretty much the minimum requirement and only major requirement for any broker, namely, you should get filled at the proper price on a market order. Since you're running another data feed which is reliable, I get this. But some people use IB for data and execution, and given the truly terrible quality of their data, I can't imagine trying to trade with it alone, unless it's a long term swing trader who doesn't care about a few ticks missing from the chart here and there, and who doesn't look at the immediate order flow.

 

I find IB data to be very reliable and have no problems monitoring on charts fed by IB data. I trade stock indexes intraday and the fastest chart I monitor is YM 2m. I have used many data feeds over the years and cost is not an issue for me when it comes to getting quality data. My current monitoring setup with 2 data feeds is a result of years of simplifying what I do. At one time I was subscribed to 4 data providers and running 3 different charting packages concurrently on 3 computers and another charting package for EOD that I had to use with Qcollector. None of the data feeds was IB.

 

For how I trade, only a minimum requirement is necessary and getting a "better" data feed doesn't add to my bottom line. Reliability is the key for me and IB has proved to be very reliable over the years, so much so that I found the costly feeds redundant. I've also simplified my charting down to just one provider running on one computer with APC backup. My current cost for data and charts is under $100 per month.

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carltonp or anyone else using IB: have you considered using a different data feed for data only, while still using IB for your order routing (I am guessing you can do this in IB?)?

 

I ask because I can't imagine doing business with a data feed that does not accurately show transactions. I personally couldn't live even with the snapshot way they show transactions; I also knew another trader (a good one) who would say that the high and low prints would sometimes not be correct due to the snapshot being off. Why would you trade with this garbage of a data feed? It's almost as bad as spot forex; no accuracy not only in the timing of the transactions shown, but many transactions not even shown period!?

 

So you can get filled at a price that does not show on your chart as having printed... I know a trader who uses IB who this has happened to quite often... so what about IB makes you stay with them?

 

joshdance,

 

I think the trader you know may be exaggerating a bit.

 

IB does bundle their data. (I think 20 times a second). But all that means is, if there are transactions with no price movement, they may not show up as tick data. So, for example, If you compare a 100 tick chart with unfiltered data next to a 100 tick chart with IB data, the unfiltered chart will have more candles, BUT time and price will be the same. If you compare 5 minute charts they will be exactly the same.

 

I use ensign for my charting with a TraderBytes data feed, but I also have an IB chart up when trading. (I like the 'drag and drop' feature on IB charts for adjusting stops and limits). I have never seen a price print that didn't show up on the IB chart. I'm not saying it can't happen but I haven't seen it.

 

~Mike

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Actually, Josh's trader was 100% correct.

 

With IB's live feed as you use it with ensign the highs and lows of bars and swings can and surprisingly often do miss the extreme ticks.

 

I tried to get IB to fix this a few years back and they came halfway to the party with a 5 second feed (OHLCVT bars at the end of each 5 second period) that is correct but is also 0 to 5 seconds delayed.

 

With Sierra Chart the two feeds can be combined so that the live feed controls the current price, bid and ask and that the 5 second feed is used to fill in any lost highs and lows. So you get a feed that never lags and is correct. But the software needs to take both feeds and combine them or this won't happen.

 

 

Note: if you are using an ib tws chart to show prices then they use the 5 second feed which is why the data is correct. Feed it into ensign and you'll see a different story.

 

Note 2: on ib charts, drop down to 1minute on something that moves reasonably fast like hsi and watch it. They combine the true and live feeds but their algorithm is slightly screwed. Whereas Sierra Chart correctly combines them and if you get a high or low on a bar it's right IB sometimes shortens a bar soon after the new bar starts (realizes the combination is wrong when new true data comes in) - which should never happen.

Edited by Kiwi

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I don't use IB's data feed for my charts, but since IB's data appears to be correct on IB charts I assumed their data feed was not that bad. Apparently I'm wrong.

 

I'll take Kiwi's word that there are still major problems with IB's data feed.

 

Kiwi, who's data feed do you use?

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Actually, Josh's trader was 100% correct.

 

With IB's live feed as you use it with ensign the highs and lows of bars and swings can and surprisingly often do miss the extreme ticks.

 

I tried to get IB to fix this a few years back and they came halfway to the party with a 5 second feed (OHLCVT bars at the end of each 5 second period) that is correct but is also 0 to 5 seconds delayed.

 

With Sierra Chart the two feeds can be combined so that the live feed controls the current price, bid and ask and that the 5 second feed is used to fill in any lost highs and lows. So you get a feed that never lags and is correct. But the software needs to take both feeds and combine them or this won't happen.

 

 

Note: if you are using an ib tws chart to show prices then they use the 5 second feed which is why the data is correct. Feed it into ensign and you'll see a different story.

 

Note 2: on ib charts, drop down to 1minute on something that moves reasonably fast like hsi and watch it. They combine the true and live feeds but their algorithm is slightly screwed. Whereas Sierra Chart correctly combines them and if you get a high or low on a bar it's right IB sometimes shortens a bar soon after the new bar starts (realizes the combination is wrong when new true data comes in) - which should never happen.

 

I am on Ensign and it is true that IB's feed will produce slightly different charts especially in fast markets. I always have another feed side by side and have been comparing IB's feed for years.

 

An example was this morning's spike on 6:56 YM 2m, 7:00 YM 5m bar (bar end, PST). The initial IB chart did not show as deep a spike. A manual refresh updated it.

 

Whether it makes a difference in a person's trading, that's for each person to judge for himself. For me it doesn't make a difference, but then I'm not watching every tick either.

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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