Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TimRacette

The Secret to Better Fills, Less Slippage, and Fewer Stop Outs

Recommended Posts

Most traders experience a significant amount of slippage on their positions. Most traders also fail. There are two things you must know to get better fills, less slippage and fewer stop outs.

 

The first thing which leads to better fills is knowing when to use the different order types. When entering a position you have the ability to place a market order or a limit order. Which is best.

market-orders.png

Market Orders

These orders are great for exits, but dangerous for entries. This is because a market order is an order to buy or sell at the market, whatever that current price may be. We all know that the markets move incredibly fast so when you place a market order or click the join bid/ask you are essentially throwing your hands up in the air saying “I don’t care where I get filled.”

 

Is there a better option?

 

Limit Orders

Yes. The way to get better fills is to use an order time foreign to most traders, limit orders. This order type ensures that you will get the best fill possible because a limit order is instruction to buy or sell at the price you select OR BETTER. This means you cannot get filled for anything worse than where you place your order.

When to NOT Use Limit Orders

There is one instance that you would not want to use a limit order, when placing stops. A stop order is saying, “When price touches this level I want to close out my position at the market.” For most order execution platforms a stop order is by default a market order.

 

If you were to use a stop limit order and price were to quickly move through your stop price, you would remain stuck in the position. Think about it. That limit order is saying, “I want to get out at this price or better” so if you’re long with a stop below you and the market quickly moves through your stop limit order, the order will stay active and not fill you, very dangerous.

Tips for Breakout Traders

If you are the type of trader who likes trading breakouts, instead of waiting for price to breakout and then clicking the market button consider using buy stops and sell stops. Placing a stop just above the break out point where you would like to enter will push your order into the market at the point that the market breaks your level.

 

While this order is a market order, placing it well in advance will help reduce slippage because most platforms use a FIFO, (first in, first out) method. Meaning if you want to buy above highs and place your order sooner than the next trader, you will be filled first. If you wait for that breakout and then hit the market button you will be last in line.

 

Example Trades

 

Tips for Traders Using Retracements

This is where the power of limit orders really shines. If you’re the type of trader who likes to buy or sell when price has retraced of its highs or lows, using a limit order will ensure that you will get filled at your price or better.

 

Waiting for price to retrace can help reduce the number of stop outs you take. The reason being, you are not impulsively jumping in at highs, you are waiting for that pullback in the larger trend and as that counter trend trade loses steam, you enter in anticipation that the market will resume in the current direction.

 

The Downside of Limit Orders

One con about using limit orders is that if price does not go beyond your order you will not be filled. This however, can be looked at as a good or bad thing.

 

Limit orders ensure you get the best possible price, and I’d rather trade in this way missing a few trades, than taking stop out after stop out, by impulsively clicking the market order.

market-orders.png.0ea3a7349e392d393750af008d9d96ff.png

short-trade-example.png.5cc852f88855ceadd51f13ccad10e434.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I found entering with limit orders very frustrating. A lot of times you get no fill or it misses you by a tick or it fills you and it runs right through you. At this point the trades that I expect to make the most money with, I enter with stop orders. Entering with stop orders alleviates the need to call the turn.

 

To use stop entries you need to be mature as a trader since, by design, you are not getting in at the lowest (highest) tick possible for a long (short) and there are a lot of traders who will be bothered by getting in many ticks higher than they could have. The trick is to get into trades that have great potential so that the ticks that you missed in the beginning are chump change, but you do need to know how to get a good read on the direction of the market you are trading.

 

I suppose the best of both worlds is to be able to call the turn and know the direction, but I resign to the fact that I am a turn calling disabled trader. In fact, I enjoy taking money from those traders who are unable to call the turn.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

The trick is to get into trades that have great potential so that the ticks that you missed in the beginning are chump change, but you do need to know how to get a good read on the direction of the market you are trading.

 

 

Excellent post MM.

What technique do you use to spot a potentially good trade from a useless trade.

 

cheers

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Everyone, not to be churlish about the topic, but seriously if you aren't aware of different order types availble and what they do, just explore your platform and try them out on the simulator.

 

This is really really basic stuff- not a secret.

 

If you want great fills, do your homework, trade a liquid market and sit in an office right next to the exchange!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

One con about using limit orders is that if price does not go beyond your order you will not be filled. This however, can be looked at as a good or bad thing.

 

I'm not trying to be super picky, but for anyone reading this who doesn't know, this is not an accurate statement. Anyone who doesn't understand this should simply understand how queues work, and how a transaction takes place. Not saying you don't know Tim, but it is certainly not accurate as stated.

 

Also, if I may say, it's a bit ballsy to title this post "The Secret to ..." -- a better title would be "Basics of order types," i.e., stuff one should know about before ever taking a trade, just like learning which pedal is the brake and the accelerator before driving a car.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Excellent post MM.

What technique do you use to spot a potentially good trade from a useless trade.

 

cheers

 

You never know if its a good trade or a useless trade until after you make an attempt. Very simply, I look for HH HL or LL LH.

 

A good trade turns positive fast and a useless trade turns negative fast. I cut quickly when my trade turns negative. I pound as hard as I can when I have a winner.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Everyone, not to be churlish about the topic, but seriously if you aren't aware of different order types availble and what they do, just explore your platform and try them out on the simulator.

 

This is really really basic stuff- not a secret.

 

If you want great fills, do your homework, trade a liquid market and sit in an office right next to the exchange!

 

Order types is just about the most basic of all knowledge in trading.

 

In most fields that I have explored, any time I see "The Secrets of ..." in the title of an article or book, I acknowledge this may just be marketing strategy, in some cases it is just a title to grab the reader's attention, and that is ok if it works. That looks to be the case here with Tim. This thread is getting reads and posts, so the title was effective in its own way!

 

Of course, in some venues like martial arts and trading, it can instead be an attempt to draw in those who are desperately looking for some answers. And all of us have seen plenty of that in magazines and books.

 

I am not too sure if there are many secrets in trading or in most other fields. Usually the solution to problems, and "the Secret," is exceptional Mastery of the fundamentals, but is that ever a difficult process, and something which few of us will never achieve in any field.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A good trade turns positive fast and a useless trade turns negative fast. I cut quickly when my trade turns negative. I pound as hard as I can when I have a winner.

 

Well said.

 

This, my friends, is the only "holy grail" there is in trading.

 

 

Luv,

Phantom

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'd actually have to agree with you Qiman. This was the first post I put up where I used "secret" in the title and regret doing that now. All the other things I've shared have been more direct. Thought I would mix things up a bit, but I'll stick with more direct headlines from now on. I appreciate you reading the post though. Happy Thanksgiving.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The Downside of Limit Orders

One con about using limit orders is that if price does not go beyond your order you will not be filled. This however, can be looked at as a good or bad thing.

 

Limit orders ensure you get the best possible price, and I’d rather trade in this way missing a few trades, than taking stop out after stop out, by impulsively clicking the market order.

 

In my trading the majority of my orders have always been Market and Buy/Sell Stop Orders. If there's a reason to be in, I want in.If there's a reason to be out, I want out.

I don't like to rely on someone else (limit orders) to do that for me.

 

Limit Orders guarantee you will always be in your losing trades but not the winners. Yes, you get a higher/lower price IF filled and market reverses, but is that "better" than missing some winning trades completely....maybe,maybe not

 

Its not the order type that causes Stop Out after Stop Out...Its likely the act of "impulsively clicking"...I'm pretty sure I could generate a string of Stop Outs by "impulsively clicking" Limit Orders... Click when there's a reason to.

 

Fewer stop outs may/may not be beneficial to the overall profit, equity curve, drawdowns etc . It has to be balanced with the missed trades.

 

Having said that...Just to show there are no absolutes in trading and decisions are dynamic, I have recently started to increase the No.of limit orders I use in certain markets/situations. Whether this "phase" continues or not we'll see...

 

The "best" order type can depend on style & personality..ie. I generally like to "go with" as opposed to trying to pick the reversal point.

With limits there may be a temptation for some traders to fiddle with/cancel etc as price nears and trades at a level hoping for just "a little bit better"..the result is invariably missing it completely !

 

The Bank I traded for had stats of the order types each trader used because Brokerage fees may be type dependent...eg. A limit Order provides liquidity, A Market order extracts liquidity from the market so a trading platform/broker may charge less fee for "providing liquidity".

 

I invariably used Market Orders, the guy next to me invariably used Limits - No right, No wrong

 

Trade Well

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

great post Tim... and while it's true that anyone that's serious about trading should understand this as a one of the 101 basics, for some it may be "missed" or dismissed as important.

 

as for me order type / trade plans are an essential component of my methodology... my risk management is all tied into scaling in and out of trades, etc.

 

i might just throw in a little tidbit that i try to follow when using limit orders for entries using the ES as an example... I always try to place my limit order to the nearest .25 or .75 tick as price tends to reach the even numbers... this one little thing helped improve my fills significantly. actually i also do that on my exit targets as well... 25s and 75s...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It also depends what you are trading. If you trade the ES, then you will not get slippage on market order.

 

However, if you are trading the TF or CL, then expect 1 or 2 ticks of slippage.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

:helloooo:

It also depends what you are trading. If you trade the ES, then you will not get slippage on market order.

 

However, if you are trading the TF or CL, then expect 1 or 2 ticks of slippage.

 

Depends-- I usually don't get slippage on ES but sometimes get 1 or even 2 ticks.

CL I would frequently get 1 or 2, and in some cases 4 or 5.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Holy s@&t!!!! I rarely comment, but seriously....... Look Traders, we are on this site because we want to be successful traders. We know what f@&$ing order types are out there. And the crap vendor this e mini dip shoot is pushing, doesn't offer stop limit orders with a pay up limit? Come on that's garbage!! This is my livelihood, if I set a stop loss limit order, I need to know that if I'm at the store, or grocery shopping, that my order will get filled. Most REAL traders use a vendor that offers a stop limit order that has a pay up or pay down setting if it trades through your price so as not to leave you hanging. This guy needs to go to another photo sitting or something, and stop treating people on this site like they are morons.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm somewhat doubting the bolded line.. is this true for ES? I thought only limit orders were held at the exchange. This just doesn't make sense to me unless you mean that the platform will execute the market order faster then one can manually.

 

Tips for Breakout Traders

If you are the type of trader who likes trading breakouts, instead of waiting for price to breakout and then clicking the market button consider using buy stops and sell stops. Placing a stop just above the break out point where you would like to enter will push your order into the market at the point that the market breaks your level.

 

While this order is a market order, placing it well in advance will help reduce slippage because most platforms use a FIFO, (first in, first out) method. Meaning if you want to buy above highs and place your order sooner than the next trader, you will be filled first. If you wait for that breakout and then hit the market button you will be last in line.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'm somewhat doubting the bolded line.. is this true for ES? I thought only limit orders were held at the exchange. This just doesn't make sense to me unless you mean that the platform will execute the market order faster then one can manually.

 

Stop orders are held at the exchange, most any in the world I would think anyway. What good would a "protective stop" be if it were not held at the exchange?

 

Here are the order types that CME uses, as one example:

http://www.cmegroup.com/globex/files/GlobexRefGd.pdf

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's not always the case and is an important topic when choosing futures broker. Some brokers rest your orders on the exchange servers, other brokers rest them on their servers, even more, some orders are held on your own computer only.

 

There is latency (or lag) between the order being filled, thus the result for slippage. I realize the title is corny, and a lot of people think the topic is to basic, but it's an area often overlooked. If you receive slippage often on markets like the Emini S&P or Euro, I'd talk with your broker.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
That's not always the case and is an important topic when choosing futures broker. Some brokers rest your orders on the exchange servers, other brokers rest them on their servers, even more, some orders are held on your own computer only.

 

Can you name a broker who does not put the order at the exchange? Not doubting that it's true, just would like to know any.

 

As for locally held orders, a negative stop limit order, for example, is simulated on my PC, though a regular stop limit goes to CME. OCO orders are simulated locally for me as well, but both orders are actually at the exchange, and only the cancellation of the order not executed is done locally. So yes, some may be done locally, but a regular stop order is always non-local, otherwise, it would not serve its purpose.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Can you name a broker who does not put the order at the exchange? Not doubting that it's true, just would like to know any.

 

Limit orders are held at the exchange, stop orders are not. IB holds stop orders on their server. With IB the stop orders are time stamped so they are filled in order when sent to the exchange.

 

With some brokers, Lightspeed for example, stop orders are held on your computer. Personally, I would avoid this type of broker.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Limit orders are held at the exchange, stop orders are not. IB holds stop orders on their server. With IB the stop orders are time stamped so they are filled in order when sent to the exchange.

 

With some brokers, Lightspeed for example, stop orders are held on your computer. Personally, I would avoid this type of broker.

 

OK let's get clear here and get the facts straight.

 

The answer to where a stop order (or "stop market order") resides depends on two things: the broker and the exchange.

 

In my case, my stop order does reside at the CME exchange. I can verify this by looking at the order info in my platform, and verify that it is at the exchange. If you need some proof of that let me know and I will send a screen shot. Also, I called my broker (Velocity) to verify and yes, the orders are at CME, not the broker servers.

 

Some exchanges may not even allow stop market orders (theoretically). If you wanted this functionality then, the broker could offer to simulate a stop market order for you. A more common scenario is an exchange that does not offer OCO orders (CME is one example). In this case, either the broker could simulate the order (such as TD ameritrade), or more commonly, the local PC simulates the order. However, the Eurex exchange natively supports OCO ( Eurex - One-Cancels-the-Other (OCO) Order ). So, hopefully it's clear that if the order type is not supported by the exchange, it must be simulated by the broker, or locally (or by some piece of software between you and the broker).

 

CME Globex has no notion of a true "stop market" order. Instead, they have what they call a "stop with protection" order ( http://www.cmegroup.com/globex/files/GlobexRefGd.pdf ). It's much safer, and ensures that you do not get completely screwed due to a catastrophic event. When you enter a stop order with CME globex, they convert it into a Stop Limit order. The limit price will be the trigger price for the order plus half of what's called the "no bust range" ( Globex No Bust Ranges ) or "non reviewable range" ( TRADE CANCELLATIONS AND PRICE ADJUSTMENTS ). For ES, for example, it's 6 points, thus, the trade may be cancelled if you are slipped 3 ES points. For CL, 50% of the range is 50 ticks. And so on. Here is more information on this process: Question regarding how NT handles stop market orders on Globex - NinjaTrader Support Forum

 

So, it appears that IB simulates stop orders ( http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/trading/usFuturesStopOrder.php ) and holds the orders on their servers. Why they do this, I do not know. At some point when the order is given to CME, it will be assigned as a stop limit with a 50% no bust range limit anyway, so I don't see the point in simulating the order on their server.

 

If anyone uses NT and wants to see based on the broker where their order resides, here's a document:

http://www.ninjatrader.com/support/forum/showthread.php?t=5349

 

I hope this clarifies things.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Some brokers rest your orders on the exchange servers, other brokers rest them on their servers, even more, some orders are held on your own computer only.

 

. . . And some brokers will give you the option to chose which of the above you wish to do. It's therefore important to know what 'default' setting of your platform is in this respect, and how to change it should you wish.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.