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zdo

Developing Trader's State of Mind Discussion

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Possibly some of you may find these extracts of interest.

 

Krishnamurti on Fear

 

If letting go of fear of the unknown creates a perpetual state of curiosity, then everything from Trading to Rande's work and beyond has a natural tendency to fall into place.

 

The natural tendency in cosmic time is perceived very differently in temporal time. Most traders do not have enough time to play the cosmic time clock.

 

Rande Howell

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johnw ... on the subject of judgements, in my case Krishnamurti would be "preaching to the choir" :) ...

 

Related to the thread (and Rande can correct me if I'm off (or explain why) ) ... seems he uses the term 'assessments' instead of 'judgements' in the practical application work of the course...

 

Assessment and judgment are used by me to distinguish between evidence that supports an interpretation of performance while judgment holds the quality of a characterization of the self. This comes out of the work of Fernando Flores who was a student of Martin Heideger. Self limiting beliefs are external judgments of a human being that have taken on the feel of truth. Assessment is a way to interprete competence in performance. Makes a huge difference in the way a trader sees him or her self and their performance.

 

Rande Howell

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The natural tendency in cosmic time is perceived very differently in temporal time. Most traders do not have enough time to play the cosmic time clock.

 

Rande Howell

 

 

You have lost me Rande.

 

I thought we were all trying to improve our perception of reality through trading.

 

Are you saying that Curiosity plays no part in this process.

Curiosity lead me to buying your book, which is excellent in my opinion.

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You have lost me Rande.

 

I thought we were all trying to improve our perception of reality through trading.

 

Are you saying that Curiosity plays no part in this process.

Curiosity lead me to buying your book, which is excellent in my opinion.

 

johnw

 

Curiosity is an important aspect of Mindfulness and is part of how the brain/mind teases apart rigidly held beliefs. And we are on a journey to improve our perception of reality through trading. My point is that there are different ways of understanding time. Geologic or evolutionary time is very different than the sense of time than is experienced typically in trading. God has an eternity to work out the kinks in the cosmos. The temporal time that we must manage in our everyday lives is very different. It's the reactiveness of set patterns that need to be addressed. In due time, I have no doubt that it will all work out. Meanwhile, I'm all for the altering of neurally wired beliefs much more rapidly.

 

My guess is that I should have left your comment alone. Sorry about any confusion.

 

Rande

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OK, assessment it is then ...'gonna have to call bs on that one' is an assessment

'

 

johnw,

 

“'gonna have to call bs on that one' is an assessment” is also an assessment ;)

That ‘call bs’ was the first judgement of my whole life

Also the first time ‘my’ ego was ever active :missy:

… “Lead me not into temptation” - I can find it myself

 

…speaking of ego

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lBUgFRdoFYo&feature=related]How and when to separate oneself from the ego - YouTube[/ame]

Mentions Krishnamurti ‘s You Are The World book.

 

Seriously - calling that 'bs' was really just petty parsing. In my current beliefs, all Krishnamurti described in that article was still at the level of brain and what I call ‘first body’ … was economically pointing out that nothing he discussed had really risen to the level of ‘Mind’ yet for me…

 

Many thanks for your contirbutions.

 

zdo

 

 

ps admin, is there a way to post a utube link that just puts up the hyperlink text and doesn' show the youtube picture ready to run? thx

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...In any case, I like how you admit that your 4-week course is too short and lacks "a powerful tool" you use only with your individual clients. I think that is called the "upsell" in marketing parlance. I'm sure if you offered it to zdo for free he would become your bosom buddy for life, or at least your ultimate shill. The "pmai" is it? To awaken the inner heroes? I think a pack of Yu Gi Oh cards does the same. I see the kids having a lot of fun with them after school at the local McDonald's.

 

gosu,

Please start a separate Kill Rande thread for that sht. It would probably have a larger audience than this one. I’ll try to make some time to come over and “shill”… thx

zdo

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How much self-awareness does a person need to avoid trouble in the markets?

 

If a person knows all about orphans, rulers and warriors, and whether or not they are in shadow form, does it mean he has self-awareness?

 

More to the point, can a person extract from the markets without self-awareness?

 

 

 

gosu,

re your questions - First, please explain to us how you are using your term “self - awareness”. Yours’ is the first usage of that term in this thread. I don’t think Rande has used it much on TL except in one article a while back. What do you mean by “self-awareness” ?

thanks.

zdo

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gosu,

Please start a separate Kill Rande thread for that sht. It would probably have a larger audience than this one. I’ll try to make some time to come over and “shill”… thx

zdo

 

No one is killing Rande here. You need to step away from being his lap dog to see that though.

 

Thanks for your suggestion to start another thread, but I'm not here to attract an audience and I don't care enough about what's going on here to do that.

 

Go back to stirring the KOOL-aid, you're doing fine.

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gosu,

re your questions - First, please explain to us how you are using your term “self - awareness”. Yours’ is the first usage of that term in this thread. I don’t think Rande has used it much on TL except in one article a while back. What do you mean by “self-awareness” ?

thanks.

zdo

 

When I quote the person in my post, you can take that to mean that my question refers to what the person said in his post. You've been on this site a lot longer than I have so I'm sure you know that's how it works.

 

Thus, I'm not sure if you're splitting hairs or just careless in your reading. I intend the meaning of "self-awareness" to be the same as the meaning of "awareness of self" in the post I quoted. The exact quote is "It is the lack of awareness of self that gets traders in trouble." If it helps you, just substitute "awareness of self" for "self-awareness" in my questions.

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No one is killing Rande here. You need to step away from being his lap dog to see that though.

 

Thanks for your suggestion to start another thread, but I'm not here to attract an audience and I don't care enough about what's going on here to do that.

 

Go back to stirring the KOOL-aid, you're doing fine.

 

Just to set things a little straighter. I know zdo only from TL and do not know his real name. I asked him to manage this thread because, over time, I came to appreciate his level headed ness. Since he has never done any of any of my work and appeared truly interested in advancing knowledge of trading, and recognizing the need for emotional and psychological development, he seemed a good prospect. that's it.

 

As far as Killing Rande, I really don't care what people say when there assessments are globalized and are not evidenced base. I listen to people's comments about my performances, but place no value on their judgments of my being. It is simply not theirs to judge.

 

rande Howell

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How much self-awareness does a person need to avoid trouble in the markets?

 

If a person knows all about orphans, rulers and warriors, and whether or not they are in shadow form, does it mean he has self-awareness?

 

More to the point, can a person extract from the markets without self-awareness?

 

 

...

 

 

If it helps you, just substitute "awareness of self" for "self-awareness" in my questions

 

 

For the general audience, I’ll loosely answer those questions.

“…can a person extract from the markets without self-awareness?” Of course.

But is a Tom Baldwin, for a ready example, more “self aware” than say a Paul Tutor Jones ? Yes.

Both excel. We’re not comparing failures to successes here.. we’re talking about incrementally building on strengths (an important distinction for all the ‘critics’ out there and ‘in here’ btw)

And which one made more money, more quickly, directly from trading? Tom. The ‘tom baldwin’ has an slightly more together/integrated sitting “inner counsel” of players…in this particular framework

 

It’s not about “knows all about orphans…” etc. … ( who knows, maybe you were using the ‘knows’ word like or not like someone else…) but however he’s using it, readers – “knows” is a trap!

 

This work is not a be all to end all. To me it is, in some ways, simply about adding more effective heuristic sets. Charles Munger, koolaid stirrer for Warren Buffett, has mastered 80+ of these ‘heuristic models’ for himself. According to Buffett, he has “the best thirty second mind in the world. He goes from A to Z in one move. He sees the essence… ”

 

Emotion is part and parcel of every thought, memory, neural activity… etc. It is not a side effect or minor element. It is a “data source that requires non standard ways of learning” to utilize properly and consistently – to wax lapdog for Denise Shull for a moment... Unfortunately for them, frustrated losers coincidently drop out of this kind of work about the time they get started.

 

gosu, so far you are like some dude who shows up at a football practice standing on the sidelines yelling criticisms at the coaches… which is kind of sad because you are most likely the “smartest guy in the class”.

so re: “Thanks for your suggestion to start another thread, but I'm not here to attract an audience and I don't care enough about what's going on here to do that.”

I’ve gotten on you about this before – if you don’t really care, then shut up.

Serve yourself elsewhere…work on your own projected weaknesses elsewhere… go from C(onstant) to C(riticism) elsewhere...

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Just to set things a little straighter. I know zdo only from TL and do not know his real name. I asked him to manage this thread because, over time, I came to appreciate his level headed ness. Since he has never done any of any of my work and appeared truly interested in advancing knowledge of trading, and recognizing the need for emotional and psychological development, he seemed a good prospect. that's it.

 

I commend you for picking the right person to man the punch bowl. His enthusiasm for your teachings is obvious and even before he began your course he was recommending it to others. "He seemed a good prospect" indeed.

 

As far as Killing Rande, I really don't care what people say when there assessments are globalized and are not evidenced base. I listen to people's comments about my performances, but place no value on their judgments of my being. It is simply not theirs to judge.

 

"Killing Rande" is something your Kool Aid stirrer made up. I do not think I am "killing" you or even bashing you by any means. Let me know which of my questions that I posed to you were "value judgments of [your] being" and I'll be sure to retract them and apologize.

 

The truth is I do not know you from Adam. For all I know you are probably a good husband, father, member of your church, etc. None of that is relevant to anything here. You hold yourself out as a guru of trading. I think you know a lot about your field but I know you know little about trading. What you post about trading is bullshit in my opinion. Nothing wrong with that. This is the internet; we are all free to bullshit as much as we like. I like to bullshit about trading too. Usually after a day of trading it helps me unwind a bit. I find it better to bullshit with other bullshitters. Sometimes that looks like "killing" to a person who is protective of your guru status.

 

Nothing personal.

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>>>

I really don't care what people say when there assessments are globalized and are not evidenced base.

<<<

 

Evidenced based is excellent.

 

OK. Your book, which has a lot of words, spends quite few of them on Jungian Archetypes and you also refer to Carol's book. All of which make a Spider's senses tingle very unpleasantly.

 

All the research I've done puts Jung's archetypes in the skeptic beware territory. Its a little like the old I'm Ok Your Ok followers who found they had parents, adults, and children. And I see a touch of it in the pro-course posts on this thread.

 

 

Where is the evidence base for the Jungian Archetype part of your prescription?

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Evidenced based is excellent.

 

OK. Your book, which has a lot of words, spends quite few of them on Jungian Archetypes and you also refer to Carol's book. All of which make a Spider's senses tingle very unpleasantly.

 

All the research I've done puts Jung's archetypes in the skeptic beware territory. Its a little like the old I'm Ok Your Ok followers who found they had parents, adults, and children. And I see a touch of it in the pro-course posts on this thread.

 

 

Where is the evidence base for the Jungian Archetype part of your prescription?

 

From one of the most reliable and tested personality inventories ever used. The Myers-Briggs personality inventory is derivative of Jung's archetypes. And both authors went to Jung to get his approval for quantifying his archetypes in the way they did. The M-B was orginally commissioned by the Army after they recognized how terrribly they organized men into teams during WW1. The creators studied his archetypes and built them into the instrument. Army's organization of men into coordinated teams improved to produce a very different Army for WW11 (that's the proof). The M-B has stood the test of time. And is still used today and is considered the grand daddy of all personality inventories. Dirivatives of it are used as a way of selecting all sorts of employees by business. Pearson's work is much more pure and succient in accessing and measuring the elements of personality in my opinion. The PMAI is a powerfully valid and reliable instrument for measuring elements of the human personality. Pearson selected a statistics guy with impeccable credentials to produce and validate the tests.

 

I would suggest that you take the pmai and discover for yourself, particularly the shadow side. My suspicion (not fact) is that you would find strong Creator (intuition) and shadow Orphan (trust issues).

 

Rande Howell

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The truth is I do not know you from Adam. For all I know you are probably a good husband, father, member of your church, etc. None of that is relevant to anything here. You hold yourself out as a guru of trading. I think you know a lot about your field but I know you know little about trading. What you post about trading is bullshit in my opinion. Nothing wrong with that. This is the internet; we are all free to bullshit as much as we like. I like to bullshit about trading too. Usually after a day of trading it helps me unwind a bit. I find it better to bullshit with other bullshitters. Sometimes that looks like "killing" to a person who is protective of your guru status.

 

Nothing personal.

 

Problem is gosu, Rande actually says he does not trade and is more an expert in psychology, and you are making it personal.

I like you am not much of a believer - thats part of my personality, but I still dont mind reading other points of view without continual interjections from one who is admittedly full of BS. From a common decency point of view, once your point is made are you best not to let it drop and ask questions that might create debate/discussion rather than conflict???

Too often the skeptic looses credibility and pushes those wavering toward the guru....maybe thats what you really want, maybe you are the real lackey of Rande and Zdo is just the fall guy.....ahh the Machiavellian evil brilliance.

 

(Plus Rande, just because the US army and corporations use the personality test is not evidence it works - just evidence its widely used and recognized compared to other personality tests. :) and so probably still has great validity.

--- and on that note, a serious question - if we have personality tests that catgorise us, and I assume the premise that we can change our base personalities remains the same.

In which case a myers briggs test taken at one stage in life is likely to reveal a different personality at a different stage in life? or are we really stuck with who we are?

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(Plus Rande, just because the US army and corporations use the personality test is not evidence it works - just evidence its widely used and recognized compared to other personality tests. :) and so probably still has great validity.

--- and on that note, a serious question - if we have personality tests that catgorise us, and I assume the premise that we can change our base personalities remains the same.

In which case a myers briggs test taken at one stage in life is likely to reveal a different personality at a different stage in life? or are we really stuck with who we are?

 

SIUYA

 

This is really a good point. When I work with a business evaluating a potential hire, I send the prospective employee to a trained testing psychologist. Part of the hiring decision is based on the assessment of current functioning. Certain working traits are looked for. And the testing, which does not produce certainty but does rachet up probabilty, does cut out a lot of guess work and bad intuitive hunches. Recently a friend of mine was hired by an insurance firm after an exhaustive series of tests and interviews that blew me away. They knew what traits they were looking for and produced a rigorous way of observing for them. When you realize the investment they make in their personnel, you can see why they wanted the odds in their favor. He has done exceptionally well. Rare talent met intentional focused training.

 

One of the problems of psyhological thinking from the early 1900's into present time is the notion of determinism. That there is finite character traits that can be defined and do not change. I personally do not hold this. And it is one of the reasons that I like the archetypal system developed by Jung and Pearson. People change over time. Traits morph based on experience, circumstance, and maturity. They are not permanent. I would hope that, based on circumstance and maturation, that the archetypes that are in current expression within a person's personality will change. I certainly see this happening.

 

The strength of an archetype is often never developed in a person given a certain environment. Later in a different environment, those elements of the self that were once pushed out of awareness are reawakened. Walk into an AA meeting and listen to people with 5, 10, 20 years in the program and you will see the fruit of this.

 

I tend to look at people like a stream. It appears permanent on the surface. But it changes. And as the Buddhists say, you never step into the same stream twice.

 

We certainly can become hardened and our attitudes become like concrete. It doesn't have to be this way. But it does take work and awareness to change. And I find the dynamics of trading to challenge the concrete the trader brings to trading. It's kinda like a jack hammer. The first order of business is to delvelop a psychology organized around the management of uncertainty rather than fear. The majority of traders (not everyone, but most) are capable of this to a degree that can produce a livable income. It requires a desire, a commitment, and education.

 

Rande Howell

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... just because the US army and corporations use the personality test is not evidence it works - just evidence its widely used and recognized compared to other personality tests. :) and so probably still has great validity.

--- and on that note, a serious question - if we have personality tests that catgorise us, and I assume the premise that we can change our base personalities remains the same.

In which case a myers briggs test taken at one stage in life is likely to reveal a different personality at a different stage in life? or are we really stuck with who we are?

 

I don’t really understand how organizations can utilize the test. I don’t really think the typical HR bozo would be able to use it to build teams or even screen out ‘incompatibles’. Using it for ‘categorization’ may be misguided and naïve. re questions about the evidence:

In the early 80’s, I had access to the test through a friend in the field and learned how to score any dang type I wanted to be… it didn’t make me any more of a sentient being…

Also, my wife tells me that the percentage of those scoring INT_ is skewed pretty low (~10%) and those who are INT_’s also score significantly high on intelligence tests… something’s fishy at least.

Raises more questions than answers…

 

I personally tend to just ignore all that crap about the test and use it and similar measures for insight into my particular current strengths and blind spots..

The base Jungian theory is that each of us starts with tendencies (not exclusive) in one of the Jungian ‘types’… some of the more esoteric work in this field, (the juicy stuff, imo) has us starting in one ‘category’ and our potential across a lifetime is the development of a awareness of, competency in, and ultimately a synergistic integration of all the types that were recessive at the start. Jung called it “individuation”.

 

Jung theorized four distinct ways of ‘metabolizing’ experience. In real life, out and about, they are all actually operational simultaneously… but mostly below the level of awareness, as are most life processes… we each develop (or genetically unfold?) a tendency to habitually go to the well on one or two of them and ignore the others.

The life challenge is to integrate all of these types, etc.

 

I’m no expert but the archetypes are basically common human experiences along developmental lines mostly. Someone mentions orphan and unless you’re seriously damaged you can relate to it – it’s a child who has been abandoned and feels it. Someone mentions puer. You may not be able to get real close to it but you can still somehow relate to and understand some guy who is endlessly traveling, seeking, never quite settling down, etc.. We can relate to, via “archetypes”, all the varieties of being and then not being a virgin… or a lover... etc etc etc. Some archetypes we can relate to closely, even though you have never 'acted them out'. Other archetypes we will be as frickn blind as a bat to – and often in judgement, declare closure and can hardly even concede the existence of such human experiences. As best I can tell, Rande is focusing more on the emotional components of each of these common (developmental) 'attractors'

 

I prefer resistance to closure and getting as much as I can from these 'fringes' of our understanding. Looking back, I'm seeing archetypal areas where I need to 'retrace' and try a do over... with even less thinking type activity... etc.

 

This whole framework is just a tool. Calling someone's competency and intentions into question because they can work within a framework, "scientific" or not, is ... to put it nicely, not very inclusive...

the critics herein act as if they've suddenly discovered a unique way we may be fooling ourselves - when it may just be a way to prevent fooling ourselves... hm

"I love fool's experiments. I'm always making them." C.Darwin

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Problem is gosu, Rande actually says he does not trade and is more an expert in psychology, and you are making it personal.

I like you am not much of a believer - thats part of my personality, but I still dont mind reading other points of view without continual interjections from one who is admittedly full of BS. From a common decency point of view, once your point is made are you best not to let it drop and ask questions that might create debate/discussion rather than conflict???

Too often the skeptic looses credibility and pushes those wavering toward the guru....maybe thats what you really want, maybe you are the real lackey of Rande and Zdo is just the fall guy.....ahh the Machiavellian evil brilliance.

 

* * *

 

Where have I gotten personal? I have no problem with Rande and if my posts gain him more clients, that would hardly displease me. His touting his services here makes this site more fun to visit. I do recognize he has to put food on the table and a wife to support, and we all know he's incapable of extracting what he needs from the market.

 

Of course I don't give him a free pass for saying he doesn't trade. That's the whole point! Most trading vendors have to tap dance around actual trading performance questions and he has found a way to hold himself out as a trading guru without getting such questions from people like you. I find that quite ingenious to be honest.

 

With regard to asking questions to further the discussion, maybe you haven't noticed that I have been asking questions. They all relate to the statements he makes about how to trade. Usually my questions go unanswered, I suppose for the reason he has no actual experience to draw from and has not thought through carefully the drivel he puts forth about trading. This is a message board. If you can't handle needling someone about such things here, then you've got problems.

 

In any case, you are mistaken if you think I am here to gain "credibility" or save people from gurus. If my posts are too much for your sensitivities, the solution is to put me on ignore, which is the same advice I gave to zdo. To help in that regard, I do say upfront that my posts are bullshit so you won't be missing anything by not reading them.

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From one of the most reliable and tested personality inventories ever used. The Myers-Briggs personality inventory is derivative of Jung's archetypes. And both authors went to Jung to get his approval for quantifying his archetypes in the way they did. The M-B was orginally commissioned by the Army after they recognized how terrribly they organized men into teams during WW1. The creators studied his archetypes and built them into the instrument. Army's organization of men into coordinated teams improved to produce a very different Army for WW11 (that's the proof). The M-B has stood the test of time. And is still used today and is considered the grand daddy of all personality inventories. Dirivatives of it are used as a way of selecting all sorts of employees by business. Pearson's work is much more pure and succient in accessing and measuring the elements of personality in my opinion. The PMAI is a powerfully valid and reliable instrument for measuring elements of the human personality. Pearson selected a statistics guy with impeccable credentials to produce and validate the tests.

 

I would suggest that you take the pmai and discover for yourself, particularly the shadow side. My suspicion (not fact) is that you would find strong Creator (intuition) and shadow Orphan (trust issues).

 

Rande Howell

 

 

OK. So much for your argument that others need to be evidence based. That is not evidence in the modern psychological or social science meanings of the word, so there is no evidence then.

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* * *

 

* * * The first order of business is to delvelop a psychology organized around the management of uncertainty rather than fear. The majority of traders (not everyone, but most) are capable of this to a degree that can produce a livable income.* * *

 

 

This is pure entertainment.

 

You say that the majority of traders (not everyone, but most) can produce a livable income? Since you are into "evidence based" assessments, may I ask what your evidence is for such an audacious statement?

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To all

 

Since the course is over and the participants eventually migrated over to a yahoo chatroom where the conversation could stay focused on the topic of developing traders state of mind, I believe this forum has run its course.

 

To those traders who were observing this forum as way to study trader psychology from a closer perspective, I apologize for the degradation that occurred here. My hope was that you were going to be able to be witness to traders working with materials that can become the tools for transformation. That didn't happen. The space clearly got sucked into a different kind of vortex. But you did get to see personal psychologies interact with one another. Just not about trading.

 

It's been an interesting experiment and I thank zdo for riding herd as well as he did.

 

Rande Howell

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Rande

 

Like many here, I have no idea what (if any) benefit your clients receive from attending....and whether the benefit is immediate or seen later as they trade...?

 

So perhaps you might want to ask your clients to post (maybe every few months) to let us know how they are doing, and whether they see any improvement as a result of attendance at this seminar.

 

Thank you

 

Steve

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Rande

 

Like many here, I have no idea what (if any) benefit your clients receive from attending....and whether the benefit is immediate or seen later as they trade...?

 

So perhaps you might want to ask your clients to post (maybe every few months) to let us know how they are doing, and whether they see any improvement as a result of attendance at this seminar.

 

Thank you

 

Steve

 

Rande, rather than kill the thread I had planned to just open it up to everyone - including the previously uninvited - to, if nothing else, 'make some lemonade' :)

Steve46, good idea. brief immediate impressions - I'm grateful he is in this field and am glad that he is bringing forward what has unfolded from his work in finding his own self compatible models for 'change and growth' and what is being made available to traders in particular from his previous training, study, and work with other populations.

What I have applied so far has had immediate benefits, but the long term benefit is in laying down new patterns - which takes time and work. It will take some time for me to bring my own timing, etc to the sequences of the major practices he taught. For example, it seemed like the breaths were coming too fast and not frequent enough per 'section'...etc

Also, his verbally 'guided' sessions understandably emphasized common issues like 'pulling the trigger' , etc. I personally have not had issues with pulling the trigger for many years, so the 'ramp up' content was, for me, quite distracting to the process I was trying to do and fear contents I was trying to work with. This just means that rather than being able to utilize the tapes directly, I will need to extract the essence of the protocols and create my own scripts and timing... note though that any and all participants would ultimately have to make adaptations on their own - not just me. It's part of the work. A coach or teacher in any field can teach you what to do and focus on, but it's always up to the individual to go out and really learn / ingrain it.

 

I invite all the participants to come on with some 'testimmonial' of their experiences too (+ or -) ... gotta go...more later... you all have a great weekend

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    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $MSFT Microsoft stock top of range breakout above 433.1, https://stockconsultant.com/?MSFT
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