Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

carltonp

Tape Read (Time & Sales) Strategies

Recommended Posts

You were the one that said you could read the B/A off the T&S, not me.

 

I see, miscommunication-- I meant that you can have a quick visual and see whether the transaction occurred at the bid or the offer.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hello Traders,

 

I wonder if you can help. I've spent the last few days trying to track down information on tape reading (time and sales) strategies. I searched the four corners of the internet and trying to find suitable information buth nothing.

 

Just to prove to you how little information there is out there I found one site, Welcome to the Price Action Room, charging $1995 for a DVD called 'The Magic of Tape Reading'. This blew me away. I thought how can they justify that price tag? Then I thought, 'of course they can, they know there isn't anything out there on Tape Reading'. Don't get me wrong, the DVD might be the Holy Grail of Tape Reading, but I'm not ready to pay that kind of money until someone has reviewed it and gives it the thumbs up.

 

I watched all of soultraders videos (there are good and they give you a taste, but no real meat on the bones).

 

So if there is anyone here that can point me in the right direction, I'd appreciate it.

 

Cheers guys/gals

 

Carlton

 

Hi carltonp,

Tape reading was the method used by traders in the olden days.

And it was a correlation between price and volume

And most important, the number of trades was low.

And there were no charts.

If 83% of all trading on the NYSE is alogrithem, there is NO TRUE ORDER FLOW.

The computer buys the market on 1 tick up and sells on 1 tick down, or similar.

Therefore ,tape reading has as much usefulness as watching paint dry.

Thats my view

I await the tirade from tape readers.

Kind regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Don't know if it's been mentioned by the way, but if you use IB for data, their time and sales data is not accurate at all. Their ticks are filtered, and you need a more accurate, unfiltered data feed such as IQFeed if you want the actual transactions. IB will combine transactions, for example.

 

That explains a lot. I've been watching IB's ticks intensely, and it was so off I called them to find out why. The person I spoke at IB was honest with me and stated exactly what you mentioned.

 

I might take a look at Esignal as I think they may be cheaper...

 

Cheers

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi carltonp,

Tape reading was the method used by traders in the olden days.

And it was a correlation between price and volume

And most important, the number of trades was low.

And there were no charts.

If 83% of all trading on the NYSE is alogrithem, there is NO TRUE ORDER FLOW.

The computer buys the market on 1 tick up and sells on 1 tick down, or similar.

Therefore ,tape reading has as much usefulness as watching paint dry.

Thats my view

I await the tirade from tape readers.

Kind regards

bobc

 

Thanks for your comments bob. Unfortunately, I don't have enough experience to argue the point with you. However, I think Tape Reading has value as a precision instrument.

 

I too look forward to hearing the views of active Tape Readers :-)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi carltonp,

Tape reading was the method used by traders in the olden days.

And it was a correlation between price and volume

And most important, the number of trades was low.

And there were no charts.

If 83% of all trading on the NYSE is alogrithem, there is NO TRUE ORDER FLOW.

The computer buys the market on 1 tick up and sells on 1 tick down, or similar.

Therefore ,tape reading has as much usefulness as watching paint dry.

Thats my view

I await the tirade from tape readers.

Kind regards

bobc

 

Then only difference between an algo and a manual order is speed. An order is an order and it shows up just the same. Although a large percentage of trades are from algo’s, the goals of the prospective parties can be completely different. Some are taking ticks out of the market while others are accumulating long-term positions.

 

Things change but they stay the same.

 

Also, an algo does not have intuition.

Quant firms go belly up all the time, just like everyone else.

 

Hope it helps,

dVL

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Then only difference between an algo and a manual order is speed. An order is an order and it shows up just the same. Although a large percentage of trades are from algo’s, the goals of the prospective parties can be completely different. Some are taking ticks out of the market while others are accumulating long-term positions.

 

Things change but they stay the same.

 

Also, an algo does not have intuition.

Quant firms go belly up all the time, just like everyone else.

 

Hope it helps,

dVL

 

It helps very much ....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Yes, that was my point with the T&S, i thought you seemed confused. I know what it is. You were the one that said you could read the B/A off the T&S, not me.

 

IB now has 'true tick' volume.

 

XS

 

Hello mate.

 

Are you sure about that.

 

This is the email I received from IB

 

IB does not provide tick-by-tick data we do not provide Time & Sales at all through the API. The realtime market data IB provides are snapshot requests, taken every 250 milliseconds.

 

My understanding of this statement seems to concur with 'joshdance's' statement. Would you agree?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Then only difference between an algo and a manual order is speed. An order is an order and it shows up just the same....

Things change but they stay the same.

 

So true. One of the things I remember reading from Wyckoff that he said is essentially that despite the crafty nature of specialists, for example, markup and markdown, accumulation and distribution (in other words, they are hiding their intentions), that they cannot hide their transactions, their volume, their footprint. It is there for all to see, and while their intentions may not be open, their activity is. (I am not a real Wyckoffian a la "smart money" etc. but I use the principles)

 

So while algos execute differently than humans, they still all leave a trail for all to see, and it's called volume.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
So true. One of the things I remember reading from Wyckoff that he said is essentially that despite the crafty nature of specialists, for example, markup and markdown, accumulation and distribution (in other words, they are hiding their intentions), that they cannot hide their transactions, their volume, their footprint. It is there for all to see, and while their intentions may not be open, their activity is. (I am not a real Wyckoffian a la "smart money" etc. but I use the principles)

 

So while algos execute differently than humans, they still all leave a trail for all to see, and it's called volume.

 

Ok Joshdance,

So you do need volume to read the tape.

And there is so much more volume, thousands and thousands of deals transacting,

that , unless you pick a market like Orange juice,you will not see the wood for trees

regards bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ok Joshdance,

So you do need volume to read the tape.

And there is so much more volume, thousands and thousands of deals transacting,

that , unless you pick a market like Orange juice,you will not see the wood for trees

regards bobc

 

Actually Bob, the time and sales is quite easy to INTERPRET and only takes a couple weeks of screen time to start to get a feel for the order flow...you should try it sometime.

 

XS

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Actually Bob, the time and sales is quite easy to INTERPRET and only takes a couple weeks of screen time to start to get a feel for the order flow...you should try it sometime.

 

XS

 

Carltonp,

Slowly but surely you will get some useful info. I am also interested in reading the tape and have tried.

A chart showed me the same thing.

So now I have to make controversal statements to get members to respond

Unfortunately its the same few members and their advice is scant.

Maybe everybody else knows something?

Thank goodness MMS cleared all the vendors who were hijacking your thread

Regards bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Actually Bob, the time and sales is quite easy to INTERPRET and only takes a couple weeks of screen time to start to get a feel for the order flow...you should try it sometime.

 

XS

 

Dear XS

You have an interesting biography.

Joshdance made the comment that he would not trade a market without volume.

My CFD market has no volume. Maybe thats why I cant read the tape.

What do you think?

Kind regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hello Traders,

 

I wonder if you can help. I've spent the last few days trying to track down information on tape reading (time and sales) strategies. I searched the four corners of the internet and trying to find suitable information buth nothing.

 

Just to prove to you how little information there is out there I found one site, Welcome to the Price Action Room, charging $1995 for a DVD called 'The Magic of Tape Reading'. This blew me away. I thought how can they justify that price tag? Then I thought, 'of course they can, they know there isn't anything out there on Tape Reading'. Don't get me wrong, the DVD might be the Holy Grail of Tape Reading, but I'm not ready to pay that kind of money until someone has reviewed it and gives it the thumbs up.

 

I watched all of soultraders videos (there are good and they give you a taste, but no real meat on the bones).

 

So if there is anyone here that can point me in the right direction, I'd appreciate it.

 

Cheers guys/gals

 

Carlton[/quote

 

 

Hello

 

I started reading the tape 6 years ago and live by it. It is the only way to gauge supply and demand and give the true direction of price. I do have a website and book that I do not advertise since I make a living from trading not selling. You can find a free copy of The Day Traders Bible (Richard Wyckoff) and Reminiscences of a Stock Operator (Jessy Livermore) there. These are 2 great books on tape reading that I highly recommend. The only difference from when these books were written and now is the technology, everything else is the same.

 

You can learn it on your own or with a mentor but learning on your own takes many years to master everything. Tape reading is a great grail key but is sharp as a surgeons knife. If you don't have the patience or discipline it will cut you but if you learn what to look for and at what points are of highest interest it is highly lucrative.

 

Good Luck!!

 

JLeon

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thank goodness MMS cleared all the vendors who were hijacking your thread

Regards bobc

 

So true. I really want learn to read the tape.

 

I must say although I agree the information has been scant, however there have been a number of good comments from some good people on this thread. Believe me, I'm taking all the comments and suggestions on board - already I have decided not to use Interactive Brokers for T & S and have signed up with Esignal, following the comments here.

 

So, please keep the comments flowing....

 

Cheers

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have decided not to use Interactive Brokers for T & S and have signed up with Esignal, following the comments here.

 

In my humble opinion the aggregate data that IB provides is sufficient when reading the T&S screen. With a trained eye there's no information you can get from T&S that you can't read from a chart anyway. If your success as a trader relies on this alone then I suspect you are going to struggle regardless of which broker you go with.

 

Bottom line,I think the difference is negligible. Just thought I'd throw it out there so you don't choose your broker on T&S alone, there are more important things to consider IMHO.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
In my humble opinion the aggregate data that IB provides is sufficient when reading the T&S screen..

Thanks for responding. However, I beg to differ. I'm not joking when I say I've looked at their data over the past week and its poor, I mean POOR. I called them and I was totally convinced by their responses to my questions that IB's market data is not to be relied upon.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hello Traders,

 

I wonder if you can help. I've spent the last few days trying to track down information on tape reading (time and sales) strategies. I searched the four corners of the internet and trying to find suitable information buth nothing.

 

Just to prove to you how little information there is out there I found one site, Welcome to the Price Action Room, charging $1995 for a DVD called 'The Magic of Tape Reading'. This blew me away. I thought how can they justify that price tag? Then I thought, 'of course they can, they know there isn't anything out there on Tape Reading'. Don't get me wrong, the DVD might be the Holy Grail of Tape Reading, but I'm not ready to pay that kind of money until someone has reviewed it and gives it the thumbs up.

 

I watched all of soultraders videos (there are good and they give you a taste, but no real meat on the bones).

 

So if there is anyone here that can point me in the right direction, I'd appreciate it.

 

Cheers guys/gals

 

Carlton[/quote

 

 

Hello

 

I started reading the tape 6 years ago and live by it. It is the only way to gauge supply and demand and give the true direction of price. I do have a website and book that I do not advertise since I make a living from trading not selling. You can find a free copy of The Day Traders Bible (Richard Wyckoff) and Reminiscences of a Stock Operator (Jessy Livermore) there. These are 2 great books on tape reading that I highly recommend. The only difference from when these books were written and now is the technology, everything else is the same.

 

You can learn it on your own or with a mentor but learning on your own takes many years to master everything. Tape reading is a great grail key but is sharp as a surgeons knife. If you don't have the patience or discipline it will cut you but if you learn what to look for and at what points are of highest interest it is highly lucrative.

 

Good Luck!!

 

JLeon

 

JLeon, thanks man.

 

I am totally feeling you. And if I be totally honest with if I couldn't program the Tape to provide only the information I need I wouldn't touch it with a barge pole - it would drive me mad. However, due to my programming skills I don't have to watch the tape to use the tape. Let me explain that last statement.

 

I have been watching the Tape now for a couple of weeks, alongside my set up. I have recorded the tape for three weeks with my charts. I have looked at every single bid/ask, bid size/ask size for YM for the past three weeks. I know it will take much longer than three weeks to fully appreciate the tape. The reason why I have poured over the tape for that long isn't simply because I want to trade the tape but because I want to understand how I can use my programming skills to take from the tape only the information I need WITHOUT WATCHING THE TAPE. Its beautiful. Its taken a while to get to this stage. Now, I will spend the next year learning how to trade the tape.

 

Thanks for your encouraging words mate.

 

Is there any chance you could PM me with your website and book?

 

Cheers

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks for responding. However, I beg to differ. I'm not joking when I say I've looked at their data over the past week and its poor, I mean POOR. I called them and I was totally convinced by their responses to my questions that IB's market data is not to be relied upon.

 

While I do not know exactly what you are trying to glean from your data, I will say that my experience with IB's data is that it is very stable and more than adequate to trade with.

 

It is ironic to me that you are switching to eSignal because for over 8 years I used eSignal as my main data feed and IB as a backup and I can report that IB's data feed was more dependable BY FAR. It got to the point where I was using IB as my main data and using eSignal as my backup until the annual contract expired.

 

My current setup runs two data feeds concurrently and even with the volume reporting differences I rate IB's data feed as very good. And this is coming from a person whose trade decisions rely heavily upon volume data.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
While I do not know exactly what you are trying to glean from your data, I will say that my experience with IB's data is that it is very stable and more than adequate to trade with.

.

 

Gosu, thanks for responding. I'm going to retract some of what I said about IB as I have had another conversation with them and its been made clear to me.

 

Let me explain.

 

IB told me they don't publish duplicate quotes to save bandwidth. For example, if two bids come in at say 20 the first bid will be posted while the second bid will not. Another example, lets say there is a bid/ask of 10/20, if there is a duplicate bid then only the ask, 20, will be posted. The only way to know that there was duplicate bid of 10 would be look at T&S. Now, if you say IB's T&S is reliable, well ............

 

So wouldn't you like to know that a duplicate bid/ask of say 100 came in without looking at their unreliable T & S?

 

Cheers

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Gosu, thanks for responding. I'm going to retract some of what I said about IB as I have had another conversation with them and its been made clear to me.

 

Let me explain.

 

IB told me they don't publish duplicate quotes to save bandwidth. For example, if two bids come in at say 20 the first bid will be posted while the second bid will not. Another example, lets say there is a bid/ask of 10/20, if there is a duplicate bid then only the ask, 20, will be posted. The only way to know that there was duplicate bid of 10 would be look at T&S. Now, if you say IB's T&S is reliable, well ............

 

So wouldn't you like to know that a duplicate bid/ask of say 100 came in without looking at their unreliable T & S?

 

Cheers

 

I'm not quite getting what you are describing. Are you saying that the respective bid and ask volumes showing on the inside market are not accurate as reported by IB because they do not post "duplicate" bids and asks?

 

Even if that were the case, I consider it negligible in trading the ES because of the rapidity in the changing bid and ask volumes. Anything that occurs within the data that my eyes cannot pick up has no bearing on my trade decisions.

 

Regarding the T&S, I do not rely on it except as a quick way to see what's printing and how fast the trades are scrolling. IOW, I use the T&S for convenience and the information I get from it is redundant.

 

Of course, I do recognize that you are looking to use the T&S for something more than that. My comment was in reference to the reliability of IB's data feed in general and in comparison with eSignal.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'm not quite getting what you are describing. Are you saying that the respective bid and ask volumes showing on the inside market are not accurate as reported by IB because they do not post "duplicate" bids and asks?

 

.

 

Hi Gosu,

 

Sorry, I should have explained that because I'm feeding the bids/aks into a formula I need each and every bid/ask to be correct and posted. The formula will take the numbers and alert me to when certain conditions occur without me having to watch T&S. Watching T&S would drive anyone nuts...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

 

I am totally feeling you. And if I be totally honest with if I couldn't program the Tape to provide only the information I need I wouldn't touch it with a barge pole - it would drive me mad. However, due to my programming skills I don't have to watch the tape to use the tape. Let me explain that last statement.

 

 

Cheers

 

Sounds like you are were I was two years ago. I was a professional programmer (still am I guess). You are in for a wonderful and fulfilling ride..LOL. If protect your capital while you learn you should come out ahead.

 

I don’t post much anywhere because I didn’t learn much from message boards. I basically watched as many order flow/market profile webinars that I could get my hands on, with membership to a cumulative delta chat room for 6 months.

 

I didn’t get into the programming until late last year. Some of my journey may help. The first programming task I did was to track responsive activity – contracts that HELD the bid or offer. Then with that under my belt I started tracking initiative activity. Now I am going to track the buy and selling spikes. This is after I could see things manually.

 

Not many people on here like the footprint chart, but it is an advanced form of tape reading IMO.

 

Good Luck,

Looks like you are willing to do the work necessary to be successful.

 

dVL

5aa710a501494_tapereading.thumb.png.e549ff78efb49eee973326cb4b22eeb4.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Gosu,

 

Sorry, I should have explained that because I'm feeding the bids/aks into a formula I need each and every bid/ask to be correct and posted. The formula will take the numbers and alert me to when certain conditions occur without me having to watch T&S. Watching T&S would drive anyone nuts...

 

That makes things clearer. I had forgotten that you are running the data through Excel.

 

Regarding your desire that every bid and ask be correct and posted, how are you accounting for hidden volumes? Does it make a difference to what you want to do that large orders are often masked as small orders?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Sounds like you are were I was two years ago. I was a professional programmer (still am I guess). You are in for a wonderful and fulfilling ride..LOL. If protect your capital while you learn you should come out ahead.

 

I don’t post much anywhere because I didn’t learn much from message boards. I basically watched as many order flow/market profile webinars that I could get my hands on, with membership to a cumulative delta chat room for 6 months.

 

I didn’t get into the programming until late last year. Some of my journey may help. The first programming task I did was to track responsive activity – contracts that HELD the bid or offer. Then with that under my belt I started tracking initiative activity. Now I am going to track the buy and selling spikes. This is after I could see things manually.

 

Not many people on here like the footprint chart, but it is an advanced form of tape reading IMO.

 

Good Luck,

Looks like you are willing to do the work necessary to be successful.

 

dVL

 

dVL,

 

It keeps me going when I hear comments like that. The beauty about programming T&S for contracts HELD at the bid or offer. Buying and selling spikes is literally the tip of the iceberg as to what can be achieved once you get the correct data. Just imagine all that real data pouring into a reliable T & S and not having to look at it to trade from it. In my opinion, its impossible to trade solely from it with the naked eye - but then again I've only been observing for 3 weeks. However, by programming it you can use all that it has to offer without bursting your eyes out of their sockets :-)

 

The only downside, you need ABSOLUTE, reliable data. A formula or a program will never have a 'feel' for the market. So, if there there is a single missing bid / ask then that will to lead wrong decisions. Which is simply why I can't use IB. Even they told me they don't post all their bids/asks.

 

Thanks again.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Regarding your desire that every bid and ask be correct and posted, how are you accounting for hidden volumes? Does it make a difference to what you want to do that large orders are often masked as small orders?

 

Gosu, that I would agree is a problem. One way to overcome that problem is write an excel formula to alert me to the frequency of bids/asks. I understand that when large institutions start to accumulate they do so in small lots. So, I will write a program that will watch for that kind of action. Other than that I have don't know how to deal with that issue.

 

I should add if you have any suggestions as to what I should watch out for I would love to hear them. At the moment I'm just studying the Tape with a simple setup. Once I see a pattern I will write a program for it. I'm just looking for patterns right now.

 

I'm hoping that someone like dVL will provide some strategies. All I need is a strategy and then I can go away and program it in Excel.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.