Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

nhallett

Yum! The Seasoned Trader Feeds On The New Trader

Recommended Posts

If you're a new trader, you've got to pay your dues. Seasoned

traders know this and that's why we love you so much. Look at

your charts, mimic the experts, and buy those expensive

trade-recommendation newsletters. Dream your dreams. But

PLEASE just keep trading, because as you trade, we'll be

on the other side, putting your cash into our pockets.

 

I'm not kidding.

 

So the thing is, you don't want to stay a “new trader” for long.

What is a “new trader”? A new trader, the way I refer to it here,

is either someone who has just begun trading and has yet to make

the mistakes of a beginner, OR someone who keep making the

beginner's mistakes over and over again and never learns.

 

Most traders that I've come across over my 22 years as a trader

and CTA(3 years as a “new trader” and 19 years as a “seasoned

trader”) never got out of the “new trader” category. It's hard

to transcend. To some, it's impossible and they wind up walking

away blaming the “volatility” or the “institutional traders” for

their failure.

 

OK, here's the key to taking the leap from newbee to successful

trader: Your mental discipline. The fact is, the beginner who's

done his/her homework before trading is (largely) using the same

indicators and techniques that the successful trader is using. The

difference is that the successful trader is in control. The “new

trader” is not. The beginner is controlled by emotions and fears

and has not learned… I mean REALLY learned… that trading

the market is a math game. It's an exercise in probability and

statistics and you must keep the odds on your side, even if,

from time to time, it hurts.

 

If you've back-tested your system properly… if you've followed

your guru's past recommendations carefully… and you're ready

to start trading…then you have one job and that is to follow your

system like the IceMan. If, over your chosen period of time, the

system is not working, then change the system. Never change

your commitment to following your system to the letter once

you've decided to trade it.

 

All this is MUCH easier said than done. Fears and emotions can

easily overtake you. We're humans, not machines. You must

TRAIN your mind to be disciplined. That's what seasoned traders

do. They train their minds because they know that habit patterns

are simply neuro-pathways that are etched into your brain and

when one identifies a poor trading habit (and you know who you

are) all that needs be done is to train your mind to create a new

neuro-pathway to replace the old one. It's science, man, just

science.

 

Good trading system and the mental strength to commit to and

execute the signals that system gives you is the way of the seasoned

trader. Most seasoned traders won't admit it. Why? Yum, yum!

 

 

 

My best,

 

Norman Hallett

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

i love this post so much specially like me as a new trader. gives me an idea how to build my own strategy when it comes to forex trade.i would'nt say that im an expert moreover im a new beginner in forex still dont know how to start.thats why i used this forums to read and understand about experience of traders who is very expert in this field..yes you are ryt mr. norman. to become a good trader you must have a mental discipline to be a good trader..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

it is not fair at all that you beat me to it....

 

to say what you said.... in your exposition....

 

love it..... clear and concise and summative as well.

 

thx, enjoy reading it and reflecting

 

best to you and yours and your company

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Good post

 

I've been reading Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas which explores the psychological/mental attitude and discipline that is a MUST to be a successful and consistent trader...so far it's a good read

 

Being new to trading, no matter what blog/post/thread/newsletter/trading system/publication I've read the running theme seems to be:

Discipline

Risk rules

Eliminate emotions

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The fact is, the beginner who's

done his/her homework before trading is (largely) using the same

indicators and techniques that the successful trader is using.

 

Maybe. I wouldn't doubt it. Although I'm guessing that there are plenty of traders using some kind of proprietary code to assist them in their trading.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This is the kind of article that results when the writer has 22 years experience in the markets but has merely repeated the first year 22 times.

 

Does he actually believe that new traders with their piker lot sizes make any difference in the market such that an expert is licking his chops at the prospect of taking their lunch money?

 

Where does he think the vast majority of an expert's profits comes from? Evidently he is unaware that the participants who matter in markets do not operate with the same motivation as expert traders.

 

The article contains other inanities too obvious to mention. Yet look at the inexperienced parrots squawk in and repeat the writer's references to "discipline" and blah blah blah. What they lose tomorrow in the markets is a rain drop in the pacific ocean.

 

At least the reply immediately above this one questions the writer's absurd statement that beginners are using the same techniques as experienced traders. Who but a beginner would actually believe this?

 

What is the prospect that the writer of the article will get a clue and not repeat his first year of trading for the 23rd time next year? Not good.

Edited by gosu

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you're a new trader, you've got to pay your dues. Seasoned

traders know this and that's why we love you so much. Look at

your charts, mimic the experts, and buy those expensive

trade-recommendation newsletters. Dream your dreams. But

PLEASE just keep trading, because as you trade, we'll be

on the other side, putting your cash into our pockets.

 

I'm not kidding.

 

So the thing is, you don't want to stay a “new trader” for long.

What is a “new trader”? A new trader, the way I refer to it here,

is either someone who has just begun trading and has yet to make

the mistakes of a beginner, OR someone who keep making the

beginner's mistakes over and over again and never learns.

 

Most traders that I've come across over my 22 years as a trader

and CTA(3 years as a “new trader” and 19 years as a “seasoned

trader”) never got out of the “new trader” category. It's hard

to transcend. To some, it's impossible and they wind up walking

away blaming the “volatility” or the “institutional traders” for

their failure.

 

OK, here's the key to taking the leap from newbee to successful

trader: Your mental discipline. The fact is, the beginner who's

done his/her homework before trading is (largely) using the same

indicators and techniques that the successful trader is using. The

difference is that the successful trader is in control. The “new

trader” is not. The beginner is controlled by emotions and fears

and has not learned… I mean REALLY learned… that trading

the market is a math game. It's an exercise in probability and

statistics and you must keep the odds on your side, even if,

from time to time, it hurts.

 

If you've back-tested your system properly… if you've followed

your guru's past recommendations carefully… and you're ready

to start trading…then you have one job and that is to follow your

system like the IceMan. If, over your chosen period of time, the

system is not working, then change the system. Never change

your commitment to following your system to the letter once

you've decided to trade it.

 

All this is MUCH easier said than done. Fears and emotions can

easily overtake you. We're humans, not machines. You must

TRAIN your mind to be disciplined. That's what seasoned traders

do. They train their minds because they know that habit patterns

are simply neuro-pathways that are etched into your brain and

when one identifies a poor trading habit (and you know who you

are) all that needs be done is to train your mind to create a new

neuro-pathway to replace the old one. It's science, man, just

science.

 

Good trading system and the mental strength to commit to and

execute the signals that system gives you is the way of the seasoned

trader. Most seasoned traders won't admit it. Why? Yum, yum!

 

 

 

My best,

 

Norman Hallett

 

You categorize yourself as a seasoned trader. What is your annual return on capital from trading?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here’s my take for what it’s worth.

I think the main point of the article is correct (Mental discipline is required to be successful). That's true for any professional in any profession. However, he’s missing the main point of what it takes to control your emotions. What he doesn’t say is mental discipline is easy if you have REAL confidence in your strategy, impossible if you don’t. The difference between a new trader and a seasoned professional is trust in a proven strategy that THEY have experienced first hand many, many times. They can execute their strategy with confidence because they know it intimately, they know when conditions require adjustment and how to adjust it accordingly. They own it emotionally, it doesn’t own them. :crap:

 

I believe confidence and emotions are directly related to experience, knowledge and proof, NOT THEORY, Proof. I’ve found emotions when trading ALWAYS fall into these three categories

1. Those that don't know and don't know they don't know. - They have no emotions because they have yet to feel the pain of failure or the satisfaction of success. This position will soon change to #2

2. Those that don't know and now know they don't know - They have fear because they now know the pain of failure and have little idea of how to achieve and ensure success. This can only change to #3 through education and positive, repetitive outcomes.

3. Those that know and know they know. - They know the way to success, have experienced it and are confident they can achieve it again because they know how they obtained it. This only comes through knowledge and solid proof gained by experience.

 

As my college professor used to say "Don't show up for the test if your homework's not done. Then you won't have to worry about passing!!" Knowing the answers = knowing the results of taking the test.

 

Knowledge, a realistic strategy based on through testing in REAL TIME, and proven success over time are they ONLY things that build real confidence!

 

When you’ve placed as many trades as Tiger Woods has swung a golf club you’ll be as confident in wining as a trader as Tiger is in wining a golf tournament. Most traders give up LONG before that!

 

As for the feeding part, I'd have to agree with Gosu "What they lose tomorrow in the markets is a rain drop in the pacific ocean"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Seems like discipline is a keyword for this discussion. As a newbie, discipline is one thing you need and the belief in your financial goals to keep you going. Especially when you have hit 10 losses in a row. To go back and study your methods, refine them is not easy without a discipline.

 

As for me, belief, confidence,etc are the catalysts that you need to keep your technical aptitude for trading intact.

 

May be guru's here can say as to how do they manage 10 losses in a row? Mentally i mean.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.