Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

nhallett

You've Got a Great Trading System. So Why Are You Losing?

Recommended Posts

You've done your homework. Countless hours of

seeking out the right guru (or piecing together

your own system). Weeks of monitoring your

guru's daily trade picks (or paper-trading and

back-testing your homemade system). You've done

it by the book. No seat of the pants trading

for you!

 

OK, now you're confident. It's time to put your

money where your homework is.

 

You've had your coffee and your first trade

signal is before you. Confidence high. Trade made.

First loss. Not a problem. You understood before

you started that successful traders both win and

lose and “losing is part of the overall winning”.

 

You've also heard more then once that “successful

traders don't win on every trade.” Moving on,

still confident. Next trade made. Another loss,

but this one hurt your pride a little because

you got stopped out early in the trade, and then

the market rebounded and would have hit your

profit target if you weren't stopped out.

 

You double check. Yep, you placed the stop where your

trading system told you to place it. You kind of

had a feeling that the early weakness in the market

was just profit-taking from the previous day's

trading, but you're trading a system and you must

stick to it. Wounded, but resilient.

 

After a good night's sleep and a few mouse clicks,

your new daily trades are in front of you. Hey,

this one looks good! It's a little bit more risk

than yesterday's trades had, but look at that profit

potential! With a smiling face, the trade is executed.

 

With a nice start to the trade, you're feeling good

and you've moved your stop to breakeven, just like

your system said. Surprise piece of news - market

reverses - blows through your stop - an “unexpected”

loss. Is something wrong with the system? Has the

overall market “personality” changed, affecting your

system to the Core, rendering all your back-testing

irrelevant? Your confidence turns to doubt.

 

You decide to “watch” the next trade… I mean, isn't

it wise to make sure the system gets back on track

before you “throw good money after bad?” Isn't that

what a conservative trader does? Trade watched.

It wins!

 

In your head, you beat yourself up a little because

you know that when you started your “live” trading,

you made an agreement with yourself to take the

first 10 trades “no matter what”… and here you

wimped-out and missed a big winner that would have

gotten you even.

 

What's happening?!!

 

What's happening is that you are out of control.

Your emotions are ruling your trading. The above

scenario plays out in every trader from time to

time.. newbee and veteran alike.

 

The winning trader senses what is happening and

nips it in the bud. The winning trader spend time

EVERY DAY, working on “the discipline of trading”.

Reads a chapter in his favorite psychological

trading book, scans the “ten commandments of

trading” that hangs on the wall over his/her desk,

listens to his/her mental training software for

futures traders… Something… Every Day… before

trading begins.

 

There are many more losing traders than winning

traders… and it's seldom about the trading system.

In my career, I've come across at least 50 systems

that I consider A+, yet I know for a fact that MOST

traders that have traded on these systems have lost.

Why? They were not in control of their emotions.

 

Are you?

 

 

My best,

 

Norman Hallett

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Spot on Norman, I've found that becoming a consistently profitable trader is so much more about your ability to detach yourself from the money and the emotions to trade 100% objectively, as apposed to focusing on the system. Great post.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Norm, let's have a chat about Quantum Mechanics and Masaru Emoto.
Jack - I had never heard of Masaru Emoto until now - thank you.

 

After Googling and reading, I was amazed at the similarity between his ethereal and unsubstantiated theories and those of the trading support group known as trading psychologists.

 

I won't write one of my famous long essays on this topic at this time.

 

But I would simply like to ask a couple of rhetorical questions to psychologists and those who purport to belong to the erudite "Traders Support Fraternity":

 

1) Where are the successful students with their testimonials ... real ones?

2) Where are the students' yachts?

 

Kind regards, and tirelessly in pursuit truth,

 

Ingot

 

PS - It might be that Psychologists belong in a group with Dermatologists.

 

Their clients' conditions:

1) Never get better;

2) Never get worse:

3) Never ring up in the middle of the night;

4) Always remain in need of therapy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • $TNDM Tandem Diabetes stock top of range breakout watch above 36.19, https://stockconsultant.com/?TNDM
    • $PTN Palatin Technologies stock back to 1.74 support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?PTN
    • $CHWY Chewy stock breakdown watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?CHWY
    • $COF Capital One stock right at the top of the range, breakout watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?COF
    • Date: 25th April 2024. Investors Monitor a Potential Japanese Intervention, and upcoming Tech Earnings. Meta stocks top earnings expectations, but revenue guidance for the next 6 months triggers significant selloff. Meta stocks decline 15.00% and the Magnificent Seven also trade lower. Japanese Authorities are on watch and most market experts predict the Japanese Federal Government will intervene once again. The Japanese Yen is the day’s worst performing currency while the Australian Dollar continues to top the charts. The US Dollar trades 0.10% lower, but this afternoon’s performance is likely to be dependent on the US GDP. USA100 – Meta Stocks Fall 15% On the Next 6-Months Guidance The NASDAQ has declined 1.51% over the past 24 hours, unable to maintain momentum from Monday and Tuesday. Technical analysts advise the decline is partially simply a break in the bullish momentum and the asset continues to follow a bullish correction pattern. However, if the decline continues throughout the day, the retracement scenario becomes a lesser possibility. In terms of indications and technical analysis, most oscillators, and momentum-based signals point to a downward price movement. The USA100 trades below the 75-Bar EMA, below the VWAP and the RSI hovers above 40.00. All these factors point towards a bearish trend. The bearish signals are also likely to strengthen if the price declines below $17,295.11. The stock which is experiencing considerably large volatility is Meta which has fallen more than 15.00%. The past quarter’s earnings beat expectations and according to economists, remain stable and strong. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.10% and revenue was as expected. However, company expenses significantly rose in the past quarter and the guidance for the second half of the year is lower than previous expectations. These two factors have caused investors to consider selling their shares and cashing in their profits. Meta’s decline is one of the main causes for the USA100’s bearish trend. CFRA Senior Analyst, Angelo Zino, advises the selloff may be a slight over reaction based on earnings data. If Meta stocks rise again, investors can start to evaluate a possible upward correction. However, a concern for investors is that more and more companies are indicating caution for the second half of the year. The price movements will largely now depend on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings tonight after market close. Microsoft is the most influential stock for the NASDAQ and Alphabet is the third. The two make up 14.25% of the overall index. If the two companies also witness their stocks decline after the earnings reports, the USA100 may struggle to gain upward momentum. EURJPY – Will Japan Intervene Again? In the currency market, the Japanese Yen remains within the spotlight as investors believe the Japanese Federal Government is likely to again intervene. The Federal Government has previously intervened in the past 12 months which caused a sharp rise in the Yen before again declining. The government opted for this option in an attempt to hinder a further decline. Volatility within the Japanese Yen will also depend on today’s US GDP reading and tomorrow’s Core PCE Price Index. However, investors will more importantly pay close attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Investors will be keen to see if the central bank believes it is appropriate to again hike in 2024 as well as comment regarding inflation and the economy. In terms of technical analysis, breakout levels can be considered as areas where the exchange rate may retrace or correct. Breakout levels can be seen at 166.656 and 166.333. However, the only indicators pointing to a decline are the RSI and similar oscillators which advise the price is at risk of being “overbought”. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.