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mslk

Monthly Option Trade Log

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i'm newbie when it comes to active\day\swing\trend-trading but i've been trading options (primarily for income) for a little bit. i'm starting this thread to share some of my option trades and to record how i'm doing on them. hopefully this will help me cover the cost of learning how to day-trade! :haha:

 

most of my trades are *selling* put options on big safe companies with dividends, with the intent the option expires worthless and i collect the premium. if it doesn't expire then i get to buy the stock at a discount.

 

Disclaimer: i am not an investment professional and this is NOT investment advice!

 

first trade abbott labs (ABT)

- sell, to open, abbott labs (ABT) august $50 puts for at least $0.9.

- if options expire worthless, i get 9% return on my 20% margin requirement for 2 months work

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $50, and taking into account the $0.9 premium, i'm buying the stock at 4.7% discount

- ABT pays a 3.7% dividend, has a strong balance sheet, and is a large diversified health care company just ready for the onslaught of baby-boomers

 

-mslk

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...

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $50, and taking into account the $0.9 premium, i'm buying the stock at 4.7% discount...

 

Unless the stock declines to $45, and it is put to you at $50 - then you will be paying an 9.1% premium, and that doesn't take into account commissions and fees.

 

Its a matter of perspective.

 

Good luck with your trading.

 

-optiontimer

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- if options expire worthless, i get 9% return on my 20% margin requirement for 2 months work

 

adding to optiontimers IMHO perfect analysis is that, you will get a

 

90 cents/5000 cents = 1.8% return for 2 months (still not too bad)

 

This is because your actual exposure is $50.

While this is a conservative view, it will also accurately reflects reality if things go bad.

 

(while not anti selling options, it never really features in my trading but often people underestimate the risks of selling them, verses the perceived returns)

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Unless the stock declines to $45, and it is put to you at $50 - then you will be paying an 9.1% premium, and that doesn't take into account commissions and fees.

 

Its a matter of perspective.

 

Good luck with your trading.

 

-optiontimer

 

There is always the option of buying back the put if the stock go against him.

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There is always the option of buying back the put if the stock go against him.

 

Of course, but he sold it for $0.90, which means he collected $90 less commissions and fees.

 

If the stock declines to $49, how much will it cost him to buy it back? Even on opex he'll pay a dime above intrinsic, plus commission and fees, or $110 + costs.

 

How much will he pay if the stock is at $48? $45? $30?

 

The risk, even on a "safe" company like ABT, is very real. ABT traded as high as $57.36 the week ending 2/13/09. During the week ending 3/13/09, ABT traded as low as $44.10. Had he sold the April $55 for $0.90, he'd have either been buying the stock for $55 while it was $11 lower at the market, or he'd have bought back his $90 put for a cool $1100. That's risk!

 

I know one trader who had sold AMSC April 22.50 puts for $1.25, and with two weeks to expiration the stock closed just below $25. The next day it opened at $13. He hoped the sell-off was over done, and by the time the margin clerk came a calling, he was forced to close them at $11. So he sold them and "collected" $125 less commissions and fees. He bought them back paying $1100, plus commissions and fees. The stock is now $8.62.

 

As SIUYA said, when it comes to being short options, "often people underestimate the risks of selling them."

 

I wish him good luck with his trading, but I think he could benefit from another perspective.

 

-OT

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the other problem with buying back the put is that often if the stock is in a bit of trouble volatility goes up and liquidity can dry up in the market (depends on the stock). The other rule which must be adhered if adopting a short volatility strategy is always buy the options back when they are a few cents - who cares if they are theoretically worth zero, you did not sell them because of their theoretical values.....buy them back when you have made most of the money. It will only take one day to wipe out lots of gains.

 

Selling options IS a valid strategy - but you need to know the risks and what your real exposure is.....additionally it generally helps to approach it in a portfolio insurance company like manner, knowing that the ''law'' of large numbers (if there really is such a thing :) ) then works partially in your favour.

 

Think about this, and many people dont, or when they do it makes them think more about the risk retruns - the most you will make when selling options (or most things) is the price you sell it for. There is no possibility to compound returns from the original trade.

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I was suggesting buying back the put as a risk management technique opposed to letting the option expire and being assigned - that was the only point I was trying to make. Depending on the critera used to exit he could/would still lose money buying it back; but not nearly as much as being assigned a dropping stock.

 

I'm not trying to argue the points being made, I think all the things mentioned are valid in this case; however, they are also valid is most cases: underlying instrument moves against you, gapping down hard overnight, profit rapidly eroding, etc. Ultimately, I think we are saying the same thing - know your risk before entering the trade and have an exit strategy in case things turn against you.

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adding to optiontimers IMHO perfect analysis is that, you will get a

 

90 cents/5000 cents = 1.8% return for 2 months (still not too bad)

 

This is because your actual exposure is $50.

While this is a conservative view, it will also accurately reflects reality if things go bad.

 

(while not anti selling options, it never really features in my trading but often people underestimate the risks of selling them, verses the perceived returns)

 

optiontimer\siuya - thanks for the feedback, yes i haven't discussed the risk of this trade, or more importantly i haven't defined the exit. the risk mitigation i've taken is based on fundamentals of the company. essentially, i only sell these options for companies i *would* buy and i am long-term bullish on. if i do get put the shares i will start to sell covered calls on the shares to generate more income, and i also get to collect the dividends. so you won't see me doing this for linkedin or salesform.com :)

 

and even though the mathematical exposure is $50, the *probably* exposure is not as ABT is not going to $0 anytime soon.

 

but you've given me some good things to think about with regards to the exit. maybe i need to set a target where i buy back the puts or buy a put somewhere below $50?

 

-mslk

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The other rule which must be adhered if adopting a short volatility strategy is always buy the options back when they are a few cents - who cares if they are theoretically worth zero, you did not sell them because of their theoretical values.....buy them back when you have made most of the money. It will only take one day to wipe out lots of gains.

 

thanks for this nugget suiya! makes complete sense and i will start doing this :thumbs up:

-mslk

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update exelon (EXC)

- in april i sold june $41 puts for $0.7 and they expired worthless last week

- booked a 8% gain on the $8.2 margin

 

second trade exelon (EXC)

- sell, to open, exelon (EXC) august $41 puts for at least $0.9, stock is at $42

- if options expire worthless, i get 11% return on my 20% margin requirement of $8.2 for 2 months work

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $41, and taking into account the $0.9 premium, i'm buying the stock at 4.5% discount

- EXC pays a 5.1% dividend and is one of the best utility\energy stocks on the market. if i am put the stock i will sell covered calls to improve the returns

 

-mslk

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... the risk mitigation i've taken is based on fundamentals of the company...

 

In options trading time, and timing, is everything, and fundamentals have little to nothing to do with it.

 

I understand what you are trying to do, and I hope you do well with your strategy. I still do not believe that you appreciate the reward to risk ratio with which you are playing.

 

I look forward to following your journal, and I again, I do hope that you do very, very well.

 

-optiontimer

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I was suggesting buying back the put as a risk management technique opposed to letting the option expire and being assigned - that was the only point I was trying to make. Depending on the critera used to exit he could/would still lose money buying it back; but not nearly as much as being assigned a dropping stock

 

The opinion of buying back as a risk management technique is valid, but in other hand

the fact that the breakeven point is the strike price minus the premiun collected is often not fully appreciate, at time of assigment . SO lets says if you had a credit of $1000.00 and you buy back TO CLOSE A short OPEN POSITION , you have to give back the credit to pay for the increase in price of the option .plus the spread BID_ASK , plus commision ..while if assigned you keep the premium and buy the underlying at strike price and sell at actual current price. ( Hopefully with a lost of less than $1000)

If you do the math , especially in OTM options , and based on that math you sell short

same number of shares , before being assigned , then you are ahead beign assigned ..as opposed to buying to close The drawback is that is needed a relatively large account or margin to sell short .

 

Did I explained myself well or my terrible syntax is bearish. ::confused:

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[HIGHLIGHT YELLOW]

Did I explained myself well or my terrible syntax is bearish. ::confused:

 

yes thanks for the note, i need an excel sheet to figure all of this out before executing a trade!

-mslk

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What all that means is ...that if you have a large enough account , or margin .

AND you feel that your sold option is gettting close to be in the money , is better to cover it and let it be assigned , rather than closing it buying back

 

Doing so you keep the original credit , and no slippage loss (BID-ask) , no commision

Then you close the position that is against you at no loss .

 

:doh:...

 

Moderated Message:
I have not seen this discussed in details in any book so far or in any forum .

and mostly the prevailing concept is buy it back to close, don't be assigned ....in my opinion is not the best way .....but would like discuss it further for reassurance

as it can be very productive money management issue to prevent disater

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New Trades - July 25, 2011

 

johnson & johnson (JNJ)

- sell, to open, jnj (JNJ) sept $65 puts for at least $0.87, stock is ~ $66

- if options expire worthless, i get 6.7% return on my margin in two months ($0.87 / (20% of $65 strike) == 6.7%)

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $65, and taking into account the $0.87 premium, i'm buying the stock at 3.7% discount

 

medtronic (MDT)

- sell, to open, medtronic (MDT) sept $35 puts for at least $0.6, stock is ~ $37

- if options expire worthless, i get 8.6% return on my margin in two months ($0.6 / (20% of $35 strike) == 8.6%)

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $35, and taking into account the $0.6 premium, i'm buying the stock at 6.9% discount

 

microsoft (MSFT)

- sell, to open, microsoft (MSFT) sept $26 puts for at least $0.46, stock is ~ $27

- if options expire worthless, i get 7.4% return on my margin in two months ($0.46 / (20% of $26 strike) == 7.4%)

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $26, and taking into account the $0.46 premium, i'm buying the stock at 5.9% discount

 

will update trades from last week's expiration shortly ...

 

-mslk

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New Trades - July 25, 2011

 

johnson & johnson (JNJ)

- sell, to open, jnj (JNJ) sept $65 puts for at least $0.87, stock is ~ $66... if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $65, and taking into account the $0.87 premium, i'm buying the stock at 3.7% discount

 

Stock is now $61.12, so you paid a 4.7% premium based upon your cost basis, exclusive of of commissions and fees.

 

medtronic (MDT)

- sell, to open, medtronic (MDT) sept $35 puts for at least $0.6, stock is ~ $37... if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $35, and taking into account the $0.6 premium, i'm buying the stock at 6.9% discount

 

Stock is now $31.07, so you paid a 9.7% premium based upon your cost basis, exclusive of of commissions and fees.

 

microsoft (MSFT)

- sell, to open, microsoft (MSFT) sept $26 puts for at least $0.46, stock is ~ $27... if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $26, and taking into account the $0.46 premium, i'm buying the stock at 5.9% discount

 

Stock is now $24.48, so you paid a 4.1% premium based upon your cost basis, exclusive of of commissions and fees.

 

This is the type of risk I was warning of earlier in your thread, when you seemed only to focus upon your potential ability to buy stock "at a discount." It is a discount until the stock continues to decline, now it is a premium that you paid.

 

Unless the stock declines ... and it is put to you ... then you will be paying a ...premium, and that doesn't take into account commissions and fees.

 

Its a matter of perspective....

 

-optiontimer

 

That discount you thought you were getting turns into a premium very quickly. As SIUYA cautioned earlier in this thread, when it scomes to selling options,

 

... often people underestimate the risks of selling them, verses the perceived return

 

And, if I may, here is another lesson worth jotting down in your notebook.

 

In options trading, time and timing, is everything...

 

I do wish you well with your trading, and I hope other would-be options traders do not follow your present path.

 

Options should be used to magnify gains and limit losses. You have it backwards.

 

-optiontimer

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thanks for the feedback. this market has definetely turned some of these trades in the wrong direction! but i just have to wait it out and see how they are closer to expiry in sept.

- mslk

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i'm newbie when it comes to active\day\swing\trend-trading but i've been trading options (primarily for income) for a little bit. i'm starting this thread to share some of my option trades and to record how i'm doing on them. hopefully this will help me cover the cost of learning how to day-trade! :haha:

 

most of my trades are *selling* put options on big safe companies with dividends, with the intent the option expires worthless and i collect the premium. if it doesn't expire then i get to buy the stock at a discount.

 

Disclaimer: i am not an investment professional and this is NOT investment advice!

 

first trade abbott labs (ABT)

- sell, to open, abbott labs (ABT) august $50 puts for at least $0.9.

- if options expire worthless, i get 9% return on my 20% margin requirement for 2 months work

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $50, and taking into account the $0.9 premium, i'm buying the stock at 4.7% discount

- ABT pays a 3.7% dividend, has a strong balance sheet, and is a large diversified health care company just ready for the onslaught of baby-boomers

 

-mslk

 

On the day before expiry, I bought the option back at $0.68 for a profit of $0.22 for a return of 2.2%. The S&P downgrade really messed up some of my trades. happy this was still profitable.

 

-mslk

Edited by mslk

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update exelon (EXC)

- in april i sold june $41 puts for $0.7 and they expired worthless last week

- booked a 8% gain on the $8.2 margin

 

second trade exelon (EXC)

- sell, to open, exelon (EXC) august $41 puts for at least $0.9, stock is at $42

- if options expire worthless, i get 11% return on my 20% margin requirement of $8.2 for 2 months work

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $41, and taking into account the $0.9 premium, i'm buying the stock at 4.5% discount

- EXC pays a 5.1% dividend and is one of the best utility\energy stocks on the market. if i am put the stock i will sell covered calls to improve the returns

 

-mslk

 

better result on this trade, closed a day early (thanks SUIYA for the rec! :)). bought back at $0.05 for a profit of $0.85 - a 10.4% return on the original margin. EXC is a good stock for this strategy because of its price range is relatively tight.

 

-mslk

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better result on this trade, closed a day early (thanks SUIYA for the rec! :)). bought back at $0.05 for a profit of $0.85 - a 10.4% return on the original margin. EXC is a good stock for this strategy because of its price range is relatively tight.

 

-mslk

 

time go back to the well on (EXC)

- sell, to open, exelon (EXC) october $41 puts for at least $1.1, stock is at $42

- if options expire worthless, i get 13.4% return

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $41, and taking into account the $1.1 premium, i'm buying the stock at 5% discount

 

-mslk

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Stock is now $61.12, so you paid a 4.7% premium based upon your cost basis, exclusive of of commissions and fees.

 

stock back up to $64+ and trade almost back in the black

 

Stock is now $31.07, so you paid a 9.7% premium based upon your cost basis, exclusive of of commissions and fees.

 

stock back up to $34+ and trade almost back in the black

 

Stock is now $24.48, so you paid a 4.1% premium based upon your cost basis, exclusive of of commissions and fees.

 

stock back up to $25+ and trade almost back in the black

 

This is the type of risk I was warning of earlier in your thread, when you seemed only to focus upon your potential ability to buy stock "at a discount." It is a discount until the stock continues to decline, now it is a premium that you paid.

 

yup there is risk with every trade and yes it sucks buying stock at a premium! thankfully i haven't had to yet.

 

Options should be used to magnify gains and limit losses. You have it backwards.

 

agreed that is one way of using options, but its not the only way.

 

- mslk

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sorry for the late update but happy to show most sept trades went well. please see below ...

 

New Trades - July 25, 2011

 

johnson & johnson (JNJ)

- sell, to open, jnj (JNJ) sept $65 puts for at least $0.87, stock is ~ $66

- if options expire worthless, i get 6.7% return on my margin in two months ($0.87 / (20% of $65 strike) == 6.7%)

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $65, and taking into account the $0.87 premium, i'm buying the stock at 3.7% discount

 

shares assigned to me at $65, collected premium of $0.87, shared now at $64.18. So i'm about break even on this trade.

 

sold nov $65 calls for $1.66. if it goes back up to $65 and foreced to sell, i'll be profiting both my original $0.87 + my new $1.66 calls. if JNJ hangs around where it is at, i will continue to sell calls against it. this is the power of trading options against *strong* companies like JNJ

 

 

medtronic (MDT)

- sell, to open, medtronic (MDT) sept $35 puts for at least $0.6, stock is ~ $37

- if options expire worthless, i get 8.6% return on my margin in two months ($0.6 / (20% of $35 strike) == 8.6%)

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $35, and taking into account the $0.6 premium, i'm buying the stock at 6.9% discount

 

expired and collected entire premium

 

microsoft (MSFT)

- sell, to open, microsoft (MSFT) sept $26 puts for at least $0.46, stock is ~ $27

- if options expire worthless, i get 7.4% return on my margin in two months ($0.46 / (20% of $26 strike) == 7.4%)

- if it i'm obligated to buy the stock at $26, and taking into account the $0.46 premium, i'm buying the stock at 5.9% discount

 

expired and collected entire premium

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new trades - sept 2011

 

MSFT

- sell, to open, nov $24 puts for at $1.03, stock is ~ $25

- if options expire worthless, i get 21.4% return on my margin in two months ($1.03 / (20% of $24 strike) == 21.4%)

 

MDT

- sell, to open, nov $32 puts for at $1.5, stock is ~ $33.5

- if options expire worthless, i get 23.4% return on my margin in two months ($1.5 / (20% of $32 strike) == 23.4%)

 

**these trades are working out WELL ... why buy stocks when you can make 20% on your margin requirements every 2 months?!

 

-mslk

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new trades - oct 2011

 

XOM

- sell, to open, jan $65 puts for at $2.45, stock is ~ $73.5

- if options expire worthless, i get 18.8% return on my margin in three months ($12.45 / (20% of $65 strike) == 18.8%)

- XOM would have to drop from $73.5 all the way to $62.5 before I'm losing this trade. most recent time XOM was that low was back in oct 2010.

 

MCD

- sell, to open, jan $72.5 puts for at $1.13, stock is ~ $87

- if options expire worthless, i get 7.8% return on my margin in three months ($1.13 / (20% of $72.5 strike) == 7.8%)

- MCD would have to drop from $87 all the way to $71.5 before I'm losing this trade. most recent time MCD was that low was back in aug 2010.

 

KO

- sell, to open, nov $65 puts for at $1.29, stock is ~ $67

- if options expire worthless, i get 9.9% return on my margin in *one* months ($1.29 / (20% of $65 strike) == 9.9%)

 

 

and all of these trades, i would be *happy* to purchase these shares at the strike prices ... so the strategy is simple, collect put premiums until you can buy your shares at fire-sale prices

 

- mslk

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    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
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