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Tradewinds

How I Would Charge for a Trading Course/system

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There is no first, second third place in trading.....there is profit and loss.

 

Yes, so true. I don't need to be in first place, or even in 50th place. As long as I'm making more money than I could in the working world, then I'm doing just fine. That is an attitude that I need to work on.

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Yes, so true. I don't need to be in first place, or even in 50th place. As long as I'm making more money than I could in the working world, then I'm doing just fine. That is an attitude that I need to work on.

 

One of the things a lot of new traders miss, is that often they are underfunded and would be better off working, and giving their money to those that trade for a living..... assuming you get someone not in the 95% of unprofitable traders.

Often they dont do the very straightforward maths and work out that to make more trading than working they either need to return 100s % or take excessive risks to get a satisfactory absolute return on their trades.

not likely to end in a happy story.....which is probably why a lot end up selling systems.

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If I were going to sell a trading system, or have someone pay me for a trading course, I would make them a guarantee. I would guarantee that they will make money in simulated trading within a certain time period, or I will give them 110% of their money back. That is the way I would do business. And I wouldn't charge them much up front. If I could teach someone to make money trading, then they would have plenty of money to pay me later. If I can't teach someone to make money trading, then I shouldn't be getting anything.

 

I agree with a few others here, give 20 people the same method and they will all get differing results.

 

I am not sure what motivates people to operate huge live trading room environments it just seems to negate the reasons I got into trading in the first place, the freedom to work anywhere you want anytime you want.

 

Teaching others to trade your methods can be quite difficult. I have taught quite a few people to trade now, I really enjoy doing it and I am amazed how it helps improve my own trading, my own mentor noticed this too.

 

Over the years I have developed my methods to be as mechanical, unambiguous and therefore as teachable as possible, naked charts make life easier as well. I realised a solid set of rules goes a long way to taking care of the psycholgical aspects of fear and greed too.

 

Now I coach a few people at a time via skype or whatever, it suits me perfectly. They pay a one off fee and the only guarantee they get is that my system works can be proved to have worked on data going back 30 years. They can adapt it to any timeframe they wish and virtually any heavily traded currency or index they choose.

 

 

Hopefully a good understanding of pure price action and how the markets work will enable us to adapt quickly should anything change in the future as well.

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One of the things a lot of new traders miss, is that often they are underfunded and would be better off working, and giving their money to those that trade for a living..... assuming you get someone not in the 95% of unprofitable traders.

Often they dont do the very straightforward maths and work out that to make more trading than working they either need to return 100s % or take excessive risks to get a satisfactory absolute return on their trades.

not likely to end in a happy story.....which is probably why a lot end up selling systems.

 

The 95% number has no basis. I think that it's a number put out by brokerage houses to be on the safe side. They probably tested stats from 70% to 99% and realized that they would open as many accounts if they said 95% as they would if they said 70%, but the number of accounts opened would taper off if they went above 95%. So, now if someone loses and complains they can say that you were warned that 95% lose money.

 

In agreement with you, I think the #1 reason for failure is that traders are under capitalized. So, they may be making money (not failing) and realize that the return is just not enough and because of financial obligations decide to do other things, or they may be trading a decent system but with too much risk and the draw down swallows their account and they simply have no other funds to add to the account and they stop trading. In a sense, the later group was unlucky.

 

Also, a lot of traders are trying to trade a system that they simply cannot win. It is amazing. As an example, scalping is a dead art for the small trader. As a pit trader, you could, or still may, be able to make money if you are skilled enough. In the pit, it is possible to buy at the bid and sell at the ask or even to buy at the bid and sell at the bid if you have to. This gave the scalper a theoretical advantage and yes, you could make money a tick at a time. This is not as possible in the electronic markets. In most cases you will end up paying the spread to exit. So, on a tightly traded contract, say ES, and risking a tick to make a tick, the market has to go up two ticks to make a tick and down only 1 tick to lose a tick. A one tick spread and commissions guarantees that you lose in the long run if you are trying to take 1 tick and requires you to have a system where you are correct 80% of the time to make 50 cents per contract traded if you try to take 2 ticks.

 

So with all the different mind sets that enter the market it is very difficult to determine what the true long term success or failure rate is. A good idea would be for someone to conduct some sort of trading exit poll.

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I agree with a few others here, give 20 people the same method and they will all get differing results.

 

I am not sure what motivates people to operate huge live trading room environments it just seems to negate the reasons I got into trading in the first place, the freedom to work anywhere you want anytime you want.

 

Teaching others to trade your methods can be quite difficult. I have taught quite a few people to trade now, I really enjoy doing it and I am amazed how it helps improve my own trading, my own mentor noticed this too.

 

Over the years I have developed my methods to be as mechanical, unambiguous and therefore as teachable as possible, naked charts make life easier as well. I realised a solid set of rules goes a long way to taking care of the psycholgical aspects of fear and greed too.

 

Now I coach a few people at a time via skype or whatever, it suits me perfectly. They pay a one off fee and the only guarantee they get is that my system works can be proved to have worked on data going back 30 years. They can adapt it to any timeframe they wish and virtually any heavily traded currency or index they choose.

 

 

Hopefully a good understanding of pure price action and how the markets work will enable us to adapt quickly should anything change in the future as well.

 

I saw this movie. Didn't Harrison Ford star in it? Yeah, that was it. The special effects were great for the period. Maybe you should update your special effects too.

 

At this stage in my life my needs are slightly different than most. If I signed up for your service, would I be able to exchange the profits for eternal salvation? That would appeal to me. Please p.m. me if that is possible.

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Trading Is All About Discipline and Patience: It Cant Be Taught. It Cant Be Read In The Book. It Cant Be Bought.

 

I had made an effort to teach trading, and it was the worst headache ever. If I will ever do so in the future: it will be a very selective process. There is a reason, why it is diffcult to get in to Harvard. Accepting a bunch of clueless and naive into trading is a receipe for disaster, but is surely a great scam, which are plenty. Good trader does not need a headache of dealing with clueless: there is much more money made in trading, than teaching how to trade. Most so called Teachers on the net never made money trading, therefore they have to teach...sadly most are teaching only how to lose money.

 

If person is able to do anything that requires great dedication, such as: run marathon, quit smoking, stop drinking, become a yogi, practice meditation: there is hope. Just like all above: trading is doing the same thing each and every day : just like when you start yoga: you cant touch your toes, then one day bingo: You are a Pretzel..So Is Trading..

 

Ask yourself where do you fit in? Being hones may save you a whole a lot of money.

 

The way you do one thing in life is the way you do everything.

Life Is A Habit and So Is Trading: making it healthy or unhealthy is purely your choice.

Noone taught me how to trade: after being scammed many times over: I taught myself..just like all above.

Edited by laguna

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I saw this movie. Didn't Harrison Ford star in it? Yeah, that was it. The special effects were great for the period. Maybe you should update your special effects too.

 

At this stage in my life my needs are slightly different than most. If I signed up for your service, would I be able to exchange the profits for eternal salvation? That would appeal to me. Please p.m. me if that is possible.

 

Haha thanks,

 

I can see from reading some of you other posts you are a really clever and funny guy.

 

Great work.

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I saw this movie. Didn't Harrison Ford star in it? Yeah, that was it. The special effects were great for the period. Maybe you should update your special effects too.

 

At this stage in my life my needs are slightly different than most. If I signed up for your service, would I be able to exchange the profits for eternal salvation? That would appeal to me. Please p.m. me if that is possible.

 

You really upset me with this post, you know absolutely nothing about me yet you respond in a rude and ignorant way.

 

That sort of behaviour is why the world is such a messed up place.

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I agree with what you are saying about people going to these schools not becoming golf pros, win F1 races, or paint masterpieces. I suppose that a few people might go to a Tiger Woods school just for the experience, and to improve their golfing, not expecting to go pro. I doubt someone going through a trading course is doing it just so that they can loose money trading as a hobby for the fun of it.

 

So I guess the question is; what is the point of having training for golf, F1 racing, painting or trading if the vast majority of the students will fail? It seems that it is just a money making opportunity for the business owner at the expense of the students. It could be a way of finding talent, and giving people the opportunity, knowing that only a small percentage will succeed.

 

The point I am trying to make is that 100 people can receive the best training for any endeavour in life, and the majority will not go on to achieve the level of performance they would like, because they (as individuals) will not do what it takes.

 

Most business start-up owners fail - traders included.

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Trading Is All About Discipline and Patience: It Cant Be Taught. It Cant Be Read In The Book. It Cant Be Bought.

 

I had made an effort to teach trading, and it was the worst headache ever. If I will ever do so in the future: it will be a very selective process. There is a reason, why it is diffcult to get in to Harvard. Accepting a bunch of clueless and naive into trading is a receipe for disaster, but is surely a great scam, which are plenty. Good trader does not need a headache of dealing with clueless: there is much more money made in trading, than teaching how to trade. Most so called Teachers on the net never made money trading, therefore they have to teach...sadly most are teaching only how to lose money.

 

If person is able to do anything that requires great dedication, such as: run marathon, quit smoking, stop drinking, become a yogi, practice meditation: there is hope. Just like all above: trading is doing the same thing each and every day : just like when you start yoga: you cant touch your toes, then one day bingo: You are a Pretzel..So Is Trading..

 

Ask yourself where do you fit in? Being hones may save you a whole a lot of money.

 

The way you do one thing in life is the way you do everything.

Life Is A Habit and So Is Trading: making it healthy or unhealthy is purely your choice.

Noone taught me how to trade: after being scammed many times over: I taught myself..just like all above.

 

Nice post, I agree with most of what you say including, "trading cannot be taught" however people can be pointed in the right direction and they can be shown a method works time and time again. That alone can save years of heartache, give encouragement to persevere and help avoid possible failure by switching methods when the going gets tough.

 

Would you consider starting work at 6am and finishing at 12 midnight for weeks at a time, or starting work at 12 midnight after finishing just 5 hours earlier then working full on for 16 hours, six or seven days a week? Would you work a fulltime job that meant working nights and then running your own business during the day? Would you work 6 days a week including Saturdays and Sundays for years and years?

 

I have done this sort of stuff all my life, I am not educated, and I never knew my dad, all I know is hard work, but it got me everything I wanted in life.

 

Running a business and employing good staff is no different than vetting potential traders. I guess the real problem on forums like this is that most of the people on here couldn't survive five minutes without mummy and daddies money and a silver spoon education.

 

Crack on clever guys.

 

If anyone struggling to trade needs help or motivation PM me.

 

Sorry for the rant.

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You really upset me with this post, you know absolutely nothing about me yet you respond in a rude and ignorant way.

 

That sort of behaviour is why the world is such a messed up place.

 

You have a system that works in any timeframe and works on an heavily traded currency or index. I wasn't being rude or trying to upset you, I was just referring to it as it should be referred to: the Holy Grail. The ark of the covenant?

 

I always wondered at the end of "Indiana Jones" where that holy grail was taken to. Now I know.

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I have appreciated the many interesting and intriguing posts in this thread. My final thought - one that I repeat daily - is that I, and I alone, am responsible for my trading performance.

 

I have been a student at a trading school, a purchaser of books and information, and an attendee at conferences and trading events. I am grateful for all of these, but I can only hold MYSELF accountable for what I do with them, how I use them, and the results I achieve. None of the resources I purchased promised to make me successful as a trader (I bypassed the offers that made such promises), and I am skeptical of anyone who makes or implies such promises.

 

That's my long-winded way of saying that guarantees and payback schemes are, at best, a futile attempt to sidestep the placement of responsibility squarely where it belongs - on the trader's shoulders. Don't smoke "hopium" - develop discipline!

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I have appreciated the many interesting and intriguing posts in this thread. My final thought - one that I repeat daily - is that I, and I alone, am responsible for my trading performance.

 

I have been a student at a trading school, a purchaser of books and information, and an attendee at conferences and trading events. I am grateful for all of these, but I can only hold MYSELF accountable for what I do with them, how I use them, and the results I achieve. None of the resources I purchased promised to make me successful as a trader (I bypassed the offers that made such promises), and I am skeptical of anyone who makes or implies such promises.

 

That's my long-winded way of saying that guarantees and payback schemes are, at best, a futile attempt to sidestep the placement of responsibility squarely where it belongs - on the trader's shoulders. Don't smoke "hopium" - develop discipline!

 

Spot on! Whatever you read and whoever you listen to, it is you that pulls the trigger. No one else. Resources of any kind can help point you in the right direction and even enlighten you to some truths in trading. But unless you take full responsibility to make your knowledge work, the fact is you will be more than likely to fail.

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Running a business and employing good staff is no different than vetting potential traders. I guess the real problem on forums like this is that most of the people on here couldn't survive five minutes without mummy and daddies money and a silver spoon education.

 

Crack on clever guys.

 

If anyone struggling to trade needs help or motivation PM me.

 

Sorry for the rant.

 

two points....

 

1) at a guess most people here definitely dont have silver spoons.....I once did but mummy ran away with the milkman, but after your rant I am not sure I would PM you for help :)

 

2)....I have employed some people, very talented people in fact.....none of them made good traders, and I went through a thoughtful trading orientated vetting process.

I dont think you can tell who is going to be any good until they are sitting and trading. period.

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So in your experience Siuya, are there any specific traits which portend poor suitability for trading? I can certainly think of a few. I agree with you about whether someone ends up becoming a good trader tends to be less predictable at least on the metrics we would use to judge them prior to their training. But surely you wouldn't employ and train people on a random basis would you???

Edited by TheNegotiator

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two points....

 

1) at a guess most people here definitely dont have silver spoons.....I once did but mummy ran away with the milkman, but after your rant I am not sure I would PM you for help :)

 

2)....I have employed some people, very talented people in fact.....none of them made good traders, and I went through a thoughtful trading orientated vetting process.

I dont think you can tell who is going to be any good until they are sitting and trading. period.

 

Yep point taken, my apologies, the moral, don't respond to rudeness until I have counted to 100.

 

Ref point 2, I agree with that also but alot depends on how discrentionary the method is I think.

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Originally Posted by laguna

Trading Is All About Discipline and Patience: It Cant Be Taught. It Cant Be Read In The Book. It Cant Be Bought.

 

I never said " Trading Cant Be Taught: I said Discipline and Patience Cant Be Taught. Once that aquired: Skies Are The Limit.

 

Both: Discipline and Patience are required for any long lasting success in life: if its business, sport, hobby,

relationship...you name it..Lottery and incredible dumb luck may be the only exception. Working 20+ hrs in trading, including weekends..took me where I like to stay.for a while...Hope to go mich futher: still work 10-12 hr days, cause I Do Love Trading: That Is Something That Cant Be Taught Either.

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Hi, Laguna: I'm not sure I agree with you. I think that discipline and patience can be taught. Little kids aren't disciplined or patient but they learn (at least some of them do). Even adults can learn discipline and patience - look at what happens in the armed forces. As for most adults, if they have a good enough motivator, they can learn just about anything if they are given the right information.

 

As to loving trading, I think that people love different things about the experience of trading. I started out loving the "puzzle" aspect of trading. Some love the challenge, some love that they are in control of their time and effort, etc. If traders become successful, I think they love the rewards of trading. So, if you can teach trading successfully, maybe, in the end, you are teaching love of trading.

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So in your experience Siuya, are there any specific traits which portend poor suitability for trading?............................But surely you wouldn't employ and train people on a random basis would you???

 

This comes from my own experience and from discussion with others who have employed and fired more than me.

traits which on the surface would not help your success as a trader....these are things that you would find on a cv, or in an interview.....they are specific to shorter term trading. (my personal opinion only)

 

lots of finance/mathematical related degrees (unless you are looking for a programmer)

big picture people (they seem to forget that its often the little details that make all the difference in trading, these guys often think they dont need to cut losses)

People who make assumptions (too many preconceived ideas, that are not flexible enough)

People who dont have a passion for sitting down in a room and switching off whats going on around them. There are some people who still want to get involved in meetings, presentations etc; - stick to sales if this is the case.

People with too much hindsight. Its generally better to have someone who says - I dont know, or say I was wrong

 

While it seems next to impossible to really vet for some of this, if I got hints of these it did not seem to work. However, there is one extremely important turning point for a lot of these people that you just dont know, until they do or dont do it. You want to see them pull the trigger a few times, some people just cant - they want too much perfection, others are too eager to start gambling...there is that fine line of being happy and eager to pull the trigger but only when they need to..... such is trading.

 

In response to the second question......But surely you wouldn't employ and train people on a random basis would you???

I would not like to, nor think this is optimal, but I know of some guys who hired and fired a lot of market makers and short term frame traders, they all said that they learnt that it is a numbers game, the more people you hire and fire the better and the one thing they all said was that they should fire people quicker, the training is simple and after a simple vetting process it is not until they start trading can you tell....so I guess those with more experience than me in this field would answer yes - to a certain extent.

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This comes from my own experience and from discussion with others who have employed and fired more than me.

traits which on the surface would not help your success as a trader....these are things that you would find on a cv, or in an interview.....they are specific to shorter term trading. (my personal opinion only)

 

lots of finance/mathematical related degrees (unless you are looking for a programmer)

big picture people (they seem to forget that its often the little details that make all the difference in trading, these guys often think they dont need to cut losses)

People who make assumptions (too many preconceived ideas, that are not flexible enough)

People who dont have a passion for sitting down in a room and switching off whats going on around them. There are some people who still want to get involved in meetings, presentations etc; - stick to sales if this is the case.

People with too much hindsight. Its generally better to have someone who says - I dont know, or say I was wrong

 

While it seems next to impossible to really vet for some of this, if I got hints of these it did not seem to work. However, there is one extremely important turning point for a lot of these people that you just dont know, until they do or dont do it. You want to see them pull the trigger a few times, some people just cant - they want too much perfection, others are too eager to start gambling...there is that fine line of being happy and eager to pull the trigger but only when they need to..... such is trading.

 

In response to the second question......But surely you wouldn't employ and train people on a random basis would you???

I would not like to, nor think this is optimal, but I know of some guys who hired and fired a lot of market makers and short term frame traders, they all said that they learnt that it is a numbers game, the more people you hire and fire the better and the one thing they all said was that they should fire people quicker, the training is simple and after a simple vetting process it is not until they start trading can you tell....so I guess those with more experience than me in this field would answer yes - to a certain extent.

 

You need to hire engineers. They know how to figure out everything.

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You want to see them pull the trigger a few times, some people just cant - they want too much perfection, others are too eager to start gambling...there is that fine line of being happy and eager to pull the trigger but only when they need to..... such is trading.

 

This is the classic example of the two extremes of fear and impulsiveness. Both those extremes are bad. A trader needs to be impartial, not cold, . . . impartial. Also, calm and decisive. Traders trade their psychology. Whatever their psychology is, that is what they trade.

 

When it comes to a person's psychology, the assumption is, that you get what you get, and there is nothing you can do about it. When it comes to knowledge or technical ability, the assumptions are often different. Facts can be memorized; and practice and experience can increase proficiency. Good attitudes, hard work and motivation can increase productivity.

 

Many businesses send employees to courses like Dale Carnegie, or train people in business decision making models.

 

In trading, it is almost impossible to practice avoidance, or push problems to the back of the mind and not have that effect your performance. But this aspect of trading is often ignored.

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yep - just two of the classic issues trader have among many, and when you are hiring people you cant necessarily afford nor want to waste the time sending them to some course that may or may not help them, when there are plenty of others who may fit the profile. As my friends who have hired and fired many say - fire them quicker....then when they are working for you after a period and are profitable then it may warrant sending them to better their skills.

Otherwise once again, trying to turn a monkey into a race horse may work but its often not worth the effort, better to work with a horse first

 

Plus when it comes to engineers MM - I have to agree - their mind does often work that way, however often they verge on the too perfectionist issue as they like the maths. A few friends who tried trading wanted to make everything perfect - they were not afraid to trade, they just liked a little less chaos......plus another crucial issue is what to do when everything around you is falling to pieces - often the guys who are quickest to react and assess the situation and be flexible enough to recognize the situation has changed are great ---- not sure who fits into this profile.

 

I hope to re-employ someone again in about a years time, but this time I will look for an assistant first and foremost, then if they look like they could trade I will give them the opportunity with out hesitation.

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I bought 3 programs from a trading site and I asked the owner that same question...."why do you offer it for sale if you make money from it every single year?" His response to me was..."I sell it to make more money. That is what this business is all about". LOL

 

So, I took a chance and bought 1 to try it out before the others, and it does decent. At first I would mess with it, and try to exit early or not take a trade I thought would be a loser, but ended up screwing myself even more. Leaving it to run with whatever he has programmed seems to be the best. I would say 90% of the programs out there are scams. Best thing you can do is ask the programmer/website guy straight up why he sells it. If they try to claim to help the world, blah blah blah, stay away. But if you get an honest answer....maybe it is worth a shot?

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I bought 3 programs from a trading site and I asked the owner that same question...."why do you offer it for sale if you make money from it every single year?" His response to me was..."I sell it to make more money. That is what this business is all about". LOL

 

So, I took a chance and bought 1 to try it out before the others, and it does decent. At first I would mess with it, and try to exit early or not take a trade I thought would be a loser, but ended up screwing myself even more. Leaving it to run with whatever he has programmed seems to be the best. I would say 90% of the programs out there are scams. Best thing you can do is ask the programmer/website guy straight up why he sells it. If they try to claim to help the world, blah blah blah, stay away. But if you get an honest answer....maybe it is worth a shot?

 

Scam might be a strong word. If the system merely took, say, last years data, mined it, and coded the best curve for it, then, yes, you bought junk. But if a system is designed to trade a trend or trade a range, then you might have a decent tool.

 

If someone is looking for magic, then they get what they deserve.

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Scam might be a strong word. If the system merely took, say, last years data, mined it, and coded the best curve for it, then, yes, you bought junk. But if a system is designed to trade a trend or trade a range, then you might have a decent tool.

 

If someone is looking for magic, then they get what they deserve.

 

It is probably more about risk management than anything else. If a program has a 60-70% win rate and the r/r is still 50%, then you will still have a winning program imo....

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    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $MSFT Microsoft stock top of range breakout above 433.1, https://stockconsultant.com/?MSFT
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