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Tradewinds

How I Would Charge for a Trading Course/system

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If I were going to sell a trading system, or have someone pay me for a trading course, I would make them a guarantee. I would guarantee that they will make money in simulated trading within a certain time period, or I will give them 110% of their money back. That is the way I would do business. And I wouldn't charge them much up front. If I could teach someone to make money trading, then they would have plenty of money to pay me later. If I can't teach someone to make money trading, then I shouldn't be getting anything.

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I think that many people like to pass along knowledge that has been acquired. It makes us feel like we have value, and it can give us an ego boost. So emotionally and psychologically there is a benefit to telling other people what we know. If we can get paid for telling people what we know, then there is also a financial benefit. But it seems like there are conflicting motives for someone to write a trading book, sell a system or a subscription, or sell any other information. If the information is so valuable, then why don't people just keep it to themselves?

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If you are giving a 110% guarantee, I would like to buy your first 10,000 subscriptions.

 

One per customer. Sorry! :rofl: But seriously, there is no point in selling a trading system, indicator, subscription or anything else if it actually does make money. If it really does make money, then I will never tell anyone about it. I will hire employees to trade my system. I will run a trading room where people can trade my system. But it would all be "black box". No one will ever see what is on the inside of that little "black box".

 

But I could still sell my system for a 110% guarantee and not loose money. In fact, I would guarantee that you would make money in LIVE trading. Because I would have a verification system that the customer didn't intentionally loose money in order to get the 110% back. Let's say I charged $10,000 dollars for the system. You would get $11,000 dollars back if you lost money in LIVE trading. Yes, I know that I said sim trading before. And I would put in the contract that you would have to loose more than $1,000 dollars in live trading. So ultimately, you would have a net negative. So would I, but I probably would not get a lot of people who just intentionally wanted to loose money in order to mess with me.

 

Then, if they couldn't make money in live trading, I would have it in the contract that they would have to stop using the system. So they wouldn't be able to trade the system either. So the customer would still have a net negative, and they wouldn't be able to keep the system. Remember, it would be "black box" indicators. So it would all be locked up, and have an expiration date. All kinds of software has that.

 

If I was selling a system that was not black box indicators, I would set up a system where I would be part owner of your broker account. Yes, I know, I know. No one would ever agree to that. But that would be their loss. If they don't want to make tons of money trading, fine, then don't buy my system. It will be a crushing blow to my ego that will take a few days to get over, but hopefully I'll pull out of it.

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One per customer. Sorry! :rofl: But seriously, there is no point in selling a trading system, indicator, subscription or anything else if it actually does make money. If it really does make money, then I will never tell anyone about it. I will hire employees to trade my system. I will run a trading room where people can trade my system. But it would all be "black box". No one will ever see what is on the inside of that little "black box".

 

But I could still sell my system for a 110% guarantee and not loose money. In fact, I would guarantee that you would make money in LIVE trading. Because I would have a verification system that the customer didn't intentionally loose money in order to get the 110% back. Let's say I charged $10,000 dollars for the system. You would get $11,000 dollars back if you lost money in LIVE trading. Yes, I know that I said sim trading before. And I would put in the contract that you would have to loose more than $1,000 dollars in live trading. So ultimately, you would have a net negative. So would I, but I probably would not get a lot of people who just intentionally wanted to loose money in order to mess with me.

 

Then, if they couldn't make money in live trading, I would have it in the contract that they would have to stop using the system. So they wouldn't be able to trade the system either. So the customer would still have a net negative, and they wouldn't be able to keep the system. Remember, it would be "black box" indicators. So it would all be locked up, and have an expiration date. All kinds of software has that.

 

If I was selling a system that was not black box indicators, I would set up a system where I would be part owner of your broker account. Yes, I know, I know. No one would ever agree to that. But that would be their loss. If they don't want to make tons of money trading, fine, then don't buy my system. It will be a crushing blow to my ego that will take a few days to get over, but hopefully I'll pull out of it.

 

Tradewinds,

 

You are better off if you do not tell anyone because if too many people trade it, it won't work or won't work as well since trading is a zero sum game.

 

Consider a poker example. If you create a poker-bot to play at a table of 10 players and it has an edge over each of the other 9 players, you will eke out a profit from that table. If sell a copy of the poker-bot to one other guy, then the two of you will make money off the other 8, but not off each other since you do not have an edge over each other. Each person who uses the bot at the table reduces the amount you make from playing poker to the point where if all 10 players a re using the same bot, then the rake will be divided equally and in the long run all of you are losers in spite of the fact that you are trading a winning strategy.

 

On the other hand, a course that could teach a trader how to properly read a market I think would be worth the traders weight in gold. I do wish that someone sat with me and taught me what I have learned without cutting through all the bull shit.

 

MM

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Tradewinds and Mighty Mouse,

 

Good conversation, But you are missing one perspective, that of the forex mentor...

 

Consider this..

 

A professional sports team holds spring training try outs. This professional team has the best coaches money can buy, who have developed the best curriculum (training program) possible, using top of the line equipment and facilities. However, of all the pro athletes in attendance, some will be all stars, some will be second stringers, and yes, there will be some who frankly get cut from the team.

 

for those athletes that get cut, who's fault was it? was it the coaches? was it the equipment? No. The difference is INSIDE EACH ATHLETE. You see there is a level of personal responsibility that comes with learning a new skill and then using that skill to achieve success. maybe it's perserverence, maybe discipline, who knows? it's different for everyone.

 

I guess what I am trying to say is that it is not about the system, it is about the INDIVIDUAL TRADER, a good trader can make almost any system profitable, but a lousy trader will lose money with a profitable system. So it is noble of you to offer 110% refund, but you would be making the mistake of believing that YOU can single handedly make someone successful, and that is simply not true.

 

Does Harvard give you a refund on your tuition if you are not successful in the career of your degree? Not hardly. But do you doubt the credibility of that school? of course not.

 

Some people are just not cut out to be traders. and if you offer unrealistic refunds, you will be out of business and will not be able to help anyone.

 

Just my two cents...

 

...good trades,

Sam

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Tradewinds and Mighty Mouse,

 

Some people are just not cut out to be traders. and if you offer unrealistic refunds, you will be out of business and will not be able to help anyone.

 

Just my two cents...

 

...good trades,

Sam

 

 

Or, at the very least become frustrated.

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Tradewinds and Mighty Mouse,

 

Good conversation, But you are missing one perspective, that of the forex mentor...

 

Consider this..

 

A professional sports team holds spring training try outs. This professional team has the best coaches money can buy, who have developed the best curriculum (training program) possible, using top of the line equipment and facilities. However, of all the pro athletes in attendance, some will be all stars, some will be second stringers, and yes, there will be some who frankly get cut from the team.

 

for those athletes that get cut, who's fault was it? was it the coaches? was it the equipment? No. The difference is INSIDE EACH ATHLETE. You see there is a level of personal responsibility that comes with learning a new skill and then using that skill to achieve success. maybe it's perserverence, maybe discipline, who knows? it's different for everyone.

 

I guess what I am trying to say is that it is not about the system, it is about the INDIVIDUAL TRADER, a good trader can make almost any system profitable, but a lousy trader will lose money with a profitable system. So it is noble of you to offer 110% refund, but you would be making the mistake of believing that YOU can single handedly make someone successful, and that is simply not true.

 

Does Harvard give you a refund on your tuition if you are not successful in the career of your degree? Not hardly. But do you doubt the credibility of that school? of course not.

 

Some people are just not cut out to be traders. and if you offer unrealistic refunds, you will be out of business and will not be able to help anyone.

 

Just my two cents...

 

...good trades,

Sam

 

Sam

 

I was wondering when I might see this kind of response....(an adult response). There is no additional comment about the substance...you have nailed it

 

Adults will get it, and those with less "adult" emotional status will find that your comment evokes what psychologists call "infantile rage"....meaning that they are pissed off that the world won't just give them what they want......

 

by the way, I imagine you will hear about it...and so will I for that matter, just for posting this....lol

 

Best of luck to you in your trading

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If I were going to sell a trading system, or have someone pay me for a trading course, I would make them a guarantee. I would guarantee that they will make money in simulated trading within a certain time period, or I will give them 110% of their money back. That is the way I would do business. And I wouldn't charge them much up front. If I could teach someone to make money trading, then they would have plenty of money to pay me later. If I can't teach someone to make money trading, then I shouldn't be getting anything.

 

You could certainly guarantee that you won't LOSE any money trading Sim, haha. Regardless I think trading teaches some of the most valuable lessons and gives us more insight about ourselves than we realize.

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You could certainly guarantee that you won't LOSE any money trading Sim, haha. Regardless I think trading teaches some of the most valuable lessons and gives us more insight about ourselves than we realize.

 

I have heard that said a lot and have thought about it. Quite frankly, I haven't learned a thing about myself that I already didn't know. Maybe I did something wrong. I do not know. But, I am curious to know what you learned about yourself that you didn't know beforehand.

 

MM

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The topic is interesting because there are extreme conflicts. Why would anyone with an excellent system want to sell it? That doesn't make any sense to me. It brings up issues having to do with the intentions of the person selling the system, indicators, services, subscription, etc. One motivation a successful trader might have to make information available to others, would be a way to boost their ego. But there may be a certain degree of goodwill also. And I have read posts from people who stated that they had been helped in the past, and wanted to "give something back" to the trading community. So what motivates someone to put together a blog, subscription, indicators, or a system, could be a mix of motives and intentions. Effort needs to be exerted, and some wisdom employed, in order to determine what a person's intentions are.

 

One point that I am trying to make, is that for me personally, I want to have good intentions and a high standard of behavior. On the surface, having a 110% money back guarantee seems naive, and doomed to failure. And obviously, under most situations, a 110% money back guarantee would be foolish to offer. But consider if the sale were combined with a method of trying to filter out people who were not good candidates, plus a mentoring system, that might be a basic foundation for a way to increase the odds of success.

 

I don't have any plans to sell a trading system or trading indicators. What I'm saying is, that IF I were going to do that, then I would want to do business at a very high moral and ethical standard. That's the way I want to live me life, and that's the type of person I want to be.

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The topic is interesting because there are extreme conflicts. Why would anyone with an excellent system want to sell it? That doesn't make any sense to me. It brings up issues having to do with the intentions of the person selling the system, indicators, services, subscription, etc. One motivation a successful trader might have to make information available to others, would be a way to boost their ego. But there may be a certain degree of goodwill also. And I have read posts from people who stated that they had been helped in the past, and wanted to "give something back" to the trading community. So what motivates someone to put together a blog, subscription, indicators, or a system, could be a mix of motives and intentions. Effort needs to be exerted, and some wisdom employed, in order to determine what a person's intentions are.

 

One point that I am trying to make, is that for me personally, I want to have good intentions and a high standard of behavior. On the surface, having a 110% money back guarantee seems naive, and doomed to failure. And obviously, under most situations, a 110% money back guarantee would be foolish to offer. But consider if the sale were combined with a method of trying to filter out people who were not good candidates, plus a mentoring system, that might be a basic foundation for a way to increase the odds of success.

 

I don't have any plans to sell a trading system or trading indicators. What I'm saying is, that IF I were going to do that, then I would want to do business at a very high moral and ethical standard. That's the way I want to live me life, and that's the type of person I want to be.

 

What is unethical or immoral about selling an indicator or a system? It would be unethical if you bought a system and you got a blank disk. It would be unethical if it failed to enter and exit properly. But the trader is the fool if he thinks he is going to turn the market into a personal ATM.

 

You get what you pay for. If you were expecting magic, then what you paid is probably not that much to learn that there is no such thing as magic.

 

MM

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MightyMouse-

 

I suppose because I am younger the insights that I've gathered over my 5 years as a student of the markets has been more direct. I've developed a lot more patience over the years, something I never had before. I've taken the traders mindset and transferred it to different disciplines such as relationships, business deals, and even bike racing. I guess the biggest thing I've got out of trading is a completely fresh mindset on how to live my life. The old cliche of not working for money, but having it work for you and building passive income streams totally transformed my life, but again, I was young when I started trading, in my teens, so a lot of it is probably just part of growing up.

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What is unethical or immoral about selling an indicator or a system? It would be unethical if you bought a system and you got a blank disk. It would be unethical if it failed to enter and exit properly. But the trader is the fool if he thinks he is going to turn the market into a personal ATM.

 

You get what you pay for. If you were expecting magic, then what you paid is probably not that much to learn that there is no such thing as magic.

 

MM

 

Agree with MM on this. Without cost, there is no perceived value.

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ditto mysticFx and MM.

if you gave it away for free, people will still want to change it, ignore it, not believe it.

Charge....and people give it value. (religion comes to mind here :) for that added bit of controversy)

 

I have seen many systems that claim to be great and charge for that, when they are not much better than a simple system you could apply with most retail platforms.....

the market will pay what it can, and then after that the rest is marketing - marketing - marketing.

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MightyMouse-

 

I suppose because I am younger the insights that I've gathered over my 5 years as a student of the markets has been more direct. I've developed a lot more patience over the years, something I never had before. I've taken the traders mindset and transferred it to different disciplines such as relationships, business deals, and even bike racing. I guess the biggest thing I've got out of trading is a completely fresh mindset on how to live my life. The old cliche of not working for money, but having it work for you and building passive income streams totally transformed my life, but again, I was young when I started trading, in my teens, so a lot of it is probably just part of growing up.

 

Yeah a lot of things may have coincided at the same time as trading that I attribute to other events.and not necessarily to trading.I don't race bikes but i can see how that too might have provided some lessons on its own. Marriage and children are another big chapter.

 

MM

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ditto mysticFx and MM.

if you gave it away for free, people will still want to change it, ignore it, not believe it.

Charge....and people give it value. (religion comes to mind here :) for that added bit of controversy)

 

I have seen many systems that claim to be great and charge for that, when they are not much better than a simple system you could apply with most retail platforms.....

the market will pay what it can, and then after that the rest is marketing - marketing - marketing.

 

I am a discretionary trader, but I can see how i would benefit from coding what I do to free up some time or get me into trades that set up in the overnight.

 

I have not looked at any systems other than a quick glance as I delete them from my junk folder, but I think a trader could benefit from systems if he used them properly.

 

I have basically 2 "systems". 1 for trading a range and the other for trading a move or a trend. Breakouts I consider to be either trend continuation or trend reversal. But, I pretty much do the same thing each time in each system. The trick is knowing whether we are trending or ranging. I do not know if I would trust a system to tell me if a market is ranging or trending.

 

So, the systems that are one size fits all are probably a waste of time. A trend trading system will probably end up costing you money if you try to use it in a ranging market and a range trading system would end up costing you money in a trending market.

 

But I do not see how a trend trading system would be a bad thing if you actually used it to trade a trend. My way of trading a trend and someone else's way of trading a trend are probably not that much different in the long run. and ditto for range trading.

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What is unethical or immoral about selling an indicator or a system? It would be unethical if you bought a system and you got a blank disk. It would be unethical if it failed to enter and exit properly.

 

Buying or selling and indicator or a system is neutral. It's not ethical or unethical. A common mistake that people make is to automatically assign black/white - right/wrong - good/evil to something, when in reality it's just neutral until intentions and desires affect the balance of give and take.

 

I'm not trying to imply that the act of selling a system or indicator, in and of itself, is automatically ethical or unethical.

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Without cost, there is no perceived value.

 

Now we are getting into the realm of how a product should be priced, marketing, value and consumer perceptions.

 

Personally, I now tend to buy mid-range priced, high volume products. That comes from experiences of buying high priced products, thinking that I was getting something superior, and having reliability issues with the product. Some performance products will have better performance, but break down more often.

 

I still need to fight the urge to buy something because it is priced higher. I tend to automatically assign a higher value to a higher price. I don't know what percentage of the population does that, but it is a real phenomena.

 

If a money back guarantee was going to be offered by the seller of a system or indicator, the cost would need to factor in how many returns would be generated. Many people buy junk, and then they never return it when it breaks. Some businesses probably know this, and sell junk, knowing that many people will never ask for their money back.

 

Then there are situations where the consumer is promised some compensation, and it never gets delivered. If the product cost $15 dollars, and it would take 40 hours trying to get your money back, most people just "write-off" the $15 as a loss. If they could make $2,000 in 40 hours of work, but they are only going to get $15 dollars back for 40 hours of work, then they won't bother trying to get their money back.

 

So, a seller of an indicator could price their product very cheaply, then make it almost impossible to get your money back.

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Buying or selling and indicator or a system is neutral. It's not ethical or unethical. A common mistake that people make is to automatically assign black/white - right/wrong - good/evil to something, when in reality it's just neutral until intentions and desires affect the balance of give and take.

 

I'm not trying to imply that the act of selling a system or indicator, in and of itself, is automatically ethical or unethical.

 

Well, If I sell you an indicator and I tell you that it can help you make money and you fail to make money with it, then is that my fault and am I unethical for telling you that it can help you make money?

 

If you purchase a Porsche because you thought it would help you get women and you fail to increase your consumption of women, is that the car's fault?

 

You do not have to answer these. The point is that the trader at some point has to take responsibility for whether he makes money or not.

 

MM

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But the trader is the fool if he thinks he is going to turn the market into a personal ATM.

 

Hopefully scientist will find the "fool" gene and foolishness can be breed out of human beings. :rofl: Until that happens, the inferior humans with the predominant fool gene, will need to learn from pain and hardship.

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The point is that the trader at some point has to take responsibility for whether he makes money or not.

 

MM

 

Good point. For the seller of the trading indicator to be completely transparent and honest, they would need make it very clear to the buyer what the dangers are. So there are two separate issues. The reliability of the system or indicator, and the reliability of the user of the system or indicator.

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humans are naturally poor at valuing things and measuring and assessing financial risk.

There are many experiments that show we act differently - and often irrationally with small changes in values. So yes....marketing and assigning the right value or incentive to manipulate peoples responses is key in how to charge.

When it comes to value, I will happily pay $1000 for something I will use, but figure $10 is a waste of money for something I dont use.

Plus there is the often underestimated value of time and wasted time

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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