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ptcman

Plot Previous Day Time Interval and Today's Time Interval

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I'd like some help here, please.

 

I have the following formula:

 

inputs:
  todayStTime      (830),
  todayEnTime      (900),
  yesterdayStTime   (1430),
  yesterdayEnTime   (1500);

variables:
  dayCounter      (0),
  dayClose      (0),
  dayOpen      (0),
  //dayHigh      (-999999),
  //dayLow      (+999999),
  //prevDayHigh      (0),
  //prevDayLow      (0),
  //dayHigh      (0),
  //dayLow      (0),
  prevDayClose      (0),
  prevDayOpen      (0),
  prevClCounter      (0),
  prevTradeDay      (false),
  todayTradeDay      (false);

// confirms the beginning of the day with true/false conditions
if date <> date[1] then begin
  prevTradeDay = true;
  todayTradeDay = false;
  dayCounter = dayCounter + 1;
end;

// resets the new day to give the previous day open time interval
if prevTradeDay then begin
  if time = yesterdayStTime then begin
     prevTradeDay = false;
     prevDayOpen = Open;
  end;
end;

// resets the new day to give today's open time interval
if todayTradeDay = false then begin
  if time >= todayStTime then begin
     todayTradeDay = true;
     dayOpen = Open;
  end;
end;

// resets the new day to give the previous day close time interval
if prevTradeDay then begin
  if time = yesterdayEnTime then begin
     prevTradeDay = false;
     prevDayClose = close;
  end;
end;

// resets the new day to give today's close time interval
if todayTradeDay = false then begin
  if time = todayEnTime then begin
     todayTradeDay = true;
     dayClose = close;
  end;
end;


plot1(DayOpen);
//plot2(dayClose);
plot13(prevDayOpen);
//plot14(prevDayClose);

 

 

I want to plot yesterday's open and close prices based on the time interval selected in the input and also, today's open and close prices also, based on the time interval selected in the input.

 

As it is, plots today's open and yesterday open prices, but If I also plot today's and yesterday's close prices, these will be zero, though, if I remove the statements regarding the opening prices, the close prices will be correctly plotted.

 

What am I doing wrong?

 

Please see attached images.

 

Thank you.

5aa710403adf4_closepricesonly.thumb.png.306a26dbd64abb1facd6ab4302329a16.png

5aa71040404bf_openandcloseprices.thumb.png.1e8b11ef3725e6ac496be3ba5a61d8f9.png

5aa710404537d_openpricesonly.thumb.png.7b4da1b843347bcb6f8139bb8f1bda45.png

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I'd like some help here, please.

 

I have the following formula:

...

What am I doing wrong?

 

Please see attached images.

 

Thank you.

 

can you do a mock up?

ie draw some lines and write some notes on the chart to illustrate how you envision the plots.

Edited by Tams

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Hi Tams

 

OK, in the image you can see both open and close prices on the same chart because I used 2 indicators since the problem is that together (open statements and close statements), the close statements don't work (they plot a zero price).

 

How the lines are plotted have no interest to me.

What I want is to be able to use yesterday's open and close prices, based on the time interval chosen, and do whatever calculations I want with today's open and close prices also based on the time interval chosen.

 

Example:

If yesterday last trading hour the close was higher than the open
then, if today's open is higher (or lower) than yesterday's close
then, what is the probability (in percentage) of today's first hour
close to be higher (or lower) than today's open.

 

Regards

image.thumb.gif.ca1e798476e4a24f34fbf39dab640136.gif

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If yesterday last trading hour the close was higher than the open
then, if today's open is higher (or lower) than yesterday's close
then, what is the probability (in percentage) of today's first hour
close to be higher (or lower) than today's open.

 

you have to learn to

think one thought at a time

write one thing per sentence

and code one action per line

if you have more than one action on the same line

you are going to get the computer confused.

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I don't know what are all the resets about...

if you just assign the open and the close,

you have all the variables to do

whatever analysis you want.

 

 

if time = yesterdayStTime then
     prevDayOpen = Open;

if time = todayStTime then 
     dayOpen = Open;

if time = yesterdayEnTime then 
     prevDayClose = close;

if time = todayEnTime then 
     dayClose = close;

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you have to learn to

think one thought at a time

write one thing per sentence

and code one action per line

if you have more than one action on the same line

you are going to get the computer confused.

 

But Tams.......

 

I did that.

 

I wrote:

 

// resets the new day to give the previous day open time interval
if prevTradeDay then begin
  if time = yesterdayStTime then begin
     prevTradeDay = false;
     prevDayOpen = Open;
  end;
end;

 

then...

 

// resets the new day to give today's open time interval
if todayTradeDay = false then begin
  if time >= todayStTime then begin
     todayTradeDay = true;
     dayOpen = Open;
  end;
end;

 

then...

 

// resets the new day to give the previous day close time interval
if prevTradeDay then begin
  if time = yesterdayEnTime then begin
     prevTradeDay = false;
     prevDayClose = close;
  end;
end;

 

then...

 

// resets the new day to give today's close time interval
if todayTradeDay = false then begin
  if time = todayEnTime then begin
     todayTradeDay = true;
     dayClose = close;
  end;
end;

 

Each statement plot the requested data.

The problem is that when they are plotted together, something happens with the close statements.

 

The "something" is the problem......

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But Tams.......

 

The problem is that when they are plotted together, something happens with the close statements.

 

The "something" is the problem......

 

I am not following,

can you use the arrow to point out the problem area on the chart?

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Using the indicator as show below:

 

inputs:
todayStTime		(830),
todayEnTime		(900),
yesterdayStTime	(1430),
yesterdayEnTime	(1500);

variables:
dayCounter		(0),
dayClose		(0),
dayOpen		(0),
//dayHigh		(-999999),
//dayLow		(+999999),
//prevDayHigh		(0),
//prevDayLow		(0),
//dayHigh		(0),
//dayLow		(0),
prevDayClose		(0),
prevDayOpen		(0),
prevClCounter		(0),
prevTradeDay		(false),
todayTradeDay		(false);

// confirms the beginning of the day with true/false conditions
if date <> date[1] then begin
prevTradeDay = true;
todayTradeDay = false;
dayCounter = dayCounter + 1;
end;

// resets the new day to give the previous day open time interval
if prevTradeDay then begin
if time = yesterdayStTime then begin
	prevTradeDay = false;
	prevDayOpen = Open;
end;
end;

// resets the new day to give today's open time interval
if todayTradeDay = false then begin
if time >= todayStTime then begin
	todayTradeDay = true;
	dayOpen = Open;
end;
end;

// resets the new day to give the previous day close time interval
if prevTradeDay then begin
if time = yesterdayEnTime then begin
	prevTradeDay = false;
	prevDayClose = close;
end;
end;

// resets the new day to give today's close time interval
if todayTradeDay = false then begin
if time = todayEnTime then begin
	todayTradeDay = true;
	dayClose = close;
end;
end;


plot1(DayOpen);
plot2(dayClose);
plot13(prevDayOpen);
plot14(prevDayClose);

 

The result can be seen on the attached image.

That is the problem.

Both closes (today and yesterday) are plotted with a value of zero.

 

Regarding the resets, don't I need to reset for each day the open and close prices? How can the computer recognize which open and close am I referring to?

image02.gif.90de0720f18c1e170d7c636eed104ef2.gif

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...Regarding the resets, don't I need to reset for each day the open and close prices? How can the computer recognize which open and close am I referring to?

 

the indicator evaluates the chart one bar at a time... from bar #1.

 

when the indicator arrives at a bar

where time = yesterdayStTime ,

prevDayOpen will be assigned with the that bar's Open price.

 

... and so on.

 

 

when the indicator encounters time = yesterdayStTime again,

it will be a new day,

and the variable will be reassigned with the new bar's price.

That's why no additional reset is necessary.

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Thanks for the explanation Tams, but....

 

If you plot what you wrote:

 

if time = yesterdayStTime then
     prevDayOpen = Open;

if time = todayStTime then 
     dayOpen = Open;

if time = yesterdayEnTime then 
     prevDayClose = close;

if time = todayEnTime then 
     dayClose = close;

 

... you'll see that today's open will plot zero.

 

I reset today's date...

 

if date <> date[1] then begin
todayTradeDay = true;
end;

if todayTradeDay then begin
if time >= todayStTime then begin
	todayTradeDay = false;
	dayOpen = Open;
end;
end;

 

... to see if that would resolve the problem, but when I compile it, today's open plotted OK, but today's open plotted zero.

 

:confused: :doh:

 

Why when we resolve the problem of one plot, another one creates another problem?

 

:crap:

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Thanks for the explanation Tams, but....

...

... to see if that would resolve the problem, but when I compile it, today's open plotted OK, but today's open plotted zero.

 

:confused: :doh:

 

Why when we resolve the problem of one plot, another one creates another problem?

 

:crap:

 

 

make sure these are valid times on your chart:

 

inputs:
  todayStTime      (830),
  todayEnTime      (900),
  yesterdayStTime   (1430),
  yesterdayEnTime   (1500);

 

 

TradeStation/MaultiCharts (and many other charting software) uses EOB (End Of Bar) time as bar reference.

 

ie.

on a 1 min chart,

if the starting time on your 1st bar is 8:30am,

then your todayStTime should be 831.

 

on a 5 min chart,

if the starting time on your 1st bar is 8:30am,

then your todayStTime should be 835

Edited by Tams

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TradeStation/MaultiCharts (and many other charting software) uses EOB (End Of Bar) time as bar reference.

 

ie.

on a 1 min chart,

if the starting time on your 1st bar is 8:30am,

then your todayStTime should be 831.

 

on a 5 min chart,

if the starting time on your 1st bar is 8:30am,

then your todayStTime should be 835

 

 

 

Yes Tams,

 

that was the problem with today's open price

 

This is surely one of those problem that almost everyone steps on when dealing with time, no?

 

regards and many thanks for your help

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Yes Tams,

 

that was the problem with today's open price

 

This is surely one of those problem that almost everyone steps on when dealing with time, no?

 

regards and many thanks for your help

 

yw.

 

 

Time is a challenge in programming...

 

wait till you try to add 1 day to 20101030,

or subtract 10 mins from 1005.

 

;-)>

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the indicator evaluates the chart one bar at a time... from bar #1.

 

when the indicator arrives at a bar

where time = yesterdayStTime ,

prevDayOpen will be assigned with the that bar's Open price.

 

... and so on.

 

 

when the indicator encounters time = yesterdayStTime again,

it will be a new day,

and the variable will be reassigned with the new bar's price.

That's why no additional reset is necessary.

 

Tams,

 

Is it possible for you do give and explanation with simple examples when we need (must) use resets and when that is not a necessary?

 

Also, it would be nice to know the many (?) ways to reset variables.

 

Regards

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yw.

 

 

Time is a challenge in programming...

 

wait till you try to add 1 day to 20101030,

or subtract 10 mins from 1005.

 

;-)>

 

:eek:

 

Saying that to a guy that considers time as the most important thing after price.....

 

You really want me to have nightmares during this year Halloween

 

:roll eyes:

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What I want is to be able to use yesterday's open and close prices, based on the time interval chosen, and do whatever calculations I want with today's open and close prices also based on the time interval chosen.

 

Regards

 

pctman,

 

You have piqued my curiosity.

 

What "do" you want to do with the resulting chart/data.

 

For instance.... I can think of one thing someone may want to do. If you only traded,say, the first two hours in the morning... and wanted a simple historical look at the range and volume, just during that time frame.... this would be a quick birds eye view way to get it.

 

What type of applications are you interested in exploring with this?

 

snowbird

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Tams,

 

Is it possible for you do give and explanation with simple examples when we need (must) use resets and when that is not a necessary?

 

Also, it would be nice to know the many (?) ways to reset variables.

 

Regards

 

if time = xxx then...

is a form of reset.

 

it resets the variable to a new value if the time meets a criteria.

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pctman,

 

You have piqued my curiosity.

 

What "do" you want to do with the resulting chart/data.

 

For instance.... I can think of one thing someone may want to do. If you only traded,say, the first two hours in the morning... and wanted a simple historical look at the range and volume, just during that time frame.... this would be a quick birds eye view way to get it.

 

What type of applications are you interested in exploring with this?

 

snowbird

 

 

Hi snowbird.

 

Yes, that is one of the ways we can use the data retrieved from the indicator, but countless others may be used. Our imagination is the limit.

 

I don't believe in automatic systems.

I believe in strategies, in probabilities, in statistics, all due to past behaviour.

 

I believe that "today's" trading day should be divided in 2 halves.

The first half is the conclusion of the previous trading day. All trades/businesses that couldn't be done til the end of yesterday trading the day, will be closed at the beginning of today's trading day.

There are many reasons for this to happen, the majority due to our own behaviour, human behaviour.

 

The second half, well, the same pattern repeats itself. The second half will initiate new trading business that will be closed... the next day.

 

Naturally that we are speaking of very short term trading / daytrading, an area where, when things are well studied and structured, can generate a very nice monthly income till the end of our lives.

 

I try mainly to follow human psychology and incorporate that into time and prices. There are periods when time is a factor far more important than the price itself.

 

The beginning of an hour, a day, a week, a month, a quarter. The end of an hour, a day, a week, a month, a quarter. These are all time periods that have importance for us humans, in all aspects of our lives.

We don't have the notion of it, but we react to all of this in one way or the other. This creates patterns that can be exploited.

 

There are studies saying that the first day of every month, mainly in the S&P500, but also tested with good results in the German DAX, has a very, very high probability of being a positive day (I'm not certain but I think the reading was made on a close to close basis).

Now, knowing this, we can try to exploit it, but through other ways (ie. psychological ways).

Analysing only the close is misleading. We should analyse the highest and the lowest points where traders were able to push prices. These will show the real strength behind of each move.

OK, the first day of the month tends to be positive, but when that happened, how the first half of the day traded relatively to the previous day?

 

Naturally, before we can answer that, we must first determined the time period for each half of the day?

Can we consider noon the time that should divide each half?

There are readings that lunch time should be the one to be considered, which spans between 11:30 am to 1:00 pm (EST).

 

I confess that a lunch time period makes perfect sense since we humans, when dealing with other humans, we tend to share experiences, ideas, thoughts that, although we try not to be influenced by them, by the simple fact that we took knowledge of it, they will be taken in consideration in one way or another. Also, humans, we need time to absorb all news things that are brought to us.

 

Time must always be taken in consideration.

Example: the markets are acting weird, not really making sense, we have a position that is laying there, and lunch time is arriving. We decide to close it, so we can enjoy the lunch period without the morning stress. During lunch we heard an idea, a gossip, some news event just been released. Traders come from lunch to see how the markets reacted to that period, hence, the beginning of the second half period.

 

All of this are ideas that MUST be studied and structured before any trade can be executed.

 

 

Regards.

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Can we consider noon the time that should divide each half?

There are readings that lunch time should be the one to be considered, which spans between 11:30 am to 1:00 pm (EST).

 

I confess that a lunch time period makes perfect sense since we humans, when dealing with other humans, we tend to share experiences, ideas, thoughts that, although we try not to be influenced by them, by the simple fact that we took knowledge of it, they will be taken in consideration in one way or another. Also, humans, we need time to absorb all news things that are brought to us.

 

Time must always be taken in consideration.

 

Your response confirmed many of my own thoughts... Now I'm going to have to see if I can get the code working on TS to start the analysis (which is is the fun part for me!). If it works, I personally will start with three periods (treating the eastern "lunch" session 11:30 to 1) initially as a separate period. My expectations of this period, would of course be different than the other two. I would expect lower volume, consolidations, market drifting in the "general" direction of the "pre-lunch" session etc. Don't know yet... but if the opposite occurs... "high volume", "large range", "dramatic price reversal", etc., I imagine that there could be some "learnings" from those situations (what was so important to keep traders engaged during lunch!)

 

Questions I currently have about the morning and afternoon sessions... do they have different characteristics in up vs down markets? What does a high volume afternoon session tell you in terms of probabilities/expectations for the morning session, etc.

 

I'd be willing to post findings, if any. I believe this could be a cool thread if others are interested as well.

 

snowbird

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Hi snowbird.

 

You really catch the idea.

But this is just the beginning, a very small part of a much bigger picture.

 

When dealing with futures, we MUST include the overnight session.

Even if we only trade the floor session, 9:30 am to 4:00 pm EST, what prices did during the overnight MUST be taken in consideration.

 

Why do prices retest the overnight high or low the majority of time during the floor session when prices are trading outside of that range? Why traders like to confirm those values?

 

Also, if we trade the ES futures, despite the prices being traded accordingly to the supply and the demand of it at that moment, prices are still indexed to the cash market, hence, to the 500 stocks that constitute the index, meaning that the big caps performance not only make the cash market move, but also the futures.

For this I like to follow the S&P500 GICS sector indices. The big four are Technology, Finance, Healthcare and Consumer Staples.

 

The premise here is that following the sectors we are able to confirm the S&P movements, hence, the ES movements.

There are people that prefer to use the industries instead of the sector due to their ability in grouping companies that really operate in the same industry, like Banks, Brokers, Semiconductors, Software and so forth.

 

The easiest way to do this, and in real time, is to use their ETF's counterparts since the S&P doesn't distribute the GICS indices in realtime to any data provider.

 

Note that all of this must be analysed always taking human psychology in consideration. Behind each price movement exists people, traders with fears, hopes, expectations that must be reached in X time.

When they aren't met, emotions take control and these same emotions leave marks on the charts that can be measured by the length of the move.

 

Regards

Edited by ptcman

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well said

 

I often struggle with the "bigger picture"

especially in this new connected world where news. policy and government decisions across continents can affect inter-related markets, often instantly and opposite to 'expectations"

 

I'm sure this is why so many of the experts on this forum recommend beginner traders start out and focus on:

 

1 market or

1 system or

1 chart pattern or

1 time of day or

1 quantifiable edge or

price only/order flow only/etc.

 

in essence... the goal is to be able to understand a particular aspect of human emotion that repeatedly drives a market behavior one can both recognize, and potentially profit from.

 

snowbird

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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