Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Lina

Trading Futures Using Volume

Recommended Posts

I'll throw in my 2 cents as usual.....

 

As with all my other posts, I'm always banging on about order flow, because you need to learn this first, then build the rest of your trading ontop of it. However, lets say you already know order flow, then you can start to use other support tools such as technical analysis and basic volume to identify key areas to be trading.

 

Now a basic, yet very effective way to use volume is to look for divergences between volume and price on key time frames. Yesterday was a great example on ES after lunch time... look at the screen shot and you'll see what I mean.

 

Once you know how to read order flow, then basic volume is very effective in presenting you with very strong trading opportunities. Volume is a very broad term with many aspects that come under it, and some people argue that order flow is appart of volume. However order flow gives you the detailed information of exactly what is happening at each price that allows to pin point enteries. Basic volume on the other hand, as mentioned, is excellent as alerting you to key trading opportunities, but shouldn't be used, in my opinion, to try and execute trades. There's a difference between a trading opportunitiy and trade execution, and as long as you use volume correctly then it is a very useful asepct of trading futures. In my opinion, most have problems using volume as ulitmately they're trying to use it for execution, which is why many people get into a trade, get stopped out, only then to watch the market rally to their original exit without them.

 

traderslab.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks for yours 2 cents:)

While reading your post I mentioned one more reason why trading attracts me. It gives the opportunity to personalize your own way of trading. Despite the importance of tools which you use, the most important thing is to be in profit.:)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks for yours 2 cents:)

While reading your post I mentioned one more reason why trading attracts me. It gives the opportunity to personalize your own way of trading. Despite the importance of tools which you use, the most important thing is to be in profit.:)

 

 

Completely right.... once you understand the key concepts of how the markets work, then there's many ways for one to make money, and the only right way is the profitable way. The problem with a lot of people is that they don't understand them key concepts of how the markets work.

 

I'ts like a car engine. If you understand how an engine works, then you can fix it, tune it, or whatever tickels your fancy. If you haven't got clue how an engine works, then you could well find yourself stuck at the side of the road scratching your head, when all you need is some gas.

 

I know I can come across as I'm saying my way is the only way, but I don't mean too :) I'm just emphasising the basics one needs to know before they look into other methods/strategies. To use another anology, trading is like joining the army. At first you gonna do basic training to learn how to shoot and hit a target. After basic training, you then branch over into whatever you want to specialize in. In trading you need to learn how to use the detail volume first to read order flow. Once you know that, then you can learn whatever suits your personally, which could be market profile, fibs, VWAP etc, wave theory and so on.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just following on the post I made about how volume divergences are useful, I made a video of a trade that I took yesterday off the 1181 reistance level in ES. The market traded up to the level on a divergence, then one just needed to read the order flow there to pin point the entry. The video can be viewed here:

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAc1vJREAlQ]YouTube - Day Trading ES 18th October.avi[/ame]

 

You'll need to watch it in full screen to see the detail. I should of recorded it in slightly higher quality, which I'll do for my next video. Also what happens at the 1181 resistance level is a great example of a post on the blog called cat whiskers.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Now your point is more clear, thanks!

Of course, I always look at order flow during the trading. But as for me, it is more reliably to look at volume, which is ''already done'', because it's very simple to revoke the order with one click! I'll show you my view using your example on ES

 

823220.jpg

805812.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Now your point is more clear, thanks!

Of course, I always look at order flow during the trading. But as for me, it is more reliably to look at volume, which is ''already done'', because it's very simple to revoke the order with one click! I'll show you my view using your example on ES

 

823220.jpg

805812.jpg

 

What has already traded is great for finding levels, but that's about it in my opinion. Seems like you're using something along the lines of market delta, which is not something i'm a fan of, as in my opinion it suffers from a few fundamental flaws. First of all it suffers from the frame trap as it is plotted just like any other technical chart, and secondly all it is showing you is what is trading at each price, which is only half the story, while on the order hand, your dom tells you everything.

 

To use an analogy, if you're playing poker, it's not soley about what cards you have or what the other players are betting. There's the old saying in poker that you play your opponent and not your cards as you need to work out if they're bluffing or not, if they're trying to buy the pot and so on etc. When you're reading order flow on your book, you're seeing everything you need, that gives you that 2% edge. The margin for error in trading is so small (the speech from any given sunday comes to mind here!), so all them 2%'s add up to make a significant difference. It's the difference between those who are consistent enough and make it, and those who blow out. Like I say the margin for error is so small that you need every edge you've got.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To be honest, I don't want to claim that my way of trading is the only right. Sometimes I loose, sometimes I win. I just want to find best practices. As I say before, volume gives me the opportunity to open the position correctly. I want to show you screen shot, which confirms my words. This is my sell on gold.

1955089.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I know a few people that use Volfix and are successful with it. EOC has a similiar feature called 'Footprint'. Not as clean looking, but is able to show volume and bid/ask delta. Nice gold trade btw! :2c:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes, It's Volfix soft. I tried to trade with Market Delta and Bloomberg. Bloomberg is very useful for getting information, but their charts are not very easy for understanding and usable.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just following on the post I made about how volume divergences are useful, I made a video of a trade that I took yesterday off the 1181 reistance level in ES. The market traded up to the level on a divergence, then one just needed to read the order flow there to pin point the entry. The video can be viewed here:

You'll need to watch it in full screen to see the detail. I should of recorded it in slightly higher quality, which I'll do for my next video. Also what happens at the 1181 resistance level is a great example of a post on the blog called cat whiskers.

 

Thanks for the videos, can’t hear any voice, it will be valuable to hear your comments.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'll throw in my 2 cents as usual.....

 

As with all my other posts, I'm always banging on about order flow, because you need to learn this first, then build the rest of your trading ontop of it. However, lets say you already know order flow, then you can start to use other support tools such as technical analysis and basic volume to identify key areas to be trading.

 

Now a basic, yet very effective way to use volume is to look for divergences between volume and price on key time frames. Yesterday was a great example on ES after lunch time... look at the screen shot and you'll see what I mean.

 

Once you know how to read order flow, then basic volume is very effective in presenting you with very strong trading opportunities. Volume is a very broad term with many aspects that come under it, and some people argue that order flow is appart of volume. However order flow gives you the detailed information of exactly what is happening at each price that allows to pin point enteries. Basic volume on the other hand, as mentioned, is excellent as alerting you to key trading opportunities, but shouldn't be used, in my opinion, to try and execute trades. There's a difference between a trading opportunitiy and trade execution, and as long as you use volume correctly then it is a very useful asepct of trading futures. In my opinion, most have problems using volume as ulitmately they're trying to use it for execution, which is why many people get into a trade, get stopped out, only then to watch the market rally to their original exit without them.

 

traderslab.jpg

 

you mean that using volume we can see the overall picture of the market today (i mean market is strong or weak today ) and decide to trade buy or short when some market technical setup appears . But to enter correctly we must use order flow.?

OR

we use order flow to discover: market is strong or weak and than using technical setups to trade? (of course we use order flow to enter correctly)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.