Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Lina

Trading Futures Using Volume

Recommended Posts

I'll throw in my 2 cents as usual.....

 

As with all my other posts, I'm always banging on about order flow, because you need to learn this first, then build the rest of your trading ontop of it. However, lets say you already know order flow, then you can start to use other support tools such as technical analysis and basic volume to identify key areas to be trading.

 

Now a basic, yet very effective way to use volume is to look for divergences between volume and price on key time frames. Yesterday was a great example on ES after lunch time... look at the screen shot and you'll see what I mean.

 

Once you know how to read order flow, then basic volume is very effective in presenting you with very strong trading opportunities. Volume is a very broad term with many aspects that come under it, and some people argue that order flow is appart of volume. However order flow gives you the detailed information of exactly what is happening at each price that allows to pin point enteries. Basic volume on the other hand, as mentioned, is excellent as alerting you to key trading opportunities, but shouldn't be used, in my opinion, to try and execute trades. There's a difference between a trading opportunitiy and trade execution, and as long as you use volume correctly then it is a very useful asepct of trading futures. In my opinion, most have problems using volume as ulitmately they're trying to use it for execution, which is why many people get into a trade, get stopped out, only then to watch the market rally to their original exit without them.

 

traderslab.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks for yours 2 cents:)

While reading your post I mentioned one more reason why trading attracts me. It gives the opportunity to personalize your own way of trading. Despite the importance of tools which you use, the most important thing is to be in profit.:)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks for yours 2 cents:)

While reading your post I mentioned one more reason why trading attracts me. It gives the opportunity to personalize your own way of trading. Despite the importance of tools which you use, the most important thing is to be in profit.:)

 

 

Completely right.... once you understand the key concepts of how the markets work, then there's many ways for one to make money, and the only right way is the profitable way. The problem with a lot of people is that they don't understand them key concepts of how the markets work.

 

I'ts like a car engine. If you understand how an engine works, then you can fix it, tune it, or whatever tickels your fancy. If you haven't got clue how an engine works, then you could well find yourself stuck at the side of the road scratching your head, when all you need is some gas.

 

I know I can come across as I'm saying my way is the only way, but I don't mean too :) I'm just emphasising the basics one needs to know before they look into other methods/strategies. To use another anology, trading is like joining the army. At first you gonna do basic training to learn how to shoot and hit a target. After basic training, you then branch over into whatever you want to specialize in. In trading you need to learn how to use the detail volume first to read order flow. Once you know that, then you can learn whatever suits your personally, which could be market profile, fibs, VWAP etc, wave theory and so on.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just following on the post I made about how volume divergences are useful, I made a video of a trade that I took yesterday off the 1181 reistance level in ES. The market traded up to the level on a divergence, then one just needed to read the order flow there to pin point the entry. The video can be viewed here:

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAc1vJREAlQ]YouTube - Day Trading ES 18th October.avi[/ame]

 

You'll need to watch it in full screen to see the detail. I should of recorded it in slightly higher quality, which I'll do for my next video. Also what happens at the 1181 resistance level is a great example of a post on the blog called cat whiskers.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Now your point is more clear, thanks!

Of course, I always look at order flow during the trading. But as for me, it is more reliably to look at volume, which is ''already done'', because it's very simple to revoke the order with one click! I'll show you my view using your example on ES

 

823220.jpg

805812.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Now your point is more clear, thanks!

Of course, I always look at order flow during the trading. But as for me, it is more reliably to look at volume, which is ''already done'', because it's very simple to revoke the order with one click! I'll show you my view using your example on ES

 

823220.jpg

805812.jpg

 

What has already traded is great for finding levels, but that's about it in my opinion. Seems like you're using something along the lines of market delta, which is not something i'm a fan of, as in my opinion it suffers from a few fundamental flaws. First of all it suffers from the frame trap as it is plotted just like any other technical chart, and secondly all it is showing you is what is trading at each price, which is only half the story, while on the order hand, your dom tells you everything.

 

To use an analogy, if you're playing poker, it's not soley about what cards you have or what the other players are betting. There's the old saying in poker that you play your opponent and not your cards as you need to work out if they're bluffing or not, if they're trying to buy the pot and so on etc. When you're reading order flow on your book, you're seeing everything you need, that gives you that 2% edge. The margin for error in trading is so small (the speech from any given sunday comes to mind here!), so all them 2%'s add up to make a significant difference. It's the difference between those who are consistent enough and make it, and those who blow out. Like I say the margin for error is so small that you need every edge you've got.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To be honest, I don't want to claim that my way of trading is the only right. Sometimes I loose, sometimes I win. I just want to find best practices. As I say before, volume gives me the opportunity to open the position correctly. I want to show you screen shot, which confirms my words. This is my sell on gold.

1955089.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I know a few people that use Volfix and are successful with it. EOC has a similiar feature called 'Footprint'. Not as clean looking, but is able to show volume and bid/ask delta. Nice gold trade btw! :2c:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes, It's Volfix soft. I tried to trade with Market Delta and Bloomberg. Bloomberg is very useful for getting information, but their charts are not very easy for understanding and usable.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just following on the post I made about how volume divergences are useful, I made a video of a trade that I took yesterday off the 1181 reistance level in ES. The market traded up to the level on a divergence, then one just needed to read the order flow there to pin point the entry. The video can be viewed here:

You'll need to watch it in full screen to see the detail. I should of recorded it in slightly higher quality, which I'll do for my next video. Also what happens at the 1181 resistance level is a great example of a post on the blog called cat whiskers.

 

Thanks for the videos, can’t hear any voice, it will be valuable to hear your comments.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'll throw in my 2 cents as usual.....

 

As with all my other posts, I'm always banging on about order flow, because you need to learn this first, then build the rest of your trading ontop of it. However, lets say you already know order flow, then you can start to use other support tools such as technical analysis and basic volume to identify key areas to be trading.

 

Now a basic, yet very effective way to use volume is to look for divergences between volume and price on key time frames. Yesterday was a great example on ES after lunch time... look at the screen shot and you'll see what I mean.

 

Once you know how to read order flow, then basic volume is very effective in presenting you with very strong trading opportunities. Volume is a very broad term with many aspects that come under it, and some people argue that order flow is appart of volume. However order flow gives you the detailed information of exactly what is happening at each price that allows to pin point enteries. Basic volume on the other hand, as mentioned, is excellent as alerting you to key trading opportunities, but shouldn't be used, in my opinion, to try and execute trades. There's a difference between a trading opportunitiy and trade execution, and as long as you use volume correctly then it is a very useful asepct of trading futures. In my opinion, most have problems using volume as ulitmately they're trying to use it for execution, which is why many people get into a trade, get stopped out, only then to watch the market rally to their original exit without them.

 

traderslab.jpg

 

you mean that using volume we can see the overall picture of the market today (i mean market is strong or weak today ) and decide to trade buy or short when some market technical setup appears . But to enter correctly we must use order flow.?

OR

we use order flow to discover: market is strong or weak and than using technical setups to trade? (of course we use order flow to enter correctly)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.