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Trading Firms Put Their Money on Poker Experts

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Trading firms put their money on poker experts

 

By Nathaniel Popper, Los Angeles Times - May 16, 2010

 

A new breed of Wall Street recruit gets ahead not through connections or business experience, but through demonstrating a head for numbers, quick thinking and risk-taking – skills from the card table.

Poker, anyone?

 

53768668.jpg

 

Assistant traders play a round of poker during training at the Susquehanna Group in Pennsylvania. The game is part of the firm's training.

Chris Fargis thought his big job interview was over. But when the partners at Wall Street upstart Toro Trading finished with their questions, they broke out a deck of cards and a green-felt card table. Mind playing a few hands of poker?

 

It was a final test, and Fargis was relieved. The 30-year-old never went to business school or even took a finance class. But he knew poker. He had made a living playing the game online for six years from his Manhattan apartment, betting on up to eight hands at a time.

 

Within a few days, Fargis — with no Wall Street experience — was offered a position trading stock options, a job that entails making multimillion-dollar gambles. His poker skills sealed the deal.

 

"If someone's been successful at poker then there's a good chance they could be successful in this business," said Toro partner Danon Robinson. "If you have no interest, that's almost a red flag.... It's almost the equivalent of not reading the Wall Street Journal."

 

There's a part of Wall Street — investment banking in particular — that looks for recruits with sterling family connections and impeccable educations, and that favors sturdy young men and women who played college team sports such as lacrosse and rugby.

 

Toro Trading is not that Wall Street. Instead, it's one of the new breed of high-speed trading desks that are revolutionizing the financial markets, and making their money on the fractional gains from buying or selling a split-second ahead of their rivals.

 

They look for job candidates who are quick-thinking, have nerves of steel and a head for numbers — the very skills that lead to success in online poker.

 

"There's a certain maturity and ability to deal with risk that is hard to get any other way — unless you put the money on the table at some point in your life," said Aaron Brown, a hedge fund executive and author of the 2006 book "The Poker Face of Wall Street."

 

Susquehanna International Group, a 1,500-employee trading firm based in a Philadelphia suburb, has made the card game a central part of its training program. New hires are given copies of "The Theory of Poker" and "Hold 'Em Poker" and spend one full day a week studying the game by playing it.

 

"We are trying to teach people how to be good decision-makers under uncertainty," said Pat McCauley, who runs the training program. "It's not the stereotypical stuff with bluffing — it's real science."

 

The rising popularity of online poker has created, in effect, a huge farm team for Wall Street trading desks. Last year, 6.8 million people played at least one hand of online poker for money, up 29% from 2008 and nearly triple the number in 2005, according to research firm PokerAnalytics.com.

 

Wall Street's interest in poker players comes with a certain irony in the aftermath of a global financial crisis, which many blame on reckless risk-taking by big banks. The government's recent fraud lawsuit against Goldman Sachs targets just such behavior. And President Obama has proposed limiting speculative trading by banks with their own money.

 

"There are many overwhelming, negative consequences associated with the Wall Street philosophical fixation on casino capitalism," said John Kindt, a University of Illinois business professor, citing the subprime mortgage meltdown and the derivatives deals that felled insurance giant American International Group.

 

Even so, gambling appears to be in Wall Street's DNA. The book "Liar's Poker" by Michael Lewis captures the heady days of the 1980s when cigar-chomping executives and bond traders at Salomon Bros. would challenge each other to million-dollar wagers during down times on the trading floor.

 

Poker was a popular diversion among the Wall Street crowd of the '80s, a go-go era that saw the start of a long bull market and a huge wave of corporate takeovers.

 

The games of that era were clubby — and played in person. A talent for schmoozing was valued at least as much as playing ability, said Brown, who was a regular player. Poker then was more likely to lead to a job as a deal-making investment banker than as a trader.

 

The fast-paced online poker games of today are a better proving ground for Wall Street's trading floors, which have long been places for unrefined upstarts and members of minority groups. Trading floors historically attracted loud characters with outsized desires, who made up for what they lacked in social skills and education with moxie.

 

A penchant for betting big is still more important than connections for a would-be trader. But insiders say the typical personality profile has shifted toward that of a math nerd who understands probability and algorithms — the type of person likely to succeed in the nicety-free world of online poker.

 

Adam Gilman, at AMR Capital Trading in New York, said young traders like him who honed their skills playing poker alone at home "are more analytical, less in-your-face macho meathead types."

 

The similarity in personalities reflects the parallels between poker and trading.

 

Internet poker players and traders both sit in front of multiple computer screens focusing on what they're holding — active hands for a player, open trades for a trader — and consider how to improve their positions.

 

A trader looks for a security selling for slightly more or less than it should be — then pounces, buying and selling quickly to take advantage of the disparity. Similarly, a poker player constantly works through probabilities to determine when another player is betting more or less than makes sense given the cards on the table.

 

Another important crossover skill: the ability to bounce back from big losses.

 

When poker players interview at Group One Trading's office in Chicago, the director of recruiting and risk management, Dave Seidman, asks about their worst day, not their best: "I ask, 'How long did it take you to play again?' I want him to say, 'I played the next day; that's just part of the game.' "

 

For players with these abilities, moving to Wall Street can mean a pay cut, at least in the short term.

 

A talented online poker player can pull down well into six figures, players say. Gilman, at AMR Trading, said he made as much as $550,000 a year playing poker.

 

Traders typically start with a base salary of only about $80,000, albeit supplemented by comparatively large bonuses.

 

But poker winnings pale next to Wall Street's huge profit potential.

 

"Our traders put up millions of dollars in real money on a daily basis," said Noah Minetz, 22, who played poker while attending the University of Illinois before he joined Group One late last year. "It's unlimited higher stakes and unlimited potential. Poker's cool, but it's not that."

 

For Fargis, in addition to the money, there are the normal working hours and the camaraderie that he never got playing poker alone at home into the wee hours. He has co-workers at Toro to talk to — and make bets with.

 

One recent morning, his colleagues smiled when he walked into the office. "It's good you're here because we're about to get a bet on," one said. The wager: whether one of the firm's partners could eat a banana split in less than a minute.

 

Fargis pondered the odds and decided he liked them. A few minutes later, after the banana split was consumed, the former professional gambler was, once again, right on the money.

Copyright © 2010, The Los Angeles Times

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interesting article.

I wonder how these firms will react when their star recruits go all in with the firms money!

 

While I think there are a lot of traits that are similar I also hope that people don't think that it is the be all and end all....otherwise we will know where the next financial crisis will come from.

its a good idea for those applying for a job to at least learn the rules.

Maybe bankers should all be tested with a game of monopoly, and journalists with a game of scrabble.

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For sure being a full time poker player is an indication of interest and aptitude at zero sum performance work (instead of production work)

For sure being a good poker player is an indication of being proficient at quickly assessing probabilities.

For sure being a successful poker player is an indicator of above average realtime ‘centeredness’ – ie emotional balance, etc.

Beyond that, the correlations start to fall down. Being good at assessing the table and the hands does not default to being good at assessing a market. Different ‘talents’ of mental re-presentations involved, etc…

Also, there is a certain ‘swiss like fortune building’ orientation vs a ‘playa make a pile of money’ orientation that will sooner or (unfortunately ) later filter a lot of these candidates.

UB might be have some insights and experience with his hires that he could share…

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Long ago I managed traders and CTA’s . Give me someone who embodies a passion which can overcome any obstacle over a ‘professional’ poker player anyday. It’s just a good sign If he or she is skilled at poker - not a deal maker.

 

“Knowledge without mileage equals BS.” — Henry Rollins

Edited by zdo

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I am not a very good poker player, but I have not put the time into it. I am a good trader, but still make mistakes. I think there is more, luck of the cards than you get in trading and being luckey on the market timing. Poker is more about reading the other players and Trading is about YOU! Have a strategy and a Trade plan, like poker, and you will win!

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I love to play poker with my buddies every week or so. I use what I have learned as a trader to help me win at poker, not necessarily the other way around. I am not a pro poker player nor have any illusions of grandeur. But I typically win most of the time. My trading discipline has helped with my poker play. Getting away from a hand is similar to bailing out of a losing position, for example. Pot odds, r to r, and some abstract stuff definitely cross over between both worlds, imo.

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Thanks for the tip Moyyim but I'm already a trader and one of the reasons I chose this path was so I wouldn't need to be recruited. I appreciate the thought though. By the way, my trader's discipline paid off again as I took home the goods after this past Saturday's game. Lol..

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interesting article.

I wonder how these firms will react when their star recruits go all in with the firms money!

 

While I think there are a lot of traits that are similar I also hope that people don't think that it is the be all and end all....otherwise we will know where the next financial crisis will come from.

its a good idea for those applying for a job to at least learn the rules.

Maybe bankers should all be tested with a game of monopoly, and journalists with a game of scrabble.

 

Game theory in pratice is good, and conditions the mind frame for that stucture activity you're going to do. :missy:

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