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Jumper

Price Action Traders, What Actually is It?

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Hi,

 

For those of you out there, what ACTUALLY is tape reading, in our day and age? What do you think trading off "price action" means? 1min chart with DOM? Tick charts? T&S?

 

I have a dilemma, all indicators I have ever used are completely useless, when it comes down to it, they might look fancy in hindsight, but thats about it. So I tend to try to stick to clean charts, 2m with volume and DOM, trading mainly index futs. What exactly is tape reading? Is using a time-based chart wrong for this because of time itself pushing the chart through, so you get a distorted perception? True price action would be something that is PURE price moving by itself, when it wants not being forced to draw empty bars/candles on a time based chart etc? Wouldn't it?

 

I'm just interested to hear from those who ACTUALLY know what they are talking about, that have the experience, that can share with us what trading is actually all about, most successful traders I have seen, and this is personally, from my own experience, have been traders who scalp or trade with just price action, reading the order flow, watching for the bigger players etc It seems to me that its the 90% that get it wrong that are the ones that use MACDs, RSIs, MAs etc. Does it even matter what method/indicator one uses? It seems as though it doesn't, indicators seem to be of not much use if you ask me, so there has to be something else at play?

 

Would be glad to hear some refreshing honest insights/knowledge about what it actually takes to read price action, what it takes to trade properly, the things that one should be looking out for etc.

 

Please dont turn this thread into a fight fest, or a puff your chest up contest.

 

Jumper.

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One recurring theme that will constantly pop up from many traders is that price action is all you need and indicators are a waste of time. Personally, they are just tools derived from the price action so if they help - like any tools then great - otherwise spending countless hours looking for the holy grail is a waste of time.

 

Trading off price action is a combination of watching the market as its trading and then putting the current flow of the market into context - uptrend, downtrend, resistance, support - in which certain repeatable patterns can be followed. these patterns may only offer a 50-50 chance of ideal success (that is they will be profitable) but with proper trade management of cutting losses and running profits on a good risk reward ratio, then, taken over a series of trades you should be profitable.

No indicators, no hope, no second guessing - just simple planning based on setups which will will be profitable if the pattern fits the ideal result.

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Price is created by transactions. Price action involves study of price's movement. Technically, if you want to just watch pure price action, you'll either be watching T&S or a 1 tick (trade) chart.

 

Anything else is simply a summary of price. Time bars (10s, 1m, 5m, etc) simply group all the trades into time windows. Range bars do so by movement around predetermined price intervals. And the list goes on.

 

Few traders I know actually trade off a 1t chart or T&S, but some do. Most people prefer to look at summaries to more easily picture a larger time frame. I trade intraday based on price off a 1k volume and 5 second chart (on the NQ). Always keep in mind, though, that as you "zoom out", you're getting further and further away from pure price. Otherwise, eventually, you end up trading bars (or candles, if that's your thing), and not price. I think of price as a "flow". How you choose to summarize it, if you do so at all, is up to you.

 

As for how to trade price action, I second the recommendation to the Wyckoff forum. Richard Wyckoff had a very firm grasp on price action, supply and demand, support and resistance, value, and how to trade all of it.

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There are different types of price action traders...the one commonality they have is they don't use indicators. However, although I don't use indicators, I'm not going to announce they are "completely useless" if I don't want this thread to turn into fight fest. :doh:

 

As to the percentage of losing traders...I see the same on both sides of town and both sides have simple and complex trade methods.

 

Regardless, there is no one type of price action only trader. I can name 10 different types of price action only traders. Thus, there's no one definition as in one size fits all because we really have sub-groups. However, if you want to classify us as price action only traders...just say we don't use indicators.

 

...Would be glad to hear some refreshing honest insights/knowledge about what it actually takes to read price action, what it takes to trade properly, the things that one should be looking out for etc.

 

Learn to understand market dynamics such as supply/demand analysis, key market events et cetera. As to what it takes to trade properly...that should be obvious (e.g. money management, discipline, proper capitalization, proper trading platform, adequate trading equipement et cetera). I'm sure you've heard all of that before...no magic lightbulb.

 

Mark

 

------------------------------

 

Hi,

 

For those of you out there, what ACTUALLY is tape reading, in our day and age? What do you think trading off "price action" means? 1min chart with DOM? Tick charts? T&S?

 

I have a dilemma, all indicators I have ever used are completely useless, when it comes down to it, they might look fancy in hindsight, but thats about it. So I tend to try to stick to clean charts, 2m with volume and DOM, trading mainly index futs. What exactly is tape reading? Is using a time-based chart wrong for this because of time itself pushing the chart through, so you get a distorted perception? True price action would be something that is PURE price moving by itself, when it wants not being forced to draw empty bars/candles on a time based chart etc? Wouldn't it?

 

I'm just interested to hear from those who ACTUALLY know what they are talking about, that have the experience, that can share with us what trading is actually all about, most successful traders I have seen, and this is personally, from my own experience, have been traders who scalp or trade with just price action, reading the order flow, watching for the bigger players etc It seems to me that its the 90% that get it wrong that are the ones that use MACDs, RSIs, MAs etc. Does it even matter what method/indicator one uses? It seems as though it doesn't, indicators seem to be of not much use if you ask me, so there has to be something else at play?

 

Would be glad to hear some refreshing honest insights/knowledge about what it actually takes to read price action, what it takes to trade properly, the things that one should be looking out for etc.

 

Please dont turn this thread into a fight fest, or a puff your chest up contest.

 

Jumper.

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Actually most PA traders do use indicators.

 

Typically the either use the indicator called an OHLC bar or the indicator called the candlestick. But some of them use TPOs!

 

Ahh you say ... but they don't hide information behind complex formulae that the trader doesn't understand. But they do. I was listening to a video today by a hedge fund manager/trader who has a serious history of financial success and he described support and resistance and was discussing why in situation X he drew it at the candle bodies .. but in Y at the extremes.

 

And damned if he didn't say that it was because the body represented most of the price action during the candle. Now you guys are truly horrified by this because you've used market profile and volume profiles (more summaries or processing of info = another damned indicator) so you know ... all the candle body represents is the difference between the opening price and the closing price. It doesn't say that most of the activity took place in that space simply where it started and ended.

 

So, candlesticks, ohlc bars, market profile tpos, etc etc ... they all summarize/process the raw price info to make it simpler. And like every other indicator they confuse people - even extremely competent and successful hedge fund managers!

 

Unless the people take the trouble to truly understand the tools that they use. And then use them well.

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agree Kiwi - but I guess not to get too philosophical - its all a tool.

 

Imagine talking to two carpenters - one who will tell you about the leverage and physics involved in driving an object of metallic zinc alloy into a natural organic substance that has been processed, refined and cut, using another metallic object of forged steel and human natural movement of extra leverage between the radius and humerus, the other says I use a hammer to nail things together. :)

I guess your example is more along the lines of one of the carpenter telling you that a hammer is the best tool to cut an obect and then using it to pound a piece of wood to make it fit.

You do have to laugh when an expert describes his tool in a manner that is not really correct. I cant talk - I am terrible at describing some things - its a matter of assuming knowledge and personal interpretation I guess.

was it a video course or something on the internet?

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It was a paid course. The amazing thing is that the guy really is good but repeated the assertion a number of times.

 

The funny thing is that he and I would do a very similar thing but I do it for a real reason and he appears to do it for a reason that has no basis in reality - and reflects a faulty understanding of his indicator (ohlc candlesticks).

 

My issue isn't the tools ... its the prissy holier than thou stuff that seems to go with purity.

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I think that your insight is far more widespread than you might imagine.

We all see shonky vendors selling systems that you can tell are shonky, however there are plenty of good traders around who are invariably good for other reasons than the ones they use to explain to other people. Sometimes, you might find someone who has incredible intuition, great money management, an ability to be able say i am wrong, go from long to short and vice versa and just be in the zone of the market. However when asked to give a replicable rationale reasons for how they do it they are "forced" to come up with a reason as opposed to saying - "I dont really know how I do it, I just trade".

If trading other peoples money and you say that - goodbye credibility.

There is so much misunderstanding in many of these things that sometimes even a spurious explanation is better than the real thing. We humans are a strange lot.

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Price is created by transactions. Price action involves study of price's movement. Technically, if you want to just watch pure price action, you'll either be watching T&S or a 1 tick (trade) chart.

 

Anything else is simply a summary of price. Time bars (10s, 1m, 5m, etc) simply group all the trades into time windows. Range bars do so by movement around predetermined price intervals. And the list goes on.

 

Few traders I know actually trade off a 1t chart or T&S, but some do. Most people prefer to look at summaries to more easily picture a larger time frame. I trade intraday based on price off a 1k volume and 5 second chart (on the NQ). Always keep in mind, though, that as you "zoom out", you're getting further and further away from pure price. Otherwise, eventually, you end up trading bars (or candles, if that's your thing), and not price. I think of price as a "flow". How you choose to summarize it, if you do so at all, is up to you.

 

As for how to trade price action, I second the recommendation to the Wyckoff forum. Richard Wyckoff had a very firm grasp on price action, supply and demand, support and resistance, value, and how to trade all of it.

 

Good post, thanks to all who have answered so far.

 

So does anyone here actually trade successfully with a 1 tick chart? This for me is a pure price chart, every single move, no "overview" of a certain time period, just the market, it moves when it moves, not when the time runs out.

 

Keep the discussion going, its something that it rarely properly talked about, I don't think a pure PA trader is one that just doesn't use indicators, theres more to it than that, they have that feel for the market, I suppose getting to know your market is essential for a pure PA trader.

 

Thanks all again :)

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Good post, thanks to all who have answered so far.

 

So does anyone here actually trade successfully with a 1 tick chart? This for me is a pure price chart, every single move, no "overview" of a certain time period, just the market, it moves when it moves, not when the time runs out.

 

Keep the discussion going, its something that it rarely properly talked about, I don't think a pure PA trader is one that just doesn't use indicators, theres more to it than that, they have that feel for the market, I suppose getting to know your market is essential for a pure PA trader.

 

Thanks all again :)

 

I am curious to know why this is important for you to have a definition of what a Price Action Trader is? Do you think this is going to help you to trade better? Does it really matter? You can have everlasting debates about what a price action trader is and what not, but in the end isn't finding a profitable method more important, regardless if you are using 5 minute charts and moving averages, or one tick charts?

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I am curious to know why this is important for you to have a definition of what a Price Action Trader is? Do you think this is going to help you to trade better? Does it really matter? You can have everlasting debates about what a price action trader is and what not, but in the end isn't finding a profitable method more important, regardless if you are using 5 minute charts and moving averages, or one tick charts?

 

Well obviously it won't make anyone a better trader because no one is willing to share anything that will actually make a difference, and yes ofcourse finding a profitable method is more important, heard all that before.

 

I am just interested to hear what people themselves actually think a PA Trader is, it gets thrown around a lot, when its not necessarily true.

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Well obviously it won't make anyone a better trader because no one is willing to share anything that will actually make a difference, and yes ofcourse finding a profitable method is more important, heard all that before.

 

How do you expect knowing the definition of a PA trader is going to make a difference and help you being a better trader? What kind of answer are you looking for that you will consider "make a difference"? Let's for argument sake say we all agree trading from a one tick chart without anything else is the definition. How will you use this definition to become a better trader? Or are you really looking for someone to tell you how they trade and not so much what the definition of a PA trader is?

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How do you expect knowing the definition of a PA trader is going to make a difference and help you being a better trader? What kind of answer are you looking for that you will consider "make a difference"? Let's for argument sake say we all agree trading from a one tick chart without anything else is the definition. How will you use this definition to become a better trader? Or are you really looking for someone to tell you how they trade and not so much what the definition of a PA trader is?

 

Did I ever say I was looking for answers that make me a better trader? Dunno what your problem is.

 

As far as I know, this is a discussion forum, you know, for discussing things. Not everything has to help you become a better trader, sounds like your the one looking to become a better trader anyway. I am, for the second time, just interested to hear what people perceive a PA Trader to be, and what a PA Trader actually looks at, like if anyone looks at T&S or stares at the DOM, or whether they just look at a tick chart, 1 min, 5 min. Whatever. Not that hard to understand.

 

Nothing to do with anyone trying to be a "better trader". Re-read the last sentence in my original post. :doh:

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one tick charts are useless 99% of the time for chart watching price action.

 

They might be useless for 99% of people or even 99% of applications but not necessarily 99% of the time. Mind you the types of trader that are analysing tick by tick are less likely to use charts at all so perhaps your are right :)

 

I think its probably up to the individual trader to define their terms. For example sampling the data into bars and taking trades based on levels that those bars reveal is the essense of price action trading to me. Bars (to me) are indicative of price but not indicators per se. Filtering or using other derivatives of price are not 'price action' (again only to me). Frequently traders who use derivative methods will still use price action as a component of there trading. e.g. when there awesomo oscillator is saying sell they might still use a bar break out to trigger.

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Sevensa is often rough, but perhaps it can be helpful (though I am not sure if that's his intention). If you honestly answer to yourself the questions he asks, you might get a better insight at what it is that you are looking for and why. And maybe make some conclusions. Or not.

_________________

 

AFAIK, DbPhoenix started trading off 1 tick chart some time ago. But it is not the only chart he uses. He does his prep on CVB charts (finds S/R), then he watches 30 s or 1 min chart for overview of intraday moves and then he uses 1 tick to watch action in the areas of his interest. AFAIK he used 5 s chart before he started to use 1 tick.

Unfortunatelly, DbPhoenix hasn't been active on TL for the last 3 months. But you can find his insights in his blog and in Wyckoff Forum.

 

Regarding definition of PA trading, I think the core meaning is to base your trading decisions on watching demand / supply changes at key areas. You determine S/R and you watch traders' behavior when price gets there. How they push to get through, how hard sellers and buyers try and what they achieve. And your task is to determine the point of victory of one side, that is the moment when the other side is done, exhausted, and gives up. And to determine the key zones of S/R, a PA trader usually uses AMT (auction market theory). Or at least that's how I see it.

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If a tradable has enough liquidity to be worthwhile for trading then there are often 1000 ticks at the same price and more often hundreds of ticks moving around 2 to 3 minimum movements making one tick charts nothing but horizontal lines most of the time.

 

Price movement confirmation of some indicated state is a good point.

 

These are tough topics. Trading futures or options is the way to go.

Equities are illusive to many of the tactics posted here. Because:

How much volume is just shaking for rebates? (most?)

How much of the price move is directed from flash reading and front running?

etc. These things have ended trading careers.

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If a tradable has enough liquidity to be worthwhile for trading then there are often 1000 ticks at the same price and more often hundreds of ticks moving around 2 to 3 minimum movements making one tick charts nothing but horizontal lines most of the time.

 

Wonder if that small tick chart used in conjunction with a significant move on a CVD plot at a key predetermined S/R level might bring that flat line more to life?

 

Also, I've seen interesting uses of tick divergence (for Equity Futures) in these situations. As mentioned previously, see Wyckoff forum.

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It's important that Jumper understands (I'm sure he does) that there is no "one size that fits all" for the definition of a price action only trader. Also, I myself don't think a definition is important unless we need to label ourselves for discussion purposes.

 

I myself use second charts (20s and 30s), 1min, 2min, 3min, 5min, 15min, 60min and daily charts as a price action only trader. I tend to go with the lower chart intervals (second charts and 1min charts) during extremely volatile price action and when I don't want to hang around too long. However, if there's one chart interval I've used more often than the others it's the 2min chart and not because it has some sort'uv advantage (it doesn't)...I use it more often than the others out of habit and that could be due to space limitations of my monitors (how much information I want to see).

 

Important stuff to me are volatility analysis, supply/demand analysis, support/resistance zones, intermarket analysis, japanese candlestick analysis and global economics to prevent tunnel vision. Each one of the things I've mentioned can be broken down into sub-categories and I've used the same thing +25 years except for japanese candlesticks (early 90's). I studied price action for about 5 years prior to my very first trade. I'm not into DOM, tick charts, indicators, moving averages nor volume in my own trading. I'm not saying the stuff doesn't work...I just don't use them and you may see me post charts about such (rarely) in reply to someone that does use it.

 

Jumper made the comment that "no one is willing to share anything that will actually make a difference".

 

That's a matter of perspective because I've seen lots of sharing here at Traderslaboratory.com and other discussion forums that some find the information very useful while others don't. For example, I mention I don't use volume. If someone shares methods or trading tips involving volume...it's not going to make a difference for me because I don't use it nor will I be interested in such conversations. However, someone else that does use volume may find the information being shared very useful. Simply, it's really just a matter of perspective based upon our interests, beliefs, experiences about what's useful.

 

Once again, there's no one definition and every price action only trader I've met uses something different or something with the same label but in a different way in comparison to another price action only trader.

Edited by wrbtrader

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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