Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Thank you for the hint. When the smallest containers are made more carefully (widen for closes within the container, starting with the 9:15 bar), the gaussians are much clearer.

 

If the attached annotations are more correct, I still don't understand why the thick container is over and done with at the end of the third medium container. Is it that the ve's of the thick thing caused by the third medium container are at a higher volume than pt 2(thick)? Maybe reannotating the first medium with newfound care will show enough examples at the thin level for differentiation.

 

 

Now you just have to think in terms of fractals. Thick thing is nothing more than a medium thing on a larger fractal. And medium thing is nothing more than one of the three thin things of a medium thing on a larger fractal. :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
... When the smallest containers are made more carefully (widen for closes within the container, ...
Spydertrader's 10 cases (Tapes) post looks only at bars, without mentioning their closes. So, I think that although those closes offer useful information about the market's sentiment, they're not significant for tape drawing.

 

11926d1246812953-price-volume-relationship-tentapes.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Dax follow-up. I hope it can be helpful.

Thanks for the chart. This helps to clarify several issues I have been struggling to resolve. The 15:55 bar VE's the magenta LTL, so it cannot be an FTT of the magenta container. However, it finishes the gaussian sequence for the magenta. The B2B (for the next sequence on the same fractal) starts on the same bar so the VE hasn't caused price to "go around again" and our B2B doesn't start on an FTT. So clearly not all p1's are FTT's. Thank you for your help.

Dax.thumb.jpg.9f2ea8db5a1e0df7536b6f04997dd25f.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
See question in chart snippet...

 

If you're looking for a traverse FTT, then the tapes for that leg must be completed. Where is your tape point 3?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you're looking for a traverse FTT, then the tapes for that leg must be completed. Where is your tape point 3?

 

See attached...

 

There are 3 tape level BOs... and what appears to be an FTT. I don't understand why the FTT I marked in my original drawing isn't the traverse level FTT.

 

Edit: the pt 1, pt 2 and pt3 are for the traverse in the snippet... sorry for the confusion.

5aa7104156dab_22823d1288987324-price-volume-relationship-es-12-10-11_5_2010-5-min1132829-2.png.eb74ef67e77c4c088cb80cf38d820dca.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
See question in chart snippet...

 

The market creates an FTT while moving from RTL to LTL, right? How does the market move from RTL to LTL? In a dominant or non-dominant fashion? Now look at the bar you highlighted. HTH.

 

Edit: Now, it is not only about the price but also about the volume :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
See question in chart snippet...

I think I understand your question, look at my order of events, anything with 'looking' is not coming into the present yet. My guest is at your orange traverse I was waiting for 4b to complete then 4c to complete then 4 to complete, lots of waiting I know!

5aa71041c7046_ES12-1011_5_2010(5Min).thumb.jpg.c6f92560ba8cd43af293d6691b2584c4.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
See attached...

 

There are 3 tape level BOs... and what appears to be an FTT. I don't understand why the FTT I marked in my original drawing isn't the traverse level FTT.

 

Edit: the pt 1, pt 2 and pt3 are for the traverse in the snippet... sorry for the confusion.

 

I see Gucci already covered this one for you. Put another way, price showed you a pt3, volume didn't.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Fractal drill. Enjoy.

 

First question: "Why should one know, 35 minutes into the day, that our point two is not on the cards yet?".

Gucci, is that because the increasing red volume that occurs is on a bar that is a pennant break out, which does not change dominance (from black to red)?

 

Question 2 and 3 have me stumped, but I will keep thinking ...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
First question: "Why should one know, 35 minutes into the day, that our point two is not on the cards yet?".

Gucci, is that because the increasing red volume that occurs is on a bar that is a pennant break out, which does not change dominance (from black to red)?

 

Question 2 and 3 have me stumped, but I will keep thinking ...

 

Think in terms of "INSIDE". Why do you think I posted the chart with the rest of the previous day?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Think in terms of "INSIDE". Why do you think I posted the chart with the rest of the previous day?

 

The FBP breakout bar is outside the last dominant tape of the up traverse (hope my fractal descriptions are accurate), but is still INSIDE the up traverse-container carried over from the previous day (with whitish trend line and light green point 3).

 

A point 2 must always break the rtl of the previous trend, so that's why our point 2 is not on the cards yet?

 

With regard to questions 2 and 3:

 

I would have annotated the increasing red Gaussian up to the last red bar after the annotated pink point 2 (I think the time is 10:15), and then the point 3 on the black ibgs at 10:25 which you say is wrong. It is not clear to me, but the only thing I can think of is that although we have a point 2 with red dominance established, and thereafter an up-tape that breaks the rtl of the down tape, the volume is not perhaps 2b, in the sense it must be DECLINING BLACK after the R2R. This occurs on the way to the actual point 3 that you have annotated. But the 10:20 black bar IS declining, so I don't find my argument very convincing, but I don't have any other. :confused:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I've redone 10-13 to 10-15 several times now, and consistently end up in the same place (attached). A review of the newly posted drills, and the elitetrader.com discussion of VE's will probably yield new questions, but in the meantime any pointers to errors in my annotations would be greatly appreciated.

1013final.thumb.png.587e37fac58d0177aaba56ff5bb85313.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The FBP breakout bar is outside the last dominant tape of the up traverse (hope my fractal descriptions are accurate), but is still INSIDE the up traverse-container carried over from the previous day (with whitish trend line and light green point 3).

 

A point 2 must always break the rtl of the previous trend, so that's why our point 2 is not on the cards yet?

 

 

A point 2 must BE outside of the previous thing RTL. AND it MUST be preceded by X2X sequence of the volume. One of these conditions wasn’t fulfilled at the time in questionon on the trading fractal.

 

 

With regard to questions 2 and 3:

 

I would have annotated the increasing red Gaussian up to the last red bar after the annotated pink point 2 (I think the time is 10:15), and then the point 3 on the black ibgs at 10:25 which you say is wrong.

 

I didn’t say it is wrong. I said we do not have it at 10:25. When annotating REAL TIME we DO have a point 3 at 10:25. So your annotations would be right. But as future comes into the present the market corrects them and shows you the actual point 3.

 

 

It is not clear to me, but the only thing I can think of is that although we have a point 2 with red dominance established, and thereafter an up-tape that breaks the rtl of the down tape, the volume is not perhaps 2b, in the sense it must be DECLINING BLACK after the R2R.

This occurs on the way to the actual point 3 that you have annotated. But the 10:20 black bar IS declining, so I don't find my argument very convincing, but I don't have any other. :confused:

 

The market moved to its point 2 (first dominant leg) creating the faster fractal thing underway. Such being the case you should anticipate the second dominant leg (2R) being created the similar way. So annotating REAL TIME at 10:25 (your provisional point 3)you anticipate the second dominant leg. This second dominant leg should be created by a faster fractal thing. So there is no way you should look for a signal of change at 10:30-10:40 area. Now try to work forward from here using the same logic in conjuction with volume sequences and you will also understand why we do not have a faster fractal thing annotated from 10:25 onward. (see the chart with the clue)

 

HTH.

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/attachments/34/22827d1289141533-price-volume-relationship-drill.jpg

 

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/attachments/34/22828d1289141545-price-volume-relationship-clue.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This is a response to some specific questions asked by one of the users.

 

Hi Gucci,

 

Thanks for putting the charts and clarification. On your chart notes, you mentioned that a bar that VE the LTL would suggest a new point 3. Can you explain further why that is so in the context of the same chart you are describing ?

 

TQVM

 

22804d1288827449-price-volume-relationship-traverse2.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The market moved to its point 2 (first dominant leg) creating the faster fractal thing underway. Such being the case you should anticipate the second dominant leg (2R) being created the similar way.

For clarification, it should be noted that this statement is not reliable. Example attached.

clip.jpg.341de9bbdf383815d1c61055fde59ae6.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
For clarification, it should be noted that this statement is not reliable. Example attached.

 

Not really sure what you are trying to point out. You used the same chart that Gucci was using so I am not sure how you are concluding his statement is not reliable.

 

Do you mind clarifying what you were trying to say?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Gucci,

 

Thanks for putting the charts and clarification. On your chart notes, you mentioned that a bar that VE the LTL would suggest a new point 3. Can you explain further why that is so in the context of the same chart you are describing ?

 

TQVM

 

 

I thought about the statement on the VE -- since VE can't have the FTT, we therefore need the sequence to be completed , therefore a new point would have to be formed to get the FTT of the container. In part, that would seem also to explain the M1 and M2 moves mentioned by Jack in some older threads -- on condition that the close is in the zone between the old LTL and new LTL.

 

Would that be right ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I thought about the statement on the VE -- since VE can't have the FTT, we therefore need the sequence to be completed , therefore a new point would have to be formed to get the FTT of the container. In part, that would seem also to explain the M1 and M2 moves mentioned by Jack in some older threads -- on condition that the close is in the zone between the old LTL and new LTL.

 

Would that be right ?

 

The only thing to add is that not all of the VEs let you anticipate the new point 3. Some of them coincide with the completion of a faster fractal thing inside of the trading fractal. So you get the last 2X of the trading fractal AND the last 2x of the faster fractal which coincide, so to speak, and propel the price beyond LTL. You just have to pay attention and differentiate different types of VEs. In our example the market shot from RTL and beyound LTL on one bar.

 

HTH.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Not really sure what you are trying to point out. You used the same chart that Gucci was using so I am not sure how you are concluding his statement is not reliable.

 

Do you mind clarifying what you were trying to say?

OK. Put it another way. Gucci's statement was true for the specific example that he used but it is NOT true to suggest that the 2nd dominant leg will always be built by a faster sequence just because the first dominant leg was built by a faster sequence.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 25th April 2024. Investors Monitor a Potential Japanese Intervention, and upcoming Tech Earnings. Meta stocks top earnings expectations, but revenue guidance for the next 6 months triggers significant selloff. Meta stocks decline 15.00% and the Magnificent Seven also trade lower. Japanese Authorities are on watch and most market experts predict the Japanese Federal Government will intervene once again. The Japanese Yen is the day’s worst performing currency while the Australian Dollar continues to top the charts. The US Dollar trades 0.10% lower, but this afternoon’s performance is likely to be dependent on the US GDP. USA100 – Meta Stocks Fall 15% On the Next 6-Months Guidance The NASDAQ has declined 1.51% over the past 24 hours, unable to maintain momentum from Monday and Tuesday. Technical analysts advise the decline is partially simply a break in the bullish momentum and the asset continues to follow a bullish correction pattern. However, if the decline continues throughout the day, the retracement scenario becomes a lesser possibility. In terms of indications and technical analysis, most oscillators, and momentum-based signals point to a downward price movement. The USA100 trades below the 75-Bar EMA, below the VWAP and the RSI hovers above 40.00. All these factors point towards a bearish trend. The bearish signals are also likely to strengthen if the price declines below $17,295.11. The stock which is experiencing considerably large volatility is Meta which has fallen more than 15.00%. The past quarter’s earnings beat expectations and according to economists, remain stable and strong. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.10% and revenue was as expected. However, company expenses significantly rose in the past quarter and the guidance for the second half of the year is lower than previous expectations. These two factors have caused investors to consider selling their shares and cashing in their profits. Meta’s decline is one of the main causes for the USA100’s bearish trend. CFRA Senior Analyst, Angelo Zino, advises the selloff may be a slight over reaction based on earnings data. If Meta stocks rise again, investors can start to evaluate a possible upward correction. However, a concern for investors is that more and more companies are indicating caution for the second half of the year. The price movements will largely now depend on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings tonight after market close. Microsoft is the most influential stock for the NASDAQ and Alphabet is the third. The two make up 14.25% of the overall index. If the two companies also witness their stocks decline after the earnings reports, the USA100 may struggle to gain upward momentum. EURJPY – Will Japan Intervene Again? In the currency market, the Japanese Yen remains within the spotlight as investors believe the Japanese Federal Government is likely to again intervene. The Federal Government has previously intervened in the past 12 months which caused a sharp rise in the Yen before again declining. The government opted for this option in an attempt to hinder a further decline. Volatility within the Japanese Yen will also depend on today’s US GDP reading and tomorrow’s Core PCE Price Index. However, investors will more importantly pay close attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Investors will be keen to see if the central bank believes it is appropriate to again hike in 2024 as well as comment regarding inflation and the economy. In terms of technical analysis, breakout levels can be considered as areas where the exchange rate may retrace or correct. Breakout levels can be seen at 166.656 and 166.333. However, the only indicators pointing to a decline are the RSI and similar oscillators which advise the price is at risk of being “overbought”. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $ALVR AlloVir stock bottom breakout watch, huge upside gap, https://stockconsultant.com/?ALVR
    • $DIS Disney stock attempting to move higher off the 112.79 triple support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?DIS
    • $ADCT Adc Therapeutics stock flat top breakout watch above 5.31, https://stockconsultant.com/?ADCT
    • $CXAI CXApp stock local support and resistance areas at 2.78, 3.52 and 5.19, https://stockconsultant.com/?CXAI
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.