Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

PS: to anyone, how can I get multiply quotes included from a post?

there is only the one, as above and the rest have not been displayed in the same way

 

If you wish t 'multiple quote' the same person (from the same post), simply copy the fist portion of the quoted text( in the example of me quoting you: [ qoute=zt379;105310 ], and then, paste it in front of the text you wish to quote. Also, include the "closed quote" box at the end of each quoted section.

 

HTH.

 

-Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Before I answer, why not extend your annotations (which began on the 13th) out until 10:30 AM (Eastern Time) on the 15th of October.

- Spydertrader

 

Concerning the Traverse (I am now certain of this...no really!) that ended at 10:30et the 15th.

 

I believe I can understand this area being a Traverse using the 2min YM. Not that I am adverse to using the YM for clarity but I want to avoid using it to cover a knowledge gap.

 

I am leaning toward the idea that this Traverse is knowable using only the 5min ES. Is this a reasonable conclusion?

 

TIA

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Concerning the Traverse (I am now certain of this...no really!) that ended at 10:30et the 15th.

 

Didn't we see a channel end on the 13th at 2:15 (Eastern Time)? What then must have ended at 10:30 on the 15th (based on what the market showed you after the 10:30 mark. (Eastern Time)

 

I am leaning toward the idea that this Traverse is knowable using only the 5min ES. Is this a reasonable conclusion?

 

Everything remains 'knowable' by using a single time frame chart (with equities, one uses a daily chart to see the same information we look to see on a five minute time frame). However, it may be the case that, sometimes, certain people need to use another tool to learn to see that which another finds perfecty clear - without using the additional tool.

 

Once someone can see that which once appeared obscure, the 'learning tool' is no longer required for learning or seeing.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

 

Edit: Keep in mind the following: At one point in history, only one time frame existed - daily. Back then, one could not 'look to another tool' for answers. Today, you do have the ability to locate answers by using another tool, but that does not mean it is the only way to locate answers. Some just find it an easier way.

Edited by Spydertrader
clarification

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Didn't we see a channel end on the 13th at 2:15 (Eastern Time)? What then must have ended at 10:30 on the 15th (based on what the market showed you after the 10:30 mark. (Eastern Time)

 

 

I think I jumped a fractal in trying to convey my meaning. :) In my last post I was focused only on the morning of the 15th but I did not make that clear. I did not mean to infer that everything up to the 15th was a Traverse.

 

My apologies, I should have attached this chart with the last post.

 

Thanks!

es1015trav.thumb.png.779019beafbd133d5bd8d2d2f04122a3.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It seems that you decided that the nondominant gaussian color doesn't matter. Would you explain why does it make things easier for you?

 

"Your current 'view' of the market as transitioning from increasing to decreasing to increasing again (in terms of Volume) doesn't provide the most accurate interpretation. Instead, monitor from the standpoint of dominant to non-dominant and back to dominant again.

 

Use the Gaussians as an 'indicator' of dominance in order to have them 'match' the trend lines. On many of my charts, the non-dominant portion of the Gaussians do not have the same color as the Volume bars tracked. In other words, the Gaussian lines track dominant vs non-dominant Price Movement, rather than Volume bar coloration. The subtle difference often sits where one finds the market 'mode'.

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader"

 

A few portions of spydertrader's comments jumped out at me.First,NON-DOM GAUSSIANS many times DO NOT have the SAME COLOR as the volume bars tracked.Second,dom vs non-dom gaussian lines track PRICE MOVEMENT,rather that volume bar coloration.Third,use the gaussians as an "INDICATOR" of dominance.Hence the emphasis on dominant gaussians and less on non-dom gaussians as my "indicator" of market dominance.hth

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I think I jumped a fractal in trying to convey my meaning. :)

 

O.K. Now, if if you know something ended at 10:30 on the 15th, and that something represents the exact same something that ended on the 13th (at 2:15), then you also know what must come next with respect to the next thing (which begins at 10:30 on the 15th).

 

Have you annotated in the exact same fashion (based on context, pace and order of events) for each of these two areas?

 

Previous Chart

 

Newly posted revised chart snip.

 

Note the location differences in the medium weight pink line.

 

- Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hence the emphasis on dominant gaussians and less on non-dom gaussians as my "indicator" of market dominance.hth

 

I did not intend to transfer a diminished emphasis on non-dominance, or non-dominant gaussian movement relative to dominance, or dominant gaussian movement. After all, one cannot arrive at Point Three without moving in a non-dominant direction.

 

Make sure you fully comprehend the information provided by the Gaussian Lines.

 

- Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I did not intend to transfer a diminished emphasis on non-dominance, or non-dominant gaussian movement relative to dominance, or dominant gaussian movement. After all, one cannot arrive at Point Three without moving in a non-dominant direction.

 

Make sure you fully comprehend the information provided by the Gaussian Lines.

 

- Spydertrader

Originally Posted by cnms2 It seems that you decided that the nondominant gaussian color doesn't matter. Would you explain why does it make things easier for you?

 

Some time ago i discovered that my charting platform had a volume study that showed the volume bars as either lite gray for decreasing volume bars or dark gray for increasing volume bars(all in relation to the previous volume bar).I found it helpful to view this study for a while because it highlited the difference between peaks and troughs quite well.JHM is based on the order of events on fractals where the the peaks and troughs indicate dominant and non-dominant market behavior.I have found it easier to read the market sentiment and fractal nesting by showing dominant market direction with black or red color and non-dominant market direction with gray color.Since i usually trade only the dominant direction (unless volatility is unusually large) it helps with entries/exits and reversals.This also highlites where the market creates a decreasing volume bar after completion of the order of events like has shown in the jokari window(good example of that is today's bar 55).hth

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

The "emphasis" i was referring to was the use of lite gray(vs.black or red) for non-dom gaussians LINES on my charts.

Edited by patrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
O.K. Now, if if you know something ended at 10:30 on the 15th, and that something represents the exact same something that ended on the 13th (at 2:15), then you also know what must come next with respect to the next thing (which begins at 10:30 on the 15th).

 

Yes.

 

Have you annotated in the exact same fashion (based on context, pace and order of events) for each of these two areas?

 

Previous Chart

 

Newly posted revised chart snip.

 

Note the location differences in the medium weight pink line.

 

- Spydertrader

 

Those two charts are not annotated in the same way.

 

Previous Chart

shows my original annotations for Traverse #3 of the Channel which I believe now to be incorrect.

 

Newly posted revised chart snip shows annotations for Traverse #3 that must be correct but I am having issues as to how best to arrive at the fact it is a Traverse. This is what led to my question about ES only or needing to use the YM?

 

I am really sorry for the misunderstanding, I should have been more clear when posting those charts.

 

In an effort to redeem myself a bit, attached is a chart of the entire 10-13 to 10-15 timeframe under discussion. I do have issues with the last Traverse on this chart but I feel like I am heading in the right direction.

 

Thank you very much for your patient advice!

es101315chan.thumb.png.392df70a85c9f1a02d03104e58741bfb.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

On another note,lately i have been putting alot of effort in reference to anything "non-dominant "in order to better annotate and read this portion of the order of events.I reviewed spydertrader's more recent charts(price and volume panes) and his comments both here and in other journals.One of the reasons was i noticed that sometimes volume bars may "increase"(in relation to the previous bar) but he still annotated a non-dominant gaussian line on his chart(especially on the medium and thick lines).This at first appeared to not confirm to the gaussian volume sequences as shown on page one of this journal.What i discovered of course, was others had crossed this path before and advice had been offered. Quote from dkm:

 

Frequently I see increasing volume on the non dom traverse from pt2 to pt3 and then pt3 forms with decreasing volume in the dominant direction. This is not a rare occurence and it continues to confuse me.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

Three things create the scenario you describe.

 

1. Formation Break Outs (as you have in your clip)

 

2. 'Missed' (ommitted annotation) channels

 

3. Intra-Bar Gaussian Shift (Price switches from Dominant to Non-Dominant Intra-Bar)

 

If you have any (or a combination) of the three, anticipate seeing increasing Volume on the Non-Dominant Traverse.

 

- Spydertrader Check out the "increasing" black bar at 10:05 est.First it comes after the dom red down sequence then the market forms a ftp(see number 1 scenario above) formation and breaks out on "increased" volume but this is still a non-dominant event.This "aha" explained the volume pane confusion but what about the price pane? Then i found this by spyder"Gaussian lines track dominant vs non-dominant Price Movement".Price movement? WOW.If the red down sequence is dom than this black price sequence has to be non-dom and next the dom sequence will be red and that would complete the order of events at least on this fractal.Of course, you got the nesting and possible ve's plus maybe fanning the rtl but this really helped me "see" things better.hth

02-03-09.thumb.jpg.53271ed5c01a3c51d4a89da6fd64b408.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
...
OBs are new PT1s.

R2Rs are were black RTLs are crossed.

Try to be very accurate with your annotations, and build them up from the finest observable both on volume and price.

5aa7103e21993_es1015trav.png.9bc714e1a5e493ee7a8bdd69a60be54f.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This is what led to my question about ES only or needing to use the YM?

 

Your latest annotations bring you much, much closer to the actual information provided by the market.

 

Some things to keep in mind:

 

1. Your Pink (first one) down Traverse has a Point One in the incorrect location. If the medium pink trend lines represent acceleration, you do not have a new Point One. The first tape, the first traverse and the channel itself all have the same Point One (Red Number One on your chart) - always and without exception.

 

2. Note the Pace changes. Pace influences all frctals - not just medium and thick.

 

With respect to the use of the YM, pull up a YM chart for the timeframe of your final down traverse (ending at 10:30). What does the YM show you that you cannot see on the ES? Now, look back at the ES. What thing appears to have obscured your view?

 

Use the YM to locate answers for when you find yourself 'stuck.' Apply these answers onto the ES. Soon, you'll see through the fog which appears to obscure your current view.

 

In such a fashion, you'll learn how not become 'stuck' in the first place.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

 

Edit: Please note the above post with respect to the use of the YM does not advocate use of the YM for trading purposes (even though, one could do so with positive results). The above post advises using the YM for learning purposes during periods of debrief in an effort to learn to see that which a trader might not yet have learned to see.

 

Nothing more. Nothing less.

Edited by Spydertrader
clarification of YM use

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
"Your current 'view' of the market as transitioning from increasing to decreasing to increasing again (in terms of Volume) doesn't provide the most accurate interpretation. Instead, monitor from the standpoint of dominant to non-dominant and back to dominant again.

 

Use the Gaussians as an 'indicator' of dominance in order to have them 'match' the trend lines. On many of my charts, the non-dominant portion of the Gaussians do not have the same color as the Volume bars tracked. In other words, the Gaussian lines track dominant vs non-dominant Price Movement, rather than Volume bar coloration. The subtle difference often sits where one finds the market 'mode'.

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader"

 

A few portions of spydertrader's comments jumped out at me.First,NON-DOM GAUSSIANS many times DO NOT have the SAME COLOR as the volume bars tracked.Second,dom vs non-dom gaussian lines track PRICE MOVEMENT,rather that volume bar coloration.Third,use the gaussians as an "INDICATOR" of dominance.Hence the emphasis on dominant gaussians and less on non-dom gaussians as my "indicator" of market dominance.hth

:) From outside may seem amusing how we read the same things, but emphasize and conclude different things. To me the highlighted phrase says that alternation in dominance should be reflected in the annotated color (as it is important), but that it is not always the same as the volume bars' color. For a red container the gaussians should be R2R2B2R while volume bars may not exactly mirror this (note: the first R is the last non-dominant of the previous, overlapped black container).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
... Check out the "increasing" black bar at 10:05 est...
Me view is that the up move starts on the 0955 bar (5th bar of that day), and then accelerates. That chart dates from before this thread, and it doesn't include the adjusted carry-over.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Me view is that the up move starts on the 0955 bar (5th bar of that day), and then accelerates. That chart dates from before this thread, and it doesn't include the adjusted carry-over.

 

Interesting observation.So if this chart had been degapped the 9:55 bar would be a pt 1 of the new up sequence and spydertrader would have annotated the carryover differently?

02-03-09.thumb.jpg.8ec0bca22343819d20aed5a1e3a4300b.jpg

Edited by patrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Your latest annotations bring you much, much closer to the actual information provided by the market.

 

Progress! :cool:

 

The first tape, the first traverse and the channel itself all have the same Point One (Red Number One on your chart) - always and without exception.

 

Thank you for this. On a somewhat related note, is it possible to have more than just a down Traverse(s) en route from Pt 1 to Pt 2 of a Channel? For example, would it be possible to have Down Traverse > Up Traverse > Down Traverse between Pt 1 and Pt 2 of the Channel?

 

I have always believed that Pt 1 to Pt 2 of a Channel must be a "single" (acc's notwithstanding) Traverse. But over the last few days I have begun to question this assertion.

 

2. Note the Pace changes. Pace influences all frctals - not just medium and thick.

 

I want to do some more investigation on this before I pester you with my craziness. :)

 

With respect to the use of the YM, pull up a YM chart for the timeframe of your final down traverse (ending at 10:30). What does the YM show you that you cannot see on the ES? Now, look back at the ES. What thing appears to have obscured your view?

 

Yes! I knew I was on the right track here! A bit more investigation to gain some certainty and this one will be put to bed.

 

Use the YM to locate answers for when you find yourself 'stuck.' Apply these answers onto the ES. Soon, you'll see through the fog which appears to obscure your current view.

 

In such a fashion, you'll learn how not become 'stuck' in the first place.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

 

Edit: Please note the above post with respect to the use of the YM does not advocate use of the YM for trading purposes (even though, one could do so with positive results). The above post advises using the YM for learning purposes during periods of debrief in an effort to learn to see that which a trader might not yet have learned to see.

 

Nothing more. Nothing less.

 

I felt like I had just sat down for an all you can eat buffet while reading this post. Choice morsels everywhere!

 

Thank you so very much for your time and patience!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
... I have always believed that Pt 1 to Pt 2 of a Channel must be a "single" (acc's notwithstanding) Traverse. But over the last few days I have begun to question this assertion....
See post #4 .

threefractals-.jpg.6fa18bb364953531905196ac4bf02533.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
:) From outside may seem amusing how we read the same things, but emphasize and conclude different things. To me the highlighted phrase says that alternation in dominance should be reflected in the annotated color (as it is important), but that it is not always the same as the volume bars' color. For a red container the gaussians should be R2R2B2R while volume bars may not exactly mirror this (note: the first R is the last non-dominant of the previous, overlapped black container).

 

Exactly.Most important for me is knowing where the market is in its order of events and whether the market is in a dominant or non-dominant sequence of the order of events not the "color" of my non-dominant gaussian line.I call the "point" of the first R(or B) a "1.5" because that is where the dominant side of R2R(or B2B) takes control.The first R(or B) is the retrace(non-dom) and the second part (dom)of R2R(or B2B) is the reversal breaking thru the RTL of the previous container.hth

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Some of you might find this chart from Spydertrader VERY informative.

 

Pay attention where points 123 are annotated because they are the points of a trading fractal.(aka traverse)

 

One can learn quite a few things analysing the green 123 (accelerated) starting at 11:50 (close of the bar) and how they fit into the context of blue 123 starting at 10:00.

 

The next area of interest is the pink 123 and the acelerated 123 inside of this traverse.

 

PAY ATTENTION to the POSITION AND COLOUR of the 123 starting at 13:35 (close of the bar).

 

Enjoy some ahas.

Chart..thumb.jpg.a9770c2470f9cbda5041100ff814f186.jpg

Edited by gucci
Stupid rules of TL.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Some of you might find this chart from Spydertrader VERY informative.

 

Pay attention where points 123 are annotated because they are the points of a trading fractal.(aka traverse)

 

One can learn quite a few things analysing the green 123 (accelerated) starting at 11:50 (close of the bar) and how they fit into the context of blue 123 starting at 10:00.

 

The next area of interest is the pink 123 and the acelerated 123 inside of this traverse.

 

PAY ATTENTION to the POSITION AND COLOUR of the 123 starting at 13:35 (close of the bar).

 

Enjoy some ahas.

 

 

 

 

There is one VERY important question on the table here. WHY did the market suggest not to move a point 1 of an accelerated traverse (that started at 13:35) to 14:05?

 

PAY ATTENTION to the annotated TAPES.

 

Sometimes the only thing one has to do to solve a problem is to ask the right questions.:)

Edited by gucci

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
There is one VERY important question on the table here. WHY did the market suggest not to move a point 1 of an accelerated traverse (that started at 13:35) to 14:05?

 

PAY ATTENTION to the annotated TAPES.

 

Sometimes the only thing one has to do to solve a problem is to ask the right questions.:)

 

Is it because we hadn't had a Brown P3 yet by 14:05?

And the reason we hadn't had a Brown P3 by 14:05 is because all price action is still contained within the first Tape from Brown P1 to Brown P2 until 14:10?

In other words, we can't have a new P1 of anything until we've had a P3 of the previous thing we were building?

And we couldn't have had the P3 until we had a separate container (Tape here 14.10 to 14.20) from P2?

Edited by zt379

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 25th April 2024. Investors Monitor a Potential Japanese Intervention, and upcoming Tech Earnings. Meta stocks top earnings expectations, but revenue guidance for the next 6 months triggers significant selloff. Meta stocks decline 15.00% and the Magnificent Seven also trade lower. Japanese Authorities are on watch and most market experts predict the Japanese Federal Government will intervene once again. The Japanese Yen is the day’s worst performing currency while the Australian Dollar continues to top the charts. The US Dollar trades 0.10% lower, but this afternoon’s performance is likely to be dependent on the US GDP. USA100 – Meta Stocks Fall 15% On the Next 6-Months Guidance The NASDAQ has declined 1.51% over the past 24 hours, unable to maintain momentum from Monday and Tuesday. Technical analysts advise the decline is partially simply a break in the bullish momentum and the asset continues to follow a bullish correction pattern. However, if the decline continues throughout the day, the retracement scenario becomes a lesser possibility. In terms of indications and technical analysis, most oscillators, and momentum-based signals point to a downward price movement. The USA100 trades below the 75-Bar EMA, below the VWAP and the RSI hovers above 40.00. All these factors point towards a bearish trend. The bearish signals are also likely to strengthen if the price declines below $17,295.11. The stock which is experiencing considerably large volatility is Meta which has fallen more than 15.00%. The past quarter’s earnings beat expectations and according to economists, remain stable and strong. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.10% and revenue was as expected. However, company expenses significantly rose in the past quarter and the guidance for the second half of the year is lower than previous expectations. These two factors have caused investors to consider selling their shares and cashing in their profits. Meta’s decline is one of the main causes for the USA100’s bearish trend. CFRA Senior Analyst, Angelo Zino, advises the selloff may be a slight over reaction based on earnings data. If Meta stocks rise again, investors can start to evaluate a possible upward correction. However, a concern for investors is that more and more companies are indicating caution for the second half of the year. The price movements will largely now depend on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings tonight after market close. Microsoft is the most influential stock for the NASDAQ and Alphabet is the third. The two make up 14.25% of the overall index. If the two companies also witness their stocks decline after the earnings reports, the USA100 may struggle to gain upward momentum. EURJPY – Will Japan Intervene Again? In the currency market, the Japanese Yen remains within the spotlight as investors believe the Japanese Federal Government is likely to again intervene. The Federal Government has previously intervened in the past 12 months which caused a sharp rise in the Yen before again declining. The government opted for this option in an attempt to hinder a further decline. Volatility within the Japanese Yen will also depend on today’s US GDP reading and tomorrow’s Core PCE Price Index. However, investors will more importantly pay close attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Investors will be keen to see if the central bank believes it is appropriate to again hike in 2024 as well as comment regarding inflation and the economy. In terms of technical analysis, breakout levels can be considered as areas where the exchange rate may retrace or correct. Breakout levels can be seen at 166.656 and 166.333. However, the only indicators pointing to a decline are the RSI and similar oscillators which advise the price is at risk of being “overbought”. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $ALVR AlloVir stock bottom breakout watch, huge upside gap, https://stockconsultant.com/?ALVR
    • $DIS Disney stock attempting to move higher off the 112.79 triple support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?DIS
    • $ADCT Adc Therapeutics stock flat top breakout watch above 5.31, https://stockconsultant.com/?ADCT
    • $CXAI CXApp stock local support and resistance areas at 2.78, 3.52 and 5.19, https://stockconsultant.com/?CXAI
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.