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This chart from Spyder, may be helpful to understand the fractal nature of Gaussians.

 

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2205173

 

Also see the discussion for the context : pages 1630-1636.

 

Forums - Iterative Refinement

 

Spyder, I guess you would allow.

 

 

In order to keep the discussion about fractal nature of the Gaussians afloat, here are some questions. All questions refer to the chart of Spyder quoted above. All times eastern and end of the bar.

 

1. Why does the sequence for the thin lines (thing, goat, tape, whatever) end at

10:30 ?

 

2. Why is the trough for B2B for the medium lines (thing, goat, faster fractal traverse, whatever) located at

10:45 and not at 10:35 ?

 

3. Why is the trough for B2B for the thick lines (thing, goat, trading fractal traverse, whatever) located at

11:10 and not at 10:55 ?

 

4. Why did Spyder tell ehorn he should be able to see three levels of Gaussians here ?(use the chart of Spyder of the previous day)

 

5. Why did the market formed something on the price panel at those B2Bs ?

 

6. Why did Spyder put this blue point 2 at the the end of the last (thick) B2B ?

 

7. Why does this site suck so much forcing me to repost this for the third time because of some silly time limit ? :)

 

Enjoy.

Edited by gucci

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Note where all three fractals come together and where all three fractals diverge.

 

Within Point 3 movement of a Channel, I see 3 segments where all the lines point to the same direction. Marked in green circle in this chart.

5aa71038b611b_fractalsnest.png.71087eb55c476e1e1e1343a8f9e2adbc.png

Edited by wind_
Just realized that my drawing is point 3 movement of a channel

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Gucci,

Thanks for the links.

How can you pick out a particular discussion from such a large thread? You must have some kind of indexing into that thread?

 

Yes, of course I have. The indexing is called "search function". You can use (faster AND fractal) for example or (*aussian*) and enjoy the results. After a while you will understand what Spyder and Jack meant with " doing the work". :) Enjoy it. Do not pay any attention to my excentrical nature or lack of humor.:)

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Within Point 3 movement of a Channel, I see 3 segments where all the lines point to the same direction. Marked in green circle in this chart.

 

Great. Since you've completed the area from Point Three to the FTT (for a chanel), all you need to do now is create a very similar construct for Point One to Point Two of a channel.

 

- Spydertrader

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Is it possible that 2R B2B gaussian happened within one bar? I don't see any other increasing black volume to annotate B2B gaussian for that green up traverse.

 

The Bar to which you refer represents an Intra-Bar Gaussian Shift (I.B.G.S.) - where one Gaussian line ends and another begins. If you pull up a copy of the YM (for this specific area) you should be able to see a B2B form across several bars (instead of just one bar).

 

In other words, ask your question in a slightly different fashion, and you already know the answer. Asking the question as you did, implies something other than you intended.

 

Again, take a look at the YM for this specific area in an effort to 'see' that which the ES currently shows as obscured.

 

- Spydertrader

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So let me make sure my understanding of the nesting is correct by answering your questions without looking at any chart first.

 

I'm not entirely certain you have the Order of Events correct once one sees R2R 2B or B2B 2R. Please review what you must see once the market has shown itself to have reached Point Three. Everything else looked fine. With respect to your 'Big Picture' gaussians, did you arrive at a Point Two in the big picture?

 

Remember, when a dominant channel begins at its Point One, a traverse and a tape also begin at their Point One.

 

- Spydertrader

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all you need to do now is create a very similar construct for Point One to Point Two of a channel.

 

Attached is my drawing for Pt1 to Pt2 channel's gaussians. After gucci's post regarding where to put the through of B2B/R2R, seems like where one puts it is important and I'm not sure whether the way I draw it is correct. Any help is greatly appreciated. Thanks..

5aa71038bd39b_Pt1toPt2ChannelGaussians.thumb.png.5d9e403ea24076625476c2480895ddc6.png

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I'm not sure whether the way I draw it is correct.

 

O.K. look away from the charts again (for a moment).

 

Review this post.

 

See how the B2B forms on a single fractal. Note (by looking at the Volume Bars themselves) how a B2B forms the Point Two.

 

Since the market exists on a fractal basis, all fractals must contain the same attributes.

 

Whether B2B or R2R, the market creates the exact same picture in terms of how a given fractal arrives at a Point Two.

 

Make sure the faster fractals 'nest' correctly by ensuring each faster fractal shows the exact same attributes as the one above.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

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Attached is my drawing for Pt1 to Pt2 channel's gaussians. After gucci's post regarding where to put the through of B2B/R2R, seems like where one puts it is important and I'm not sure whether the way I draw it is correct. Any help is greatly appreciated. Thanks..

 

look at post #2135, read the caption slowly...

fractal2.thumb.png.44ba78efe210575c0f7ec7407769a6da.png

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O.K. look away from the charts again (for a moment).

 

Review this post.

 

See how the B2B forms on a single fractal. Note (by looking at the Volume Bars themselves) how a B2B forms the Point Two.

 

Since the market exists on a fractal basis, all fractals must contain the same attributes.

 

Whether B2B or R2R, the market creates the exact same picture in terms of how a given fractal arrives at a Point Two.

 

Make sure the faster fractals 'nest' correctly by ensuring each faster fractal shows the exact same attributes as the one above.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

 

Spyder, concerning my post with the questions.

 

Would you please review it and either confirm or reject it for the sake of the people reading it. I think a lot of people put a lot of trust in your opinions. I'm sure the answers to the questions can provide a lot of clarity for those still learning. Feel free to say this is not the case.

 

If you try to present the material differently this time or the chart I was referring to in my post is off topic, please let the readers know. I'm sure they are reluctant whether they have to embark on answering the questions asked or not. This may cost them a lot of time and frustration. And you know this is notthe way the stuff is transferred in a most efficient way possible.

 

Regards.

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Concerning my post with the questions. Would you please review it and either confirm or reject it for the sake of the people reading it.

 

I cannot know what information might result in the AHA!! required for any specific individual. However, I can know that which helped one certainly has the possibility of helping another along the path.

 

However, having said that, I might suggest people follow along with the instructions posted here first, and if (after a while), they still do not see that which the market has provided, then that might be a good time to dig deeper into other areas.

 

Remember, how I annotated a chart (in the old threads) had primarily to do with my attempts to get across a certain concept (making things easier [well, somewhat easier] for people to 'see' what the hell I was talking about).

 

In this thread, I've focused on showing people how to teach themselves how to learn accuracy and precision.

 

A subtle difference, yes, but an important distinction none-the-less.

 

Feel free to continue to provide that which you feel others might find helpful.

 

- Spydertrader

Edited by Spydertrader
corrected spelling error

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I'm not entirely certain you have the Order of Events correct once one sees R2R 2B or B2B 2R. Please review what you must see once the market has shown itself to have reached Point Three. Everything else looked fine. With respect to your 'Big Picture' gaussians, did you arrive at a Point Two in the big picture?

 

Remember, when a dominant channel begins at its Point One, a traverse and a tape also begin at their Point One.

 

- Spydertrader

Here's my hand drawing of a point 1, 2 and 3 of a channel with their sub fractals.

Based on this drawing, my "Big Picture" just completed the first 3 segments and point 2 of the channel has not been arrived yet.

3levelsGaussians.thumb.png.ff48c5c5ca143dcc15a04c970a37f580.png

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Based on this drawing, my "Big Picture" just completed the first 3 segments and point 2 of the channel has not been arrived yet.

 

Well, unfortunately, this is not what you have drawn in your attached.

 

Think on this for a moment.

 

Every container arrives at a Point Two in the exact same fashion. We differentiate the various fractals by Gaussian Line thickness, but each individual fractal container still travels through the Order of Events in the very same way as every other fractal.

 

To arrive at a Point Two of a container, a faster container is required.

 

Each container (for every fractal) must complete the Order of Events.

 

What container builds the channels?

 

What container builds that which builds the channels?

 

How do you annotate these three containers in your Volume Pane?

 

Now, given that you know all fractals must complete, and given that you know what the Order of Events is (for any fractal), draw how one arrives at a Point Two of a dominant channel.

 

Remember, we have not progressed passed the Point Two of the channel in this drill (yet).

 

- Spydertrader

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Every container arrives at a Point Two in the exact same fashion. We differentiate the various fractals by Gaussian Line thickness, but each individual fractal container still travels through the Order of Events in the very same way as every other fractal.

What container builds the channels?

What container builds that which builds the channels?

How do you annotate these three containers in your Volume Pane?

I needto get this drawing correct. Here's another attempt.

Each higher level container is built by 3 lower level containers.

3levelsGaussians.thumb.png.14bde0dd43f85e44828adb5c4ebddfee.png

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One issue with the ET threads is that there is so much info, thousands of charts posted from different people, which might be correct or not, personal stuff in between etc... the issue for me is not so much "doing the work" but finding where the info is clearly presented, like in a textbook... I am sure "doing the work" was not referring to wading through thousands of pages, but to reading a statement about a market truth and then doing drills to prove it to oneself? For example, i am confused about some of the gaussian notation, but have not seen one clear exposition on how to annotate them.. my fault, for sure, but I simply do not find the time to search for that info in thousands of pages.

I am using the videos and the Channels for building wealth document and find that quite helpful... but am still confused about where to find the info in a more concise way... or do I really have to tackle the ET threads and read the whole thing?

 

Yes, of course I have. The indexing is called "search function". You can use (faster AND fractal) for example or (*aussian*) and enjoy the results. After a while you will understand what Spyder and Jack meant with " doing the work". :) Enjoy it. Do not pay any attention to my excentrical nature or lack of humor.:)

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One other question I have is what happened to the indicators on the 5 min chart? In the building channels for building wealth document they are present on the 5 min es charts (macd, fast and slow stoch), and Jack refers to them... but now in this thread they are not? Is this a new development or are they still used for sweeping an a finer level later on?

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I needto get this drawing correct. Here's another attempt.

Each higher level container is built by 3 lower level containers.

 

Alright.

 

Now, we are getting somewhere. You've narrowed things down to a binary choice.

 

Which Trough best represents the market fractals in terms of 'nesting'?

 

You've drawn things one way (as did Nkhoi in an earlier post), but another possible way also exists.

 

See Attached.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=22528&stc=1&d=1286743812

 

You (and Nkhoi) show nesting of fractals at the second trough of the diagram. You could have chosen to nest within the first trough of the diagram.

 

What you must now do is determine logically which of these two techniques best describes the market (any market).

 

Look at the attached snippet of your drawing, and then look at an area of the market where you know how the market presented itself. Use the YM if you have to, but test both answers in an effort to arrive at the correct answer.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

decision.jpg.eeb53db6d31f7f10d639597dc0a26f0a.jpg

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One other question ...?
Can't understand why you decided not to follow Spydertrader's advice (posted right on this page): furgeddaboud other threads than this ...

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One other question I have is what happened to the indicators on the 5 min chart? In the building channels for building wealth document they are present on the 5 min es charts (macd, fast and slow stoch), and Jack refers to them... but now in this thread they are not? Is this a new development or are they still used for sweeping an a finer level later on?

 

Indicators represent a relatively recent phenomenon when it comes to trading - growing exponentially with the advent of automated charting software. Prior to the invention of the personal computer, traders (who used charts) drew them by hand. These hand drawn charts contained two indicators - Price and Volume. Since markets have existed long before the invention of (squiggly line type) indicators, I see no reason to include that which plays no role in the Price / Volume Relationship.

 

However, plenty of information does exist with respect to the use of The MACD and The Stochastic Indicator for trading (my first Equities Journal used The MACD and The Stochastic Indicator). Feel free to use whatever information you feel best meets your needs.

 

- Spydertrader

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Ok. Can you then direct me to a post/thread (here or otherwise) where it is clearly explained how Gaussians are annotated for a beginner? Maybe its there and I am just not seeing it. For example, I have seen several "B2B" gaussians drawn that start with a big RED bar, no idea why.

 

I learned a lot from Bundlemakers video about channels. Does a similar resource exist for Gaussians? (I saw Eric's video about Gaussians, but it still left many questions).

 

Can't understand why you decided not to follow Spydertrader's advice (posted right on this page): furgeddaboud other threads than this ...

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For example, i am confused about some of the gaussian notation, but have not seen one clear exposition on how to annotate them..

 

I'm not entirely clear on what you believe we've been discussing over the last 48 hours or so, but I apologize if you've failed to find the information helpful.

 

- Spydertrader

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Like I said, probably my fault, perhaps there are some basics that I am missing.You guys seem to be quite ahead on the curve. I would have to ask some pretty basic questions, and thought I save everyone some time if a document exists that clears that up...

 

I'm not entirely clear on what you believe we've been discussing over the last 48 hours or so, but I apologize if you've failed to find the information helpful.

 

- Spydertrader

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Like I said, probably my fault, perhaps there are some basics that I am missing.You guys seem to be quite ahead on the curve. I would have to ask some pretty basic questions, and thought I save everyone some time if a document exists that clears that up...

 

Perhaps, you missed the following ...

 

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/34/price-volume-relationship-6320-54.html#post104382

 

Do not think for one moment you are alone in this journey. No doubt, a number of newer folks (and even a number of folks who have studied this for quite some time) have the same problem you currently experience.

 

Anyone interested should feel welcome to contribute to this discussion.

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    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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