Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

My work today - 30 Nov 2009. When the pace slowed the tapes became more subtle. I second guessed myself a bunch and started to lose my focus. I did not give this chart a post flight scrub so it may have a few wierd things in it. Thank you Tams for the apps. Thanks to several of you regarding gaps.

 

 

MK

5aa70f7252515_MK200911305ES.thumb.png.96bf014ebe6040dcf5a07f56bccc5867.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
In my view removing price gaps is fundamentally unsound and indefensible. The method we use is based on deduction: our fundamental assumption is that markets come into being from their rules and that from those rules we can build a functional system. Part of those rules are the limited trading hours. This presents us with a problem since the p/v sequences we use to build up a picture of the market are discontinued at some point.

 

The removal of price gaps adresses the problem inductively since it does not follow from the market's operating rules. It attempts to present continuity in our sequences through the tinkering with price. The universal problem of induction applies here so that even if it has worked in the past there is no sound reason to assume that it will work in the future.

 

In my view there is no way to address this problem deductively. We cannot soundly carry over yesterday's sequences and we will simply have to wait until we see new sequence being formed. We're just forced to accept that markets do not follow ideal theory and do not contain perfect nested fractals.

 

Although I've only been studying this methodology/way of looking at the markets, for a short time, this was my concern as well. I enjoy the new ways I'm being taught to look at volume but am concerned with what seems to be a disconnect from price reality at the same time.

Can you imagine considering that something has FTT (failed to traverse), when in reality it hasn't at all. It just appears that way because of the removal of the night session from the picture along with the joining of the day sessions open to the previous days session close. That just doesn't feel right.

In the end the method seems concerned with price movement only if supported by the right amount of volume, and even worse, simply at the right time! But what if that volume begins pouring in at 8:15 cst and doesn't wait until 8:30 cst? Is price movement counted then? Perhaps CVB (constant volume bars) might be helpful for this methodology/understanding of the market. Or hows about this for an idea, simply mash the night sessions complete action together as a single bar if that helps, at least the reality/continuity of price will in someway be represented. At any rate it feels like Spydertrader is building something great, but perhaps it's still under construction

Please let me know how you deal with this.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Although I've only been studying this methodology/way of looking at the markets, for a short time, ...
:) It's understandable that you might have theoretical concerns and ideas how to solve them. It is also conceivable that this method can be improved further, even further than its expert level. My advice is to not waste your time with either of them. Study carefully all of Spydertrader's posts in this thread; start to apply what you understand; continue re-reading the same posts, open to learn more; correct your misunderstandings; practice; ... repeat this loop, gradually improving, until you get it. Ask pertinent questions in this thread, but take any advice with a grain of salt: you may not fully understand that advice, or it may come from a person who doesn't know that he's giving bad advice. Without any fixes or improvements, this method should allow you to become constantly profitable, and compounding will take care of making you wealthy. Good luck! :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
:) It's understandable that you might have theoretical concerns and ideas how to solve them. It is also conceivable that this method can be improved further, even further than its expert level. My advice is to not waste your time with either of them. Study carefully all of Spydertrader's posts in this thread; start to apply what you understand; continue re-reading the same posts, open to learn more; correct your misunderstandings; practice; ... repeat this loop, gradually improving, until you get it. Ask pertinent questions in this thread, but take any advice with a grain of salt: you may not fully understand that advice, or it may come from a person who doesn't know that he's giving bad advice. Without any fixes or improvements, this method should allow you to become constantly profitable, and compounding will take care of making you wealthy. Good luck! :)

Thank you for the advice, I'm going to take it! I hope you don't mind lots of questions because I need help to understand how to apply even the initial parts of Spydertraders writings, but I'm going to give it a try. Thanks again.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I have a conference call tomorrow with Glen and Pete (Trade Navigator CEO and VP everyone met in Las Vegas) to discuss the following enhancements to the TN Software. IF anyone has additional suggestions for enhancements, feel free to send me a note via PM.

 

Good Trading to you all.

 

- Spydertrader

 

*************************

 

1. Daily gap closes, an option on the chart that if you check it closes the daily gap for the chart only

 

2. Trend Lines

A. Add a thickness(Weight) option ,10 levels of thickness

B. Add a style option, solid line, dashed small , dashed large,

dash-dot

C. Option to freeze the slope: check box

D. Change Right Mouse popup menu:

1. add +/- item for the thickness(weight)

2. add +/- item for the style

3. add slope freeze option on/off

4. add +/- to extend right side of the line (but if the slope is locked we may not need it)

E. add change color - pops up a color palette

F. Add duplicate button to Line Edit Window

 

3. Import file to draw objects: trend lines to start

 

4. Automated Channel Tool (with Automated Volatility Expansion)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A question. Even though this post is well on it's way and none but skilled followers are seemingly still writing, could you please take some time out for a question. A question from a beginner.

"Volume Leads Price," that seems to be the key phrase for understanding this thread. I've read and re-read this thread, having even read Mr. Hersheys 2006 instructional manual and have also looked back in other writings by Spydertrader and others who seem well versed in this understanding of the market.

Help me with my first step. Is the creation of a tape nothing more than the breaking and reversal of trend at least 3 times while staying within a volume sequence aka "Gaussian"? Or is there a need to use the 10 tape scenarios and Laterals for some special reason? Instead of simply ignoring them and drawing trendlines until they are broken and reversed?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
... I've read and re-read this thread, having even read Mr. Hersheys 2006 instructional manual and have also looked back in other writings by Spydertrader and others who seem well versed in this understanding of the market.

... Is ...? Or is there a need ...? ... simply ignoring ...?

As I wrote, my advice is to follow this method as described by Spydertrader in this thread, without adding or ignoring anything, iteratively refining your understanding.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Any insight into why 15:40 and 45 (in yellow) are not change????

 

Put in another channel from your blue P3 to envelope the traverse in question. Note each VE of this channel. By definition, a traverse from P3 will be the final traverse and this applies to the final traverse too.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Nice chart :)

 

I see you learned something in Vegas :2c:

 

WMCN?

 

Thank you :) I was looking for that r2r sequence next but did not know it was going to take all day.....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Peaking volume and then JW
That was extreme volume and "pace acceleration"; in other words volume was peaking but that was not "peak volume". Look at bar's volatility. Not sure I've seen this terminology used by Spydertrader in this thread (?). The JW ... I see increasing red volume on my chart, with a slight bar volatility decrease (so, on yours, decreasing volume and volatility), 50% overlap, close at the low of the bar ... Again, things not discussed in this thread, but even so, no signal of change on any viewable fractal for those two bars. Agreed?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 25th April 2024. Investors Monitor a Potential Japanese Intervention, and upcoming Tech Earnings. Meta stocks top earnings expectations, but revenue guidance for the next 6 months triggers significant selloff. Meta stocks decline 15.00% and the Magnificent Seven also trade lower. Japanese Authorities are on watch and most market experts predict the Japanese Federal Government will intervene once again. The Japanese Yen is the day’s worst performing currency while the Australian Dollar continues to top the charts. The US Dollar trades 0.10% lower, but this afternoon’s performance is likely to be dependent on the US GDP. USA100 – Meta Stocks Fall 15% On the Next 6-Months Guidance The NASDAQ has declined 1.51% over the past 24 hours, unable to maintain momentum from Monday and Tuesday. Technical analysts advise the decline is partially simply a break in the bullish momentum and the asset continues to follow a bullish correction pattern. However, if the decline continues throughout the day, the retracement scenario becomes a lesser possibility. In terms of indications and technical analysis, most oscillators, and momentum-based signals point to a downward price movement. The USA100 trades below the 75-Bar EMA, below the VWAP and the RSI hovers above 40.00. All these factors point towards a bearish trend. The bearish signals are also likely to strengthen if the price declines below $17,295.11. The stock which is experiencing considerably large volatility is Meta which has fallen more than 15.00%. The past quarter’s earnings beat expectations and according to economists, remain stable and strong. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.10% and revenue was as expected. However, company expenses significantly rose in the past quarter and the guidance for the second half of the year is lower than previous expectations. These two factors have caused investors to consider selling their shares and cashing in their profits. Meta’s decline is one of the main causes for the USA100’s bearish trend. CFRA Senior Analyst, Angelo Zino, advises the selloff may be a slight over reaction based on earnings data. If Meta stocks rise again, investors can start to evaluate a possible upward correction. However, a concern for investors is that more and more companies are indicating caution for the second half of the year. The price movements will largely now depend on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings tonight after market close. Microsoft is the most influential stock for the NASDAQ and Alphabet is the third. The two make up 14.25% of the overall index. If the two companies also witness their stocks decline after the earnings reports, the USA100 may struggle to gain upward momentum. EURJPY – Will Japan Intervene Again? In the currency market, the Japanese Yen remains within the spotlight as investors believe the Japanese Federal Government is likely to again intervene. The Federal Government has previously intervened in the past 12 months which caused a sharp rise in the Yen before again declining. The government opted for this option in an attempt to hinder a further decline. Volatility within the Japanese Yen will also depend on today’s US GDP reading and tomorrow’s Core PCE Price Index. However, investors will more importantly pay close attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Investors will be keen to see if the central bank believes it is appropriate to again hike in 2024 as well as comment regarding inflation and the economy. In terms of technical analysis, breakout levels can be considered as areas where the exchange rate may retrace or correct. Breakout levels can be seen at 166.656 and 166.333. However, the only indicators pointing to a decline are the RSI and similar oscillators which advise the price is at risk of being “overbought”. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $ALVR AlloVir stock bottom breakout watch, huge upside gap, https://stockconsultant.com/?ALVR
    • $DIS Disney stock attempting to move higher off the 112.79 triple support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?DIS
    • $ADCT Adc Therapeutics stock flat top breakout watch above 5.31, https://stockconsultant.com/?ADCT
    • $CXAI CXApp stock local support and resistance areas at 2.78, 3.52 and 5.19, https://stockconsultant.com/?CXAI
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.