Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Nice PFC FJK... :) Put you on a nice footing to begin the day.

 

Thanks :) Yup, I nailed 8 points in the AM session (entered on bar 3). I ended early, nice way to start the weekend ;)

 

Your chart looked similar to mine, so I guess you entered long as well?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks :) Yup, I nailed 8 points in the AM session (entered on bar 3). I ended early, nice way to start the weekend ;)

 

Nicely Done...

 

My take on 2/10-2009

 

Comments welcome :)

 

I track the same L1 and L2 gaussians and also see the OB as SoC. All those VE's on Thursday have me leaving my options open on L3. The market will provide me the certainty needed come Monday - (IMO, This is afforded as L2 is the sweet spot for 5M ADA.) :)

10022009.thumb.jpg.35a1fec837952a8df018bd32dc831072.jpg

Edited by ehorn

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sequences are complete. Start to look in the next bars ahead for a Signal of Change on the blue up traverse to indicate FTT + confirmation + point 1 of a new down traverse.

5aa70f33da42e_1052009snip2.png.852a8883fe7064a3116f397aa2ca29a0.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Price is still bouncing around in this most recent lateral which is a bit more than "a few bars later" :) Default action = hold.

 

I see some potential SOCs but am not sure about them, classifying them as unconfirmed SOCs for now.

 

We've gotten enough L-R movement that this has stretched out the blue up traverse (eg fanning is appropriate. ?)

 

We are still past the point 3 of the blue up traverse (possibly forming a point 4 right now if you count the fan).

 

With finer tools perhaps you can trade within this lateral but at beginner level we are just waiting for it to end and fanning our up traverse as required in the meantime.

5aa70f33e7220_1052009snip3.png.d9ad323307e6b98011891e6e521b0510.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm leaning towards thinking I have missed something on the last chart, so am revising it.

 

My new annotations place in a completed pink down traverse encompassing most of the lateral movement. So we formed the point 1 of a brand new blue traverse.

 

Less likely, is that that whole long set of laterals was itself a parallel (lateral) traverse.

 

Then less likely to either case is my original annotation was correct and we had a fanning creating the point 4, point 5. The recent up movement "feels" more like we just came from a point 1 than a point 5 is why I did this but am not sure why. (Not convinced of either case).

 

Of course it is very important as to if we just came from a point 5 versus a point 1. In the former, we are looking for SOC for a down traverse. In the latter (which I currently slightly favor) we came from a point 1 and are forming a point 2 so have no business looking for a down traverse.

5aa70f340b476_1052009snip4.thumb.png.4088230a3aefb144bbd2244f6566906c.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you started annotating all 3 gaussian fractals as has been recommended numerous times, perhaps you'll find the answers that you're looking for. There is only one correct way to annotate a chart. Not two, but one. The market will tell you which. Good luck :)

 

 

I'm leaning towards thinking I have missed something on the last chart, so am revising it.

 

My new annotations place in a completed pink down traverse encompassing most of the lateral movement. So we formed the point 1 of a brand new blue traverse.

 

Less likely, is that that whole long set of laterals was itself a parallel (lateral) traverse.

 

Then less likely to either case is my original annotation was correct and we had a fanning creating the point 4, point 5. The recent up movement "feels" more like we just came from a point 1 than a point 5 is why I did this but am not sure why. (Not convinced of either case).

 

Of course it is very important as to if we just came from a point 5 versus a point 1. In the former, we are looking for SOC for a down traverse. In the latter (which I currently slightly favor) we came from a point 1 and are forming a point 2 so have no business looking for a down traverse.

Edited by FJK
spelling

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Monday 5 October 2009

Your chart shows:

09:45 to 10:10 as B2B

10:10 to 10:45 as R2R

10:45 to 11:50 as B2B

 

This cannot be a valid sequence.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Your chart shows:

09:45 to 10:10 as B2B

10:10 to 10:45 as R2R

10:45 to 11:50 as B2B

 

This cannot be a valid sequence.

 

 

why?

can you illustrate?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
why?

can you illustrate?

An R2R cannot immediately follow a B2B on the same fractal. Likewise, a B2B cannot immediately follow an R2R on the same fractal. The mandatory sequence is B2B2R2B or R2R2B2R on every fractal - no shortcuts, no incomplete sequences, on any fractal.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
An R2R cannot immediately follow a B2B on the same fractal. Likewise, a B2B cannot immediately follow an R2R on the same fractal. The mandatory sequence is B2B2R2B or R2R2B2R on every fractal - no shortcuts, no incomplete sequences, on any fractal.

 

 

 

. . . and there lies the answer to volume leads price,always and without exception ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
An R2R cannot immediately follow a B2B on the same fractal. Likewise, a B2B cannot immediately follow an R2R on the same fractal. The mandatory sequence is B2B2R2B or R2R2B2R on every fractal - no shortcuts, no incomplete sequences, on any fractal.

 

Is a fractal allowed to VE into a 'higher' fractal? i.e., a tape becoming a traverse, a traverse becoming a channel (on p2- p3 move)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
My view of the day...

 

Thanks ehorn, careful in the vegas cabs dude.

 

couple questions:

1. the down tape at 1115 you started a dn traverse, my view was a lower fractal sequence as I thought up needed more to complete. 1240 was my completion. care to explain your thoughts in that area? plz

 

2. if the 1605 bar was increasing volume would that change anything for you?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks ehorn, careful in the vegas cabs dude.

 

:rofl: ...Perhaps I should stay within walking distance... Hope to see you out there!

 

couple questions:

1. the down tape at 1115 you started a dn traverse, my view was a lower fractal sequence as I thought up needed more to complete. 1240 was my completion. care to explain your thoughts in that area?

 

The CO sequences had me looking for completion of 2B (tape). The AM sentiment pushed a CO tape VE so we anticipate a re-cycle (back down and back up the mountain - so to speak) again and I perceived this re-cycle as being satisfied @ 11:10 ET. So since I have satisfied this sequence, I am looking for a new sequence - in this case a non-dom one to take price to PT3 of the higher fractal.

 

So volume then begins to decline until we come to our first peak @ 11:45 (Red), followed by trough, then another (lower) peak (red) @ 11:55. So I labelled it as R2R... WMCN? This is how I perceived the area. HTH.

 

All time Eastern and {close-of}

 

2. if the 1605 bar was increasing volume would that change anything for you?

 

No...

Edited by ehorn

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
My take on 5/10-2009

 

I didn't trade the somewhat 'messy' AM session. Comments welcome :)

 

Very clear chart and excellent annotations, particularly the laterals + SOCs. I'll continue to look it over in more detail, thanks! :)

 

Monday, October 5, 2009

Tuesday, October 6, 2009

5aa70f3630bc9_Oct52009B.thumb.PNG.4ed425e719803ca50573d2519110b465.PNG

5aa70f363701f_Oct62009A.thumb.PNG.9a94e50650bdd30ebb17fc2aa47c66c0.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 25th April 2024. Investors Monitor a Potential Japanese Intervention, and upcoming Tech Earnings. Meta stocks top earnings expectations, but revenue guidance for the next 6 months triggers significant selloff. Meta stocks decline 15.00% and the Magnificent Seven also trade lower. Japanese Authorities are on watch and most market experts predict the Japanese Federal Government will intervene once again. The Japanese Yen is the day’s worst performing currency while the Australian Dollar continues to top the charts. The US Dollar trades 0.10% lower, but this afternoon’s performance is likely to be dependent on the US GDP. USA100 – Meta Stocks Fall 15% On the Next 6-Months Guidance The NASDAQ has declined 1.51% over the past 24 hours, unable to maintain momentum from Monday and Tuesday. Technical analysts advise the decline is partially simply a break in the bullish momentum and the asset continues to follow a bullish correction pattern. However, if the decline continues throughout the day, the retracement scenario becomes a lesser possibility. In terms of indications and technical analysis, most oscillators, and momentum-based signals point to a downward price movement. The USA100 trades below the 75-Bar EMA, below the VWAP and the RSI hovers above 40.00. All these factors point towards a bearish trend. The bearish signals are also likely to strengthen if the price declines below $17,295.11. The stock which is experiencing considerably large volatility is Meta which has fallen more than 15.00%. The past quarter’s earnings beat expectations and according to economists, remain stable and strong. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.10% and revenue was as expected. However, company expenses significantly rose in the past quarter and the guidance for the second half of the year is lower than previous expectations. These two factors have caused investors to consider selling their shares and cashing in their profits. Meta’s decline is one of the main causes for the USA100’s bearish trend. CFRA Senior Analyst, Angelo Zino, advises the selloff may be a slight over reaction based on earnings data. If Meta stocks rise again, investors can start to evaluate a possible upward correction. However, a concern for investors is that more and more companies are indicating caution for the second half of the year. The price movements will largely now depend on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings tonight after market close. Microsoft is the most influential stock for the NASDAQ and Alphabet is the third. The two make up 14.25% of the overall index. If the two companies also witness their stocks decline after the earnings reports, the USA100 may struggle to gain upward momentum. EURJPY – Will Japan Intervene Again? In the currency market, the Japanese Yen remains within the spotlight as investors believe the Japanese Federal Government is likely to again intervene. The Federal Government has previously intervened in the past 12 months which caused a sharp rise in the Yen before again declining. The government opted for this option in an attempt to hinder a further decline. Volatility within the Japanese Yen will also depend on today’s US GDP reading and tomorrow’s Core PCE Price Index. However, investors will more importantly pay close attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Investors will be keen to see if the central bank believes it is appropriate to again hike in 2024 as well as comment regarding inflation and the economy. In terms of technical analysis, breakout levels can be considered as areas where the exchange rate may retrace or correct. Breakout levels can be seen at 166.656 and 166.333. However, the only indicators pointing to a decline are the RSI and similar oscillators which advise the price is at risk of being “overbought”. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $ALVR AlloVir stock bottom breakout watch, huge upside gap, https://stockconsultant.com/?ALVR
    • $DIS Disney stock attempting to move higher off the 112.79 triple support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?DIS
    • $ADCT Adc Therapeutics stock flat top breakout watch above 5.31, https://stockconsultant.com/?ADCT
    • $CXAI CXApp stock local support and resistance areas at 2.78, 3.52 and 5.19, https://stockconsultant.com/?CXAI
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.