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Thank you for this.

 

Complex = a container (BBT) within which we are able to annotate non dominant trend lines as per the 10 x 2 bar cases.

 

Non dom trend lines in an up BBT =

FBP, EH, SYM, and also IBGS and OB.

 

I don't understand how to annotate a non dominant trend line in the case of an ibgs (say in up BBT), which makes a higher high and higher low relative to the previous bar. It seems similar to the FTP. Spyder made no reference to bar open and closing prices in the 2 bar cases.

 

If the two bars are translating (up in this case), you can't draw a non dom TL even if the bar is an ibgs.

 

He must've been referencing something like this: if we're in an up move, then a bar makes a "lower low" but it's close is such that it's an ibgs long (which means technically it's a mode up/black bar)...we could still draw a non dom TL to it.

 

Edit: Or an upwards translating bar that's an ibgs short and happens to intersect an existing up TL. Since the ibgs bar's mode is red/down it'd be a valid potential non dom TL. This happens a lot, and a lot FTT bars fit such a description. I'd show this but am not at my PC right now.

 

My question is, to fit that definition of "complex" do we have to have a 123ftt in the non dom direction? Or simply the possibility of drawing a non dom TL even if not a valid container (no ftt) is enough to make it complex?

Edited by plantrader

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What is the question? Post a snipet with annotation confusion.

 

Hi gucci,

 

Thanks for your efforts.

 

Here is a snippet of one of your charts. (Excuse the manual annotations).

 

The purple container (I) consists of three, "equal weight" bbt tapes.

 

The next container is brown.

 

1. My first confusion is that the point 2 on the price pane does not match the point 2 on the volume gaussian. I thought that gaussians should match trend lines.

 

2. My second confusion is that the movement of price to point 2 (corresponding to the gaussian) is a "complex bbt". It contains a sym pennant corresponding to the volume trough. However the movement for price from this point 2 to point 3 and then from point 3 to the end are simple bbt's. So I don't understand how the concept of equal weight containers applies.

5aa7124f9b12f_Drillreplyedit.thumb.jpg.d6f6992edbebce7b551f5d3607fb31d8.jpg

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Hi gucci,

 

Thanks for your efforts.

 

Here is a snippet of one of your charts. (Excuse the manual annotations).

 

The purple container (I) consists of three, "equal weight" bbt tapes.

 

The next container is brown.

 

1. My first confusion is that the point 2 on the price pane does not match the point 2 on the volume gaussian. I thought that gaussians should match trend lines.

 

2. My second confusion is that the movement of price to point 2 (corresponding to the gaussian) is a "complex bbt". It contains a sym pennant corresponding to the volume trough. However the movement for price from this point 2 to point 3 and then from point 3 to the end are simple bbt's. So I don't understand how the concept of equal weight containers applies.

 

To your first confusion... See attached. On 5 min chart you see an IBGS. On two min chart you see where the trend line should be placed.Somehing transpired within the bar itself. It is called an IBGS for a reason. The increasing volume after point three is a must.

 

I do not understand your second confusion and question.Try to rephrase.

5aa7124fbb576_Therighttrendline.thumb.png.64e4a1a467ef0095d49b25cd66ce9831.png

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Hi gucci,

 

 

 

2. My second confusion is that the movement of price to point 2 (corresponding to the gaussian) is a "complex bbt". It contains a sym pennant corresponding to the volume trough. However the movement for price from this point 2 to point 3 and then from point 3 to the end are simple bbt's. So I don't understand how the concept of equal weight containers applies.

 

I guess I understand. Just to be sure try to rephrase, than I can answer.

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Thank you for this.

 

Complex = a container (BBT) within which we are able to annotate non dominant trend lines as per the 10 x 2 bar cases.

 

Non dom trend lines in an up BBT =

FBP, EH, SYM, and also IBGS and OB.

 

I don't understand how to annotate a non dominant trend line in the case of an ibgs (say in up BBT), which makes a higher high and higher low relative to the previous bar. It seems similar to the FTP. Spyder made no reference to bar open and closing prices in the 2 bar cases.

 

You're correct in that we can't annotate a non dom trend line to an IBGS that, in an uptrend, has made a HH and HL.

 

To clarify:

Complex = a container (BBT) within which we are able to annotate non dominant trend lines as per the 10 x 2 bar cases.

 

Non dom trend lines in an up BBT =

FBP, EH, SYM, and also down Stitch and down translating bar and OB.

 

An IBGS in of itself makes a BBT Complex even if we can't annotate non dom trend lines to it.

Please see post# 4016 where "bar 3" is referenced and shows that the IBGS (in of itself) made the BBT Complex prior to the EH.

 

An IBGS, and OB as the first and/or last bar of a container, do not make the container Complex.

If they occured, they would need to be "within" the container, as in between the first and last bars.

 

So if you wanted to annotate faster gaussians within a BBT, you would have the 2y gaussian to an IBGS in the same way as you would have a 2y leg to the other non dom formations, non dom translating bar and OB listed above.

 

Hope that's clearer and apologies for any confusion.

Edited by FilterTip

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My question is, to fit that definition of "complex" do we have to have a 123ftt in the non dom direction? Or simply the possibility of drawing a non dom TL even if not a valid container (no ftt) is enough to make it complex?

 

No we don't need the non dom price formation (via the cases listed previously and the explination re: IBGS) to have a set of trend lines (rtl and ltl) wih p1/p2/p3/ftt (OOE's).

 

The non dom is making the BBT Complex so is within the BBT.

That non dom would be at a faster level than the BBT it's within so we don;'t need to actually annotate it on price. On vol we can, if we wanted to, assign a 2y to it.

 

Gaussians match our trend lines.

Either the x2x2y2x or X2X gaussians are both within BBT 1.

A BBT 1 has an x2x2y2x only because it's Complex.

A BBT 1 has an X2X only because it's Simple

 

If our BBT 1 gets us to Tape P2 via a faster x2x2y2x, thats only because we've had non dom within the BBT 1 (making it Complex) to which we can annotate the 2y leg of an x2x2y2x.

If our BBT 1 is Simple, then that's the same as getting to a Tape P2 via only an X2X.

(We have no non dom for a 2y)

 

Either way it doesn't matter because BBT 1 is getting us to Tape P2.

All that matters is that we know this.

 

Hope that helps.

Edited by FilterTip

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So if you wanted to annotate faster gaussians within a BBT, you would have the 2y gaussian to an IBGS in the same way as you would have a 2y leg to the other non dom formations, non dom translating bar and OB listed above.

 

 

Thank you for your reply.

 

The above being the case with can't you include a FTP in your non dom formations (for an up trend) , as there could be only a one tick difference between a FTP, and an IBGS or a sym pennant?

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Thank you for your reply.

You're welcome

The above being the case with can't you include a FTP in your non dom formations (for an up trend) , as there could be only a one tick difference between a FTP, and an IBGS or a sym pennant?

That doesn't seem logical imo.

If a one tick difference didn't matter then we'd have no reason to distinguish between formations and/or whether some were dom or non dom.

Neither, I would imagine, would Spyder have brought them to our attention (?) !

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Hi Gucci,

 

When studying the chart under discussion, in real time I would have probably taken the (15:35) IBGS on increasing volume, which is also a lateral BO/FBO, as a major signal for change. (This would have been too early as it turns out).

 

Then I thought of this previous quote of yours in response to a post.

 

"The market moved to its point 2 (first dominant leg) creating the faster fractal thing underway. Such being the case you should anticipate the second dominant leg (2R) being created the similar way. So annotating REAL TIME at 10:25 (your provisional point 3)you anticipate the second dominant leg. This second dominant leg should be created by a faster fractal thing. So there is no way you should look for a signal of change at 10:30-10:40 area. Now try to work forward from here using the same logic in conjunction with volume sequences and you will also understand why we do not have a faster fractal thing annotated from 10:25 onward. (see the chart with the clue)"

 

Would a similar argument apply here. The 15:35 IBGS cannot be a signal for change because the faster fractal sequence of the second dominant leg (2R) has not completed yet. We can only start looking for a signal for change after the 15:45 bar (the faster fractal sequence for the second dominant leg of the pink container is now complete), and that signal for change comes on the very next bar in the form of another increasing volume ibgs/ob?

 

I hope I am on the right track.:)

 

Hi Gucci,

 

This is an old quote.

 

Is the shape of the containers i.e "equal weight" important? If your first dominant movement (R2R) in this case consists of a down tape, then up tape and then down tape, must the third dominant movement (2R) have the same shape.

 

I suspect this is not the case and that I misunderstood.

 

This is not the case in the brown container referenced in my previous post, (the B2B has a SYM pennant, but the 2B, has no non dom formation, at least none that is visible on the 5 minute time frame).

Drill2.thumb.jpg.5f5d847b8050d37404fba6a1fb8122c9.jpg

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Hi Gucci,

 

This is an old quote.

 

Is the shape of the containers i.e "equal weight" important? If your first dominant movement (R2R) in this case consists of a down tape, then up tape and then down tape, must the third dominant movement (2R) have the same shape.

 

I suspect this is not the case and that I misunderstood.

 

This is not the case in the brown container referenced in my previous post, (the B2B has a SYM pennant, but the 2B, has no non dom formation, at least none that is visible on the 5 minute time frame).

 

You are on the right track. Compare the down tape in your first referenced post to the up tape in your last post. Good job.

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You're welcome

 

That doesn't seem logical imo.

If a one tick difference didn't matter then we'd have no reason to distinguish between formations and/or whether some were dom or non dom.

Neither, I would imagine, would Spyder have brought them to our attention (?) !

 

I'll have to disagree with you on this one.

 

Not that it makes much difference, the market will decide. :)

 

Our charts are a graphical record of transactions by thousands of buyers and sellers, divided (arbitrarily) in 5 minute periods. If one of those buyers or sellers transacted one second later or earlier, it might effect the shape of our formation, but would not fundamentally alter the overall market situation. So for me it does appear logical to place the FTP with the others. Maybe we should look out for examples in the market.

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I'll have to disagree with you on this one.

 

Not that it makes much difference, the market will decide. :)

 

Our charts are a graphical record of transactions by thousands of buyers and sellers, divided (arbitrarily) in 5 minute periods. If one of those buyers or sellers transacted one second later or earlier, it might effect the shape of our formation, but would not fundamentally alter the overall market situation. So for me it does appear logical to place the FTP with the others. Maybe we should look out for examples in the market.

 

Interesting and prolific discussion. May I ask some questions? What is a stall? And what is a FTP?

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Thank you for your reply.

 

The above being the case with can't you include a FTP in your non dom formations (for an up trend) , as there could be only a one tick difference between a FTP, and an IBGS or a sym pennant?

 

By definition an internal is sub-fractal. I think you are heading down a very dangerous road. Sure there is 1 tick difference. In volume that tick may have been 1 contract or 1000+ contracts. To differentiate when a FTP is a sym vs an IBGS is frivolous exercise.

 

Keep your eye on the ball regarding CONTEXT and ORDER OF EVENTS.

 

HTH

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Interesting and prolific discussion. May I ask some questions? What is a stall? And what is a FTP?

 

I am not a profitable trader of this method, and I don't wish to clutter up this thread with "frivolity".

 

Any post is done in the spirit of seeking understanding.

 

I also wish to say that I am pleased that Gucci's efforts have bought a bit of life back to a long dormant thread. I think most people in my position have/had just given up. Now, with somebody who has been through similar struggles, and yet who has finally made it (work), and who is willing to try and help others, there is the thought of maybe just giving it one more try, maybe some more pennies will drop. (Excuse the pun).

 

Pardon me if a think aloud, what follows might be obvious, but I am trying to clarify things in my own mind.

 

Price is a continuous variable. The most accurate graphical representation of the market, (leaving volume aside for the moment), would be a continuous line graph, with time on the horizontal axis and price on the vertical. It is not practical to have the time measured in seconds (say), but if we did we would get a very long graph, showing all the tiny up and down variations/waves in price over the period. So price is like a video.

 

We have chosen to use a 5 minute OHLC bar graph. This like a series on photographs taken at 5 minute intervals from the video. I think that perhaps we should not mistake the photo for the substance which is the video, and to bear in mind that when we look at the photos we are getting a simplified view of the video.

 

That being said:

 

In a uptrend

 

FBP – two bar formation, with second bar having an equal high and a higher low. Price fails to advance in the trend for a least 5 minutes, some movement in the opposite direction of the trend (down)

 

EH – two bar formation, with second bar having an equal high and equal low. Price fails to advance in the trend for at least 5 minutes, some movement in the opposite direction of the trend (down)

 

SYM – two bar formation, with second bar having a lower high and a higher low. Price fails to advance in the trend for a least 5 minutes, some movement in the opposite direction of the trend (down)

 

FBP – two bar formation, with second bar having a lower high and equal low. Price fails to advance in the trend for at least 5 minutes, some movement in the opposite direction of the trend (down)

 

IBGS (down) – two bar formation, with the second bar having a higher high and higher a low (if not an outside bar), with closing price lower than opening price. Price does advance in the trend, but the net result of price movement is that price is lower than it was 5 minutes before, therefore, some movement in the opposite direction of the trend.

 

I agree that for an FBP, the movement in the opposite direction of the trend (down), maybe a bit more pronounced than in the case of a FTP, but essentially you have a 5 minute period where price does not advance in the direction of the trend (Up). There is downward movement in price. Thinking in terms of Wyckoff, who I have been reading, this is either due to a reduction in buying activity, or an increase in selling activity.

 

A stall (from Jack)

 

Stalls are longer hitches and the volatility may not be less than prior bars. Picture it as a

definite pause and dwell period that occurs not too close to the left fractal channel line.

Volume will oscillate somewhat by flagging and then refreshing and flagging again.

 

Hitch

As dominant traverses proceed the price change there is, at first, an almost continuous

advance. Therefore, from bar to bar, the offsets and the bar length repeat one after

another. Progress can soften after a period of time and it shows up as a momentary one

or two bar repeat. Repeat means that consecutive nearly identical bars show up. The

bars often do not have the volatility of the prior advancing bars. Volume will flag

somewhat preceding this phenomena. Then the price resumes its prior advance. The

market has momentarily caught its breath, so to speak.

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A stall (from Jack)

 

Stalls are longer hitches and the volatility may not be less than prior bars. Picture it as a

definite pause and dwell period that occurs not too close to the left fractal channel line.

Volume will oscillate somewhat by flagging and then refreshing and flagging again.

 

Hitch

As dominant traverses proceed the price change there is, at first, an almost continuous

advance. Therefore, from bar to bar, the offsets and the bar length repeat one after

another. Progress can soften after a period of time and it shows up as a momentary one

or two bar repeat. Repeat means that consecutive nearly identical bars show up. The

bars often do not have the volatility of the prior advancing bars. Volume will flag

somewhat preceding this phenomena. Then the price resumes its prior advance. The

market has momentarily caught its breath, so to speak.

 

Could you post a snippet of Jack's blackboard sketches of Hitch, Stall and Dip that somebody uploaded on ET many years ago? Thanks.

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Could you post a snippet of Jack's blackboard sketches of Hitch, Stall and Dip that somebody uploaded on ET many years ago? Thanks.

 

I've attached a picture for you. The sketches can also be found on the third to last page of Volume 1 which stephan just posted a couple of days ago.

 

-river

5aa7125041a95_FlawSketchesfromTusconMeeting.thumb.jpg.b7e187bf64bc99c171874fab7b091440.jpg

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Could you post a snippet of Jack's blackboard sketches of Hitch, Stall and Dip that somebody uploaded on ET many years ago? Thanks.
This was posted by spydertrader on Feb 7, 2007.

flaws.jpg.f246436bf1fc8a24a062d04e10a37fe6.jpg

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Thanks 203NG, river, cnms2.

 

I have over the years reviewed how Jack described these internal trend formations (hitch, dip, stall) occurring in dominant tape-like price movement in his Channels for Building Wealth document and a few very old posts.

 

Do you consider they might occur other than in pennant patterns or lateral formations in a price movement? I mean in translation case.

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I see most of PV participants have migrated here. This is reading Price Volume bar by bar indicator.

I include 2 similar Ninja PV indicators. One needs Gom indicator so that it can run on history Bid and Ask. One run real time only, it will lose bid/ask data if you hit refresh the chart. The real time indicator is posted here only.

Note: remember to change extension cs.txt back to cs only,

Tip: expand the indicator to see hash marks better.

ps.Indicator that uses Gom package works better.

 

Download Basic Gom package here

http://www.ninjatrader.com/support/forum/showthread.php?t=23283

2015-05-10_1432.thumb.png.64c405d5e94af09ab0f80402b7b054a7.png

2015-05-11_1624.thumb.png.89bd18777b3ff999234a5cccd5293244.png

2015-05-11_1103.thumb.png.e1b97d7c8f21ea811c6bfc6b0e920c25.png

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2015-05-29_1127.thumb.png.07a155e9550e710c167b7dfbbaef9fd0.png

BidAskPV.zip

GomBidAskPVbyJackH.cs.txt

2015-05-13_1545.png.4a99eb2ce1956b3b1e530eb3f3478e9b.png

Edited by nkhoi

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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