Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Re 1: The accelerated stuff has all of the ingredients of a traverse. Look at the following chart

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2288546

 

and pay attention to how the market finished building the second pink traverse. The nondom tape of this traverse is built on increasing vol creating a faster fractal stuff. This pink creature wouldn't have been a traverse anymore had the market created a complete traverse in the nondom direction instead of a faster fractal stuff.

 

Thanks gucci, for your responses and all of your contributions to the thread. Could we also say that the pace acceleration at 13:10 (eob) put us on notice for the traverse acceleration?

pace-accel.gif.3e065560734842ed1741d0de165e8ebb.gif

Edited by moosie
added image

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

10/15 to 10/18.

 

I am not sure that I didn't jump up a fractal, but it seems that the first traverse has to end outside of the previous channel (for chan pt 2), and then it was accellerated. Is this right?

1018.thumb.gif.74e66e28a3a890aff7c7e0b62f0c808e.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
From me too ... here's wishing everyone a happy and successful 2011:)

 

Let me add, to everyone, good health and success and a Blessed New Year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
BTW, have a new link for the files at a hosting site. They work. :thumbs up: PM if you're interested.

 

- EZ

 

I've added a few of the older posts and files of interest from MSN and Usenet days, including various drills.

 

Happy New Year :beer:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My view of the day. The R2R ended at bar 21 on my chart, although I had mistakenly taken it to be at bar 10 earlier , only to see the market prove me wrong. So I do not know the reason why as yet why the sequence has not complete at bar 10.

 

The market showed on debrief that a r2r2b2r faster fractal traverse was in place that ended at bar 10. Then 2B and 2R to complete first move down to bar 21.

 

I see the gaussians, but I do not fully understand or comprehend what they tell me. Would appreciate if someone point the way how to better recognize these road signs as they appear ? In order words, the market must leave clues to tell me that it has not reach completion. I know there is a missing link. :)

 

TQ

5aa7105547018_ES4Jan2011.thumb.png.7e52fe8fbf5bd9f93e9489e8b025cc29.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi All,

 

I just subscribed to this thread which, at a first glance at least, looks to me that deals with, sort of, 'measurable' objectives and it must be a real fun and challenge to study. Before I'll make it thoroughly through the 261 pages I want to ask - has any of you guys here made it to actually using this method of market analysis as your primary trading tool and with what success? And what about spydertrader - what level of success does it bring to you?

 

May the pips be with you and happy and prosperous 2011!:applaud:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
My view of the day. The R2R ended at bar 21 on my chart, although I had mistakenly taken it to be at bar 10 earlier , only to see the market prove me wrong. So I do not know the reason why as yet why the sequence has not complete at bar 10.

 

The market showed on debrief that a r2r2b2r faster fractal traverse was in place that ended at bar 10. Then 2B and 2R to complete first move down to bar 21.

 

I see the gaussians, but I do not fully understand or comprehend what they tell me. Would appreciate if someone point the way how to better recognize these road signs as they appear ? In order words, the market must leave clues to tell me that it has not reach completion. I know there is a missing link. :)

 

TQ

 

Compare your 2b following bar 10 with the 2B following bar 21.

 

Also looks like you have the old lateral movement code on your charts. It's no longer used FWIW.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

what work for me is to pick a something, some seq, some pattern that is easier for me to recognize than the others , build up from that, write down all clues before it, clues going to it, build your check list. The next time when all items on the list are checked pull the trigger. be realistic stay with 1 or 2 contract in sim until you are consistent green then live occasionally build up your neuron pathway until you can make the transition without any change in your now familiar routine. Good Luck Hope It Help!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
what work for me is to pick a something, some seq, some pattern that is easier for me to recognize than the others

 

Do you mind sharing which seq/pattern is easier for you to recognize?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Do you mind sharing which seq/pattern is easier for you to recognize?

sure, for up channel: B2B, 2R 2B so you have B2B clues, 2R clues leading to 2B I enter at end of 2R and beginning of 2B.

sample_cl.thumb.png.b1f358cff4695b3f83f985bc562d5d39.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Compare your 2b following bar 10 with the 2B following bar 21.

 

Also looks like you have the old lateral movement code on your charts. It's no longer used FWIW.

 

Can it be that the 2b after bar 10 occured in a Lateral Movement, in which bar 10 in itself is also a non dominant bar. Hence the sequence has not completed by bar 10. By contrast, the 2B after bar 21 occured after dominance has returned at bar 20 (am I correct to observe so on this bar 20?) in which the sequence has completed.

 

This is the code I have to date. I notice it doesn't draw the LM correctly as per my understanding. If you can kindly point out where I can locate the newer code, that would be very helpful.

 

Thanks for the pointer.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Can it be that the 2b after bar 10 occured in a Lateral Movement, in which bar 10 in itself is also a non dominant bar. Hence the sequence has not completed by bar 10. By contrast, the 2B after bar 21 occured after dominance has returned at bar 20 (am I correct to observe so on this bar 20?) in which the sequence has completed.

 

This is the code I have to date. I notice it doesn't draw the LM correctly as per my understanding. If you can kindly point out where I can locate the newer code, that would be very helpful.

 

Thanks for the pointer.

 

There's no new code, though you might find the regular lateral code on ET. To be more specific, the lateral movement concept is no longer used. See this link, it might help you with those 2b's too:

 

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/34/price-volume-relationship-6320-18.html#post71337

 

A lateral starts with 2 bars inside the first.

 

Look at the volume in your 2b's. They are different. Also look at the price movement, but mostly your volume sequence.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Look at the volume in your 2b's. They are different. Also look at the price movement, but mostly your volume sequence.

 

OK, thanks . Relooking at the 2b again, bar 11-12 was a stitch long creating a possible b2b with the increase in black volume. If that was the case, then bar 13 should be point 2 to 3 with decreasing red. Instead bar 13 had increasing red indicating that a change in dominance had occurred and the sequence is not completed yet.

 

The 2B from bar 21 is full sequence non-dominant move from bar 21 to 27 with a decreasing volume to create Point 3. Bar 28 confirms WMCN with Point 3 move.

 

Am I close ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My view of the day, corrected after RTH in pink and grey to see the turns and forks better. Still many errors and I will need to do a detailed differentiation on the turns and forks.

 

I have a question - in order to stay in the same fractals, is there a way or particular thing to keep in mind at all times e.g.

 

1. I originally annotated that the 2R retracement (bar 21 to 32) ended on bar 32 but reviewed later to see that it should end at bar 26

2. bar 61 to 65 revealed a faster fractal gaussians, at that point in time, my mind was telling me my B2B from bar 56 to 60 MIGHT be a 2B retracement being completed , and the final 2R move is on the way with a BO r2r bar 65. The only signal I see was volume was low. So in order not to jump a fractal and maintain the outlook that bars 61 to 65 is but a faster fractal, what must one do when monitoring the volume and gaussian pane ?

 

TQIA

5aa71056e989b_ES11Jan2011.thumb.png.b8bc4c53b8987d58229ccebc3fa1931c.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $MSFT Microsoft stock top of range breakout above 433.1, https://stockconsultant.com/?MSFT
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.