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brownsfan019

Futures I Trade Show & Brooks Book

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Yes lot of confirmation of setups take place in hindsight on the charts and it would be extremely difficult for many to latch onto this in realtime.

Despite the fact the emphasis is on 5min charts there is also mention of daily charts 60min timeframe, volume on 1min etc. so obviously Al is looking at more charts than just the 5min.

 

Anyway Al has been observing and trading these setups over 20yrs hence becomes a second nature to him,

 

IMO if you take the trouble to understand price action via both price and vol, it would make life that much easier.

Also if you thoroughly review and understand the fundamental concepts of his methodology outlined in his article "Trading Breakouts and MicroTrend lines" where he states and elaborates "Two of the most reliable entries are failed breakouts and breakout pullbacks " and then go and study the material in the book or on the EOD charts or on realtime charts, you will find that that is at the heart of all the other setups .

The other major one is TraderVic 123 reversal setups.http://www.trading-naked.com/123-reversal.htm, however these also without due consideration to vol whether climatic or not and ensuing supply/demand balance in the sidesways or flag pattern breaking the trendline would lead to many failed trades.

Edited by rigel

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Hey gents... been a huge fan of al's work for awhile. Just bought the book yesterday so its still in the mail, but based off the I-Trade Show webinar and this thread i've started mock trading this method just looking for basic H2/L2 patterns around the EMA's.

 

This was today's trade thus far (the only one i've had):

 

What I liked:

  • - Strong Downtrend
  • - Clearly defined L1
  • - Pivot Low visible
  • - Relatively Low Risk entry candle.

 

What I didn't like:

  • - Price trading above 21ema.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=13917&stc=1&d=1254495397

attachment.php?attachmentid=13918&stc=1&d=1254495397

 

How I manage all the entries, are using a quick fib retracement of the entry candle. 200% represents a 1:1 move, get to par, 300% represents my 2:1 target profit level.

 

Cheers!

pic001.PNG.01b48a2241cb434dcbfa18a003cf175c.PNG

pic002.PNG.8986bd7adbc12a384236d6151d5782ac.PNG

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As an extension of my last post....

 

Todays EOD thoughts...

 

Entries were spotted in real time... again, all i'm focusing on is H2/L2 entries either as trend pullbacks near the EMA or at prior Support/Resistance. Par at 200%, Take Profit at 300% extensions of entry candle.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=13929&stc=1&d=1254524890

 

Comments? Thoughts? Suggestions? Am I off my rocker?

 

I just figure, rather than trying to exploit every wiggle and jiggle in the market i'd just stick to the basics of one kind of setup (L2/H2) at the simple points of the market.

pic001.PNG.8679be668ed40cd1318ddac9c9364a34.PNG

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I just figure, rather than trying to exploit every wiggle and jiggle in the market i'd just stick to the basics of one kind of setup (L2/H2) at the simple points of the market.

 

Your identification of L2's and H2's doesn't seem consistent to me. The L2 at about 9:35 for example - shouldn't the next bar be the L2 (a lower low)? Your L2 was indeed a pullback towards the EMA, but certainly did not close below the low of the prior bar.

 

The last L2 of the day around 14:00 is another example. It looks like it's L is the same as the prior bar, so I guess it's close to a lower low, but technically not a LL. That 14:00 bar still looked like a good short because of the prior resistance, but you can't say it's an L2, can you?

 

It looks to me like your L1/H1's are LL/HH's, but your L2/H2's are pointing to the bar BEFORE what I would call an L2/H2.

 

Anyway, you seem to have a decent grasp of at least one of Al's methods, where I am still struggling.

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Your identification of L2's and H2's doesn't seem consistent to me. The L2 at about 9:35 for example - shouldn't the next bar be the L2 (a lower low)? Your L2 was indeed a pullback towards the EMA, but certainly did not close below the low of the prior bar.

 

The last L2 of the day around 14:00 is another example. It looks like it's L is the same as the prior bar, so I guess it's close to a lower low, but technically not a LL. That 14:00 bar still looked like a good short because of the prior resistance, but you can't say it's an L2, can you?

 

It looks to me like your L1/H1's are LL/HH's, but your L2/H2's are pointing to the bar BEFORE what I would call an L2/H2.

 

Anyway, you seem to have a decent grasp of at least one of Al's methods, where I am still struggling.

 

See well thats where I disagree with a lot of the analysis thats been posted in here... A valid H2/L2 in my can't happen UNTIL A NEW HIGH OR LOW IS MADE... Isn't the entire idea of al's H2/L2 to catch the second wave of a move - that the second wave of the pullback is the wave that is the real move. Thus, in the first trade, when it made an L1, yes there was a second bar that made a lower low, but until price goes back up and puts in a new high i'm not going to start putting in sell stop orders to get short.

 

Is that how everyone else is interpreting this?

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=13939&stc=1&d=1254583452

 

 

And I just wanted to repost this image - the first time I left out the second trade results...

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=13940&stc=1&d=1254583507

pic002.PNG.39b11de554ac40baf84e605810d58bf0.PNG

pic001.PNG.267f12bbc45ae673b18cb750cdfcafd0.PNG

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I just wanted to share and see if anyone had any more free webinar vids other than the two?

 

So I wanted to read Al's articles from the beginning so I scanned all 64 pages of posts for all PDF's of the articles. I downloaded them and a while later I went to the Futures website to see if there free articles by him were in full or just a sample.......And as it turns out the full articles are given. It is a different format, but all the words are there and the charts are there too, with a printable version in the top bar.

 

So this is every Futures magazine article Al Brooks has written from beginning to current.

 

Author - Futures Magazine

 

Here are the two webinars(Top Post)

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/104/futures-i-trade-show-brooks-book-6008-2.html

 

CFRN Interview

http://heavensembrace.org/media/albrooks050908.mp3

 

And here is the support forum for Al Brooks

Brooks Price Action - Home

 

Please if anyone has anything else by Al Brooks I would greatly appreciate you share it.

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The last 2 presentations, how to trade wedges and how to trade the open are now on view at the I-Trade show. It would be great if someone who has the ability to tape those could do so and share them. Thanks!

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Speaking of Al Brooks - does anyone have code or logic for his 'tiny trendline break' setup? That may not even be the correct name for it btw - I loaned my book to someone by mail and only remember seeing it in there. Many thanks.

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Speaking of Al Brooks - does anyone have code or logic for his 'tiny trendline break' setup? That may not even be the correct name for it btw - I loaned my book to someone by mail and only remember seeing it in there. Many thanks.

 

I can't register to it, it says register is closed. I wonder why it says that.

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i come from china,and spend 2 weeks to read this book.As You can see i speak poor english,reading it is very hard to me.

 

come here to learn some more good insights,i'll try my best in trading:)

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I'm new to this conversation, but have been digesting Al's book ever since I got my copy last month. I found this thread as I was searching the web for additional info to help clarify and assist with the book.

I've been trading with marginal success for several years now, but have recently jumped into the deep end of the pool by immersing myself in Wyckoff, Taylor & most recently, Brooks. Tossing out all my indicators was the best move I ever made for my bottom line.

I have to jump in and give a huge thanks to all the hard work everyone has contributed in this thread. I've found it invaluable and think it will really help me as I work my way through Al's book.

 

I second those comments ...and what really is an achievement on this forum - is that rarely is there any disagreement between those who post about Al Brooks' work....just straight discussion & charts posted for comments/help etc.

 

If you do a search on other forums, ( I dont want to name them) the nasty comments hack back and forth for literally hundreds of posts, with members trying to out-snipe one another. Here, its just straight learning - remarkable and a pleasure to read.

 

So thanks to all who contribute so much.

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Hello everyone, I have just finished reading Al Brooks’ new books.

 

I have a couple of questions about H1,H2 in a bull trend.

 

Image 1

 

1. Can a red bar be a signal bar in a bull trend? For example, is B47 a signal bar for a long entry?

2. Regardless of the color, if the entry is not triggered on the next bar, how many bars can we wait for? For example, if bar 47 is a signal bar, does entry bar have to be the next bar or can we wait for a couple of bars, in this case, entry would be bar 49.

 

Image 2

1. Can bar 45 be considered a signal bar? It formed a double-double bottom with bars 42, 43 and 44.

2. Can bar 50 be considered a signal bar? Double bottom with bar 49?

3. If the answer is no, is there a H2 on this chart at all?

5aa710f197a65_howmanybarstillentry.thumb.JPG.70f4d6c21c1bc787ca453d20484beede.JPG

5aa710f1a0909_whereish1andh2.thumb.JPG.88c05297c310dc90691baf46b9d9e0ac.JPG

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Hello everyone, I have just finished reading Al Brooks’ new books.

 

I have a couple of questions about H1,H2 in a bull trend.

 

Image 1

 

1. Can a red bar be a signal bar in a bull trend? For example, is B47 a signal bar for a long entry?

2. Regardless of the color, if the entry is not triggered on the next bar, how many bars can we wait for? For example, if bar 47 is a signal bar, does entry bar have to be the next bar or can we wait for a couple of bars, in this case, entry would be bar 49.

 

Image 2

1. Can bar 45 be considered a signal bar? It formed a double-double bottom with bars 42, 43 and 44.

2. Can bar 50 be considered a signal bar? Double bottom with bar 49?

3. If the answer is no, is there a H2 on this chart at all?

 

Image 1 Bar 47 is not a signal bar. Remember a signal bar is the bar talking you into trade. If it makes the setup and you take a position then it becomes the entry bar. Bar 47 qualifies for neither. It would not have been talking me into taking a position, Bar 49 is an H1 and is first a signal bar as it approaches going higher than bar 48..i.e. it begins to talk me into the trade. Then it becomes an entry bar when it goes 1 tick past bar 48 and I get long. While this too is near the moving average it is a bit more risky but since then trend is fairly strong I would take the risk and take a position on bar 49. A second opportunity is bar 50.

 

Image 2 Bar 45 is a signal bar that becomes a H2 entry bar once it went 1 tick past bar 44. Bar 43 is an H1. Bar 44 is the second leg of the pullback. Hope that helps.

 

Image 2 - Bar 50 would only be a signal bar if it was approaching going above bar 49 which it didn't. Bar 51 is an H1, Bar 53 would be a signal bar H2 and a better entry off the moving average. Bar 55 would actually be the another entry bar (an H3) off near the moving average. Safer trades off moving average is H2 and the H3. Riskier trade would have been long on bar 51 (H1).

 

Remember all bars are either trend bars or range bars in Al's scheme of things. Doji's are trading range bars. Any bar with a goodsize body is a trend bar. Now about colors. If you are looking to go long it would be less risky to stick with signal bars that are the same color as the trend you are trying to capture. For instance, in image 1 bar 47 is a red trend bar. It also never approached breaking the high of the previous bar. So it is not a good signal bar. Bar 49 is the right color bar and it talks me into the trade especially when it breaks the high of bar 48.

 

Please see picture attached for a more detailed brooks explanation of your questions. Just kidding!

brooks.jpg.0df97fb356e02e3f9ab15bbda414590a.jpg

Edited by Patuca

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.
While this too is near the moving average it is a bit more risky but since then trend is fairly strong I would take the risk and take a position on bar 49. A second opportunity is bar 50.

 

Hi Patuca,

 

How do we take into account the MA wrt the candle formed in Al's scheme. How far is far enough and how close is risky?

 

Thanks

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Hi Patuca,

 

How do we take into account the MA wrt the candle formed in Al's scheme. How far is far enough and how close is risky?

 

Thanks

 

crakeshm,

Looks like patuca has stepped out to lunch

(forever? Hope not)

- so I will take a very general swipe at it.

 

Brooks and those successfully applying his methods are applying unmentioned ‘rules’ in their utilization of the ma.

Brooks uses the MA as a central tendency to ‘ground’ the wet ware.

But - to be blunt - instead of trying to develop or stick to ‘mono-rules’, the ‘meaning’ on these approaches to ma's must be taken statistically... even noobs should be attempting this from the beginning!

Because ... similar/analog (or exact) price pattern approaches to the central tendency will not have exact (or similar/analog) results or ‘meanings’.

 

It takes some time observing and using a central tendency to ‘ground’ the wet ware before you develop reliable, multiple ways to project probable outcomes... instead of relying on ‘mono-rules’ ...

 

Another way of expressing this - at a system (or method) level, trading rules and simple moving averages don’t mix. Statistically, it’s a fkn wash at best. This backtest to nowhere prematurely ends the careers of many otherwise bright traders (... sometimes it’s best to believe those who have gone before you... but if you must - find out for yourself... )

 

(almost :offtopic: )

... Also, for what it’s worth, standard ma’s need to be displaced ( .5 the length of the ma) bars back and a projected regression used to fill in the missing gap / to catch it up to current bar.

 

(more almost :offtopic: )

...Another technique for increasing ma’s efficacy is to start them again after each significant pivot instead of dragging a bunch of unuseful data into the calculation. For a while, displaced 2 period ma’s were popular because they were, in effect, accomplishing something closer to starting the ma again after each significant pivot... unbeknownst to most using them...

 

Many wet wares do not find them necessary at all (... some of those peeps will even preach that YOU should never dare even glance at them ... not realizing they are (unconsciously) ’calculating’/projecting at least one (if not more) central tendency in their head all the damp time  )

 

As your screen time accumulates, don’t be surprised if you may wake up one morning or midsession suddenly holding ma’s in a negative light and drop them... btw, if that happens, it’s better not to ‘judge’ them. Simply realize your wetware no longer needs them visually represented on your charts because they are interfering with your more accurate and preferable ‘non math’ wetware calculations and 'contexting' that will allow you to do better than .6 with working out “ How far is far enough and how close is risky”. etc. etc ...

 

But also don’t be surprised if after significant screen time with them, they suddenly fall into place for you... and become really useful...

 

And ... If you’re one of those who dropped them or never found them useful. also don’t be surprised if one day you wake up needing and attempting to manually draw your wetware version of a central tendency back on your charts...

 

ie “Find your own way” !!!!!!!!!! zdo

 

 

hth

 

 

zdo

Edited by zdo

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crakeshm,

Looks like patuca has stepped out to lunch

(forever? Hope not)

- so I will take a very general swipe at it.

 

Brooks and those successfully applying his methods are applying unmentioned ‘rules’ in their utilization of the ma.

Brooks uses the MA as a central tendency to ‘ground’ the wet ware.

But - to be blunt - instead of trying to develop or stick to ‘mono-rules’, the ‘meaning’ on these approaches to ma's must be taken statistically... even noobs should be attempting this from the beginning!

Because ... similar/analog (or exact) price pattern approaches to the central tendency will not have exact (or similar/analog) results or ‘meanings’.

 

It takes some time observing and using a central tendency to ‘ground’ the wet ware before you develop reliable, multiple ways to project probable outcomes... instead of relying on ‘mono-rules’ ...

 

Another way of expressing this - at a system (or method) level, trading rules and simple moving averages don’t mix. Statistically, it’s a fkn wash at best. This backtest to nowhere prematurely ends the careers of many otherwise bright traders (... sometimes it’s best to believe those who have gone before you... but if you must - find out for yourself... )

 

(almost :offtopic: )

... Also, for what it’s worth, standard ma’s need to be displaced ( .5 the length of the ma) bars back and a projected regression used to fill in the missing gap / to catch it up to current bar.

 

(more almost :offtopic: )

...Another technique for increasing ma’s efficacy is to start them again after each significant pivot instead of dragging a bunch of unuseful data into the calculation. For a while, displaced 2 period ma’s were popular because they were, in effect, accomplishing something closer to starting the ma again after each significant pivot... unbeknownst to most using them...

 

Many wet wares do not find them necessary at all (... some of those peeps will even preach that YOU should never dare even glance at them ... not realizing they are (unconsciously) ’calculating’/projecting at least one (if not more) central tendency in their head all the damp time  )

 

As your screen time accumulates, don’t be surprised if you may wake up one morning or midsession suddenly holding ma’s in a negative light and drop them... btw, if that happens, it’s better not to ‘judge’ them. Simply realize your wetware no longer needs them visually represented on your charts because they are interfering with your more accurate and preferable ‘non math’ wetware calculations and 'contexting' that will allow you to do better than .6 with working out “ How far is far enough and how close is risky”. etc. etc ...

 

But also don’t be surprised if after significant screen time with them, they suddenly fall into place for you... and become really useful...

 

And ... If you’re one of those who dropped them or never found them useful. also don’t be surprised if one day you wake up needing and attempting to manually draw your wetware version of a central tendency back on your charts...

 

ie “Find your own way” !!!!!!!!!! zdo

 

 

hth

 

 

zdo

 

Thanks a lot ZDO for such an elaborate explanation. I agree with what you said. I will try to experiment with the MA techniques you have mentioned.

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    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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