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psb67

My Day Trading System

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Day trading, perhaps the most interesting at the same time highly testing a venture of all trading methods.

 

I wanted to share with you all the trading system I follow, which I found to be highly interesting.

 

I have attached 5m and 15m charts of GBPJPY & USDCHF of today's european session.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

GBPJPY_M5-M15-150409.thumb.png.fec33bb22ffbab0a5cdd34fd1cc25d7b.png

USDCHF-M5-M15-15-04-09.thumb.png.29952059f73caeca087c2fd9e6899673.png

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Hi there..

 

What exactly is the system? Would you be kind enough to elaborate?

 

Thanks..

 

Hi Shopsmart,

 

Thanks for your reply.

 

I would be more glad to explain my system to you, if you would be kind enough to share with me what do you perceive from my charts.

 

Once you understand the functioning of it, you can make even if you don't want on an avg. 50 to 100 pips a day. :)

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

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It looks to me like you trade around pivot points based on some combination of awesome oscillator, macd and whatever that gooey orange indicator is.

 

 

Paul

 

Hi Trader,

 

Perhaps this is the first time, I am hearing a lovely name, "Gooey Orange Indicator" lol

 

Thanks anyway Trader.

 

I will try to be brief and succinct.

 

1. Pivot plays 10%

2. AO,EMA-200 & MACD 40%

3. The Gooey Orange Indicator 50%

 

The whole combination esp. in 1M makes tremendous impact. esp. with GBPJPY & USDCHF. My most fav. pairs. At least in a day, conservatively speaking, 2 times you get a chance to make a min. of 50 pips each confidently and assuredly. :)

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

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I remember seeing the orange indicator somewhere else but I cannot remember what it was.

 

 

Paul

 

Paul,

 

It's a Rainbow Indicator for MT4. There is no big secret involved in my system. It's a matter of how we fine tune our system to suit our temperament.

 

In my trading, I don't depend 100% on TA alone, perhaps that's one of the reasons I am being to some extent successful in my trading.

 

I am learning, I don't mind being modest, to exploit this system to the fullest extent for my Equity index as well as forex trading and share it with you all.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

Edited by psb67

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Hi Friends,

 

My today's GBPJPY 1M Chart. Regret could not post earlier since I was busy on a long telecon with my friend from US.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

 

Sureba67

GBPJPY_M1-210409.thumb.png.d82845e6cd1785d2c2564d912752d37f.png

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I am very anxious to hear more about this system !!!

Put it up in a window beside my usual system today - did MUCH better than usual -

just basically using the trigger buy/sell when the AO is above/below the 23 day

moving average and the MACD crosses

May have just been an odd day but it almost works out to be a SAR system !

You said you use the rainbow indicator 50% - for exits I presume - I was watching

for the AO to go under the MA and/or MACD crossing for exits - I don't have the rainbow

indicator available and was using a similar one with a series of Hull MA's

Didn't look at the A/D much but am guessing you are using it to get an early heads up/confirmation of market direction

Please post more details on how you trade your system ! Today would be good - yesterday would be even better ! LOL :) Thanks so much for the information - kinda excited about using it tomorrow !

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I am very anxious to hear more about this system !!!

Put it up in a window beside my usual system today - did MUCH better than usual -

May have just been an odd day but it almost works out to be a SAR system !

You said you use the rainbow indicator 50% - for exits I presume - I was watching

f

Please post more details on how you trade your system ! Today would be good - yesterday would be even better ! LOL :) Thanks so much for the information - kinda excited about using it tomorrow !

 

Hi MF,

 

Thanks for your reply.

 

In fact, couple of forex brokers showed keen interest on my system and they wanted to make autotrader out of it. Only I don't believe in autotraders. :)

 

My aim is to achieve at least on an average 20 to 30 pips per trade with minimum drawdown. In trading, there are no would have been, could have been and everyday is a new day. Frankly, one of the reasons I am not making big noise about my system, although it took lot of efforts to form such a wonderful system to suit my trading temperament and it is working well for me, the system that works for me, may not work for others. This is an universal truth.

 

That's why, I had started a Real time Free Scalping Calls for my friends instead of trying to explain them the whole system. Besides, this is yet another reasons I leave it to my readers to interpret the system so that they can fine tune it to suit their trading temperament.

 

Most of my entries are based on strengths and weakness of the price movements. MACD and AO are excellent in identifying the same. If you had noticed I use higher numbers in MACD in order to avoid whipsaws as GBP/JPY is prone to move erraticaly. Rainbow helps me with S/R and trend direction.

 

Since I am from Stocks background, and have been in stocks since 1992, I exit when my target is achieved, I don't bother about where it goes fr. my exit. I wait for the next turn.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

GBPJPY_M5-050509.thumb.png.999cd8bd15bf9c11503cc9da56135f9e.png

Edited by psb67

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Winning Strategy - My Personal Experience

 

It's more essential to work on yourself to get 100% positive result with accuracy than just working on your trading system to work for you accurately. In simple words, 80% work on yourself and spare 20% on your trading system.

 

Once you start practicing this, even if you don't want to win your trades, you will win because, it's not your trading system that's making your winning trades, it's YOU.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

Edited by psb67

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I am attaching here my M1 and M5 GBP/JPY charts for your understanding.

 

It's a real fun trading gbp/jpy, esp. scalping. We did so far very well and we are calling it a day. :)

 

I regret the idea of using web based IM Meebo in my blog didn't strike earlier.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

GBPJPY_M1-050509.thumb.png.763716ea1aa7adca0226ac0887440a50.png

GBPJPY_M5-050509.thumb.png.59e0abd473422c185faaa884b04643fe.png

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Hello friends,

 

Yet another highly charged session with huge volatility, with good chances for scalpers. :)

 

We could not do more than 4 trades since I was not keeping well. One was a real bad call but in just 3 jumps my target was reached. I had never seen in one shot 30 pips jump in gbp/jpy as I had seen today. Only later realised it was due to the unexpectedly positive data released at that time. :)

 

I violated my own rule, "Do not force yourself to trade when you are not mentally, physically fit". It was a chance I took.

 

We called it a day with 55 pips with no losses.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

GBPJPY_M1-060509.thumb.png.97f7c0924dc9ed7aa5eb0070b5874621.png

GBPJPY_M5-060509.thumb.png.26499796872e366bde721ccf084cb54c.png

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Hi again psb67 !

I have used your system for several days now - I was trading on a small time frame and was amazed to back off ( 15m chart ) when the day was over to see what lousy days they were ! That being said - they have been the best days I have had in the markets in as long as I can remember !

As I said before - I do not have access to the rainbow indicator and my substitute really didn't tell me anything new - didn't use A/D ( used Williams A/D ) until today - with the addition of your moving average it helped a lot

I also use two CCI's in one window - 14 and 50 - when things are smooth they get me in a little more quickly and also help to enter in the middle of a MACD trend - Also use MACD crossover with a MA4 - when there is the least bit of chop I wait for the MACD to cross its long term MA

This morning I dropped down to the 1M chart and traded most of the day with that - made money trade after trade ( this is all GBP/USD ) - Your MACD with that longer term MA smooths it out and it trades like a 5 or 10 minute chart !

R/R Excellent ! Win/Lose Excellent !

Have to tell you - when I first saw your post I was thinking " Oh Boy ! Heres the 142nd set of MACD magic settings I have seen this week ! " So glad I tried them !

How do you get your profit targets ? Fibs ? I need to look at that - haven't seen a good exit point from the indicators yet - sometimes just the MACD works - wait for it to flatten out - but not sure yet if that would work in the long run - the built in delay that is so deadly for entries is slow to show an exit

Again ....... can't thank you enough ! My trading has staged an absolutely amazing turnaround - thanks to you !

BTW - 54 pips yesterday - 83 today !

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Hi again psb67 !

I have used your system for several days now -

Again ....... can't thank you enough ! My trading has staged an absolutely amazing turnaround - thanks to you !

BTW - 54 pips yesterday - 83 today !

 

Hi MF,

 

It's always heartening to listen to even a single trader sharing his experience, both positive as well as negative in a public forum so openly; it helps both the concerned trader as well as the person whom he/she addresses. It helps in a such a manner to improvise further. :)

 

Coming to your point,

 

1. <<How do you get your profit targets ? Fibs ? I need to look at that>>

I set my targets, reasonably - for gbp/jpy - if scalping, 20 to 30 pips per trade, if position trading min. 100 pips. At times when I see the trend is reversing, I won't mind getting out with even 10 pips. Once my expected target is achieved I close my eyes until I get a next chance. I won't bother even if it runs 100 pips fr. where I made my exit, unless I get clear entry. I never chase the trend.

 

2. <<As I said before - I do not have access to the rainbow indicator and my substitute really didn't tell me anything new - didn't use A/D ( used Williams A/D ) until today - with the addition of your moving average it helped a lot>>

Try to Make your life easier and enjoyable while trading but always have high dreams. It's not your system that makes your winning trades, mind you, it's YOU. The system only plays 20% on your entire trading.

 

All you need is couple of bar charts with EMAs, MACD, AO and CCI with SMA (it's too sensitive) or even Stoch with higher nos. is better along with Fib. I have Rainbow, undoubtedly it's an excellent indicator. Don't bother if you don't have it. Don't try to replicate it. Not required.

 

3. <<Have to tell you - when I first saw your post I was thinking " Oh Boy ! Heres the 142nd set of MACD magic settings I have seen this week ! " So glad I tried them !>>

:) I love this part. This attitude always helps improving one's self. Just imagine in the last 3 years, how many such indicators I would've worked with to reach today's level. It takes time my friend. I respect your conviction, commitment, involvement and interest. The most essential 2Cs and 2Is for any man/woman to become successful besides being a responsible trader with lot of greed. (Read my blog about my understanding of GREED)

 

4. <<I have used your system for several days now - I was trading on a small time frame and was amazed to back off ( 15m chart ) when the day was over to see what lousy days they were ! That being said - they have been the best days I have had in the markets in as long as I can remember !>>

As I had mentioned often times, every system is unique, it's not mandatory the system that works for me should work for you. If you want to make it work for you, you must blend with it, for that you must observe it, fine tune it until it suits your real temperament before placing your first order.

 

To share with you, when I pick up a currency pair or a stock, I observe it, at times even couple of weeks until I am convinced I am comfortable with it. If not, I forget it, however great it is. Now, you know why I love gbp/jpy and usd/chf. :) I follow a 21 days formula that I devised when I was a marketing consultant to chose my pair or a stock.

 

My advice:

 

Work with one or two pairs. Avoid tracking every pair that moves up and down. If your pairs do not give any trades for the whole day or for few hours, consider that day is a holiday or for few hours, time for relaxation, go out with your gf or to be on the safer side play Freecell. With Freecell, you can preserve your wallet and improve your concentration. lol

 

For scalping, Use 1M chart with MACD, CCI with SMA or Stoch, AO. Use 5M and 15M for trend direction, Fib for S/R. You must have real patience if you want to use MACD or CCI or Stoch with higher numbers. I notice you have already started getting used to it. :)

 

IMPORTANT: Once you have achieved your day's target, say whether in 1 trade or 5 trades, close your trading application, do something else. Once you start doing that, you will experience the true meaning of life.

 

<<Again ....... can't thank you enough ! My trading has staged an absolutely amazing turnaround - thanks to you ! BTW - 54 pips yesterday - 83 today !>>

 

Thank yourself for allowing yourself to really work seriously for the first time with the sole intention of winning your trades and improving your spirits.

My losses were my investments. We all tend to ignore this fact. :)

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

Edited by psb67
Correction

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Hello friends,

 

Hope everyone is doing well.

 

Attaching with my usual gbpjpy, eurusd charts for your understanding.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

GBPJPY_M1-080509.thumb.png.d67ed20d83090d95b10acdf21d1d239a.png

GBPJPY_M5-080509.thumb.png.8cc6871a80f6488b56b402964289bd9e.png

EURUSD_M1-080509.thumb.png.28a62f74aae10c72f4ecf303b3d11009.png

EURUSD_M5-080509.thumb.png.c682879c46f70cb2061823ac480192c8.png

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Hello Friends,

 

Hope your weekend is going well. :)

 

Looks as though the present trend of Pound will continue for few more days. Attaching here my gbp/jpy charts for your understanding.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Weekend

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

 

Sureba67

GBPJPY_M15-100509.thumb.png.fdcb7e0ec8f35bd246eb0570b0ec1ebc.png

GBPJPY_M30-100509.thumb.png.8df4632dea519873df79c3195db3a78a.png

GBPJPY_H1-100509.thumb.png.5254683731696c5d5e8727570a544709.png

Edited by psb67
Correction

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"Looks as though the present trend of Pound will continue for few more days."

Yeah Psb67 - just rub it in !!!! LOL :) Sure wish I had been trading Friday !

 

I am learning more and more of the subtleties of your system every day ! Has worked magnificently for me as is but there is much more to it.

As I said before, I use the CCI 14/50 ZL crossover a lot, however it is just too noisy - it needs a filter. I have tried MA's but they just seem to kill its effectiveness - Enter the Psb67 Super MACD - LOL :) - Using the Macd as a filter it performs almost flawlessly - I have noticed that that when the CCI is very jittery the Macd keeps me from using it - by the time it settles down, I am " permissioned " to use it and it is accurate.

One other very interesting thing - I am using the AO but am becoming persuaded that the A/D is more accurate - less noisy ! Its a very subtle thing,but I have noticed that when I am " permissioned " by the MACD - and the A/D has ticked up, even very little, the CCI signal is a good one - it seems very consistent - like I said - it is very subtle - but seems to be reliable.

One of the most powerful signals I have seen is when there is a long term bias to the market - the A/D is positive - and there is a " notch " in the A/D - it drops to near zero. perhaps slightly below - If I start getting buy signals at that time they are nearly always powerful moves ! Its a form, I think, of how the COT is used in the Futures market - a peek into what the commercials are doing.

Psb67 - I went to several other sights where you post and was very impressed ! I would love to hear your insight as to what kind of trading hours to keep - I am retired and could trade 12 hours if I wished but ....... not with focus - not effectively - what are your thoughts on this ?

Also - all constraints aside - social obligations, sleep etc. aside - what hours would you prefer to trade the GBP/JPY and the USD/CHF ?

As always - Thanks so much for your insight and help !

Mack

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"Looks as though the present trend of Pound will continue for few more days."

Yeah Psb67 - just rub it in !!!! LOL :) Sure wish I had been trading Friday !

Mack

 

Hi MF,

 

Hope you are enjoying your weekend. Your tone however exhibits you are really enjoying your weekend. :)

 

<<Psb67 - I went to several other sights where you post and was very impressed !>>

Glad to note you spared your time visiting my posts.

 

<<As always - Thanks so much for your insight and help ! >>

I assume my role, either you call it as a facilitator or light house to provide direction and help to you and my fellow traders understand trading and them (YOU). You must also learn to only thank God and yourself at the end of every trade. Thanking me makes no difference. :)

 

<<Also - all constraints aside - social obligations, sleep etc. aside - what hours would you prefer to trade>>

 

My most preferred trading hours: Beginning and End of Asian, European and American hours. I avoid news hours. In between I work with Indian Stocks, play free cell, listen to my fav. KennyG and sleep for an hour.

 

<<As I said before, I use the CCI 14/50 ZL crossover a lot>>

I stopped using CCI because it does not suit my temperament. May be due to my age factor. lol

I like Stoch with higher numbers.

 

<<I am retired and could trade 12 hours if I wished but ....... not with focus - not effectively - what are your thoughts on this ?>>

Once you and your system have established a kind of synergy, and you have accepted it's you not just the trading system that makes your trades win, that may take some time, you would not be required to sit for whole 12 hours. On the other hand, over stressing yourself will have dire effect on your trading. I would not advice you to sit for 12 hours. Frankly not required.

 

If you are into trading because you are retired, then change that mind set. It will have great impact on you.

 

<<I am using the AO but am becoming persuaded that the A/D is more accurate - less noisy>>

Recall what I said about my purpose of using AO. I use it primarily to measure the strength and weakness of rise and fall. On the other hand, A/D performs a different role. If you take a close look at my today's 15M chart, you will get my point.

 

Have a nice day. Regards to all of you.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading.

Edited by psb67
correction

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Hello friends,

 

Glad to see you all after a peaceful weekend. :)

 

Attaching here today's 15 min. & 30 min. charts for your understanding. Yesterday's correction was quite healthy a one.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

GBPJPY_M15-120509.thumb.png.93619f77e18d149d89d4d90ab1783717.png

GBPJPY_M30-120509.thumb.png.8ee65336e5d59c641723fa8aff98c60b.png

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You going to join us over here psb?

 

Hi Brown,

 

So kind of you. How are you?

 

I am yet to figure out how I can contribute to your thread. I went thru' the whole thread, and saw lot of our friends sharing their trade details.

 

I will see you there. :)

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading.

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Wish to share my thoughts.

 

I have never before tracked EUR/GBP until recently. I found a thread dedicated for the same in TL as well.

 

I began to follow this pair when one of the US based brokers called me to discuss about making autotrader out of my trading system exclusively for GBP/JPY and he mentioned they already have an autotrader for EUR/GBP. Frankly, I am not a fan of any autotrader or EA, nor have I worked with either. :)

 

Now, my little experience and opinion with/of this pair is, anyone wishes to improve one's day trading or scalping, one must work with this pair for at least few months before working with any pair. This pair offers a lot to learn. I am working on fine tuning my SOLIMO to suit EUR/GBP in my spare time to include it in my free calls service.

 

I may be craziest man on the earth to ever conceive such an idea and post here but I don't mind being crazy if it has the potential to make the difference. :)

 

Nice day.

 

Healthy And Wealthy Trading

 

Sureba67

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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