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CrimeStopper46

Caveat Emptor

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I am writing this thread to show a few of my experiences with trading instruction. My hope is to expose some of the questionable activities that are taking place. I will continue my case study for other instruction websites and business I have come across.

 

I will not use real names to protect the guilty. If SoulTrader gives the ok I will give out names but not until then. The first “education” company I want to address is a live chat room where the head instructor Allen, calls real time trades on the E-mini dow (ym) futures contract. In the chat room he has a “buzzer” that sounds when you are supposed to take long or short trades based on Allen’s knowledge of the market. Allen charges $300 a month for his service. On Average Allen calls 7-12 trades during the day. The trader is instructed to “take partial profits at 5-7 points”, Take more profits when the trade moves 11 points on your favor then ride the rest of the position for a bigger winner.

 

In the instruction section of the website Allen tells students to use a stop loss of 20 points. During the trades he will often call out a stop of 50-60 points as a “final” stop. Allen says that he scales into and out of positions because he trades so many contracts.

 

Here is where things get confusing!!!!!!!

 

Some of the trades move 20 or more points against the position from where he says to enter. As the position continues against the traders Allen continues to add contracts making his cost average much lower/higher then the person who just entered on the original call.

From here, Allen will be exiting his position before price is even back to the original entry call.

 

Another questionable practice is when Allen makes a call he will sometimes be in immediately and sometimes he will wait for a deeper re-trace before entry. Allen says for the multiple contract trader to enter part of the position at market when he makes the call. Then add onto the position if the market moves against the trader.

 

Undoubtedly this practice of “averaging down” is a way to ensure that the trader will be holding their largest positions when the market is moving against them. Imagine taking 5 ticks profit when market moves in your favor from the entry, but adding 4-5 times that position every 12-20 points as the market moves against you.

 

Here are some transcripts from the room along with the accompanying chart set-ups.

 

The chart we are looking at is the smallest time frame Allen uses and is used to “take entries”. It is an 89 tick chart with a 89 period exponional moving average(green) attached. Also used is a stochastic with the settings of 14,3,3(bottom pane). The price bars are Hekin Ashi bars that measure momentum red bars mean market is bearish and blue bars are bullish.

 

 

 

 

 

11:42:14 {Allen} [**] SELL SHORT ALERT. USE STOP MANAGEMENT PER GUIDELINES. TAKE PARTIAL PROFITS WHEN MARKET MOVES 7 POINTS IN YOUR FAVOR. [**] ! !

 

11:45:02 {Allen} can add one at 8119

 

11:46:07 {Allen} [**] SELL SHORT ALERT. USE STOP MANAGEMENT PER GUIDELINES. TAKE PARTIAL PROFITS WHEN MARKET MOVES 7 POINTS IN YOUR FAVOR. [**] ! !

 

11:51:01 {Allen} [xx] TARGET HIT - AM i GOOD OR WHAT. CONSIDER EXIT OR TRAIL YOUR STOPS. [XX] !

 

 

 

Lets look at the math behind these series of trades. The original short was called at 11:24 where an entry price of 8099 (give or take a tick) would have been filled. From here at 11:45 Allen says to add on at 11:45 at a price of 8119.

 

Now we are short 2 contracts with an average price of 8109. In order to make +7 we would need market to drop to 8102.

 

Moving along, Allen calls another short at 11:46. It seems we are already short but this is not acknowledged or mentioned. Either we can add another short onto our 2 contracts already or just ignore this signal.(and pray)

 

At 11:51 Allen buzzes Target hit.????????

 

From the last entry at 11:46 a 7 tick move was seen. However If first trade and ADD ON short were taken the price went no where near the 8102 needed for a profitable trade.

Shortly after this trade Allen goes to lunch. And returns at 2:00 to call a couple more trades before then end of the day.

 

I hope all newer traders can appreciate what I am trying to illustrate here. You don't always get what you pay for.

 

Caveat emptor

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Great Post very informative. I'm sure anyone who has been in this business for any amount of time is familiar with vendors and indicators that are more concerned with taking money from your wallet rather then the market.

 

:missy:BennyHey

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Here is what was written in the "official" track record for the trade in question.

Sell at 8118 = profit target at 8110 profit of $105

Sell at 8124 = profit target at 8114 profit of $135

 

 

Sum of Profit/Loss

Date Entry Time Long/Short Buy Price Sell Price Setup Total

 

11:44 AM Short 8110.00 8118.00 Trigger $105.00

8114.00 8124.00 Trigger $135.00

 

I don't really understand where he got these numbers from, he somehow turns 2 losing trades into two winning trades. Additionally the "buy" price of 8110 was never hit at any time. The low of the 11:51 bar was 8111. The high of the 11:46 bar was 8124, this would have never been filled for a short order as it touched but did not fill a limit order.

 

Maybe I am the only one that cares about this but I am so sick of these people passing themselves off as "experts" when this example clearly shows the BS involved. I would love to invent my buys and sells as it suits me after the market is closed but unfortunately my brokers only takes buys and sells I do REAL time.

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...

I will not use real names to protect the guilty.

 

Why? You think this guy deserves to be protected? I dont think so, put his name out there. Hopefully someone looking to buy his "course" will use google and happen to come across this thread.

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Why? You think this guy deserves to be protected? I dont think so, put his name out there. Hopefully someone looking to buy his "course" will use google and happen to come across this thread.

 

Maybe to protect himself? He is probably violating non disclaimer agreements by posting this kind of information. And by posting the actual name, someone might be able to verify how accurate his postings are. For all we know, he has a personal axe to grind against the vendor for whatever reason and is only selectively posting the sections which reflects negatively on the vendor and ignore the positive sections. I mean if this was all bad, you have to wonder why he apparently is still going back to the chat room every day?

 

I don't know who this vendor is and I am not defening him. I am just saying that any story always has two sides and just because a person's handle is CrimeStopper46, we should not automatically assume that his posts are more credible and should be taken on face value. Especially not with only a handful of posts.

 

Everyone always should do their own due diligence as you never know what motives the other party have.

Edited by sevensa
typo

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Maybe to protect himself? He is probably violating non disclaimer agreements by posting this kind of information. And by posting the actual name, someone might be able to verify how accurate his postings are. For all we know, he has a personal axe to grind against the vendor for whatever reason and is only selectively posting the sections which reflects negatively on the vendor and ignore the positive sections. I mean if this was all bad, you have to wonder why he apparently is still going back to the chat room every day?

 

I don't know who this vendor is and I am not defening him. I am just saying that any story always has two sides and just because a person's handle is CrimeStopper46, we should not automatically assume that his posts are more credible and should be taken on face value. Especially not with only a handful of posts.

 

Everyone always should do their own due diligence as you never know what motives the other party have.

 

Obviously the vendor posts good calls in the room, that's not the point. I was showing how their is a "fudge factor" that all rooms of this type that I have come across use. I was a subscriber to this room for one month of a monthly subscription. I don't "keep going back day after day" as u say.

 

I am not posting the name of the vendor because its not just this room but all the rooms of this type I have come across. I was going to post other techniques used by other vendors I have tried, but I am not really getting the feedback I thought I would.

 

Its just an idea I had that I thought would make an interesting thread.

 

Of course I have an ax to grind Sevensa. DO YOU THINK it is moral for this vendor to post 2 losing trades as 2 winning trades?? Newer traders looking for education look at that Track Record and assume it is legit.

 

I am using an alias to protect myself. I have many posts on many sites and I don't want any personal attacks like I have seen happen on other sites(elite trader).

 

I am doing this as sort of a Consumer Reports for trading "education" websites. I spent a few hours putting together all this information and creating as understandable a thread as I could.

 

Hope all had a profitable day today. I am flat and green so I can't complain.

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Obviously the vendor posts good calls in the room, that's not the point.

Of course this is important. For the "fudged" trades, the trader simply could have made a calculation/typo mistake. Did you ask him for an explanation? Would the track record have been unprofitable overall without the fudged trades, or are they maybe irrelvant to the overall profitability of the system because they are only a small portion? The point is that it appears that you might be selectively present certain parts of information which proves your point, but ignore the rest which doesnt.

 

Of course I have an ax to grind Sevensa. DO YOU THINK it is moral for this vendor to post 2 losing trades as 2 winning trades?? Newer traders looking for education look at that Track Record and assume it is legit.

He might have simply made a mistake or there might have been another rational explanation which you have missed. Have you asked the vendor for an explanation before you have jumped to conclusions? Having had some experience with vendors in the past, I will agree that you are probably right, but on the other hand, I have no way of verifying what you say is true either. You did not really provide any facts other than portions of a chat log which may, or may not be true.

 

I am doing this as sort of a Consumer Reports for trading "education" websites. I spent a few hours putting together all this information and creating as understandable a thread as I could.

What are your credentials and backround you feel qualify you to provide a "service" like this? Even though I agree in principe that many vendors are shady, not posting any names, cherry picking portions of chat scripts and hiding behind an alias do not really give you much credibility either. For all I know, you are a competitor or disgruntled ex partner of this particular chat service.

 

I am using an alias to protect myself. I have many posts on many sites and I don't want any personal attacks like I have seen happen on other sites(elite trader).

If what you are presenting are undeniable facts that cannot be refuted, why would you need protection?

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Of course this is important. For the "fudged" trades, the trader simply could have made a calculation/typo mistake. Did you ask him for an explanation? Would the track record have been unprofitable overall without the fudged trades, or are they maybe irrelvant to the overall profitability of the system because they are only a small portion? The point is that it appears that you might be selectively present certain parts of information which proves your point, but ignore the rest which doesnt.

 

I assure you it was not a mistake. These "mistakes" happen everyday and I could post more if I wanted to go through all the effort. Do you think turning two losing trades would effect the profitability of a system??

 

 

He might have simply made a mistake or there might have been another rational explanation which you have missed. Have you asked the vendor for an explanation before you have jumped to conclusions? Having had some experience with vendors in the past, I will agree that you are probably right, but on the other hand, I have no way of verifying what you say is true either. You did not really provide any facts other than portions of a chat log which may, or may not be true.

 

Its true I could be making all this up, why would I create a false chat log and false track record and post it here?? I have better things to do with my time.

As far as asking the vendor yes I have asked about these descripencies. I usually get one of two responses:

 

1. On trades that go against the trader you shold have waited for the PullBack before entering. ie. the first entry he has at 8119.

2. If trade goes in your favor from entry then you should have gotten in quicker and you missed the trade.

 

You did not really provide any facts other than portions of a chat log which may, or may not be true.

 

What other facts would u like me to post??

 

What are your credentials and backround you feel qualify you to provide a "service" like this? Even though I agree in principe that many vendors are shady, not posting any names, cherry picking portions of chat scripts and hiding behind an alias do not really give you much credibility either. For all I know, you are a competitor or disgruntled ex partner of this particular chat service.

 

I am just a guy who loves trading. I have been trading futures for a few years and have tried many vendors. I thought I would share some of my experiences in this thread.

 

I assure you I am not a competitor. Please note I have not used ANY vendor names.

 

 

If what you are presenting are undeniable facts that cannot be refuted, why would you need protection?

 

I mentioned why above. I don't want to recieve any personal attacks. I am just posting my experience. I see you are very sceptical of even me, good for you, thats kinda the point I'm trying to make is not judge things at face value.

 

I could create a website with 100% accuracy over 5 years, with a disclaimer in small print at the bottom and no impartial, unbiased source could verify it. ONLY someone who had taken my course could say I was fudging my numbers.

 

Maybe they would make a thread on Traders Labatory and call me out. I don't know

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Been reading through your posts sevensa, it seems you are very quick to criticize the work of other people.

 

ALL YOUR POSTS point out the faults in other peoples posts. Not to mention questioning their intelligence and integrity. Maybe you should post some of your own work rather than telling others how wrong they are.

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Been reading through your posts sevensa, it seems you are very quick to criticize the work of other people.

 

ALL YOUR POSTS point out the faults in other peoples posts. Not to mention questioning their intelligence and integrity. Maybe you should post some of your own work rather than telling others how wrong they are.

 

You mean my posts are just like yours? :roll eyes:

 

I have pointed out that there might be another side and other motives behind your posts since you have no track record here. You don't have to like it. I am happy to agree to disagree with you.

 

Good luck in your trading and I hope you find a chatroom you are happy and profitable with.

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You mean my posts are just like yours? :roll eyes:

 

I have pointed out that there might be another side and other motives behind your posts since you have no track record here. You don't have to like it. I am happy to agree to disagree with you.

 

Good luck in your trading and I hope you find a chatroom you are happy and profitable with.

 

Yes I am, made money everyday this week. So I can't complain. Thats fine if you wanna play devil's advocate. Healthy debate is how problems are re-contextualized(that can't be a real word).

 

If you wanna talk about something concrete (ie. trades, numbers etc.) that would be good. What I don't care for is questioning my motives and integrity.

 

All the unsavory vendors should be forced to follow some sort of regulation IMO. These guys are getting rich selling systems and indicators etc. that simply don't WORK. I lost money for 6 months when I started using a system that just didn't work. The track record on the vendor's site was awesome, but in the real world the results could never be matched.

 

I'm trying to keep others from making the same mistakes I did when I started. I dumped 15k into this system before finally giving up on it realizing that the approach I was using would not work.

 

I put this thread together to warn others and YOU tell others(by posing your reply) that my motives are questionable and I am not experienced enough to have a valid opinion.

 

What is YOUR motive?? To defend a vendor who's material you have never seen?? I HAVE taken the course. That is enough for me to comment on it. You HAVEN'T so you really have no place.

 

I'm done with this thread unless Someone else posts some reply's that they got something useful out of this.

 

who cares anyway, I don't even know why I am replying.

 

Have a great weekend all and GOD bless.

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I'll lay odds this vendor is Alex L. Wasilewski who operates PureTick.

 

He has one of the worst reputations in an industry that is full of conmen. Read all about him at Elite Trader.

 

And, if this is PureTick, you should be referring to "ticks" not points on targets and stopouts.

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All the unsavory vendors should be forced to follow some sort of regulation IMO. These guys are getting rich selling systems and indicators etc. that simply don't WORK. I lost money for 6 months when I started using a system that just didn't work. The track record on the vendor's site was awesome, but in the real world the results could never be matched.

 

I'm trying to keep others from making the same mistakes I did when I started. I dumped 15k into this system before finally giving up on it realizing that the approach I was using would not work.

 

I put this thread together to warn others and YOU tell others(by posing your reply) that my motives are questionable and I am not experienced enough to have a valid opinion.

 

What is YOUR motive?? To defend a vendor who's material you have never seen?? I HAVE taken the course. That is enough for me to comment on it. You HAVEN'T so you really have no place.

 

I'm done with this thread unless Someone else posts some reply's that they got something useful out of this.

 

who cares anyway, I don't even know why I am replying.

 

Have a great weekend all and GOD bless.

What system did you spend $15K on? Not the one you describe in the opening paragraph, right?

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This place is called Puretick.com and it's 100% major scam, they cannot trade or teach.

 

The head trader, Alex, is also mentally ill, he treats his customers at times with disrespect.

 

Avoid like the plague.

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Hello all, interesting discussion. Here are some facts.

 

1. If you are a consistantly profitable trader, just 10-12 percent per year consistantly, you will have more size enabled to you than you can handle. How to prove what I am saying is true? Post 1 or 2 years certified results on any board, Elite, Traders Lab, Forex Factory etc. You will have them lining up to enable you, you will start small but if you keep your wits, size is never a problem. So the bottom line is, if you are consistant you will always be able to make more money than being a vendor.

 

2. Vendors vend because they cannot trade, some traders put out newsletters etc. But a chat room, no way it is too distracting, people wanting your attention, whining about losses etc. Nope if they could trade they would be trading.

 

3. They never ever post certified live trade statements, why, because they are not trading live. Why do you think they have the "theoretical" trading disclaimers, because the trades are theoretical and not real!

 

4. Systems, holy grails etc. Unless you trade using game theory, the system and holy grail is in your head, not from some guy who says he has conquered the markets, Dude if you have conquered the markets why are you bothering to teach, just trade.

 

5. The I like to teach syndrome, how altruistic, this fool is going to teach you how to trade and altruistically he will remove a few hundred bucks from your pocket. C'mon folks, "McFly is anybody home". I mentor a select few, for free, why? I don't need others money.

 

Please excuse my tenor but I really am sick of seeing people throw away their hard earned cash to some fraud, due dilligence, due dilligence, due dilligence, if you learn nothing else from trading please learn this.

 

The Ever Disliking Vendors VIPER

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Hello all, interesting discussion. Here are some facts.

 

1. If you are a consistantly profitable trader, just 10-12 percent per year consistantly, you will have more size enabled to you than you can handle. How to prove what I am saying is true? Post 1 or 2 years certified results on any board, Elite, Traders Lab, Forex Factory etc. You will have them lining up to enable you, you will start small but if you keep your wits, size is never a problem. So the bottom line is, if you are consistant you will always be able to make more money than being a vendor.

 

2. Vendors vend because they cannot trade, some traders put out newsletters etc. But a chat room, no way it is too distracting, people wanting your attention, whining about losses etc. Nope if they could trade they would be trading.

 

3. They never ever post certified live trade statements, why, because they are not trading live. Why do you think they have the "theoretical" trading disclaimers, because the trades are theoretical and not real!

 

4. Systems, holy grails etc. Unless you trade using game theory, the system and holy grail is in your head, not from some guy who says he has conquered the markets, Dude if you have conquered the markets why are you bothering to teach, just trade.

 

5. The I like to teach syndrome, how altruistic, this fool is going to teach you how to trade and altruistically he will remove a few hundred bucks from your pocket. C'mon folks, "McFly is anybody home". I mentor a select few, for free, why? I don't need others money.

 

Please excuse my tenor but I really am sick of seeing people throw away their hard earned cash to some fraud, due dilligence, due dilligence, due dilligence, if you learn nothing else from trading please learn this.

 

The Ever Disliking Vendors VIPER

 

I don't post much, but this is such a good post I had to say it out loud. I also have mentored a few and never taken a dime for it, don't do chat rooms because I focus on the business at hand which is trading, and am sickened by the vendors promulgating some system. A system works until it doesn't then you sell it.

 

If you're a successful trader you already know these things, if you're anything else read the above post until you do.

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This shyster Alex simply took the setups and indicators from John Carter and repackaged them under the PureTick name.

 

To charge $300 a month is highway robbery to have someone who doesn't even trade live give tick scalp trades with a risk reward ratio of 10 to 1. This is a formula for ruin if there ever was one.

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Thanks for the posts guys, I knew someone would be familiar with what I was taking about and call him out. Which is fine. You guys are on the same wavelength as me. I posted this in the Beginner's section to warm people just starting out.

 

Sevensa's posts were getting to me and glad to see you guys appreciate the work I did putting the room calls and chart together. If you guys have experience with any other vendors please share.

 

I like using facts and stats rather then just saying XYZ vendor is a rip-off stay away.

 

Have a great rest of the weekend, see you guys on the battlefield Mon. hehehehehe

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What system did you spend $15K on? Not the one you describe in the opening paragraph, right?

 

The system didn't cost 15k...thats how much $$$ I lost using it.

 

The cost of the 3 day course and all the indicators packaged together was like $1700. I did it with my dad so we split the cost. The company is not longer in existence but that is how I was introduced to futures.

 

I wrote the guy an e-mail everyday showing the "discrepancies" between the "profitable" trades he had on the the site and the signals the system actually fired off. Finally he got so sick of me he just stopped responding. (talk about standing behind your system and company)

 

I tried making slight adjustments to the system thinking I could get it to be profitable. Finally after about 6 months I had lost $15,000 and decided to start over from scratch.

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This shyster Alex simply took the setups and indicators from John Carter and repackaged them under the PureTick name.

 

 

Not familiar with what Pure Tick pedal but watched the drama at ET with mild amusement for a short while. What really made me chuckle was that quote. Pure Tick have stole and re-packaged stuff that Carter and Senters stole and re-packaged (from the public domain). Oh the bitter irony of it all :rofl:

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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