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I posted a plan on ABG some time ago in the now deceased Trading in Foresight Thread.

 

34763d1361191870-trading-foresight-wyckoff-forum-abg-waves.png

 

 

I guess as a trader, you often have to hold the trade through the chop, and accept the possibility of your stop being hit, one of the hardest things in my trading.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35394&stc=1&d=1363433123

 

I guess the moral of the story is plan like a genius and trade like a retard.

ABG.png.c85261851e1aeda9cbbe0091705da75a.png

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You may be interested in this post. I made it several years ago to prove a point, that the overlays we use now to show TRs and BOs and RETs and so forth were just as applicable then. Note also that if the correct entry is made, stops are never hit, assuming that they're not too tight and that you're paying attention.

 

The principles don't change. But you won't get any sort of adrenaline rush from EOD trading.

 

I don't understand. What exactly is the correct entry and correct stop? Yes I've read that the correct entry should move into profit immediately or almost immediately. But I don't understand how you can say the stop is never hit. Wouldn't you have to have a specifically defined stop and entry to make that claim?

 

I also looked at some of your posts regarding correct entries (you posted a chart with dots for entry and stop on NQ etc on a 1 minute chart). But in these the stop is sometimes hit.

 

I am happy to read in the original course if you can help direct me to a specific area. Thanks.

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While I find it easier and more informative to read the entire course, you can focus if you like on this particular topic by scanning the course for "danger point". If you don't know where to enter, I suggest multiple readings of Section 7.

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I don't understand. What exactly is the correct entry and correct stop?

 

There isn't a one line answer to this. You'll have to read some of the course and hone your ability to read price behaviour.

 

I don't understand how you can say the stop is never hit.

 

The stop isn't hit because in the absence of price behaviour supporting your position you would want to exit on your own instead of waiting for the stop to be hit. The stop is there in case you lose internet connection, power etc or are not able to watch price move. It's to prevent you from losing big due to some uncontrollable event.

 

 

I also looked at some of your posts regarding correct entries (you posted a chart with dots for entry and stop on NQ etc on a 1 minute chart). But in these the stop is sometimes hit.

 

If the price move is sudden and doesn't give you a time to decipher that the move isn't panning out in your intended direction then the stop is taken out by the price. This automatic stop exit is a fail safe mechanism but the ideal is for you to decide based on your understanding of price movement when to close your position.

 

Gringo

Edited by Gringo

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There isn't a one line answer to this. You'll have to read some of the course and hone your ability to read price behaviour.

 

 

 

The stop isn't hit because in the absence of price behaviour supporting your position you would want to exit on your own instead of waiting for the stop to be hit. The stop is there in case you lose internet connection, power etc or are not able to watch price move. It's to prevent you from losing big due to some uncontrollable event.

 

 

 

 

If the price move is sudden and doesn't give you a time to decipher that the move isn't panning out in your intended direction then the stop is taken out by the price. This automatic stop exit is a fail safe mechanism but the ideal is for you to decide based on your understanding of price movement when to close your position.

 

Gringo

 

 

A-ha! Very illustrative. Thanks G.

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To Those Who Feel Called Upon To Answer Questions:

 

I've added an explanation to the Wyckoff Lite/Glossary thread on how to search, both the Wyckoff Forum as a whole and particular threads. Those who have read the course and have read whatever posts are pertinent to their inquiries will be ready to open a log and begin posting charts, at which point they can ask questions that are specific to themselves, though by that time they will likely find they don't have any.

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This is an example of what I was referring to yesterday regarding applying W's principles to trading.

 

Note that the first chart provides the context for the upcoming trading day. The fifth chart provides an alternate trading scheme to the fourth chart, for those who still have fear issues.

1.png.e5573aef9ff1b52e7bdb16e537e723fc.png

2.png.28252bd2d6cd7d6f4a510da478e3b9cc.png

3.png.1c4b1f032dfa2e6a5f4829def1b3dff0.png

4.png.fc1fee3b356d95868ed99b51a65b344f.png

4a.png.c3ebf4c7976050282e62cc7eb0bd5bd6.png

5aa711cca6c1e_NQ100(1Minute)20130317084855.thumb.png.6fb497e1b68eb50a59bfbfc19d9f363f.png

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This is an example of what I was referring to yesterday regarding applying W's principles to trading.

 

Note that the first chart provides the context for the upcoming trading day. The fifth chart provides an alternate trading scheme to the fourth chart, for those who still have fear issues.

 

 

 

uhhh yea !

 

 

thats surfing ..

 

my alltime fav. quote :

 

the surfer:

 

The best explanation of a plan is "the surfer" who goes surfing. Goes down to the sea. Checks the weather conditions. Is the surf up?. Is the breeze on-shore or off-shore?. If the conditions are right, jumps on the board and paddles out 300 meters. And waits. Waits for the right wave. There are many waves. The key is to pick the right wave. Don't want to pick one too soon or too late. The choice of wave comes from seasoned experience. Not a surfing plan. A surfer does not go out surfing with a surfing plan in mind. The conditions of the moment on the day will dictate the play. Depending on the conditions, what was a good wave yesterday might well be a poor wave today.

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Actually, there was quite a bit to do today, if one were daytrading it, much more than oil. I hope you'll think further about this.

 

I was actually refering to EOD, but you are right. Now, I dont quite understand yet why oil is such a sub par instrument intraday,(low IQ i guess) but given the fact that you are lightyears away from me and i am only a cub in trading experience terms, i guess i will stop swimming against the current and go back to trade nq, intraday.

 

Thanks for everything, see you tomorrow in the chat.

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I was actually refering to EOD, but you are right. Now, I dont quite understand yet why oil is such a sub par instrument intraday

 

It isn't that it's sub par, tho it may be; it's that you're not there to take advantage of so many of the ops. If you're going to trade only during certain hours, it's important to trade something that provides ops during those hours.

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Besides waking up earlier I will also be paying more attention to NQ in intraday, the main purpose here is going to be to be able to ride a trend as long as possible during the day, following the plan defined in the TIF analysis. I will still be following oil, gold and nq eod.

 

So I will start with the EOD analysis.

 

Oil:

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35413&stc=1&d=1363607812

 

So far it looks like buyers are giving up as prices are returning from overbought territory and the MP of the last downswing held. We are still within a huge hinge so no large trends are expected to come out of this until we do not see a BO.

 

The LOLR is still down, if prices keep on falling some S could be expected around 91 and if the channel top is breached then 88 should be interesting.

 

 

Gold

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35412&stc=1&d=1363607742

 

After a RET buyers manage to push above the MP of the May-Jul TR and are currently holding prices above it after a pullback overnight, if they manage to break above the LSH at 620 then 630 is the next point of interest.

 

NQ:

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35414&stc=1&d=1363607812

 

We finally breached the bottom of the congestion we were trapped in during last week, we also broke the DL and are currently in oversold territories. Some S could be provided by the shorts at the top of the Jan TR, but if they are unable to hold sellers above 759 then we would be out of the channel and sellers would possibly look for S around 700-80.

 

So far looks like tupapa short was the way to go :cheers:

goldspot.thumb.jpg.811dc58c2fa1e8f3852fcb7c388a3672.jpg

5aa711cce3ffd_CL04-13(Daily)13_07_2012-19_03_2013.thumb.jpg.427cfc5091f9ca9a61dc304ac685781e.jpg

5aa711ccecf5c_NQ06-13(Daily)25_05_2012-19_03_2013.thumb.jpg.f1564a62b18b6fecc400bcd0f6408da8.jpg

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We finally breached the bottom of the congestion we were trapped in during last week, we also broke the DL and are currently in oversold territories. Some S could be provided by the shorts at the top of the Jan TR, but if they are unable to hold sellers above 759 then we would be out of the channel and sellers would possibly look for S around 700-80.

 

Don't overlook the fact that 60 is the midpoint of the last rally.

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NQ:

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35414&stc=1&d=1363607812

 

We finally breached the bottom of the congestion we were trapped in during last week, we also broke the DL and are currently in oversold territories. Some S could be provided by the shorts at the top of the Jan TR, but if they are unable to hold sellers above 759 then we would be out of the channel and sellers would possibly look for S around 700-80.

 

So far looks like tupapa short was the way to go :cheers:

 

Yes but so far there is still no entry, even if you placed a sell limit below support.

 

But I would say this Gap is significant, since it results in a down wave that breaks the previous range decisively.

 

Now I am waiting for buyers to test 2781, here they will encounter supply from those who bought around 2800 and now want to get out even.

 

If buyers can't push through the supply, this will result in a Lh and we may see further downwards progress. It is also worth noting that another down-wave from here would break the trendline from the November lows.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35422&stc=1&d=1363610984

 

Or none of this will happen and buyers will just smash through Resistance, you don't need to know to make money :)

5aa711cd2feac_NQ18-3.png.6a4f1b61d199ab6f0e3feb65ee5cf728.png

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For the information of whoever's interested, the first chart shows the retracement of the buying wave that I was referring to this morning in chat. A 50% retracement is 60.

 

The second chart shows the bounce off 60 and the progress of price toward the gap closure at 85.

 

The following text is a transcript of the chat log. This is as close to real time as I can get. Unfortunately, I don't know how to flip it, so if you want to follow along from the beginning, you'll have to scroll down to the end and then reverse.

 

Niko - Report Shout Today 08:29 AM

Impressive rally

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:29 AM

And 85. Gap closed.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:27 AM

And there's 84

Niko - Report Shout Today 08:26 AM

Hehe

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:26 AM

They're going to get a hernia

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:24 AM

If and when the gap closes, I may just exit

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:23 AM

Yep

Niko - Report Shout Today 08:22 AM

Still there?

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:20 AM

Almost there.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:15 AM

Next leg up

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:11 AM

So we have 19pts so far. Wonder how the scalpers are doing?

Niko - Report Shout Today 08:06 AM

GM

boru - Report Shout Today 08:05 AM

gm

Niko - Report Shout Today 08:04 AM

RET

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:03 AM

Gap nearing closure

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:03 AM

Is this real time enough for everybody?

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:02 AM

And there we go

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:02 AM

I think they do it bec they don't want to be part of the herd. What they don't realized is that it's the herd that moves price.

Niko - Report Shout Today 08:01 AM

ok

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:00 AM

That's why they always complain that nobody can do this.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 08:00 AM

I let the kids trade countertrend

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:59 AM

This arch is almost geometric

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:59 AM

Ok

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:59 AM

Never

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:59 AM

When do you take trades against the LOLR, do you?

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:58 AM

Almost 1000

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:58 AM

Yep just noticed it

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:57 AM

Appear to have found S at the premkt swing high

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:57 AM

ok

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:56 AM

Buyers getting a second wind here

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:55 AM

And the btm of that range may provide R. However, the MP of the last upwave is 60. And since all that was tested overnite, that makes the LOLR up.

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:53 AM

I did not really thought about the news and the gap, just had a BO of last week TR and 78 as R from a previous TR and the MP of the downswing. In the daily the LOLR still up though.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:50 AM

They may have other reasons, but that one is not sufficient

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:49 AM

Institutions are not going to exit the mkt just bec some dinky little country is raiding its citizens bank accounts.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:46 AM

I think you and tupapa are making too much of this gap.

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:45 AM

Let me check,

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:45 AM

Did you see the chrts I pstd yest?

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:45 AM

looking at the MP of the wave from 807 to 748 DOwn wave

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:45 AM

nope

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:44 AM

R U lkng at the MP of the last upwave?

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:44 AM

THen I got my levels all wrong

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:43 AM

The midpoint was at 60

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:43 AM

I wonder if anybody is following this?

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:42 AM

Am i not supposed to be looking for a short? I was thinking short at the MP of the downswing at 78 if a REV happened.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:39 AM

Anyway, here's your entry

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:38 AM

Price is in the middle of the TC

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:38 AM

There's no TC break

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:37 AM

I have price reaching the top of the TC Break of DL and a LH, just thought in HS it was a valid entry.

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:37 AM

Are you looking for a short?

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:36 AM

Bounced off S at 60

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:34 AM

nq

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:34 AM

What entry?

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:34 AM

Did you take the entry at 8:3X

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:32 AM

gm

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:31 AM

Next level, 60

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:31 AM

GM

Niko - Report Shout Today 07:31 AM

Hey!

DbPhoenix (Edit · Delete) Today 07:30 AM

For whoever is out there, NQ is testing S at 65.

1.png.ab58f4d2308b95de6ad7d06a1d045538.png

2.png.598b70fafc4029cd73ef26c6f1970c1a.png

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It seems like commodities are good for EOD trading, since the trends are clean and prolonged.

 

A part from Cocoa, I am keeping an eye on Wheat.

 

It bounced of support at the top of a Trading Range, which also coincides with the longer trend-line.

 

Ont the 5h, the down trend-line was broken and the up-waves are getting longer, I guess if the current down-wave is shorter than the previous up-wave, a long position would be justified.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35437&stc=1&d=1363634908

5aa711cd98ce6_Wheat18-3.thumb.png.8cb43bda4f33677d8602b61e10606c6c.png

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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