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Finding a MENTOR / Course - Things to Look Out for

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Hi all,

 

Thought I'll say a few words about finding a mentor or course/education:

 

Though I never got "burned" by some Snake Oil based course or Mentor - I have a suggestion based on personal experience which I believe helped me avoid various scams.

 

The MOST IMPORTANT thing is to ask anyone who claims to be a mentor to SHOW YOU THE MONEY ...and what I mean by that is that they open their brokerage account in from of YOUR EYES and show you their account size - if it's got more than a million ...most chances 99.9% they are the real thing.

 

I met a person here in the Boston area that gave a lecture about his style of trading - being the skeptic that I am - he connected to the broker he uses and hold and behold - he had 1.5 MILLION $$$.

 

Now, assuming he didn't inherit this - I would say he must be doing something right or just got lucky once and made this - but I met him a few times and it seems the guy is genuine.

 

Don't settle for a screen capture of performance or a manipulated Photoshoped data sheet - ask the person to connect in REAL time to the broker they use - period.

 

Also, watch out for those who try to LAY SERVICES ON YOU (There are always exceptions to the rule) but if someone is trying to hook you up with a broker most likely he is making money from this introduction (COMISSION - cha -ching)

 

I think a good mentor should be HIGHLY compensated - juts watch out for the Charletons (cant remember how to spell it - thats what you get for being a foreigner) out there.

 

Best,

Steve

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IMHO, a good mentor doesn't charge a dime. A good mentor does not claim to be anything. They just are. Just as the old saying goes " When the student is ready, the teacher will appear."

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That may be. However, don't forget that many times you get what you pay for ...:)

 

If you are sitting with a mentor during market hours and he is mentoring you loosing money - then he should be compensated.

 

The person I was talking about did not ask for anything, another person I know is asking for $600 to teach futures for 4 weeks on the weekends. I asked him why he charges that - he said he is not making his money having 2-6 students - he was actually seeking potential good trader students that can work for him since he manages other peoples money - kinda like a mini hedge fund.

 

My point at the beginning was to help newbies avoid scams.

 

 

Best,

Steve

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Mentor with 1mln+ at brokerage account? Sounds good. But what can you get from him for the money you offer? Couple of hours?

 

I do believe in word of mouth. Ask other traders...

Regards

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To Whom It May Concern, don't assume that any qualified mentor is going to jump at the chance to work with you simply because you're ready to write a check. If he doesn't first determine whether or not you're willing and capable of doing the work, you will likely be dropping your money down a well.

 

A good mentor has better things to do than suckle fledgling traderettes who are incapable of helping themselves. What will you be bringing to the table other than money? If you don't know, or you're thinking "nothing", then you're not ready to interview anybody.

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Paul,

 

Not sure what you are asking. Are you saying that a person with a large account isn't wiling to train/mentor? Maybe I miss read your post and you think his account is small ... :)

 

I am assuming he was willing to share his success with others for free - since he wasn't asking for any money - nor was he trying to sell anything.

 

This person belongs to a group that meets on a regular basis and shares ideas mostly about swing/long term trading. He is one of the only people doing day trading so there was a lot of demand from the group to hear how he day trades.

 

His strategy is all about price action/pressure.

 

Steve

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Db,

 

I agree with what you are saying - there is no conflict there. The problem is that so many "so called" mentors take peoples money without assessing their skills/will power to trade successfully.

 

Either way, If someone wants to mentor me and asks for money - they better show me their brokerage account before I accept. Performance statements can easily be manipulated using Photoshop ... :)

 

Personally, I'm the kind of person that if I found a good mentor - I would do revenue sharing with him for a while so it would be a win-win situation (again, this is only after verifying his account balance ... ;)

 

Steve

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I think my point was missed. So lets do it this way..

 

Which would you rather do:

 

(A: Your Mentor) I show you my brokerage account and teach you to trade my way for $10k. And off you go.

 

or

 

(B: My Mentor) I don't show you my account, teach you to trade your way, once I know you are ready, if you want let you trade for me using my money, pay you 30% of the profit, I take all the losses. At any point from day one that you are ready to leave you are free to go. All that you are out is time.

 

Newbies will jump on your mentor because it appears to be the easiest route. But if you really want to learn this business, you are better off with mine.

 

Chris

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Hi Chris,

 

You introduced a new scenario in which I agree with you. If a mentor is willing to teach a newbie + let them use HIS money + provide "revenue sharing" - and let them find their "own" style - then it is a good deal as all you have to loose it TIME.

 

Too many newbies fail to find a genuine mentor - and this is the reason I started this thread - to give them another "tool" to decipher and find higher chances of the truth+ success rate.

 

To every rule - there is also an exception .. :)

 

Best,

Steve

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I think an account size of $1 million plus is meaningless. He could have been successful in another line of business or profession which as we all know does not translate into success in trading ! Or he could have simply obtained it through inheritance or illegal means. The best way to find a mentor is through relatives and friend of the family, but most of us are not that lucky.

The next best way is to work as an assistant to a top trader and don't mind getting coffee for everyone in the morning.;)

I think you ae just throwing your money away if you go for someone that advertise themselves as mentors. That is just my opinion.

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I think an account size of $1 million plus is meaningless.

 

Especially if he started off with 5 :)

 

The problem with most beginners is that they don't know what they want. This makes them easy prey. And since they tend to think of themselves as Goldilocks anyway, and the mentor community as The Bears, this leads to a usually foreseeable conclusion.

 

Bootstrap made a good point earlier, whether one wants to learn how to trade as somebody else trades or to receive help in finding his own way. But there is also the issue -- rarely addressed -- as to whether one wants to learn to trade or to make money. Most (all?) beginners think they want the former when they actually want the latter, hence the reluctance to read, to research, to put in the screen time, to create a trading plan, etc, and the dogged insistence on beginning to trade as soon as they've figured out how to place an order.

 

I realized long ago that beginners don't want to make money; they want to trade. If they really wanted to make money, then they'd do whatever was necessary to make that money. But they don't. They'd rather trade. So instead of making money, they lose it. As far as they're concerned, it's all a big casino, only without the all-you-can-eat buffet.

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Mentoring is essentially an altruistic pursuit. I would be wary of anyone that wanted money and question the reason for that (to prove your seriousness perhaps?). The reason someone will mentor you is if they like you and as Db points out, feel that you have potential. If they ask for money then thats a red flag. But.........

 

Having said that what makes a would be trader think that they deserve to be mentored? No financial recompense is likely to match what the mentor can make in the markets. Why do you think someone would want to mentor you (if its clearly not for money).

 

Bootstrap what you are talking about sounds similar to the prop shop model (another way to fleece would be traders). Do you really think a successful trader would teach you to trade (the way you want to learn rather than the way they want to teach) for absolutely nothing, next you' will be saying they should fund your account (oh wait you are saying that!) Do you also expect a wage while you learn? :) come on do you really expect that to happen?

 

Worth looking for a post by Mark 'Nihabashi' either here or ET that goes in to detail about what a Mentor is likely to expect from you. If they don't chances are they are just after your money.

 

OP good advise most self styled mentors are not.

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Mentoring is essentially an altruistic pursuit. I would be wary of anyone that wanted money and question the reason for that (to prove your seriousness perhaps?). The reason someone will mentor you is if they like you and as Db points out, feel that you have potential. If they ask for money then thats a red flag. But.........

 

Well, maybe not.

 

Mentoring can be altruistic, but much depends on the mentee and the time and effort required. Some require no more than an occasional nudge. Others are like adolescent birds who are all over their mothers, flapping their wings and whining, demanding to be fed when they should have been feeding themselves long ago. And if the mentee is paying nothing, that is very likely how he will value what he's getting. If nothing else, he is far more likely to hit the road as soon as the going gets tough.

 

I've had to think about this in a practical way, and it seems to me that the best way of dealing with this situation is to charge by the hour. This has the benefit of encouraging the mentee to make the most of whatever time is being spent -- literally -- with the mentor. It also helps to avoid the "I paid $5000 for this and it was a complete waste of money" complaint. The mentee ought to be able to figure out in an hour whether the mentor knows what he's doing or not. It also gives the mentor an out if he learns fairly quickly that this kid just doesn't have what it takes.

 

Something for all you would-be mentors out there to think about.

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Interesting thread. I've actually thought about the mentoring thing but as is pointed out in this thread, it's a double-edged sword - for both the mentor and mentee.

 

I think if I did it, it would be local and w/ someone that I knew first. I'd want the face-to-face interaction.

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Db I agree it dosen't have to be completely altruistic. In the past I have 'mentored' people and to do that effectively have employed them. (This was not in the trading business btw it was actually 'knowledge' based). In many endeavours people can be somewhat productive more or less from day one. Trading is rather different.

 

In any commercial arrangement things go wrong when expectations of the parties do not match. Be crystal clear before you start. Of course those that are in the business of selling hopes and dreams may not be exactly candid in laying out what they offer. Fledgling traders are quite likely to have un-realistic expectations too. A recipe for disaster!

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Db I agree it dosen't have to be completely altruistic. In the past I have 'mentored' people and to do that effectively have employed them. (This was not in the trading business btw it was actually 'knowledge' based). In many endeavours people can be somewhat productive more or less from day one. Trading is rather different.

 

In any commercial arrangement things go wrong when expectations of the parties do not match. Be crystal clear before you start. Of course those that are in the business of selling hopes and dreams may not be exactly candid in laying out what they offer. Fledgling traders are quite likely to have un-realistic expectations too. A recipe for disaster!

 

You said it BF. The 'mentor' in the biz of selling, does just that - sell. Those are the mentors you see through a google search.

 

IMO a real mentor/mentee relationship is like finding a needle in a haystack, but when you do it could be extremely profitable. It's almost more of a who you know type thing. For example, if a good friend was serious and approached me, I would probably do it. Now if I was approached on a random message board, I doubt I would even give it serious consideration.

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There is a lot of good discussion going on here.

 

...as the old saying goes "When the student is ready, the teacher will appear."
It's almost more of a who you know type thing.
Both of these are very true. Being at the right place (many times with knowledge) at the right time and having connections are always big items when looking for success. One should constantly strive to put themselves at the right place so they can take advantage when the time comes.

 

I never had an official mentor, but there were some very important pieces of information along the way that would have flown right over my head without a strong grasp of the prerequisites from constantly studying both new information and the market. A non-trading example is one can't expect to understand and use advanced mathematics to the fullest without first knowing simple arithmetic.

 

In my opinion there are three different types of mentors:

 

  1. Not actively trading (success unknown) but knowledgeable.
  2. Actively trading (success minimal if at all) but knowledgeable.
  3. Actively trading and being consistently profitable.

Most authors fall into the first two categories. If you are looking for a mentor, I would fit your potential mentor into one of those categories and then think about their motivation and what they can realistically provide. If you wanted to, you could split the 3rd category into two...those that can and cannot teach. Just because they can do it doesn't mean they can teach you how. By the way, the first two categories do serve a purpose but most times can only take you so far. Also, the potential mentor should only be placed into the 2nd or 3rd spot upon proof. :)

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I still think many of you have still missed the point. BlowFish said it first, and he's absolutely right.

 

YOU can't reliably find a mentor. I don't believe that they actively look for students (at least, the good ones don't). THEY find YOU.

 

When a mentor can see real desire, genuine interest, and an honest dedication to work hard, he/she will determine for themselves whether you are worth their time to step in and assist. Yes, this significantly limits the number of people who have been truly mentored. It requires being in the right place, at the right time, or knowing the right people. But THEY (the mentors) decide who they will teach. And they'll likely be very picky about choosing the right clay to mold.

 

Those who ask for cash aren't mentors; they're tutors. And there is a big difference in the quality of education they provide.

 

"Give a man a fish and he will eat for a day. Teach a man to fish and you have fed him for a lifetime."

 

A real mentor will teach you how to think. He won't tell you how to think.

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Especially if he started off with 5 :)

 

I realized long ago that beginners don't want to make money; they want to trade. If they really wanted to make money, then they'd do whatever was necessary to make that money. But they don't. They'd rather trade. So instead of making money, they lose it. As far as they're concerned, it's all a big casino, only without the all-you-can-eat buffet.

 

Db this is a very interesting and valuable comment. Can I ask if you are referring to the tendency many of us had in the beginning to think that trading was easy? By that I mean new traders hear about trading and then jump in the pond without taking the proper procedures to learn? Then the true traders are distinguished by the ones that understand and take on a role of hard work and constant learning of trading whilst the others leave the market unwilling to put in the time and effort?

 

If there is something different that I have completely missed from your comment can you please explain it further?

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Maybe there are different stages of development in a trader's life. Perhaps a beginning trader has different needs and different questions than someone who has some experience and may be thought of as an itentermediate-level trader. I would think, too, that an intermediate-level trader has different needs and different questions than a trader we might consider to be advanced, who will have different questions and differnt needs than others. If there are different levels of students, might there be different levels of mentors, or at least mentors who understand that there are different levels of information to be taught depending on the level of the student?

 

Try not to disparage beginners. Beginners are at the level of beginning. There is nothing wrong with this; it is simply a level, no better or worse than any other level. One Zen monk said that there is high value in beginner's mind -- something we can all strive for.

 

Eiger

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Db this is a very interesting and valuable comment. Can I ask if you are referring to the tendency many of us had in the beginning to think that trading was easy? By that I mean new traders hear about trading and then jump in the pond without taking the proper procedures to learn? Then the true traders are distinguished by the ones that understand and take on a role of hard work and constant learning of trading whilst the others leave the market unwilling to put in the time and effort?

 

In a word, yep :)

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I'll put my 2 cents regarding some of the interesting comments.

 

Being a technical instructor early in my career, I ran into some VERY (few) bright/genius students and asked them why are they attending my class as it seems that they know a lot of the material and/or are able to study on their own . I was given an answer by one specific student that changed the way I think, he said -"I know that I can study on my own, but I need a framework as I am known to defocus and an easy prey for distractions"

 

Being an entrepreneur and a founder of a high-tech startup these days, I truly believe that it's 99% who you know - not what you know - this is in regard to a previous post about being in the right place at the right time. It's also a numbers game - the more you try - the higher the probability you'll succeed.

 

Anyway, deviating a bit from the main subject - but I thought I'll comment on some thoughts from previous threads.

 

Best,

Steve

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You said it BF. The 'mentor' in the biz of selling, does just that - sell. Those are the mentors you see through a google search.

 

IMO a real mentor/mentee relationship is like finding a needle in a haystack, but when you do it could be extremely profitable. It's almost more of a who you know type thing. For example, if a good friend was serious and approached me, I would probably do it. Now if I was approached on a random message board, I doubt I would even give it serious consideration.

 

I agree.

 

The "mentors" I've had didn't exactly teach me new things like one would expect. But they helped me in other ways move to the next level. They held me accountable for the most part, and helped me with some of the smaller things that I wouldn't have seen on my own. When I screw up, they help show me where I screwed up. They don't send me their trades or give me their trading system, they help me figure it out on my own.

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Some may, in fact, be looking not for a mentor but a coach:

 

Trader education has become a hot topic in recent years. Everywhere you look there is someone offering some course, seminar, training program, or whatever. Many are very pricey, and we can certainly debate the real value of quite a few. The proliferation of the products and such can’t help but bring up some of the commonly debated topics related to whether traders can be taught or just have some innate talent which allows them to succeed. This article makes its own contribution to that discussion.

 

In the interest of openness, my personal view is that anyone can learn to trade effectively. By that, I mean we are all capable of trading toward a reasonable and rational set of goals and/or objectives determined by our own personal situation and means. Can everyone become George Soros, Paul Tudor Jones, or Warren Buffett? No, of course not. If we could all do that, those names wouldn’t be as big as they are. Most people simply don’t have the kind of resources traders like that have at their disposal. We all do, however, have the means to trade well within the scope of the money, time, risk tolerance, and other elements of our trading focus.

 

The starting point of effective trading, as with anything else in life, is education. There are certain things one needs to know in order to trade effectively. What those are vary a bit based on the market traded and instruments utilized, but there are some fundamentals. For example, all trading is based on the bid-offer mechanism at some level. There are numerous types of orders for entry in to positions and exit from them. There are exchange hours and instrument specifications. Brokerage commissions are a feature in most markets, and in all one needs to understand how profits and losses are determined. I think we can all agree that these are some of the basic building blocks of knowledge and understanding required to even contemplate trading.

 

At the next level we start getting more in to comprehension of the market action, its interpretation, and knowing how that translates in to profit opportunities and risk. On some level, trading requires analysis to make buy/sell decision – fundamental, technical, or quantitative. For the mechanical trader, that analysis is done through research in the development of one’s trading system. For the discretionary trader it is more an on-going process. Likewise, some kind of risk management program is a requirement, regardless of trading style or analytic method.

 

All of this kind of core knowledge and understanding can, in my opinion, be learned from books, lectures, seminars, courses, etc. It is akin to earning a degree. In order to get that diploma, one must prove that certain things have been learned, skills gained. Once that is done, however, one’s development becomes a more personal journey. It is the same thing in trading. There is a basic set of knowledge we must gain, but after that it is up to us to forge our own path in the markets as our own personal situation dictates.

 

Here is where things start getting muddled.

 

We must each determine our own course in trading, ideally based on a good assessment of the resources we have available to us. There are so many ways we can go, though. Everywhere there are people telling us that this path or that path is the one we should take. How are we to decide? Most of us end up stumbling along through a trial and error exploration of various systems, methods, techniques, and whatnot. Some of us find something that works. A great many do not, and quit in frustration, or broke. This is where having a coach or mentor can make a huge difference.

 

We need look no further than the world of athletics to see how important the role of a coach is to one’s development. I happen to coach high level collegiate volleyball, so please permit me the indulgence of using that sport as an example.

 

There are certain physical attributes which can be strong determining factors for one’s success in volleyball – height and jumping ability being two of them. As the saying goes, you can’t teach height, and while a coach can help one jump higher, genetics goes a long way to determining what a given athlete can do in that regard. Being tall and able to jump high, however, does not guarantee success, and one can be quite good at the sport without being a top physical specimen. There is a lot more to volleyball, and that is where coaching comes in.

 

The role of the coach is basically that of facilitator. He or she aids the athlete in the development in their skills and the refinement of the game. For the novice that means a lot of teaching in regards to skill execution. When working with experienced players, it become much more a question of refinement and showing them how to apply what they know to the best effect given the situation at-hand.

 

Coaching or mentoring in trading should be the same thing. The advantages of having someone to oversee your development are many. There is the obvious element of teaching, as it is often assumed that the coach knows more about the markets and has more experience in them than the trainee. Possibly even more important, however, is the coach’s role as external observer.

 

When I coach volleyball, I can see things a player is doing incorrectly that they cannot see because they lack the proper perspective. I can then tell them what they are doing wrong and help them correct it. A trading coach can do the same sort of thing.

 

At the same time, there is the mental and emotional element to coaching which is separate from the teaching one. Especially in the case of experienced athletes, it is often more a question of maintaining a proper level of motivation and a high degree of confidence to ensure peak performance than anything else. The same can be said of trading, where one’s mental state often seriously influence one’s performance just as it does in athletics.

 

The question of where one finds a coach or mentor is a difficult one. Brett Steenbarger (author of The Psychology of Trading and a contributor to this site on the topic of trader development) and I recently discussed this very topic. There are certainly a great many experienced traders out there willing to share what they know in one way or another. But are they really prepared to provide the guidance needed? Some may be good teachers – imparters of knowledge – but lacking in the ability to be a coach in the full sense of the word. Others might be great motivators, but perhaps do not have the breadth of knowledge and/or experience needed for the educational element of coaching.

 

There are two major obstacles to finding a good trading coach. First of all, it is the tendency of many people to look for someone who’s had a great deal of success as a mentor. The problem with that is in a many cases those people are not well equipped to coach. It’s something seen in athletics all the time. Look to the ranks of coaches in your favorite sport. How many of them can you point to and say he or she was a great player? Now consider how many were good players, but not superstars. There are way more of the latter in the coaching ranks than the former because the average players tend to have to work harder and become better students of the game to be competitive.

 

The other difficulty in finding good trader coaches is that there are no real training programs for these people. As a volleyball coach I can go to training seminars and courses, earn national and even international levels of certification, and work under the direction of other coaches more knowledgeable and experienced than myself. As yet, there is no such readily available structure in trading. We cannot look, for example, at someone’s resume and see that he or she is a Level III certified coach, having been so declared by a recognized training and testing organization.

 

So where does that leave us? Well, clearly there is value in having a coach to help us maximize our performance in the markets. As things currently stand, though, finding a good one for our particular situation is going to remain a challenge. It requires the discipline to not just look at someone’s returns and assume that they can teach you how to do that yourself (remember, teaching you a trading system is not the same as coaching you through applying a trading system). It also requires legwork to check out a possible coach. Have they coached others before? Get references. Make sure you find someone who will fulfill your particular requirements and be a good match. If you can do that, you should see your development as an effective trader really take off. (John Forman)

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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