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OzFx

OzFx System :) 100-800 Pips Per Trade

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Thanks for the update, O Z.

The Bill Williams Awesome Oscillator is not well known in the TS circle, but it seems to be a staple with Metatraders. Code listed below is a similar system without the use of stochastics, using the Awesome Oscillator and Parabolic SAR stops. Perhaps those who use Metatrader could report on the result of this similar system:

/*[[
            Description: Awesome Scalper V1.3 Awesome Oscillator auto Trader
            for 15 minutes charts 
Name := 2Extreme4U - Awesome Scalper 1.3
Author := 2Extreme4U
Link := www.omniscienttrader.com
Notes := Scalping expert/Trend follower
Lots := 1.00
Stop Loss := 25
Take Profit := 50
Trailing Stop := 15
]]*/

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// Defines
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Defines: Slippage(5);			// Slippage
Defines: EMA1(11);				// EMA 10
Defines: PSARStep(0.0150);		// Parabolic SAR Step
Defines: PSARMaximum(0.2000);	// Parabolic SAR Maximum
Defines: PrimaryTarget(29);     // Primary target to close 1 lot
Defines: BreakEvenSL(11);	    // Number of points made before the stop is moved to breakeven
Defines: TradesPerCurrency(1);	// Number of lots to trade

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// Variables
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
var: EMA101(0), EMA102(0);						// EMA 10 Values
var: Psar(0), PsarP(0);							// Parabolic SAR Value
var: Awesome(0), AwesomeP(0), AwesomePP(0);    	// Awesome Occillator Value
var: Accel(0), AccelP(1);						// Accelerator Occillator Value
var: OpenSell(0);								// Sell Trades Counter
var: OpenBuy(0);								// Buy Trades Counter
var: PriceOpen(0);								// Price Open
var: I(0);										// Misc Counter
var: Mode(0);									// Squirl the Mode variable for multiple use

/////////////////////////////////////////////////
//  Main Script Conditions
/////////////////////////////////////////////////
If Curtime - LastTradeTime < 5 then Exit;

If FreeMargin < 500 then Exit;

/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
// Calculations / Setting Values
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////
OpenSell = 0;
OpenBuy = 0;
for I = 1 to TotalTrades
{	
Mode = ord(I, VAL_TYPE);
if ord(I, VAL_SYMBOL) == Symbol then
{
	//Calculates how many Sell we have for the current Symbol
	if Mode == OP_SELL then
	{
		OpenSell++;
	};
	//Calculates how many Buy we have for the current Symbol
	if Mode == OP_BUY then
	{
		OpenBuy++;
	};
};
};

Awesome = iAO(0);
AwesomeP = iAO(1);
AwesomePP = iAO(2);
Accel = iAC(0);
AccelP = iAC(1);
Psar = iSAR(PSARStep, PSARMaximum, 0);
PsarP = iSAR(PSARStep, PSARMaximum, 1);

/////////////////////////////////////////////////
//  Comment on the chart
/////////////////////////////////////////////////


/////////////////////////////////////////////////
//  Long/Short Trade Opening
/////////////////////////////////////////////////
If OpenBuy < TradesPerCurrency then
{
// Buy 4 points higher than last candle close
PriceOpen = Close[1] + 4 * Point;
If Awesome > 0 and AwesomeP > 0 and Awesome > AwesomeP and AwesomePP < 0 and Accel > AccelP and Psar < Ask then
{
	if High[0] >= High[1] then
	{
		Alert(Symbol, " BUY ALERT.  Awesome Scalper.  Buy at ", PriceOpen, " or better.");
		if Ask <= PriceOpen then
		{
			SetOrder(OP_BUY, Lots, Ask, Slippage, Psar, Ask + TakeProfit * Point , BLUE);
			Exit;
		};
	};
};
};

If OpenSell < TradesPerCurrency then
{	
// Buy 4 points lower than last candle close
PriceOpen = Close[1] - 4 * Point;
If Awesome < 0 and AwesomeP < 0 and AwesomePP > 0 and Accel < AccelP and Psar > Bid then 
{
	If Low[0] <= Low[1] then
	{
		Alert(Symbol, " SELL ALERT.  Awesome Scalper.  Sell at ", PriceOpen, " or better.");
		if Bid >= PriceOpen then
		{
			SetOrder(OP_SELL, Lots, Bid, Slippage, Psar, Bid - TakeProfit * Point, RED);
			Exit;
		};
	};
};
};

/////////////////////////////////////////////////
//  Trade Management
/////////////////////////////////////////////////
for I = 1 to TotalTrades
{	
Mode = ord(I, VAL_TYPE);
if ord(I, VAL_SYMBOL) == Symbol then
{
	If OpenBuy > 0 then
	{
		//If Primary target is met, close half play and move stop to 0 for other lot.
		if (Bid - ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE)) >= PrimaryTarget * Point then
		{
			Alert("Primary Target met.  BID = " + Bid + ".  Closing order at market for " + Symbol + " on " + Period + " Period.");
        	CloseOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_LOTS), Bid, Slippage, Orange);
        	Exit;
     	};
		// PSAR Stop
		if Psar > PsarP and ord(I, VAL_STOPLOSS) != Psar and (Bid - Psar >= 4) and (Psar < Bid) then
		{
			ModifyOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), Psar, ord(I, VAL_TAKEPROFIT), BlueViolet);
			Exit;
		};
		// If 10 pips profit, move Stop to BreakEven
		if bid - ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE) >= BreakEvenSL * Point and ord(I, VAL_STOPLOSS) < ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE)) then
		{
			ModifyOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_TAKEPROFIT), Cyan);
			Exit;
		};
		/*
		// Psar has changed direction so we want to exit at breakeven
		if psar > Bid and ceil(ord(i, VAL_OPENPRICE)*10000) != ceil(ord(I, VAL_TAKEPROFIT)*10000) then
		{
			ModifyOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), Orange);
			Exit;		
		};
		*/
	};
	If OpenSell > 0 then
	{
		//If Primary target is met, close half play and move stop to 0 for other lot.
     	if (ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE) - Ask) >= PrimaryTarget * Point then
     	{
     		Alert("Primary Target met.  Ask = " + Ask + ".  Closing order at market for " + Symbol + " on " + Period + " Period.");
        	CloseOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_LOTS), Ask, Slippage, Orange);
        	Exit;
     	};	
		// Psar Stop
		if (Psar < PsarP) and (ord(i, VAL_STOPLOSS) != Psar) and (Psar - Ask >= 4) and (Psar > Ask) then
		{
			ModifyOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), Psar, ord(I, VAL_TAKEPROFIT), BlueViolet);
			Exit;
		};
		// If 10 pips profit, move Stop to BreakEven
		if ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE) - Ask >= BreakEvenSL * Point and ord(I, VAL_STOPLOSS) > ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE)) then
		{
			ModifyOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_TAKEPROFIT), Cyan);
			Exit;
		};
		/*
		// Psar has changed direction so we want to exit at breakeven
		if psar < Ask and ceil(ord(i, VAL_OPENPRICE)*10000) != ceil(ord(I, VAL_TAKEPROFIT)*10000) then
		{
			ModifyOrder(ord(I, VAL_TICKET), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), ord(I, VAL_OPENPRICE), Orange);
			Exit;		
		};
		*/
	};
};
};

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Hello Friends,

 

 

It is good to be back home. I had a nice short vacation and I am so glad to see that people have kept the forums busy and alive in the meantime. I’d loads of email/PMs to reply back and I hope everyone received the reply. I also tried my best to read every single post on the forums and reply where ever I could. If I’ve missed out on anyone then please send me an email and I’ll reply back to you.

 

 

When I left we had 5 trades open, out of which EUR/USD performed just great. I closed it at +445 pips at 1.5000. If you are still in the trade then you should be looking at +530 pips right now.

 

 

EUR/GBP second lot closed at +100, currently at +130.

CAD/JPY closed at BE after making +100.

CHF/JPY got closed out at -150.

And finally USD/JPY closed out at BE after making +50

 

 

GBP/CHF trade from today had already made +50 and I’ve moved the Stop Loss to Break Even icon_smile.gif

 

Total for the month now is +1265 and so far we have 33/39 successful trades.

 

 

Oz

 

 

Edited by Soultrader
link removed

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Hello Friends,

 

Trades from this morning are all going in our favor big time. So far we already have banked +300 pips plus more to come :)

 

Currently Open Positions:

 

1. EUR/JPY - Short - 2nd lot closed at +100

2. AUD/JPY - Short - 2nd lot closed at +100

3. NZD/JPY - Short - 1st lot closed at +100

4. EUR/GBP - Long - Already had 3rd lot closed at +150

 

Month Total: +1615

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OzFx, congratulations on finding something that works for you. You apparently have the edge that so many seek. Way to go!

 

If I may make one suggestion - it would be more realistic to people reading your thread if you converted your "total pips" earned into pips equivalent to the full size you are using. For example, if you are trading 7 lots and booked profits as follows:

 

+50 on first lot,

+100 on second lot

+150 on third lot

+200 on fourth lot

+300 on fifth lot

+400 on sixth lot

+500 on seventh lot

 

Since you are using 1/7th of your entire position in each scaleout:

 

size = 1/7

 

The actual total amount earned as if you held the full 7 lots to the very end would be:

 

(50*size) + (100*size) + (150*size) + (200 * size) + (300 * size) + (400 * size) + (500 * size)

 

which equals 242.8 pips of profit on 7 full lots.

 

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but the method you are using simply adds up all of the pip sizes of the various scale-outs (in this case, it would be: 50+100+150+200+300+400+500 = 1700 pips).

 

Stating that your total pip profits is 1700 pips sounds a lot more impressive than 242.8 pips, but it is misleading (particularly to people new to forex).

 

I personally have always preferred people who have computed the total pip profit or loss that is translated into equivalent full-size positions (if we know the size used). It's far more realistic.

 

Just a thought...

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Hello friends,

 

As soon as I finished writing my previous post prices move incredibly in our favor banking us total of +450 pips :)

Currently Open Positions:

 

1. EUR/JPY - Short - 3rd lot closed at +150

2. AUD/JPY - Short - 3rd lot closed at +150

3. NZD/JPY - Short - 3rd lot closed at +150

4. EUR/GBP - Long - Already had 3rd lot closed at +150

 

Month Total: +1765

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OzFx, congratulations on finding something that works for you. You apparently have the edge that so many seek. Way to go!

 

If I may make one suggestion - it would be more realistic to people reading your thread if you converted your "total pips" earned into pips equivalent to the full size you are using. For example, if you are trading 7 lots and booked profits as follows:

 

+50 on first lot,

+100 on second lot

+150 on third lot

+200 on fourth lot

+300 on fifth lot

+400 on sixth lot

+500 on seventh lot

 

Since you are using 1/7th of your entire position in each scaleout:

 

size = 1/7

 

The actual total amount earned as if you held the full 7 lots to the very end would be:

 

(50*size) + (100*size) + (150*size) + (200 * size) + (300 * size) + (400 * size) + (500 * size)

 

which equals 242.8 pips of profit on 7 full lots.

 

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but the method you are using simply adds up all of the pip sizes of the various scale-outs (in this case, it would be: 50+100+150+200+300+400+500 = 1700 pips).

 

Stating that your total pip profits is 1700 pips sounds a lot more impressive than 242.8 pips, but it is misleading (particularly to people new to forex).

 

I personally have always preferred people who have computed the total pip profit or loss that is translated into equivalent full-size positions (if we know the size used). It's far more realistic.

 

Just a thought...

 

The way I post pips is that I add/subtract the maximum pips you could have won/lost on a pair. If a trade makes +300 pips I don't add 50+100+150+200+300 = 800 pips. I only record 300. Same goes for losses.

 

If I do the way you think I am do it then it would result in more than 10000 pips :)

 

hope it make sense.

 

Oz

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The way I post pips is that I add/subtract the maximum pips you could have won/lost on a pair. If a trade makes +300 pips I don't add 50+100+150+200+300 = 800 pips. I only record 300. Same goes for losses.

 

If I do the way you think I am do it then it would result in more than 10000 pips :)

 

I still need a little clarification, if you don't mind.

 

Let's take this as an example: You trade 3 lots and close one lot at each of the following profit targets:

 

First lot: +100

2nd lot: +150

3rd lot: +500

 

How would you calculate your total profit? Would it be +500?

 

Thanks.

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Hello Friends,

 

 

What a great Friday we had. We were able to bank +550 pips in 3 trades which were opened the same morning. I expect these pairs to consolidate a little bit before falling further next week. I am holding all my positions for now.

 

 

Friday was a great day to end Feb. We achieved a total of +1865 pips which is more than Jan. Last month not only was short but we also faced slow market movement for first 12 or so days due to Chinese New Year holidays, plus I had my personal 3 days off. I hope everyone achieved similar success.

 

 

If you would like then please leave a feedback here

 

 

Currently Open Positions:

 

1. EUR/JPY - Short - 3rd lot closed at +150

2. AUD/JPY - Short - 4th lot closed at +200

3. NZD/JPY - Short - 4th lot closed at +200

4. EUR/GBP - Long - Already had 3rd lot closed at +150

 

 

Have a great weekend.

Oz

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I still need a little clarification, if you don't mind.

 

Let's take this as an example: You trade 3 lots and close one lot at each of the following profit targets:

 

First lot: +100

2nd lot: +150

3rd lot: +500

 

How would you calculate your total profit? Would it be +500?

 

Thanks.

 

Thats right. I would only add 500 to total pip count. Same for losses. It basically shows that how much you could have made/lost using the system regardless of MM method you using.

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Im kinda confused how much you make (or loose) is a direct function of the MM you deploy isn't it?

 

EDIT: Having said that your MM is clear so if you report +300 that means that price has hit T3 or greater before hitting your stop? But then was stopped on the remainder?

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Thats right. I would only add 500 to total pip count. Same for losses. It basically shows that how much you could have made/lost using the system regardless of MM method you using.

 

Ok, thanks for the clarification.

 

The only problem with your method is that people will get an incorrect idea of how much money they can make, especially if the people who are interested are new to forex. For example, many newbies will simply multiply the 500 pip total by the dollar amount per pip that they are trading to derive a possible income. But as you and I both know, that's not the way it works in reality, because anyone worth their salt will employ money-management techniques that involve removing portions of the entry from the table (scaling out), to protect the entry and ensure profitability. That's why I prefer the method I explained earlier. It gives a realistic indication of how much profit you have actually made and doesn't inflate reality.

 

Your system seems to have some merit, but everyone should convince themselves with a good prolonged period of testing on their own before they commit any cash to it.

 

Kudo's to you for your willingness to share.

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Re-Cap from post 1:-

______________________________________________________________

Money Management:

 

* Trade with 5 Lots with Stop Loss 100 pips away

* Take Profit on 1st Lot at 50 pips. Move Stop Loss to Break Even (BE).

* Take Profit on 2nd Lot at 100 pips.

* Take Profit on 3rd Lot at 150 pips.

* Take Profit on 4th Lot at 200 pips.

* Let the 5th Lot run until you see an opposite entry signal.

______________________________________________________________

 

So when you report +100 it is

2/5@ +100 | 3/5 Scratch

 

Makes sense now :)

 

Cheers.

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Im kinda confused how much you make (or loose) is a direct function of the MM you deploy isn't it?

 

EDIT: Having said that your MM is clear so if you report +300 that means that price has hit T3 or greater before hitting your stop? But then was stopped on the remainder?

 

If the price is hit 300 then we have closed 4 lots and fifth lot is at 300.

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Re-Cap from post 1:-

______________________________________________________________

Money Management:

 

* Trade with 5 Lots with Stop Loss 100 pips away

* Take Profit on 1st Lot at 50 pips. Move Stop Loss to Break Even (BE).

* Take Profit on 2nd Lot at 100 pips.

* Take Profit on 3rd Lot at 150 pips.

* Take Profit on 4th Lot at 200 pips.

* Let the 5th Lot run until you see an opposite entry signal.

______________________________________________________________

 

So when you report +100 it is

2/5@ +100 | 3/5 Scratch

 

Makes sense now :)

 

Cheers.

 

When I report +100 it means that first lot closed at +50 and second closed at +100. 3 lots still in play.

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Please correct me if I'm wrong, but the method you are using simply adds up all of the pip sizes of the various scale-outs (in this case, it would be: 50+100+150+200+300+400+500 = 1700 pips).

 

The way I post pips is that I add/subtract the maximum pips you could have won/lost on a pair. If a trade makes +300 pips I don't add 50+100+150+200+300 = 800 pips. I only record 300. Same goes for losses. :)

 

Cheers,

OzFx

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Hello Friends,

 

 

We had an excellent start for this month. Though marred by slow market due to NFP we still manage to bank +350 Pips. We only took 4 trades last week and all 4 of them were successful.

Some traders mentioned not getting filled on 2nd profit target for USD/CAD when we saw sudden price movement just after the news release. I can’t emphasize enough about trading with a good broker for same reason. All positions on my account and on managed accounts got filled easily.

 

 

We have 4 open positions at this stage, all in green and currently we stand at 41/47 successful trades.

 

 

Have a great weekend.

Oz

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Hello Friends,

 

Few days back I mentioned reconsidering 200SMA filter rule and now I am convinced that we can relax this rule a bit specially in times when most pairs are trending against the established trend. So here is what I recommend:

 

1. Wait for AC to cross “0″ line.

2. Go down to 4hr and 1hr to see if you still see AC and Stot in the same direction.

3. Risk less percent of equity for trades against the trend.

 

I would welcome your ideas and thoughts on this.

 

Cheers,

Oz

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Hello Friends,

 

Here are the trades from today:

 

1. Oz Special:

EUR/USD - Short

 

2. Daily Signals:

NZD/USD - Short

USD/JPY - Long

AUD/CAD - Short

 

3. AES Signals:

None

 

Cheers,

Oz

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Hello Friends,

 

Here are the trades for today:

1. Oz Special:

None

 

2. Daily Signals:

GBP/USD - Long

 

3. AES Signals:

None

 

Please note that there is holiday in Japan today. I am still holding all positions from yesterday:

 

1. Oz Special:

EUR/USD - Short

 

2. Daily Signals:

NZD/USD - Short

USD/JPY - Long

AUD/CAD - Short

 

Cheers,

Oz

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Here the pips updates of trades from today and yesterday:

 

1. Oz Special:

EUR/USD - Short

First lot closed at +50 . Currently at +78

 

2. Daily Signals:

NZD/USD - Short

First lot closed at +50 . Currently at +71

 

USD/JPY - Long

Currently at -41

 

AUD/CAD - Short

Currently at -20

 

GBP/USD - Long

Closed at -100

 

Cheers,

Oz

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Hello Friends,

 

Here are the trades for today:

 

1. Oz Special:

EUR/CAD - Short (Stop Loss 130)

CHF/JPY - Short

 

2. Daily Signals:

None

 

3. AES Signals:

None

 

Previous Trade update:

 

1. Oz Special:

EUR/USD - Short

First lot closed at +50 . Currently at +48

 

2. Daily Signals:

NZD/USD - Short

Second lot closed at +100 . Currently at +95

 

USD/JPY - Long

Closed at -100

 

AUD/CAD - Short

Currently at -5

 

We will discuss the signals here.

 

Cheers,

Oz

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Here the pips updates of trades from today and yesterday:

 

1. Oz Special:

EUR/CAD - Short

Second lot closed at +100 . Currently at +97

 

EUR/USD - Short

Second lot closed at +100 . Currently at +85

 

CHF/JPY - Long

Currently at -35

2. Daily Signals:

NZD/USD - Short

Second lot closed at +100 . Currently at +41

 

AUD/CAD - Short

Currently at -11

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Hello Friends,

 

I don't see any good trades. Also due to "May Day" holiday I would recommend not to trade today. Later I'll send an email with updated open and closed positions.

 

Cheers,

Oz

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Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
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