Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Sign in to follow this  
mitsubishi

MOST LOSING TRADERS CHOOSE FOREX

Recommended Posts

if you have a forex trading account you are almost 100% likely to be a loser.

 You can learn valuable trading lessons by reading this article . (I know most of you here have severe reading and comprehension learning difficulties, but anyway)

Why Labour lost | Coffee House

Coffee House Why Labour lost John Curtice
8-10 minutes

I thought I would take as my starting points what seems to be the internal debate inside the Labour party as to why it ended up where it did in the election. Thesis number one: it was Brexit wot did it. Thesis number two: it was being too left-wing wot did it.

I’m going to suggest that neither analysis, on its own, is adequate. Let’s start with Brexit. There is no doubt that Brexit played an important role in explaining the change in party support between 2017 and 2019 (and indeed going back to 2015 as well).

Those who voted leave were much more likely to vote for the Conservatives or the Brexit Party than they were to vote for the Conservatives or UKIP back in 2017.  Also, on the remain side, there was a clear relationship between having voted to remain in 2016 and voting for one or other of the parties that were in favour of having a second referendum.

Brexit is also absolutely fundamental to understanding the Conservative success because, at the end of the day, the Conservatives won by consolidating the leave vote. Nearly three-quarters of those who voted leave in 2016 voted for the Conservatives as compared with around 60 to 65 per cent in 2017. Whereas the remain vote was fragmented.

Labour got just under 50 per cent of the remain vote. The Tories still hang onto 20 per cent, although it was down as compared to 2017. And the Liberal Democrats were picking up around 20 per cent of the remain vote as well.

In the end, the reason why we have a pro-Brexit government is not because a majority of people voted in favour of Brexit but because of the differential concentration of support. It’s also very clear that the pattern of movement between 2017 and 2019 is very clearly related to people’s views on Brexit.

Labour lost between a quarter to a third of its leave voters in 2017 fell to the Conservatives. Equally, it lost around a fifth of its remain voters to the Liberal  Democrats. So Labour Remainers and Labour Leavers, if they were defecting, were defecting in very different directions. This is something you can only explain as a result of their reaction to Brexit.

Brexit certainly creates awkward choices for Labour. The truth is that, on the one hand, it is predominantly a party of remain voters. But of course, the people who voted leave as a section of the electorate are those Labour thinks it represents – leave voters are more likely to be working class. It also causes the problem for Labour because Brexit is not a left-right issue.

People who we would classify, on the basis of responses to survey research, as left-wing were as likely to vote for Brexit as were those who are economically on the right. Many a person who voted leave is on the left economically. They don’t like capitalism exactly the same way as they don’t like immigration.

So there were difficult choices, but at the end of the day, Brexit was an issue where it became increasingly clear that you had to make a choice. It was a subject on which the middle ground of politics no longer existed. You either had to be a Remainer or Leaver.

I think one of the ironies of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership is that somebody who was widely criticised for being too extreme or too radical, in the end, crucified his leadership on the altar of compromise. He was the last person standing who wasn’t willing to declare their position on Brexit. That was not something that was sustainable given where we had got to by December of last year. Of course, it simply reinforced another perception – a lack of leadership.

Brexit was a problem. It does create difficult choices, but was it handled as effectively as it could have been? I think no. Albeit the party would probably have had to bite the bullet on the subject in a way that it was reluctant to do.

The other arguments, coming particularly from those who are loosely associated with the regime of Tony Blair, is that the programme was too left-wing. The party was resurrecting ancient policies of nationalisation and it was wanting to restructure much of the private sector and the way it was governed.

The problem with the argument, that the positioning was too left-wing, however, is found by looking at the survey data as to people’s attitudes towards nationalising utilities, towards changing the structure of company boards, it was actually relatively popular. Typically around 50 per cent of people said they were in favour. Only around a quarter were opposed. The free broadband policy was a bit of a niche market – it was young folk and Remainers who quite liked the idea.

Broadly speaking, leave voters weren’t quite as keen on nationalisation as remain voters (many of them were ardent conservatives) but it’s not clear that this stance was what was costing Labour its support amongst its leave-orientated voters. But here we come back to the question of leadership and competence. What voters were not convinced on was that Labour’s programme for changing the public services, for changing the role of the state, was achievable.

So the proportion of people who thought this was achievable was less than the proportion of people who said that they quite liked the idea. More broadly, people said, ‘is Labour going to be able to deliver? No. Can it run the economy? No.’

Unless those issues are addressed it is going to be very difficult for the party – whether it’s on the centre or on the left in terms of political positioning – to be able to persuade the public as to whether it should be elected.

So in both cases, what the analysis needs to take on board is that it wasn’t so much a crisis of ideology or a crisis of Brexit, but a crisis of the party. It is the party itself that has to convince people that it can govern the country.

That, I think, did mean hard choices on Brexit. It does mean being able to sell the vision that was meant to underline the policies, the individual policy programme. You needed an equivalent of ‘Get Brexit Done’. There was no equivalent on the Labour side that explained in two short sentences what the policy programme was meant to achieve. That is as much as most voters are ever going to take on board.

Where does the party go from here? Well, you certainly need to understand where you are at. This is no longer a party that particularly gains the support of working-class voters. Although it does still do relatively well in places that you might call working-class communities. This, at the moment, is a party that has young people, it has graduates, and their distinctive characteristic is that they are socially liberal. These are the people who are remain-y. These are people who are not concerned about immigration. And so the question therefore is: where does the party go from here? Now, one possible answer is it needs to regain the voters it has lost.

Okay, fine. But bear in mind that many of these leave voters that Labour lost are older voters. They’re frankly not going to be with us for that much longer. If you look at the age profile of the Conservative vote, unless that age profile is changed, the Conservatives are going to be in deep electoral troubled by 2030.

On the other side, if you say, well okay, actually now the party should run with the grain of what its got, which is young, socially liberal, university-educated voters, the difficulty there is that there is competition for that vote, which is from the Liberal Democrats.

I know it might appear that the Liberal Democrats didn’t do terribly well but they are picking up enough of that vote to make life difficult. Whereas the Conservatives were able to extinguish UKIP in 2017 and extinguish Brexit in 2019. There is much more competition on that side.

Labour also, in coming to a decision, has to ask itself: do you really think you can compete with the Conservative party for the leave vote if the Brexit issue continues to be important in 2023 or 2024? Something that, frankly, we don’t know the answer to. What, of course, is also true is that you need to not just simply fight the last war. Brexit may not be an issue in 2023 or 2024. Maybe it proves to be a success. Maybe we decide, as a country, to move on. Who knows?

Don't forget to like and subscribe. (it would be your fiirst step in showing the faintest glimmer of intelligent human life here . Naturally I wont hold my breath)

Edited by mitsubishi

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Understanding Insulin Pump (forex indicator) Setting

Defining pump terms like basal rates, carb ratios, insulin sensitivity, and more

Insulin pumps are devices that deliver insulin without the need for manual injections. Pumps provide fast-acting insulin through a small tube placed under the skin, delivering two types of doses:

  • Basal (“background”) insulin, delivered continuously in tiny doses throughout the day and night; and

  • Bolus insulin to cover the increase in blood glucose from meals and/or to correct high blood sugars.

Pumps give insulin based on pre-programmed basal and bolus settings – read more about these settings below!

Basal

The goal of basal insulin is to hold blood glucose levels steady when you are not eating – ideally within a 30 mg/dl range (such as 90 to 120 mg/dl). With the help of a healthcare professional, you can program one or more basal rate settings in your pump.

Basal insulin rate is the rate at which an insulin pump provides small, “background” doses of fast-acting insulin. The rate is usually programmed as a number of units per hour (“U/h”) during a certain time period. For example, someone could program their pump to deliver 1 U/h from 9am-5pm and 0.7 U/h from 5pm-9am.

When you first start using an insulin pump, your healthcare professional will help you determine your initial basal rate and then carefully adjust your basal profiles based on frequent blood glucose self-monitoring. The ability to precisely adjust basal rates is one big advantage pumps have over once-daily basal injections. You can read more about basal rate testing here.

Users can also set temporary basal rates (“temp basal”) for specific activities, like exercise. For example, someone might program a 50% reduction in basal rate for a long bike ride. After a set period of time, the pump will return to the normal pattern. 

Note that basal rates operate differently in an automated insulin delivery (hybrid closed loop) system, such as Medtronic’s MiniMed 670G, Tandem’s upcoming Control-IQ, or DIY Loop or OpenAPS. In these systems, basal rates are automatically, carefully adjusted every five minutes – based on continuous glucose monitor (CGM) values – to keep your blood sugar in range.

Bolus

All modern insulin pumps have a built-in bolus calculator to figure out how much insulin to take for a meal or for correcting blood sugars. These are the standard bolus calculator settings and terms, with each explained below:

  • Target Blood Glucose / Range

  • Insulin-to-Carbohydrate Ratio (I:C)

  • Insulin Sensitivity Factor (ISF) or Correction Factor

  • Duration of Insulin Action (DIA)

  • Insulin on Board

Target blood glucose or “target range” is your desired blood glucose level. It can be entered into a pump’s settings as a single target for the entire day (e.g., 120 mg/dl) or as a range (e.g., 100-120 mg/dl). Pumps usually allow you to set different targets for different times of day – e.g., 100 mg/dl in the morning, 120 mg/dl at night. The bolus calculator uses this target to determine how much correction insulin to recommend in cases of high blood sugar. For example, if the target is set at 100 mg/dl, and current blood sugar is 175 mg/dl, the bolus calculator will recommend more correction insulin to reduce blood glucose by 75 mg/dl.

Insulin sensitivity factor (ISF) or “correction factor” is how much one unit of insulin is expected to lower blood sugar. For example, if 1 unit of insulin will drop your blood sugar by 25 mg/dl, then your insulin sensitivity factor is 1:25. In the example above, the pump would recommend 3 units of insulin to bring blood glucose from 175 mg/dl down to 100 mg/dl. Different ISFs can be pre-programmed for different times of the day – e.g., many people are more insulin resistant in the morning, which requires a stronger correction factor.

Insulin to carbohydrate ratio is the number of grams of carbohydrates “covered” by one unit of insulin. For example, a 1:10 insulin to carbohydrate ratio means one unit of insulin will cover every 10 grams of carbohydrates that you eat. So for a meal with 30 grams of carbohydrates, a bolus calculator will recommend three units of insulin.

Duration of insulin action (DIA) (or active insulin time) is how long a bolus of insulin takes to finish lowering blood glucose. The DIA time starts when a bolus is given and ends when the bolus is no longer lowering blood glucose levels. An accurate DIA will minimize insulin stacking and low blood sugar (hypoglycemia), which can happen when boluses are given too close together.

As expert educator Gary Scheiner shared at Friends for Life this year, “DIA varies from person to person, and CGM is the best way to figure it out.” He recommends doing calculating DIA when your glucose is high – take a correction bolus (without food) and watch the CGM until it levels off. “These are important numbers to get right. If you underestimate it, you’ll have frequent lows. If you overestimate it, you’ll have highs.” The number can change over different ages; Mr. Scheiner said most adults have a DIA of 4-4.5 hours, while most kids have a DIA of 3-3.5 hours.

Insulin on board (IOB) is how much insulin is still active inside the body from the previous bolus dose. It is calculated based on your DIA, though the exact calculation varies depending on the pump. Roughly speaking, for a DIA of three hours, a three-unit bolus dose taken at 12pm would have about one unit of IOB remaining two hours later, at 2pm. IOB is important to take into account, as it can help avoid insulin stacking. This is also helpful at bedtime when determining whether or not you need more insulin to cover a high reading.

In the future, we’ll talk more about pump therapy, particularly as we move towards automated insulin delivery and its benefits.

BTW LOSER is spelled loser

not looser

anyone who cant spell loser is a moron

period

dont frget to like and subscribe

Edited by mitsubishi

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Why are Market Wizard's insults and humiliations tolerated with impunity whereas our replies are sistematically banned? Just curious.
    • Bitcoin (BTC) Consolidates As Bears And Bulls Tussle Above $9,400 Support Key Resistance Zones: $10,000, $11,000, $12,000 Key Support Zones: $7, 000, $6, 000, $5,000 BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging Bitcoin has failed to break above $10,400 overhead resistance. The bulls made two unsuccessful attempts at the resistance. In the recent one, the bears took the price to a low of $9,290 and then pulled back above $9,400. In the interim, the price is fluctuating above $9,400 and approaching the high of $9,800. As the bulls have failed to push above the overhead resistance, the pair may commence a range movement. Nonetheless, it is anticipated that if the bears break below the $9,400 support, selling pressure may resume. Meanwhile, BTC may continue the range-bound movement. BTC/USD – Daily Chart Daily Chart Indicators Reading: After the downward move of Bitcoin, the Relative Strength Index has also fallen to level 52. This simply means the coin is above the centerline 50. In other words, BTC is in an uptrend and it is likely to rise. Price broke the support line of the ascending channel. The uptrend will be in proper perspective only when the bulls break into the ascending channel. BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish On the 4- hour chart, Bitcoin now trades between $9,400 and $10,200 after the first breakdown at the $10,400 overhead resistance. The bulls tested the resistance at $10,200 twice , before the downward move. The large bearish candlesticks tested a low of $9,290. However, the small body candlesticks that follow are called indecisive candlesticks. BTC/USD – 4 Hour Chart 4-hour Chart Indicators Reading Presently, BTC is trading above a 25% range of the daily stochastic. That is the coin is in the bullish trend zone. The 21-day SMA and the 50-day SMA are sloping horizontally indicating a sideways trend. General Outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) From every indication, if the bulls fail to push above the overhead resistance, the price action in October and November will repeat itself. For the past three days, BTC is still fluctuating above $9,400. Instrument: BTC/USD Order: Sell Entry price: $9,700 Stop: $9,900 Target: $8,400 Note: Learn2Trade.com is not a financial advisor. Do your research before investing your funds in any financial asset or presented product or event. We are not responsible for your investing results Source: https://learn2.trade 
    • The Sharp Recovery In EURJPY Lose Momentum, Falters Beneath The Level At 121.00 EURJPY Price Analysis – February  21 The single European currency rose 88 basis points or 0.73% against the Japanese yen in the previous session. After two consecutive sessions showing strong growth, EURJPY is now losing some momentum amid JPY bulls. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 122.37, 122.87, 121.00 Support Levels: 119.99, 117.08, 115.83 EURJPY Long term Trend: Ranging The EURJPY rebound from the level of 118.46 continues to advance from the previous session, but today it has stalled. Super-speed acceleration claims that a decline from 122.87 level could have ended in three waves to 118.46 level. However, the support level formed by the intersection of the moving average of 5 and 13 at 119.90 level can support the exchange rate during the trading session on Friday, while greater advance can continue from the level of 115.83. EURJPY Short term Trend: Ranging From an analysis of the 4-hour time frame, the intraday bias is now on the rise for a resistance level of 121.15 at first. The breakthrough will be aimed at 122.87 high levels. On the other hand, a breakdown of the secondary support levels of 119.99 could change the bias towards lower testing to retest the low level of 118.46 instead. Instrument: EURJPY Order: Sell Entry price: 121.00 Stop: 119.66 Target: 121.47 Note: Learn2Trade.com is not a financial advisor. Do your research before investing your funds in any financial asset or presented product or event. We are not responsible for your investing results Source: https://learn2.trade 
    • What makes InstaForex a good choice is that it is a reliable binary options trading platform so the trader would not have to dread anything if he decides to choose this platform.  They offer a 24/7 consultancy support. The exclusive online support facilitates the trader to get all the help that he has been looking for so far. This means that if the trader has any questions he can put them up ready to reach a solution to his problems. InstaForex provides trading binary options on currency pairs, cryptocurrency pairs, metals, and CFDs on shares.   InstaForex Broker 2.000$ Forex / Binary Options No Deposit Bonus! Crypto Trading Available! https://binaryoptionsfree.eu/review/instaforex-broker-2-000-forex-binary-options-no-deposit-bonus/
    • CRYPTOBO Broker - Binary Options No Deposit Cryptocurrency Bonus Real 10,000 Satoshi For Free!Make Financial Bets using Bincoins and win Bitcoins!Receive 10,000 Satoshi for Free Without Deposit to bet and win!Read CRYPTOBO Review!
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.