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FXTechstrategyT

Daily Technical Strategy On Currencies & Commodities

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EURUSD Expects More Weakness On Price Rejection 

EURUSD expects more weakness on price rejection following its lower close the past week. Support stands at the 1.1250 where a break will turn attention to  the 1.1200 level. A break below that level will target the 1.1150 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1100. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1350 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1400 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level where a violation will expose the 1.1500 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure.

 

EURUSDWeekly-3.png

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GOLD Looks To Pullbacks On Corrective Weakness

GOLD looks to pullback on corrective weakness. While  the commodity trades below the 1,320.35 level, risk of more decline remains. The commodity looks to move higher towards the 1,320.00 resistance zone. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,330.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,340.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,350.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,360.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,300.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,290.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,280.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,270.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further lower on correction.

XAUUSDDaily-4.png

 

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EURUSD Sets Up To Resume Downside Pressure

EURUSD sets up to resume downside pressure following reversal of its Monday losses during Tuesday trading session. Support comes in at the 1.1250 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1200 level. A break below here will target the 1.1150 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1100. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1350 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1400 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level where a violation will expose the 1.1500 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure on price weakness.
 

EURUSDDaily-2.png

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GBPUSD Retains Downside Pressure Short Term

GBPUSD retains downside pressure in the short term as it closed lower on Friday. Support stands at 1.3000 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2950 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2900 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2850 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2800 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3050 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3100 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3150 level followed by the 1.3200 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure on more weakness threats.
 

 

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EURUSD Bear Pressure Remains Intact, Looks To Weaken Further

EURUSD bear pressure remains intact as it looks to pressure further lower in the new week. Support comes in at the 1.1200 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1150 level. A break below here will target the 1.1100 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1050. Its daily RSI remains weak and vulnerable suggesting further weakness. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1250 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1300 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1350 level where a violation will expose the 1.1400 level. All in all, EURUSD bear pressure remains intact as it threatens further downside

EURUSDWeekly-4.png

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EURUSD Sets Up To Extend Recovery Threats

EURUSD sets up to extend recovery threats as the pair still retains its upside pressure. Support comes in at the 1.1250 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1200 level. A break below here will target the 1.1150 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1100. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1350 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1400 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level where a violation will expose the 1.1500 level. All in all, EURUSD sets up to extend recovery threats on upside pressure.

EURJPYWeekly.png

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GOLD Looks To Extend Its Bear Pressure

GOLD looks to extend its bear pressure as it following through lower on the back of its past week losses during Monday trading session. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,280.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,270.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,260.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,250.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,290.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,300.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,310.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,320.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,330.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, GOLD looks to extend its bear pressure in the days ahead.

 

XAUUSDDaily-1.png

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EURJPY Weakens On Price Sell-off With Eyes On 123.65 Zone

EURJPY weakens on price sell-off following as it holds on its nearer term bear pressure. Support comes in at the 124.00 level where a break if seen will aim at the 123.50 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 123.00 level and possibly lower towards the 122.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance resides at the 124.50 level. Further out, we envisage a possible move towards the 125.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 125.50 level with a turn above here aiming at the 126.00 level. On the whole, EURJPY retains downside nearer term.

 

EURJPYDaily-1.png

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USDCHF Turns Off Higher Prices On Price Failure

USDCHF turns off higher prices on price failure on Friday leaving risk of a pullback on the cards. Resistance resides at the 1.0250 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0300 level and then the 1.0350 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0400 level. On the downside, support is seen at the 1.0150 level. A turn below here will set the stage for more decline towards the 1.0100 level. And then the 1.0050 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.0000 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, USDCHF continues to eye further downside pressure as it rejected higher prices on Friday

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EURUSD Remains Vulnerable But With Caution Of Recovery

EURUSD remains vulnerable with caution of recovery though retaining its downside pressure. Support comes in at the 1.1100 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1050 level. A break below here will target the 1.1000 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.0950. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1200 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1250 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1300 level where a violation will expose the 1.1350 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure though with caution.

EURUSDWeekly-2.png

 

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AUDUSD Faces Recovery Threats Though Vulnerable.

AUDUSD faces recovery risk though vulnerable medium term. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.7100 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7150 level and then the 0.7200 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7250 level. Support resides at the 0.7000 level where a breach will aim at the 0.6950 level. Below here will set the stage for a run at the 0.6900 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.6850 level. On the whole, AUDUSD faces further downside threats but with caution of recovery.
 

AUDUSDDaily.png

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EURUSD Remains On Third Consecutive Day Of Gain

EURUSD remains on third consecutive day of bullish offensive as the pair eyes more strength. Support comes in at the 1.1200 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1150 level. A break below here will target the 1.1100 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1050. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1250 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1300 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1350 level where a violation will expose the 1.1400 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting more strength. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further upside pressure.

 

EURUSDDaily-3.png

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GOLD Recovery Threats Remain Intact Despite Price Hesitation
 
GOLD recovery threats remain intact despite price hesitation during Monday trading session. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,270.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,260.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,250.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,240.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,290.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,300.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,310.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,320.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,330.00 level. All in all, GOLD recovery threats remain intact though facing price hesitation. 
 
GOLD%202030.png
 

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EURGBP Looks To Extend Gain On Price Reversal
 
EURGBP looks to extend gain on price reversal following its strong rally the past week. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8600 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8550 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8500 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8650 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8700 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8750 level followed by the 0.8800 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside pressure. All in all, EURGBP looks to extend gain on price reversal after its past week rally. 
 
EURGBP%202025.png
 
 

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EURUSD Outlook Still Points Higher On Recovery

EURUSD outlook still points higher on recovery as we enter a new week. Support comes in at the 1.1200 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1150 level. A break below here will target the 1.1100 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1050. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1250 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1300 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1350 level where a violation will expose the 1.1400 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting more strength. All in all, EURUSD outlook still points higher on recovery.

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EURUSD Outlook Remains Lower In The Short Term

EURUSD outlook remains lower in the short term as we look for more decline to occur. Support comes in at the 1.1150 where a violation will turn risk to  the 1.1100 level. A break below here will target the 1.1050 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1000 level. Its daily RSI9 is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1200 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1250 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1300 level where a violation will expose the 1.1350 level. All in all, EURUSD outlook remains lower in the short term.
 

EURUSDDaily.png

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EURGBP Sees Additional Price Strength On Bull Pressure

EURGBP sees additional price strength on bull pressure following its recent strength. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8700 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8650 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8600 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8800 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8850 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8900 level followed by the 0.8950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the upside on further recovery.

EURGBPDaily-1.png

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GBPJPY Remains Bearish With Eyes On  138.50 Zone

GBPJPY remains bearish with eyes on 138.50 zone following its recent weakness. On the downside, support comes in at the 138.50 level where a violation will aim at the 138.00 level. A break below here will target the 137.50 level followed by the 137.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance is seen at the 139.50 level followed by the 140.00 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 140.50 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 141.00 level. All in all, GBPJPY remains  with eyes on 138.50 zone as we expect more weakness. 
 

GBPJPYDaily-3.png

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EURUSD Holds Off Lower Prices With Eyes On 1.1263 Zone

EURUSD holds off lower prices with eyes on 1,1263 zone as we enter a new week. Support comes in at the 1.1150 where a violation will turn risk to the 1.1100 level. A break below here will target the 1.1050 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1000. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1250 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1300 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1350 level where a violation will expose the 1.1400 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further upside pressure.
 

EURUSDWeekly-4.png

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EURGBP Looks To weaken Further Lower On Correction

EURGBP looks to weaken further lower on correction as it retains its downside pressure. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8800  level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8750 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8700 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8900 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8950 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.9000 level followed by the 0.9050 level. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the upside on more recovery
 

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EURUSD Sets Up To Strengthen Further Bull Pressure

EURUSD sets up to strengthen further bull pressure following its higher close the past week. Support comes in at the 1.1300 where a violation will turn risk to the 1.1250 level. A break below here will target the 1.1200 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1150. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1350 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1400 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level where a violation will expose the 1.1500 level. All in all, EURUSD sets up to strengthen further bull pressure on corrective recovery.

EURUSDWeekly-2.png

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USDCHF Declines With Eyes On Support At 0.9853 Level

USDCHF declines with eyes on support at 0.9853 level. This is supportive of its current short term weakness. Resistance resides at the 0.9950 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0000 level and then the 1.0050  level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0100 level. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9850 level with a turn below here setting the stage for more decline towards the 0.9800 level. And then the 0.9750 level. Further down, support resides at the 0.9700 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness.  All in all, USDCHF targets further weakness in the days ahead.

USDCHFDaily.png

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GBPUSD Sees Price Reversal With Eyes On The Upside

GBPUSD sees price reversal with eyes on the upside in the days ahead. Support lies at 1.2700 as it looks for more weakness. Below that level will turn attention to the 1.2650 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2600 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2550 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2500 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.2750 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.2800 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.2850 level followed by the 1.2900 level. On the whole, GBPUSD sees price reversal with eyes on the upside.

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EURUSD expects more weakness on bear pressure as we enter a new week. Support comes in at the 1.1150 where a violation will turn risk to the 1.1100 level. A break below here will target the 1.1050 level. Further down, support sits at the 1.1000. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at 1.1250 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1.1300 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1350 level where a violation will expose the 1.1400 level. All in all, EURUSD expects more weakness on bear pressure as we enter a new week.
 
EURUSD%202061.png
 
 

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CRUDE OIL Recovers Further Higher On Correction

CRUDE OIL recovers further higher on correction. Support lies at the 53.00 level where a break will expose the 52.30 level. A cut through here will set the stage for a run at the 52.00 level. Further down, support comes in at the 51.50 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 53.50 levels. Further out, resistance comes in at the 54.00 level. A break above here will aim at the 54.50 level and then the 55.00 level followed by the 55.50 level.  Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting more strength. All in all, CRUDE OIL recovers further higher on correction.
 

WTI.fsDaily.png

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Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
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