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FXTechstrategyT

Daily Technical Strategy On Currencies & Commodities

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EURGBP Remains Vulnerable Short Term But With Caution

EURGBP remains vulnerable short term as it closed lower the past week. This has open the door for more weakness. But it could face a recovery threat in the new week as it took back its intra day losses on Friday. Support stands at the 0.8850 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8800 level. A break of here will aim at the 0.8750 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting more decline.  On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8950 level. A turn above there will change risk towards the 0.9000 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.9050 level followed by the 0.9100 level. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the downside in the short term but with caution.

EURGBPDaily.png

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EURUSD Remain Vulnerable, Bear Pressure Eyes 1.1550/25 Zone

EURUSD remains vulnerable to the downside following its past week lower close. This development has opened the door for more weakness in the days ahead. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1650 level. A break through there opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1700 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1750 level where a break will expose the 1.1800 level. But, support lies at the 1.1550 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1500 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1450 level. Below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 1.1400. All in all, EURUSD still faces further downside pressure. 

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GBPJPY Aims At Key Resistance At 149.71 On Bull Pressure

GBPJPY aims at key resistance located at 149.71 level. This is coming on the back of its intra day strength during Monday trading session today. On the downside, support comes in at the 148.50 level where a violation will aim at the 148.00 level. A break below here will target the 147.50 level followed by the 147.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 149.50 level followed by the 150.00 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 150.50 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 151.00 level. Its daily RSI is pointing higher suggesting more strength. All in all, GBPJPY faces further upside pressure towards its key resistance zone at 149.71

 

GBPJPYDaily.png

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AUDUSD Faces Bear Risk, Eyes 0.7141/43 Zone

AUDUSD faces bear risk as it eyes its key support located at 0.7141/43. This is coming on the back of its weakness during Tuesday trading session. Support resides at the 0.7141/43 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7100 level. A move below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7100 level. Further down, AUDUSD should extend its decline towards the 0.7050 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.7200 level. A cut through this level will turn attention to the 0.7300 level. The next resistance comes in at the 0.7350 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7400 level. On the whole, AUDUSD faces further downside threats as it looks to recapture its key support.

 

AUDUSDDaily.png

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NZDUSD Bearish Pressure Eyes 0.6502 Zone

NZDUSD bearish pressure eyes 0.6502 zone as it retains its broader medium term downtrend. This development leaves it vulnerable beyond the above support. Support lies at the 0.6450 level. Further down, the 0.6400 level comes in as the next downside target. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.6600 level where a break will turn attention to the 0.6650 level. A break of here will have to occur to create scope for a move towards the 0.6700 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 0.6750 level. All in all, NZDUSD faces further downside pressure medium term.

NZDUSDDaily.png

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EURGBP Weakened Further On Sell-off, Targets 0.8750 Zone

EURGBP Weakened further on sell-off on Friday to end the lower for two consecutive weeks. This leaves risk lower in the new week. Support stands at the 0.8750 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8700 level. A break will aim at the 0.8650 level. Its daily RSI bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 0.8850 level where a violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8900 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8950 level followed by the 0.9000 level. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the downside on more decline

EURGBPDaily.png

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EURUSD Remains Vulnerable Short Term Though With Caution

EURUSD remains vulnerable short term to the downside on further weakness. But, a corrective recovery could occur in the new week. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1550 level. A break through there opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1600 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1650 level where a break will expose the 1.1700 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.1500 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1450 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1400 level. Below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 1.1350. All in all, EURUSD still faces further downside pressure.

EURUSDWeekly.png

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EURUSD Price Extension Eyes 1.1590 Resistance Zone 

EURUSD price extension now eyes its cluster of resistance located the 1.1593/99 zone. This is coming on the back of its lower price rejection candle printed on Monday. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1600 level with a break through there opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1650 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1700 level where a break will expose the 1.1750 level. Conversely, support lies at the 1.1500 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1450 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1400 level. Below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 1.1350. All in all, EURUSD still faces further upside pressure on corrective recovery.
 

EURUSDDaily.png

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EURGBP Faces Corrective Recovery Threats On Price Rejection

EURGBP Faces corrective recovery threats on price rejection. This is coming on back of the reversal of earlier losses for the week. A follow through higher is now expected in the new week. Support stands at the 0.8750 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8700 level. A break will aim at the 0.8650 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Resistance resides at the 0.8850 level where a violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8900 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8950 level followed by the 0.9000 level. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the upside on correction.

EURGBPWeekly.png

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GBPUSD Upside Momentum Halts , Eyes 1.3082 Zone

GBPUSD upside momentum was halted during Wednesday trading session. It now eyes its support located at 1.3082 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3050 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.3000 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2950 level. Below here will set the stage for more decline towards the 1.2900 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Resistance stands at the 1.3150 with a turn above here allowing for more strength towards the 1.3200 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3250 level followed by the 1.3300 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces downside pressure with more weakness likely.

GBPUSDDaily-1.png

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USDCHF Faces Bull Pressure Threats, Eyes On 1.0000 Level
 
USDCHF faces bull pressure threats with eyes on the 1.0000, its big psycho level. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9900 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9850 level and then the 0.9800 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.0000 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 1.0050 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0100 level. Above here if seen will turn attention to 1.0150. All in all, USDCHF faces further price strength
 
 
USDCHFDaily.png

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USDCHF Faces Bull Pressure Threats, Eyes On 1.0000 Level
 
USDCHF faces bull pressure threats with eyes on the 1.0000, its big psycho level. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9900 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9850 level and then the 0.9800 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.0000 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 1.0050 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0100 level. Above here if seen will turn attention to 1.0150. All in all, USDCHF faces further price strength
 
 
USDCHFDaily.png

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EURUSD Downside Pressure Stalls, Bounces Off 1.1531 Support

EURUSD downside pressure stalled as it saw a bounce off its key support at 1.1531 to close higher on Friday. While that level holds as support it faces the risk of a move further higher nearer term. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1550 level. A break through there opens the door for more upside towards the 1.1600 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1650 level where a break will expose the 1.1700 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.1450 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1400 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1350 level. Below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 1.1300. All in all, EURUSD still faces a downside pressure medium term but with recovery threats.

EURUSDDaily-2.png

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GOLD Faces Consolidation Threats On Price Halt

GOLD faces consolidation threats following a price halt on Friday. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,215.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,205.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,200.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,100.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting more strength. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,230.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,240.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,250.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,260.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to decline further lower on price halt.
 

XAUUSDDaily-4.png

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EURJPY Extends Recovery Pressure Towards 130.49 Zone

EURJPY extends recovery pressure with eyes on the 130.49 resistance zone. This is coming on the back its price reversal on Friday. Support comes in at the 129.50 level where a break if seen will aim at the 129.00 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 128.50 level and lower towards the 128.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 130.49 level. Further out, we envisage a possible move towards the 131.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 131.50 level with a turn above here aiming at the 132.00 level. On the whole, EURJPY continues to face further upside on further strength.
 

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GBPUSD Price Decline Eyes 1.2862 Support On Bear Pressure

GBPUSD price declines eyes 1.2862 support zone as it continues to hold on to its broader weakness. The immediate support resides at 1.2900 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2862 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2800 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2800 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2750 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.2950. A turn above here will allow more strength to build up towards the 1.3000 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3050 level followed by the 1.3100 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure short term.

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AUDUSD Broader Trend Remains Lower, Eyes 0.7042 level

AUDUSD broader trend remains lower as it eyes the 0.7042 support level. Support resides at the 0.7042 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7000 level. Below here will set the stage for a run at the 0.6950 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.6900 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.7100 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7150 level and then the 0.7200 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7250 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the whole, AUDUSD faces further downside threats with eyes on key support.

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USDCAD Price Action Suggests Test Of 1.3150/74 Area

USDCAD price action suggests a further move higher and test of its key resistance at 1.3150/74 area. Support lies at the 1.3100 level where a break will target at the 1.3050 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3000 level. On further move lower, the pair may aim at the 1.2950 support level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.3150/74 levels where a violation will turn attention to the 1.3200 level. Further up, resistance resides at the 1.3250 level and then the 1.3300 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing higher suggesting further weakness. All in all, USDCAD looks to strengthen further with trend resumption in the cards.

USDCADDaily-3.png

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EURGBP Price Recovery Remains Intact On Rally

EURGBP price recovery remains intact following its rally the past week. Support stands at the 0.8850 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8800 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8750 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8950 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.9000 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.9050 level followed by the 0.9100 level. Its Weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the upside on further recovery.

EURGBPWeekly-1.png

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USDJPY Price Reversal Leaves Risk Towards 112.88 Zone

USDJPY price reversal leaves risk towards the 112.88 resistance. On the downside, support comes at the 112.00 level where a break will target the 111.50 level. A break through here will turn focus to the 111.00 level and then lower towards the 110.50 level. On the upside, resistance comes in at 112.50 level. Above here will open the door for more strength towards the 113.00 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 113.50 level on a break of the former level. Further out, resistance resides at the 114.00 level with a turn above here targeting the 114.50 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure following its price reversal

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USDCHF Remains Weak And Vulnerable On Price Sell Off

USDCHF remains weak and vulnerable on price sell off the past week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9950 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9900 level. And then the 0.9850 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.0050 level where a breach will clear the way for more strength to develop towards the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance comes in at the 1.0150 level followed by the 1.0200 level. All in all, USDCHF faces further price weakness on price correction.

 

USDCHFWeekly-1.png

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GOLD Remains Vulnerable Below Key Resistance At 1,2987.55 Level

GOLD remains vulnerable below key resistance at 1,298.55 level as it looks for more weakness. commodity looks to pullback as it rejected higher prices the past week. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,280.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,270.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,260.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,250.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,290.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,300.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,310.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,320.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further lower on correction.

XAUUSDDaily-2.png

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GBPUSD Bearish, Sets Up To Weaken Further On Corrective Pressure

GBPUSD sets up to weaken further corrective pressure following its rejection of upside pressure. Support is seen at 1.2700 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2650 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2600 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2550 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2500 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.2750 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.2800 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.2850 level followed by the 1.9000 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure

GBPUSDDaily-2.png

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USDJPY Remains Biased To The Upside On Corrective Recovery.

USDJPY remains biased to upside on corrective as we expect more strength in the days ahead. On the upside, resistance comes in at 109.00 level. Above here will turn attention to the 109.50 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 110.00 level if the earlier resistance is taken out. A break of here will open the door for more gain towards the 110.50. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing higher suggesting further weakness. On the downside, support comes in at the 108.00 level where a break will target the 107.50 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 107.00 level and then lower towards the 106.50 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside on corrective recovery.  
 

USDJPYDaily.png

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GBPUSD Targets Further Upside Pressure Towards 1.3000/29 Zone

GBPUSD targets further upside pressure towards 1.3000/29 zone. Support is seen at 1.2950 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2900 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2850 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2800 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2750 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3000 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3050 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3100 level followed by the 1.3150 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further upside pressure.

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Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
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