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analyst75

Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (March 2018)

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GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Gold is a choppy market, though movement has generally been bearish. Last month, price went upward to test the resistance level at 1305.78, before dropping thousands of pips. Any rallies that are seen on Gold would be in the context of a downtrend, and as such, would not invalidate the current bearishness in the market, unless the resistance level at 1300.00 is breached to the upside, which would require exceptionally strong buying pressure. This month, the support levels at 1260.00, 1240.00 and 1220.00 may be reached.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Since Gold and Silver are usually correlated, Silver moved upwards in the first half of October, gaining 9,000 pips. The market reached the high of the month at 17.4594 (October 15), and then began to move southwards, underlining the recent bearishness in the market. This month, any rallies should be taken as opportunities to seek short trades, because the current bearishness in the market cannot be ended until price is able to go above the high of October (17.4594). In November, at least a southwards movement of 6,000 pips is expected.

 

BITCOIN (BTCUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bullish

There is a very strong Bullish Confirmation Pattern on Bitcoin. In October, price reached a low of 4143.64 and a high of 6460.62. Price gained more than 210,000 pips in October, and it started November on a strong bullish note. Another 100,000 pips have been gained this week, as price topped at 7438.49 on November 2, before retracing downwards. Nevertheless a large pullback of 50,000 – 100,000 pips is anticipated this month, after which price would assume its journey to the north. The main target for the month is the distribution territory at 7500.00, although there is a high probability that the main target would be exceeded.

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GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Gold is bearish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. In the long-term, price consolidated throughout November; but in the short term, the last week of November has been bearish. In the short-term, price has dropped seriously enough to generate a clean bearish bias on the market, and as price goes further southwards, a Bearish Confirmation Pattern would spread across the market. This month, upwards bounces should be temporary, as general movements in this month ought to be bearish. Thus, the current upwards bounce would end in further bearish movement, as price targets the support levels at 1260.00, 1250.00 and 1240.00 in December.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Silver is bearish, both in the short-term and in the long-term. The market essentially consolidated from November 1 to 28, and then dropped massively last week, shedding 8,000 pips from the high of the week (17.1895). There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which shows a possibility of the market journeying more and more towards the south. While there would be transitory indecisions and rallies along the way, price is expected to reach the demand levels at 16.2000, 16.0000 and 15.8000 in December.

 

 

 

Source: http://www.tallinex.com

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GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bullish

Gold dropped massively in the first half of last month, reaching a low of 1236.21 on December 12, 2017. At that juncture, further bearish movement was rejected, as price went upwards by 7000 pips, ending the month on a strong bullish note. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market and further bullish movement is anticipated throughout this month, although that does not rule out possibilities of temporary pullbacks along the way. Overall, Gold is supposed to gain at least, another 2000 pips in January.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bullish

The movement on Silver last month was quite similar to the movement on Gold. Actually, November was flat, but a bearish movement was started in that month, which ran into December (until December 12, reaching a low of 15.6114). After the low of December was reached, the market assumed a strong bullish rally, which held out for the rest of December. Having gained 15,000 pips (before the current shallow bearish retracements), there is a strong bullish bias on the market. This means Silver would continue going upwards this January, reaching resistance levels at 17.2000, 17.5000 and 17.8000. The resistance level at 17.8000 may even be exceeded.

 

 

 

Source: http://www.tallinex.com

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GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Gold is bearish in the short-term, and bullish in the long-term. The second half of December 2017 was very bullish, and the bullishness continued last month. On February 2, price dropped sharply, bringing about a short-term bearish signal. In spite of effort to push price upwards on February 5, bears are still able to pull their weight. It is possible that the resistance levels at 1300.00, 1280.00 and 1260.00 would be breached this month. This is something that would bring more emphasis to the short-term bearish signal. On the other hand, a movement above the resistance level at 1350.00 could help cancel the short-term bearishness and put more emphasis on the long-term bullishness in the market.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Just like Gold, Silver was also very bullish in the second half of December 2017. However, the market situation was generally choppy in January 2018. Last week, price began to come down gradually, and that became something significant on February 2, as Silver lost over 6,300 pips that day alone. On Monday, February 5, price bounced upwards in the context of a downtrend, but that has turned out to be a clean sell-shorting opportunities, as price is poised to continue going southwards, due to the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The demand levels at 16.4000, 16.0000 and 15.6000 could be reached this month.

 

 

Source: http://www.tallinex.com

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analyst,

 

fwiw... I will start buying PM's in a week or so

I'm using time, not price - so, maybe even at those price levels you mentioned ...

 

zdo

 

ps I would love them to go down... way way down. I'd buy all the way down... as part of moving out of dollars for the rest of my life.

:missy:

 

pps why don't you do a BTC thread? ie how come no one dares even mention cryto's on TL ... except for pro4xtrader... who it seems has never even conceived of a sell signal :rofl:

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GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

The market has been showing weakness since last week (price dropped more than 1200 pips last week alone). A bullish attempt was made on February 26, but the attempt was later halted as price dived again, laying more emphasis on the recent bearish bias. Price is intent on going further southwards, and there is a possibility that the support levels at 1310.00, 1300.00 and 1290.00 would be tested. These are initial targets that could even be exceeded, when selling pressures on the market increases. The resistance levels at 1340.00, 1350.00 and 1360.00 should hinder meaningful bullish attacks along the way.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Silver is a rough but bearish market. In January, the market consolidated as bulls were making unsuccessful effort to push price upwards. In February, the market went far lower in the first few days of the month, and again, consolidated for the rest of the month. Nothing significant has been done this month, but the general outlook on the market is bearish. A movement below the demand levels at 16.2000, 16.1000 and 16.0000 (which could possibly be exceeded), should make the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market become more conspicuous. There are supply levels at 16.7000, 16.8000 and 16.9000.

 

 

Source: http://www.tallinex.com

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (April 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Neutral   

The market bias is neutral in the long-term and bearish in the short-term. Since February 2018, price has been ranging (whereas December 2017 and January 2018 were bullish). However, going short-term, price dropped sharply in the last week of March, and made a rally attempt on April 3, only to get corrected lower on the following day. Given the current price action, a movement to downside is much more likely than a movement to the upside, when a breakout does occur. There is a strong supply barrier at 1360.00, which has been the major supply zone within the last two months. The demand zones at 1320.00 and 1310.00 would likely be tested this month.

 

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Neutral

Silver is also neutral in the long-term and bearish in the short-term, just like Gold. Price has been consolidating since February; whereas December 2017 and January 2018 were bullish. In a smaller time horizon, last week was bearish, plus this week, whose bearishness follows an abortive effort to effect a rally. A closer observation of the market behavior in the last several weeks reveals that bulls are getting weaker, and thus, bears would take advantage of this by pushing price lower and lower, towards the support levels at 16.2000, 16.1000 and 16.0000. Should this happen, the precarious Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market would become stronger. 

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (May 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish  

In the first half of April, Gold made some visible bullish attempt. However, price came downwards noticeably in the second half of that month. Generally the market is very choppy… It has been coming down since last week, and May was started on a bearish note. Since there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, the resistance levels at 1300.00, 1250.00 and 1200.00 would be reached this week. As the market is quite choppy and volatile, some transitory spikes, rallies and gap-ups could be experienced in May, but bears would win ultimately.

 

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Silver is bearish in the short-term and the medium-term. Just like Gold, it went upwards within roughly the first two weeks of April and then came downwards in the last two weeks of the same month. Over 6,000 pips were shed last week, and this week has already seen a loss of additional 4,500 pips, as price reached a low of 16.0484. There has been a recent temporary upwards bounce in the market (while a Bearish Confirmation Pattern is present in it). The upwards bounce could end up being another opportunity to sell short at slightly higher prices, because price would come downwards in May, reaching the demand level at 16.0000 and possibly exceeding it southwards.

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (June 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish  

Gold is bearish in the long-term, and neutral in the short-term. Apart from the noticeable downwards movement in the first half of May, price has not assumed any directional movement so far this week. A rise in volatility will be witnessed in this June, which would most probably favor bears, to corroborate the long-term bearish outlook on the market. The support levels at 1280.00, 1270.00 and 1260.00 may be breached to the downside.  However, the expected southwards breakout may not happen without any challenge from bulls.

 

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Neutral

Silver has been mostly neutral this year. The ongoing consolidation started in January     and it may continue in June (although this does not rule out any possibility of a maniacal breakout in the month).  This year, price has generally oscillated between the supply level at 17.600 and the demand level at 16.000. As long as price stays within those demand and supply levels, the neutrality of the market will be in place. The more the neutrality continues, the stronger and the more protracted a breakout will be when it does occur. This is not a good market for swing and position traders, but market neutral strategies are ideal right now.

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (July 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish  

Gold moved sideways in the beginning of June 2018, until June 14. Since then, price has come down by roughly 6000 pips. July has been bullish so far (in the short-term), but the upwards bounce in the market has paled into insignificance when compared to the overall bearish bias on the market. A movement above the supply level at 1280.00 will threaten the bullish bias; while a movement above the supply zone at 1300.00 will invalidate it. All this upwards movement, however, requires extremely strong bullish momentum to be effective. Therefore, in the absence of any strong bullish momentum, Gold may continue its downwards movement.

 

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on Silver, which is not as strong as the Bearish Confirmation Pattern on Gold. Following a few months of boring consolidation (February – May, 2018), price rallied in early June, reaching the distribution territory at 17.2000. From there, price moved downwards gradually until the end of June. In the short-term, Silver started July on a bearish note, and then rallied, and then movies sideways. The sideways movement is still in place, but it will soon be ended as price resumes its bearish journey, reaching the accumulation territories at 15.7000, 15.5000, and 15.3000. On the other hand, a strong bullish momentum will challenge this bearish outlook.

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (August 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish   

Gold has ended its recent short-term neutrality by dropping 5000 pips in July. In fact, the current dominant bearish bias started on April 11 (following a long period of a boring, choppy market), and price has dropped over 15,000 pips since then, resulting in a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. This month, the bearish movement will continue in spite occasional rallies, which would be transitory in nature and invariably lead to further short selling. The targets for bears are the demand levels of 1200.00, 1150.00 and 1100.00.

 

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Silver is neutral in the short-term, unlike Gold. But it is bearish in the long-term. In the long-term, all previous months have been trendless expect June and July. From the high of June 17.2000, price has come downwards by 20,000 pips. Although things are currently choppy, the situation is expected to be temporary, because there is a possibility the ongoing bearish bias will continue, as price makes for the support levels at 15.2000, 15.0000 and 14.800. This will eventually result in a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the short-term as well.  

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (September 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish   

Gold is a bear market. In August price dipped by over 6000 pips, reaching around the support level of 1160.00 (a support level). From there, price moved upwards by 5000 pips and then moved sideways till the end of the month. All this happened in the context of a downtrend; plus the market has been moving sideways in the last two weeks. A breakout is imminent, and that would happen anytime before the end of September and it would most probably favor bears. Thus price is expected to go downwards by at least 5000 pips from here.

 

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Just like Gold, Silver is also bearish, but its downwards movement is more pronounced than that of Gold. Price dropped roughly 10,000 pips in August alone and it has dropped 32,000 pips since June 14, 2018. Owing to the current Bearish Confirmation Pattern, it is rational to expect further bearish movement (at least another 10,000 pips) in September. 4000 pips have already been lost this month, and after the current consolidation ends, further bearish journey should continue, leading to more shedding of pips.

 

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (October 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish   

Gold is bearish in the long-term, but bullish in the short-term. Price skyrocket on October 11, thus bringing about a bullish signal in the short-term. In the long-term, Gold would need to continue making its bullish effort before the long-term bias can become bullish as well (provided the market continues going upwards). A movement to the south, would invalidate the short-term bullish signal and strengthen the bears’ position and enable a bearish trend continuation. However, a move to the upside is the most likely.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Silver is neutral in the short-term, and bearish in the long-term. Should the market continue its current consolidating movement, the long-term bias also may become neutral. It is more likely that the current market condition will continue, until the situation changes around the end of November 2018. That means a breakout is more likely to occur, and when it does occur, it would most probably favor bulls. Either there would be a bullish breakout by the end of November, or there would be a continuation of the current short-term consolidation.

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (November 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish   

Gold is bearish is the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. Since April 2018, price has shed 20,000 pips, reaching a yearly low of 1159.00. However, price has been ranging since the yearly low was reached in August, as speculators await breakouts of the price. There have recently been wild upwards and downwards swings, which have not been strong enough to put an end to the ongoing sideways movement in the market.  This is supposed to happen before the end of November and the most probable direction is towards the north.

.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bearish

Exactly like Gold, Silver is also bearish in the long-term and sideways in the short-term. Since the top of April 2018, price has gone downwards by over 30,000 pips, reaching an annual low of 13.0000 in September 2018. Since then, the market has become very choppy with no directional movement. A movement towards the annual low will give emphasis to the ongoing Besrish Confirmation Pattern in the market; otherwise a protracted bullish movement, which goes on for a few days consecutively, will result in a valid bullish signal.

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (December 2018)

 

GOLD (XAUUSD)

Dominant Bias: Bullish   

Gold has been making attempts to go upwards this month. The attempt started on November 13, when price reached the monthly low of 1195.90, and since then, price has gained roughly 5200 pips. This has generated a bullish signal in the market (both in the long-term and the short-term). The bullish signal is supposed to be sustained until the end of the year as price gains another 3000 pips minimum, thereby creating a huge Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Short positions are not currently recommended.

 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

Dominant Bias: Neutral

Unlike Gold, which has had a sensible bullish signal on it, Silver remains neutral, with no directional movement in the last few weeks. In the long run, the neutrality has been in place since August 2018. Although there seems to be some noticeable bullish effort in the short-term, that is not significant enough to result in a bullish signal, unless price goes above the supply zone at 15.0000, which would require some determined buying pressure in the market. While the current consolidation will probably continue for some time, the trend is expected to end before the end of this year, leading to a breakout that will most probably favor bulls.

 

Source: www.tallinex.com

 

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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