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EUR/CHF IS IN AN UPTREND, MAY REACH LEVEL 1.0730 Key Resistance Levels: 1.0800, 1.0900, 1.1000 Key Support Levels: 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0400 EUR/CHF Price Long-term Trend: Ranging EUR/CHF has been on a downward move since September 25. On October 15 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested 78.6 % Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates that the pair will fall and reach a low of 1.272 and later reverse. EUR/CHF – Daily Chart Daily Chart Indicators Reading: The pair is at level 41 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It implies that the market is in a downtrend and below the centerline 50. The 50-day SMA and 21-day SMA are sloping horizontally. It indicates the sideways trend. EUR/CHF Medium-term Trend: Bullish On the 4-hour chart, the pair is also rising. On October 20, a retraced candle body tested 50 Fibonacci retracement level. This also indicates that the pair will rise and reach level 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is the low level of 1.0730. EUR/CHF – 30 Min Chart 4 Hour Chart Indicator Reading The 50-day and 21-day SMAs are sloping sideways indicating the previous trend. The pair is below the 30% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the market is in a bearish momentum. General Outlook for EUR/CHF EUR/CHF is rising after breaking the initial resistance. The price rebounded at level 1.0714 to resume the upward move. According to the Fibonacci tool, the market will reach level of 1.0730. Source: https://learn2.trade -
EURUSD RISKS DEEPER DECLINE AT 1.1800 LEVEL ON SURGE IN EUROPE COVID-19 CASES EURUSD Price Analysis – October 26 Growing fears of a surge in Europe Covid-19 cases may slowdown economic recovery as new infections trigger stricter measures and prompt investors into safety. EURUSD risks a deeper decline at the 1.1800 level as buyers repeatedly failed to make a sustained break above the daily cloud top around the 1.1850 level. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 1.2150, 1.2011, 1.1917 Support Levels: 1.1807, 1.1612, 1.1422 EURUSD Long-term Trend: Ranging EURUSD is under pressure, trading near the 1.1810 level, and is in danger of further falling. The EURUSD rally appears to have hit a decent barrier at recent highs around 1.1880. A break of this area is expected to push the pair higher towards the 1.1917 area as the bullish trend is expected to resume at the key level. In a broader context, the rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third phase of the pattern from 1.0339 (low). A further rally towards the cluster resistance at 1.2011 can be seen. This will remain a preferable case as long as the resistance at 1.1422 is held and turned into support. EURUSD Short-term Trend: Ranging EURUSD intraday trend stays neutral as consolidation from 1.1880 regions continues. Nevertheless, further growth stays in favor while maintaining the support level of 1.1685. The break into 1.1880 regions will be a test at the 1.2011 high. The 4 hours chart shows that the pair is developing below the moderately bearish 5 and 13 moving averages. A move below 1.1800 is needed to mark an immediate (minor) high for a pullback to the bottom of the short-term channel seen at 1.1725. On the other hand, a breakout of 1.1685 is likely to extend the corrective pattern from 1.2011 by one more phase. Intraday bias will return to the downside towards 1.1612 and below. Source: https://learn2.trade
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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 26th October 2020. Events to Look Out for This Week.A gigantic week is coming with FAANGs reporting their Q3 earnings, along with the rate decisions and monetary policy statements from three key Central Banks (ECB, BoJ, and BoC) as the second wave of Covid-19 is hitting the world with full force. Across the Atlantic, all eyes will be also on what emerges from the Brexit talks and how markets will reform in the final week prior to the US Elections. Focus will be on inflation data from the biggest economies in the world, including the US, China and Europe. Monday – 26 October 2020 German IFO (EUR, GMT 09:00) – German IFO business confidence is expected to slip slightly to 92.9 in October after the jump seen in September to 93.4. New Home Sales (USD, GMT 14:00) – New home sales are seen at -1.1% in September after a drop-back to a 1,000k pace from a 14-year high of 1,011k in August, versus a prior high of 965k in July. With the economy’s reopening, the recovery for new home construction and sales is proving much faster than for the rest of the economy, partly due to solid fundamentals going into the crisis, and even lower mortgage rates now. Tuesday – 27 October 2020 ECB Bank Lending Survey (EUR, GMT 09:00) Durable Goods (USD, GMT 12:30) – Durable goods orders are expected to drop -0.7% in September with a 3.0% decline in transportation orders. The durable orders rise ex-transportation is pegged at 0.4%. A defense orders gain is pegged at 4.0%, following a -3.6% August correction. Boeing orders fell back to zero planes in September from 8 in August and zero in July. Wednesday – 28 October 2020 Consumer Price Index (AUD, GMT 00:30) – Australian inflation data in Q2 was moderate but in line with projections and remained within the average rate of increase between 2% and 3% that the RBA targets over the medium term. The RBA trimmed mean CPI for Q3 is seen at 0.1% q/q. Interest Rate Decision and Conference (CAD, GMT 14:00) – In September, the Bank of Canada maintained an aggressive stimulus posture, reiterating forward guidance and the continuation of its QE program until “the recovery is well underway.” However, the BoC removed its promise to “provide further monetary stimulus as needed,” keeping its commitment to hold rates at current levels and maintain the asset purchase program at the current pace. The policy rate was held steady at 0.25%, and it is expected to be maintained in this meeting as well. Thursday – 29 October 2020 Interest Rate Decision and Conference (JPY, GMT 03:00) – The Bank of Japan remains pledged to do whatever it takes to support the recovery. The BoJ minutes last time highlighted that some council members are becoming concerned that virus developments will negatively impact the recovery. On the political front, PM Suga is expected to maintain policy continuity. Gross Domestic Product (USD, GMT 12:30) – Gross Domestic Product should advance in Q3 and reveal headline growth of 33.5%, with a reversal in the inventory trajectory from a record-liquidation rate of -$287 bln in Q2 to a $12 bln accumulation rate in Q3, as the inventory figures begin a long rebuild into early-2021. Interest Rate Decision and Conference (EUR, GMT 12:45 & 13:30) – More than data releases, it is developments on the virus front that will have strengthened the dovish camp at the ECB. The number of new infections, but also hospital admissions and deaths, continues to rise across Europe, with Ireland just announcing a full lockdown until early December. Developments are adding to pressure on the central bank to act sooner rather than later, and the debate at next week’s ECB meeting will likely be lively, although on balance Lagarde is expected to hold fire for now and focus on a dovish presser that will lay the ground for a PEPP extension in early December. Friday – 30 October 2020 Retail Sales and GDP (EUR, GMT 07:00) – The German Retail sales are seen at 4.2% y/y in September from 3.7% y/y last month. The final Gross Domestic Product in Germany for Q3 is seen at -8.9% q/q from 9.7%. Gross Domestic Product and Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 10:00) – Fears of a double dip recession are on the rise, with preliminary Q3 GDP s.a. numbers likely to show the index down to 16.9% y/y from -14.7%. The Euro Area preliminary CPI is anticipated at -0.4% y/y in October with core reading at 0.5% y/y from 0.2% y/y last month. Personal Income/Consumption (USD, GMT 12:30) – A 0.3% increase in personal income in September is anticipated after a -2.7% decrease in August, alongside a 1.1% climb in consumption after a 1.0% bounce in August. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS: COULD CBDCS BE THE END OF BITCOIN? Ever since Facebook publicized its plans to develop a digital currency called Libra, central banks across the globe have tried to counter it with their cryptocurrency. While Facebook’s Libra has come under heavy scrutiny and regulatory obstacles, more than 80% of the world’s central banks are working assiduously to develop a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Meanwhile, the foundational basis of a CBDC is fundamentally disparate to what Bitcoin (BTC) is about. That said, the cryptocurrency community has begun speculating what the effect of a government-issued digital currency would have on the benchmark cryptocurrency. Below are some of the possible outcomes of CBDCs on Bitcoin: Plot A The common expectation is that CBDCs will be bad for Bitcoin and the crypto industry at large, considering that world governments will place their weight behind CBDCs giving it a higher adoption rate compared to BTC. Plot B The next popular opinion is that CBDCs could give Bitcoin better widespread use and adoption, as it could spark heightened interest in digital currencies. Plot C Assuming that Plot A comes into fruition, there would be no use for Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer payment system. However, this doesn’t mean BTC becomes useless, instead, it becomes an excellent store of value. BTCUSD -4-Hour Chart Key BTC Levels to Watch in the Near-Term Bitcoin, against popular belief, doesn’t seem to be slowing down any time soon. The cryptocurrency just recorded a new YTD high at $13,357 in the past 24 hours. BTC has been trading within a consolidation range between $13,300 and $12,895 for the past four days, as traders expect a fresh bull wave. That said, as long as Bitcoin maintains its stance above the $12,895 support, we could see a fresh bull wave in the coming days. A sustained fall below the aforementioned support could trigger an extended retracement for the cryptocurrency. Total market capital: $395.4 billion Bitcoin market capital: $241 billion Bitcoin dominance: 61% Source: https://learn2.trade
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ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: ETH FACES REJECTION AT $420, FLUCTUATES BETWEEN LEVELS $400 AND $420 Key Highlights Ethereum battles resistance at level $420 high The coin is likely to reach another high of $434 Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics The current price: $415.57 Market Capitalization: $47,020,287,242 Trading Volume: $12,506,980,622 Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360 Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100 Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis October 25, 2020 Following the breaking of the $395 overhead resistance, Ethereum resumed upside momentum. However, the coin rallied to a high of $420 and was resisted. Since October 22, the upward move has been resisted as the coin resumed a sideways trend below the resistance. On the upside, if the price breaks the current resistance, the coin will resume the uptrend. However, Ether will face another resistance at $440. The coin will rally to $480 if the current resistance is broken. ETH/USD – Daily Chart ETH Technical Indicators Reading The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward indicating the uptrend. Ether has risen to level 65 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that the market is in the bullish trend zone. The coin is approaching the resistance line of the ascending channel. A break above it will push the coin upward. ETH/USD – Daily Chart Conclusion Ethereum will rise after breaking the resistance at $420. The Fibonacci tool analysis has indicated an upward move to level 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. The market will reach another high of $434.55. Source: https://learn2.trade
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