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SIUYA

Difference Between Professionals and Amateurs

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This is not really a trading related article but I think much of the same lessons apply here.

dont focus on being a star focus on avoiding mistakes.

How often as traders are people trying to capture every tick, get every trend, get out or in at the top.....and yet are still making simple mistakes over and over.

We all make mistakes, but how many stupid mistakes do you make over and over.

 

 

(plus the blog often puts up interesting articles and books as well)

 

http://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2014/06/avoiding-stupidity/

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Good food for thought...

 

When first starting out, learning how not to lose is far more important than learning how to win. In my own experience: I was a break-even trader; successful at times, but the loses would eat up the profits eventually. I didn't turn the corner until I learned how not to lose. I think it would be fair to say that you need both, but the harder lesson to grasp is how not to lose.

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.........

dont focus on being a star focus on avoiding mistakes.

How often as traders are people trying to capture every tick, get every trend, get out or in at the top.....and yet are still making simple mistakes over and over.

We all make mistakes, but how many stupid mistakes do you make over and over.

 

 

(plus the blog often puts up interesting articles and books as well)

 

Avoiding Stupidity is Easier than Seeking Brilliance

 

Here I have another thought. Dare to believe that your strategy won't work twice. It may work 10 times right, but, be careful, it might get something wrong at 11. Cheers.

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Today I have some thoughts related to mistakes. There are many types of mistakes. But if mistake related to "how to win" part, since win is not you can control in interactive system. Therefore probably it may not be very effective to correct your mistakes related to "win" part. However if the mistake related to "lost"part, since it's the one that you can control it. You probably can correct it effectively.

 

But could "zero defect" type correction can be achieved on "lost" part correction? Which means you wont' make same mistake anymore? I like the 6 sigma idea. The 6 sigma (99.99966% free of recurring mistakes) probably is the highest probability you can reach for avoiding your mistakes to be happened again. Best best probability to avoid mistakes is probably only 4.5 sigma since this is the most you can sense. A"6 sigma" process will have long-term defect rates corresponding to 4.5 sigma performance rather than actual 6 sigma performance Just for fun. :missy:

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If a Sigma is a car model then - its a bit harsh to call it a mistake. ;)

 

The whole Sigma 6 hooha and 0 defects can be well applied to engineering processes but when it comes to trading I am not so sure. Even if you are 100% automated, you can eliminate technical errors, but the rest are not mistakes as such, but part of the trade strategy....which may in its self be a mistake.

 

Mistakes will not be eliminated, accidents are accidents and black swan events by their definition cant really be anticipated.

 

However - we are often talking about either mistakes in character, or mistakes in process and most likely perfectionism, pride, stubbornness and greed etc.

yet while the simplest mistakes may have their root cause in these, they should be the easiest to fix.....and will see the biggest payoff ......and the key is often not trying to be a genius, but simply in trying avoid being stupid. This will eliminate a lot of mistakes.

 

.................

I am reading about insight at present and how it comes about. One of the factors that can help insight is making errors, making mistakes and then learning from them. I guess there are mistakes....stupidity for repeating them or not recognising them and then insanity - when you deliberately repeat them.

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I think this is a false analogy. The difference is that professionals have a lot more money and can effort to correct mistakes. The most fundamental difference is the depth of the pocket.

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so what you are suggesting is that given the same amount of money a professional will make more mistakes than an amateur? or that you have to have money at the start....cant people start small and grow.

 

Plus I think you are missing the point - how do you move from being an amateur to being a professional.....one answer is to make less stupid mistakes. The money is the end result.

 

The only thing about having more money or a larger pool of money is that in an absolute sense you can afford some more mistakes.....if you compare like for like in percentage terms then it makes no difference. A 5% loss is a 5% loss.

 

Of course this is different again from the problem of using your own money as opposed to other peoples. The best kind.

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so what you are suggesting is that given the same amount of money a professional will make more mistakes than an amateur? or that you have to have money at the start....cant people start small and grow.

 

Plus I think you are missing the point - how do you move from being an amateur to being a professional.....one answer is to make less stupid mistakes. The money is the end result.

 

The only thing about having more money or a larger pool of money is that in an absolute sense you can afford some more mistakes.....if you compare like for like in percentage terms then it makes no difference. A 5% loss is a 5% loss.

 

Of course this is different again from the problem of using your own money as opposed to other peoples. The best kind.

 

I think he means that traders who are good enough to make a small fortune in the market, start with a big fortune.

Edited by MightyMouse

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This is a great tread about the mistakes. It also mentioned to the repeat mistakes (or errors) during trading. It is always a big issue I always tried to overcome. Here are some of my experiences. I think the repeat mistakes is magnified when you are trading using your own money. I believe that I could not find it it's because "trading sins" block my view on the during the trading results that I can not see what's right. Here "trading sins" I meant fear, greed, pride, bias....etc. It's hard to correct it based on just following rules, since it's coming from heart. So I need to adjust to my heart conditions to reduce these repeat mistakes. Outside system(coach, or mentor) are easy to see it, but it can not change it a lot except that I can change my heart, not just trying to follow the rules.

 

I am very admiring Mr. Buffett can have both system in one person. But I am also felt very lucky since I have a great mentor using very different ways to slowly help me to change my heart to see the mistakes during trading learning.

 

That's I always appreciate Mr. Market, he not only provide me a place to make money, but also teach me to how to become a better person in daily life. Cheers.

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I think the repeat mistakes is magnified when you are trading using your own money. .

 

Very true - there are different factors, emotions and worries involved.

There is also the simple economic issue of time management and opportunity cost (is it even worth doing yourself)

 

Which is why the saying "dont trade with scared money" or "only trade with money you can afford to lose" is important in minimising mistakes.

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At the outset one needs to define exactly what a mistake is. A trade that results in a loss is not a mistake. True trading mistakes have been written about elsewhere on TL.

 

A trading mistake is either:

 

1 Getting into a trade that you should not have gotten into.

2 Not getting into a trade that you should have gotten into.

3 Getting out of a trade before you should have gotten out.

4 Staying in a trade that you should have gotten out.

 

So, if you take a loss, it should be a loss from a trade that you would take again and again 500 times even if it results in a loss.

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Guest OILFXPRO

In trading you are dealing with uncertainty and decisions are made on content in mindset , in tennis you are dealing with skills ,power and stamina.

 

Why can't 50 year old tennis players stop making mistakes against 24 year old tennis players?It is not just about mistakes.

 

In trading the content of the subconscious mindset is important in not making mistakes.The psyche and mindset is more important.

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"In trading the content of the subconscious mindset is important in not making mistakes."

It is very true for me. I lost money when I felt uncomfortable either in mental or physical state. It's kind of mystic. So I learned to quit the game when I felt uncomfortable. :crap:

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.......

There is also the simple economic issue of time management and opportunity cost (is it even worth doing yourself)

 

Which is why the saying "dont trade with scared money" or "only trade with money you can afford to lose" is important in minimising mistakes.

 

economic issue of time management......Mr. Livemore?

economic issue of opportunity cost (is it even worth doing youself) Mr. Buffett?

 

Are that right?

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I think the word "mistake" should probably be substituted with the term "performance shortfall" (or, something different). A mistake is when you key in 199 instead of 100. The "mistake" doesn't become evident until you hit "enter" and the order fills. You've made a mistake that that has been revealed by a performance shortfall... you weren't paying full attention to the task at hand.

 

There are many things that can distract a trader from the task at hand. Emotions, boredom (allowing the mind to wander), thoughts concerning past performance. It may be that the mother-in-law who has always thought you should get a "real" job is in town, and she's been busting balls in that off handed manner that she's so good at.

 

Mistakes are inevitable, everyone makes mistakes; fat fingered key strokes to errors in judgement. Professionals make mistakes too, but they recover and get back in the game. Sometimes they will go down in defeat, but they don't commonly defeat themselves.

 

I think the intention of the OP was to make the point that by channeling your efforts into reducing performance shortfalls you will progress faster than by channeling your efforts to the fringes... the perfect system, the perfect mindset, the image of the perfect trader.

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[quote name=jpennybags;194187......

I think the intention of the OP was to make the point that by channeling your efforts into reducing performance shortfalls you will progress faster than by channeling your efforts to the fringes... the perfect system' date=' the perfect mindset, the image of the perfect trader.[/quote]

 

Your thoughts are reasonable. I am just a person trading in retailer trading system. There is a question always puzzled me. It looks there is a way to be a successful trader by learning. Is that meant most traders in institutions(they were trained to trade) are very good in trading and, in that case, retailer trader shall be always be on the poor performance side? Will most of traders in institutions know all of the trading skills or trading secrets? like Mr. Livermore?

I traded most of time is based on mind, not major on the method. But method is a good way to prevent the lost.

Just curious.

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Your thoughts are reasonable. I am just a person trading in retailer trading system. There is a question always puzzled me. It looks there is a way to be a successful trader by learning. Is that meant most traders in institutions(they were trained to trade) are very good in trading and, in that case, retailer trader shall be always be on the poor performance side? Will most of traders in institutions know all of the trading skills or trading secrets? like Mr. Livermore?

I traded most of time is based on mind, not major on the method. But method is a good way to prevent the lost.

Just curious.

 

I'm a "professional" trader, as I make my living as a trader, but that's about as far as it goes. The truth of the matter is that I'm an "amateur" that has found a niche style of trading that suits my personality, and I've dealt with my demons such that I don't have many performance shortfalls (mistakes). I would imagine that someone institutionally trained would scoff at what I do... rightfully so. I am a professional trader, but I still consider myself to be a hack... and again, rightfully so.

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Guest OILFXPRO
I'm a "professional" trader, as I make my living as a trader, but that's about as far as it goes. The truth of the matter is that I'm an "amateur" that has found a niche style of trading that suits my personality, and I've dealt with my demons such that I don't have many performance shortfalls (mistakes). I would imagine that someone institutionally trained would scoff at what I do... rightfully so. I am a professional trader, but I still consider myself to be a hack... and again, rightfully so.

 

They would see bags full of mistakes , if compared to the optimum way of trading.

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They would see bags full of mistakes , if compared to the optimum way of trading.

 

Let them scoff. I do alright...

 

It would be nice to sit with someone (a professional) for a day. I recall a time when I went to see a PGA tour event. I went to watch the professionals hitting balls and warming up into their assigned tee time. There was nothing rushed... nice smooth passes at the ball... no struggle. I played a better game for a couple of weeks after, but then my usual bullshit crept back in. Anyone can have a good day, or a good month. It's about the aggregate and how you deal with the struggle.

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Jpenny,

 

Ignore the crap that oily posts. The concept of "optimum" when it comes to trading is hindsight talk and oily does that sort of talk better than most.

 

Professionals make mistakes all the time and often are not as professional as we are led to believe. How many banks and hedge funds have been decimated over the years due to "professionals".....many.

 

With kind regards,

MK

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Jpenny,

 

Ignore the crap that oily posts. The concept of "optimum" when it comes to trading is hindsight talk and oily does that sort of talk better than most.

 

Professionals make mistakes all the time and often are not as professional as we are led to believe. How many banks and hedge funds have been decimated over the years due to "professionals".....many.

 

With kind regards,

MK

 

I would think myself to be a veteran of this game that we play... I have no illusions. What 'oily" has said is of some validity... no problem what so ever. I'm good enough at this game that I recognize my own faults (no need for someone to point them out). My strength is... and this is important to note... that I play within myself.

 

One can try and make the distinction between amateur and professional. Where one draws that line is subjective at best. I think the distinction lies in the original post... "professionals don't defeat themselves".

 

Am I an "elite" trader? No, absolutely not, and would venture that I never will be (doesn't mean that I will stop trying). I am successful because I know my place in the market. I know what I can get away with. I know what my limits are... and how to exploit my strengths. Is that professional? I think so...

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I'm a "professional" trader, as I make my living as a trader, but that's about as far as it goes.........

 

You shall be a successful trader since it's not easy to "make living as a trader." from my point of view. (although I did not know the time frame) You shall need to overcome your mental weakness first before you achieve this level? Am I right?

 

I like trading since it involving a lot of thinking in mental with endless ways. It's very fancy and I never have this kind of feeling in my career or life. I enjoy the game a lot.

 

I am dreaming to be a greatest trader (just dreaming) with a righteous purpose(still seeking). It shall be a lot of fun in this unexpected journey. Cheers.

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You shall be a successful trader since it's not easy to "make living as a trader." from my point of view. (although I did not know the time frame) You shall need to overcome your mental weakness first before you achieve this level? Am I right?

 

I like trading since it involving a lot of thinking in mental with endless ways. It's very fancy and I never have this kind of feeling in my career or life. I enjoy the game a lot.

 

I am dreaming to be a greatest trader (just dreaming) with a righteous purpose(still seeking). It shall be a lot of fun in this unexpected journey. Cheers.

 

Actually this business is quite simple. Once you get over yourself, and all the bullshit that everyone else brings, it can become quite simple. It's about making money... do that... focus on that.

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Actually this business is quite simple. Once you get over yourself, and all the bullshit that everyone else brings, it can become quite simple. It's about making money... do that... focus on that.

 

Well, I got your points. Here is my view. I tried to interact with the truths people bring to me, not interact with the "bullshit" you mentioned. In that case, I can focus on the new thing I can dig it out. I also enjoy and learn something new more in addition the "making money", something hidden behind the game. Indeed, when I focus on something above "making money" ,which in the past helped me many times to reduce the risk of lost. Just share my experience. Best to you to have great trades!

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Well, I got your points. Here is my view. I tried to interact with the truths people bring to me, not interact with the "bullshit" you mentioned. In that case, I can focus on the new thing I can dig it out. I also enjoy and learn something new more in addition the "making money", something hidden behind the game. Indeed, when I focus on something above "making money" ,which in the past helped me many times to reduce the risk of lost. Just share my experience. Best to you to have great trades!

 

Well, an approach where you focus on some particular trading point is already incorrect. My trading analysis consist of several factors - price, market history, trader's general sentiments, money management, my broker Hotforex trading conditions (spreads, slippage, etc.) Seeing only money in the field of sight is the direct way to losses.

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    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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