03-17-2009, 08:41 PM
|
#1 |
Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: Phoenix Thanks: 61
Thanked 180 Times in 88 Posts
| Statistics Ray and James were recently discussing time and price windows, http://tradingsuccess.com/blog/cycle...sp-ii-873.html
Ray calculates the price and time changes of impulsive and corrective swings and uses these stats to: - estimate where a correction might end
- determine how overbought or oversold a move is
I have a couple of questions on how to distinguish between impulsive and corrective swings. In the first attachment are Barros swings of the SP500. The blue lines are the 5d and and green ones are the next higher time frame, the 18d. If we are calculating the stats for the 5d then the impulsive waves are in the direction of the 18d line and the corrective waves are counter to it. There are a couple of exceptions. If the 5d line is totally covered by the 18d line (7-8) then that line is excluded because it is a higher time frame swing. The second chart has the second exception. If a swing in the direction of the higher time frame line is followed by acceptance back beyond the top or bottom 1/8th of the prior swing extreme, then the swing is counted as corrective, even though it's in the direction of the trend. Swing CD is corrective.
I'm not sure about about GH because it's a small swing that fits the above corrective criteria. Are the last swings always impulsive?
And in the 3rd attachment is AA-BB impulsive? There's a large retracement and it is part of a 5d range. Thanks. |
| |