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| | #1 | ||
| Status: Super Moderator Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Tokyo Posts: 3,618 Thanks: 545
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Blog Entries: 4 | S3 to R3: Two important pivots The S3 and R3 pivot are terrific pivot points to fade. I will take them 100% of the time. Of course trading is a game of probabilities but fading these two pivots offer a high probability trading opportunity. Price will remain between these two pivots 80% - 85% of the time The chart picture tells it all.
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| | #2 | ||
![]() | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots Quote:
James, What else do you look at at these points? Divergence of MACD for example? | ||
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| | #3 | ||
| Status: Super Moderator Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Tokyo Posts: 3,618 Thanks: 545
Thanked 1,346 Times in 484 Posts
Blog Entries: 4 | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots I dont use any indicators for my trading. I use a MP chart, tape, and a bunch of market internal tools: TICK, TRIN, PC ratio, and premium. I'm a simple S&R trader that identifies key levels using market profile, pivot points, and pivot clusters. I then use the market internal tools to judge if price is going to hold or fold and use the tape to time my entries. Nothing fancy here... I prefer to keep it simple.
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| | #4 | ||
![]() | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots Quote:
Isn't anything you use an indicator? Maybe not a traditional indicator. | ||
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| | #5 | ||
| Status: Super Moderator Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Tokyo Posts: 3,618 Thanks: 545
Thanked 1,346 Times in 484 Posts
Blog Entries: 4 | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots Quote:
Divergence simple? Can you elaborate on that. I dont use any indicators to trade off like looking for price and indicator divergence, MACD crosses, etc... I use market internals but I like to consider them more of a tool than an indicator. They just help me decide whether to short, long, or stay flat. All my trades are done at S&R levels using price and tape.
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| | #6 | ||
![]() | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots Quote:
Sorry for the late response here but I have thought about your response and it answers my question previously. Dr. | ||
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| | #7 | ||
![]() | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots Quote:
Interesting. Here's my take. First, it should be noted that you do not use the "traditional" S3 and R3 levels. Nor do I. I found the "traditional levels to be a bit far away and the levels produced similar to your way to be too close. Therefore, I use M3 (midpoint of the two) for my S3 and R3 levels. Pivot points are what I call inferred support/resistance. That is, these lines are not generally placed in areas where price was previously supported or resisted. They are based on the mathematical phenomenon of "regression to the mean". That is of course, couple with "self fulfilling prophecy" as so many traders use them. From the perspective, S3 and S4 are key levels; the further one gets from the mean, the likely price is to stall/regress back towards it. Check out the chart below. The black arrows on the 30 min point to two Up-thrusts (VSA term) that occur at R3. These same points can be seen on the 10 min. They are also up-thrusts on the 10. Because the end-game is reading the chart, not all up-thrusts have a small red arrow above. Here, only the second one on the 10 does. An up-thrust is a money making opportunity for the Professional Money. They drive prices up to encourage new longs and to scare out early shorts. Price then closes on or near the low of the bars, which is the direction price is actually headed-lower. Last edited by Anonymous; 01-23-2007 at 10:51 PM. | ||
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| | #8 | ||
![]() | Re: S3 to R3: Two important pivots Last edited by Anonymous; 02-07-2008 at 08:41 AM. | ||
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