[pipsaholic]

Hi,

Is it possible to know divergance through pure price action without using any indicators?

Thanks.

[zdo]

... that is an excellent stupid question (if I understand it correctly) …

After considerable screentime and experience with simultatneous price charts and (any) oscillator, one can develop an eye for which retracement angles and durations will almost inevitably result in standard ‘divergence’ btwn price extent and indicator extent on the next ‘with trend’ thrust…
...ie and more generally, the formation (or not) of divergences of all types is literally in the math of the oscillator…
...can further the discovery of strengths and weaknesses of a particular oscillator and its parameters and also help with understanding the potential and limitations of conventional ‘stochastics’ processes in trading in general. hth

[BlueHorseshoe]

Originally Posted by pipsaholic »

Hi,

Is it possible to know divergance through pure price action without using any indicators?

Thanks.

Not really. Divergence must always be between two things, ie one is 'diverging' from the other. If you were just looking at price but no metric, then what could the price be divergin from. The prices of two seperate markets can, of course, diverge from each other, although 'divergence' probably isn't the term that would be used in that instance.

Having said that, it may be possible to estimate what the reading of an indicator would be, and to identify where divergence is most likely occuring that way. I can't see why you'd want to do this though - surely it would always be easier and more reliable just to use the indicator?

[phantom]

Originally Posted by BlueHorseshoe »

Not really. Divergence must always be between two things, ie one is 'diverging' from the other. If you were just looking at price but no metric, then what could the price be divergin from. The prices of two seperate markets can, of course, diverge from each other, although 'divergence' probably isn't the term that would be used in that instance.

Having said that, it may be possible to estimate what the reading of an indicator would be, and to identify where divergence is most likely occuring that way. I can't see why you'd want to do this though - surely it would always be easier and more reliable just to use the indicator?

BTW, BlueHorseShoe loves Anacott Steel.

[mitsubishi]

Originally Posted by phantom »

BTW, BlueHorseShoe loves Anacott Steel.

Thanks I knew BHS was from something,just couldn't remember what it was

[BlueHorseshoe]

Originally Posted by mitsubishi »

Thanks I knew BHS was from something,just couldn't remember what it was

Ha! I've been signed up to TL for nearly a month now but nobody has made that remark yet! I was very suprised when I registered that the name hadn't already been taken.

[Kiwi]

1. Can someone correct the spelling of this thread's title? It's embarrassing.

2. Of course you can perceive divergence without an indicator. Divergence is typically between some so called measure of strength or acceleration and price. So, if you can see price and mentally differentiate it then you can see divergence. Just look for more bars to get the same price difference for macd/rsi and pay a bit of attention to closes at the highs (up = strong) for stoch divergence..

[mitsubishi]

Originally Posted by pipsaholic »

Hi,

Is it possible to know divergance through pure price action without using any indicators?

Thanks.

Been thinking on this question.I like the fact that you are looking for something outside the box,even if it leads nowhere.Keep doing that and you may surprise yourself.
The only thing that is in the ball park that occurs to me (if i'm guessing correctly that you are looking for signs of strength/weakness purely based on price) is maybe looking at a simple idea of measuring rallies/declines.How many points in a rally compared with points in a decline.Measuring the length of time in a rally compared to time in a decline.Maybe run 2 or more time frames say,daily and hourly and see if you can spot patterns that give probability plays.Or maybe the angle of a trend- steeper or more shallow than the previous trend?
The other thing that occurred was maybe divergence btw indicies say dax/ftse where one is slightly stronger ,so sell the stronger buy the weaker type idea.Never researched or done any of that type of trading myself,just thinking out loud on these ideas.
Main point though is don't be afraid to ask yourself "stupid" type questions,because sometimes,one thing leads to another..........