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| | #1 | ||
![]() | Australian Stock Babcock & Brown Killed Ouch. (Disclaimer, I am now long in stock/CFDs since the close Friday 13th). Personally, I couldn't ignore this as a trade. At 5.25, we should at least test the IPO price (from 4 years ago!) at 7.60, which would be around a 40% gain. You're maximum risk is that the company goes bankrupt (5.25 at the close on Friday). Unless someone is hiding something seriously big (never underestimate that possibility), but I think it's a little unlikely. It's likely there was a severe overreaction as nearly everyone on a margin-loan who owned shares would have been squeezed out once we took out the IPO price from 4 years ago. Worth having a look at. I'll post the updated charts over the next few weeks. | ||
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| | #2 | ||
![]() | Re: Australian Stock Babcock & Brown Killed Sold out 80% position on the gap fill, got filled @ 6.90. Why 80%? Magic risk-free number. Assuming 100 shares: 100% * 5.25 = (525) - Initial Purchase 75% * 6.9 = +517 - Profit taking. 25% * 0 = +0 - Worst case scenario company goes bankrupt. Net Result = -7.5 At 80%: 100% * 5.25 = (525) 80% * 6.9 = +552 20% * 0 = +0 Net Result = +27. Now in the position where the last 20% can go to zero, and I still come out on top. I don't do many stock trades, but when an opportunity knocks, worth taking I think . . Cheers | ||
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