Welcome to the Traders Laboratory Forums.
Stock Trading Laboratory Stock traders discuss your trading here

Reply
Old 08-27-2011, 02:35 PM   #1

Do Or Die's Avatar

Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 403
Ignore this user

Thanks: 133
Thanked 173 Times in 91 Posts

Smile Stocks Model

Beginners can post here any list of stocks for which they want overview. Members who have contributed openly in the forum can give suggestions.
__________________
Fear none, frighten none.
-My Best Contribution So Far
-Open Source Trading Platforms (Master List)
Do Or Die is offline  
Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to Do Or Die For This Useful Post:
mtminvst (09-30-2011)
Old 08-27-2011, 02:40 PM   #2

Do Or Die's Avatar

Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 403
Ignore this user

Thanks: 133
Thanked 173 Times in 91 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

I can suggest for mid-term trading, my relevant threads are:
__________________
Fear none, frighten none.
-My Best Contribution So Far
-Open Source Trading Platforms (Master List)
Do Or Die is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-28-2011, 01:11 AM   #3

Do Or Die's Avatar

Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 403
Ignore this user

Thanks: 133
Thanked 173 Times in 91 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

Question like these will fit well in this thread

I Think I Made a Rookie Mistake....Help?

Am I Doing This Right?

Seasonality and Reversals Off of Ytd Lows
__________________
Fear none, frighten none.
-My Best Contribution So Far
-Open Source Trading Platforms (Master List)
Do Or Die is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-29-2011, 11:31 PM   #4

Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: vancouver
Posts: 33
Ignore this user

Thanks: 7
Thanked 12 Times in 9 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

An August update re: Seasonality and reversals off of ytd lows:

As this project developes in it's rudimentry form, i am looking for improving upon
it's profit and loss results.My basic parameters are:

1 Liquid traders having retrenched 40% from their last 90 day highs and near their ytd low
2. Separate into 3 groups: 0-99, 1.00-1.99, 2.00-3.99
3. Define reversal as 2 upticking sessions(higher closing price) confirmed in the third day
by either opening or at sometime during that seesion trading through the second days
close.
4. A trade is 1.5% of account
5. Stop loss set immediately 10% under entry.
6 .Half of position open sell 25% above entry

My 0-.99 list:

ANO in .63 current .63
ASTI .72/.98
CHLN .99/1.03
CYCC .81/.83
DSTI .30/.30
NBY .86/.92
NTWK .89/.93
GRO .77/1.10

there were 6 positions stopped out.

My 1.00-1.99 positions are:

BIOD 1.15/1.22
BZH 1.63/1.98
CHINA 1.30/1.33
COMV 1.72/2.29
CSUN 1.23/1.33
CLWR 1.72/2.81
CPST 1.20/1.20
FCEL 1.16/1.23
FREE 1.21/1.18
DRL 1.50/1.59
EGLE 1.87/1.97
GU 1.88/1.71
HW 1.91/2.18
HILL 1.69/1.83
MOVE 1.52/1.67
NLST 1.42/1.73
SYNM 1.12/1.20
SMSI 1.87/1.88
SOMX 1.00/.98
SPIR 1.50/2.11
SATC 1.09/1.15
SNSS 1.40/1.50

There were 7 stopped out positions

The list for 2.00-3.99

AVNR 2.73/3.00
BTN 3.65/3.95
CMFO 2.12/2.31
CCRT 2.63/3.08
CRDC 2.42/2.37
CMFO 2.12/2.31
FLOW 2.63/2.83
DLGC 3.10/3.11
FCH 2.75/2.75
FVE 3.35/3.19
FBN 2.63/2.70
JRJC 2.80/2.85
KIPS 2.30/3.08
QTWW 3.05/3.23
RDNT 2.63/2.71
ZA 2.77/2.87

There were 3 stopped out positions.

The recent volatility has me wondering about original stops and whether they should be
increased. Also, should they be different within the sub groups.

From July's candidates there were some staggering upside moves quickly
ABAT, IRE, KNDI, NFEC, SCEI, VALV, GBE, GRO, CCRT, NEWN, USBI

Capturing these high flyers with trailing stop profit orders ensured a tidy profit overall.
It seems reasonable that off of ytd lows there will be more of the same notwithstanding
a meltdown.I've noticed that the larger the retracement the better the results,so that is
another filter to maybe recalibrate.

This work in progress has some features I'm sure are flawed and I would like others
with a greater understanding to comment on the pros if there are any and the cons which which I'm sure there are many :-)

New positions made today;

DYAX 1.42
EDAP 2.30
LLEN 3.45
PM .26
SPMD 2.24
TSPT 2.84I

I must say I enjoy getting long near the bottom with a HINT of a possible reversal.
cash123 is offline  
Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to cash123 For This Useful Post:
Do Or Die (08-30-2011)
Old 08-30-2011, 08:39 PM   #5

Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: vancouver
Posts: 33
Ignore this user

Thanks: 7
Thanked 12 Times in 9 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

GU got stopped out

New positions entered

AMCF 1.40
BBND 1.43
CHRS 3.06
GMR .40
JASO 3.79
ZN 2.92

yesterday's PM should read PMI

Last edited by cash123; 08-30-2011 at 08:46 PM.
cash123 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-31-2011, 09:02 AM   #6

Do Or Die's Avatar

Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 403
Ignore this user

Thanks: 133
Thanked 173 Times in 91 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

When I first saw you post about penny stocks I though that its usual gambling in which beginners are tempted.

But I must admit the model is impressive. I never really traded in penny stocks and its good to read your posts.
__________________
Fear none, frighten none.
-My Best Contribution So Far
-Open Source Trading Platforms (Master List)
Do Or Die is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 09-01-2011, 07:24 AM   #7

Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: vancouver
Posts: 33
Ignore this user

Thanks: 7
Thanked 12 Times in 9 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

August's closing numbers;

0-.99
ANO .63 / .68......+7.9%
ASTI .72 / .94......+30%
CHLN .99 / 1.01 ...+2.0%
CYCC .81 / .84 ....+3.7%
DSTI .30 / .29 ....-3.3%
GMR .40 / .40......0%
PMI .26 / .26......0%
NBY .86 / .91......+5.8%
NTWK .89 / .90......+1.1%
GRO .77 / 1.21.....+57.1%

6 positions stopped out

1.00-1.99
AMCF 1.40 / 1.55....+10.7%
BBND 1.43 / 1.43........0%
BIOD 1.15 / 1.24......+7.8%
BZR 1.63 / 2.11......+29.4%
CHINA 1.30 / 1.32.....+1.5%
COMV 1.72 / 2.43.....+41.2%
CSUN 1.23 / 1.22..... -.08%
CLWR 1.72 / 3.21.....+86.6%
CPST 1.20 / 1.20........0%
FCEL 1.16 / 1.18.....+1.7%
FREE 1.21 / 1.23......+1.6%
DYAX 1.42 / 1.49......+4.9%
DRL 1.50 / 1.63.....+8.6%
EGLE 1.87 / 1.94......+3.7%
HW 1.91 / 2.15......+12.5%
HILL 1.69 / 1.76......+4.1%
MOVE 1.52 / 1.81.....+19.0%
NLST 1.42 / 1.80.....+26.7%
SYNM 1.12 / 1.20......+7.1%
SMSI 1.87 / 1.89......+1.0%
SOMX 1.00 / 1.00........ 0%
SPIR 1.50 / 2.30......+53.3%
SATC 1.09 / 1.33......+22.0%
SNSS 1.40 / 1.55.....+10.7%

there were 8 stopped out

2.00-3.99

AVNR 2.73 / 2.85......+6.9%
BTN 3.65 / 3.86......+5.7%
CMFO 2.12 / 2.20.......+3.7%
CCRT 2.63 / 3.20.......+21.6%
CHRS 3.04 / 3.17........+4.2%
CRDC 2.42 / 2.28........-5.7%
FLOW 2.63 / 2.55........-3.0%
DLGC 3.10 / 2.79.........-10% stopped out
EDAP 2.30 / 2.21.........-3.9%
FCH 2.75 / 3.43........+24.7%
FVE 3.35 / 3.25.........-2.9%
FBN 2.63 / 2.81.........+6.8%
JASO 3.79 / 3.67.........-3.1%
JRJC 2.80 / 2.78.........-.07%
KIPS 2.30 / 3.20.........+39.1%
LLEN 3.45 / 3.50.........+1.4%
QTWW 3.05 / 3.31.........+8.5%
SPMD 2.24 / 2.12.........-5.3%
TSPT 2.84 / 3.24..........+14%
RDNT 2.63 / 3.00..........+14.0%
ZA 2.77 / 3.01..........+8.6%
ZN 2.92 / 2.82..........-3.4%

there were 4 stopped out positions including DLGC

The sub group 0-.99 was by far the worst performers with 6 of 16 being stopped out.
They will be eliminated henceforth.

the middle group 1.00 - 1.99 had 8 out of 32 stopped out...that's doable
The last group was the most promising 2.00-3.99 had only 4 of 25 stopped out.

Since the stopped out positions represent a loss of .15% of the account
a few high flyers managed with trailing stops should suffice.Once the +25%
threshold has been met the trailing stops are placed 10% under that days close.

Positions entered today start Septembers list

ANX 1.08
CNTF 2.68
EEE 1.13
EXM 2.02
ECTY 2.20
MCOX 1.95
NFEC 1.12
NEWN 2.26
SCEI 1.53
VALV 2.13

Last edited by cash123; 09-01-2011 at 07:48 AM.
cash123 is offline  
Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to cash123 For This Useful Post:
Do Or Die (09-01-2011)
Old 09-29-2011, 11:48 AM   #8

Do Or Die's Avatar

Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 403
Ignore this user

Thanks: 133
Thanked 173 Times in 91 Posts

Re: Stocks Model

Time to short AAPL? anyone else tracking this stock?
__________________
Fear none, frighten none.
-My Best Contribution So Far
-Open Source Trading Platforms (Master List)
Do Or Die is offline  
Reply With Quote

Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes Help Others By Rating This Thread
Help Others By Rating This Thread:


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Stocks nagarjuna Stock Trading Laboratory 3 01-28-2012 12:10 AM
How Many Stocks Should I Be Looking at Colenelsteve Beginners Forum 18 03-03-2011 11:09 AM
Basic Economic Theory Model to Explain the Volume and Price Relationship zkreso Technical Analysis 4 07-12-2009 10:14 AM
Best Brooker for Stocks aerosol Brokers and Data Feeds 0 12-06-2008 04:58 AM
Forex Model and Stats Thoth Forex Trading Laboratory 6 08-02-2007 06:50 PM

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:11 PM.
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
CS to VB integration by DeskLancer
©2006-2011 Traders Laboratory, All Rights Reserved.