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Old 11-09-2010, 11:51 AM   #1

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Price Discovery

I don't really know a lot about price discovery and auction market theory, but i really want to learn about it. From what i understand is that price is always moving until it can find two-sided trading. It will test level after level to find it. I plan on posting charts in here starting tonight. I appreciate all the help i can get from experienced traders. Thanks.
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Old 11-09-2010, 10:00 PM   #2

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Re: Price Discovery

What levels will price test? most accepted and most rejected areas of the past daily profiles would seem likely, just because they are the most obvious ones. so here is a chart with the most accepted and most rejected prices from monday's regular hours trading sessions. i see that price goes from one level to the next, but i don't know why... there must be a simple way to state what is happening. can someone give me some input? thanks.
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Old 11-09-2010, 10:14 PM   #3

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Re: Price Discovery

Levels for tomorrow's trading. Plotted the most impressive ones, but some high volume levels are not plotted and could stop price i guess, so i have to keep an eye on them.
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Old 11-09-2010, 11:37 PM   #4

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Re: Price Discovery

It has always amazed me over the years of trading and observing how often markets reverse, pause, oscillate around these various key levels. Obviously there's a massive group think/psychology at work. Meaning hundreds/thousands (?) of other people trading the market have marked the same levels or close -- and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

It's why still to this day I'm paranoid about entering just ahead of big round numbers, or other key numbers in the markets I trade because still, despite all the thousands of trades running across they still respect them.

Of course, they all eventually break - in seconds, in minutes, in days -- but there's definitely opportunity working around them.

I'll look forward to seeing more from you.
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Old 11-10-2010, 09:00 AM   #5
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Re: Price Discovery

Increase your timeframe and observe longer term (more reliable) references. These are the references where multiple timeframes get involved, not just day traders. Translation: Bigger Opportunities.
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Old 11-11-2010, 12:22 PM   #6

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Re: Price Discovery

Thanks for starting this topic. I am trying to learn Auction Market Theory as well, so I cannot add much right now.
I am reading Auction Market Theory now as an introduction and to better understand it.
I look forward to posts in this thread and will add if and when I feel I have something useful to contribute.
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Old 11-11-2010, 06:34 PM   #7

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Re: Price Discovery

I'm not seeing much reliability in the day timeframe's levels. I don't know what i'm missing or what... i can't figure it out. maybe i should look for price areas that are more important to the longer-term traders who actually drive the market... but how? finding volume levels based on a time period doesn't seem right... anyone have any suggestions? thanks.
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Old 11-11-2010, 10:18 PM   #8

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Re: Price Discovery

the time frame to look at is days of overlapping value. the nodes with the most volume are your s\r areas.
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