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Poll: Probability of DJIA having gone near 20,000 by 01/01/09
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Probability of DJIA having gone near 20,000 by 01/01/09

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Old 10-23-2008, 03:02 PM   #1
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DJIA Near 2000

Would you be surprised if the Dow ran up to near 20,000 within the next 14 months?

Last edited by zdo; 10-23-2008 at 03:11 PM.
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Old 10-23-2008, 04:20 PM   #2

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Re: DJIA Near 2000

It wouldn't surprise me. But I think it's unrealistic to think such a big index could more than double in value in such a short time frame.
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Old 10-31-2008, 05:36 AM   #3

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Re: DJIA Near 2000

Your poll is skewed mate, it has 0% on one side and highly improbable on the other.
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Old 10-31-2008, 08:28 AM   #4
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Re: DJIA Near 2000

I would strongly suspect extreme market manipulation if it did. It certainly wouldn't reflect the real-term value of the underlying companies, or the strength of the economy.

Do you mean 2000 or 20,000. You include both numbers
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Old 11-05-2008, 12:45 PM   #5
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Re: DJIA Near 2000

This is a messed up poll no doubt
Yes the 2000 in the title should be 20000
and the date in the poll should be 1/1/10
and BlowFish as far as skewed goes - highly probable!
This poll deserves labels like skewed, eclectic, elliptic, eccentric and ...


Nov 5, 08 %'s
61 no way
28
11
0 highly probable
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Old 02-04-2009, 11:56 AM   #6

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Re: DJIA Near 2000

The S&P 500 has rarely moved 50% higher year-to-year and never more than that. Based on that alone, a 100% up move in the DJIA is highly improbable.
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