[zdo]

Would you be surprised if the Dow ran up to near 20,000 within the next 14 months?

[james_gsx]

It wouldn't surprise me. But I think it's unrealistic to think such a big index could more than double in value in such a short time frame.

[BlowFish]

Your poll is skewed mate, it has 0% on one side and highly improbable on the other.

[JT1]

I would strongly suspect extreme market manipulation if it did. It certainly wouldn't reflect the real-term value of the underlying companies, or the strength of the economy.

Do you mean 2000 or 20,000. You include both numbers

[zdo]

This is a messed up poll no doubt
Yes the 2000 in the title should be 20000
and the date in the poll should be 1/1/10
and BlowFish as far as skewed goes - highly probable!
This poll deserves labels like skewed, eclectic, elliptic, eccentric and ...


Nov 5, 08 %'s
61 no way
28
11
0 highly probable

[Dacamic]

The S&P 500 has rarely moved 50% higher year-to-year and never more than that. Based on that alone, a 100% up move in the DJIA is highly improbable.