Welcome to the Traders Laboratory Forums.
Market Analysis Forum dedicated to fundamental outlook, intermarket analysis, and marco & micro analysis.

Reply
Old 08-26-2007, 12:11 PM   #1

brownsfan019's Avatar

Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: USA
Posts: 4,255
Ignore this user

Thanks: 1,912
Thanked 1,789 Times in 895 Posts

Mortgage crisis in the US...

I'm sure everyone has read about the mortgage 'crisis' that is hitting the US, but I take a step back and say 'no kidding!'.

Allow me to explain...

About 3-4 yrs ago I purchased the house I currently live in. Interest rates were so incredibly low, it was great. IF YOU HAD A BRAIN. Low teaser rates were advertised EVERYWHERE - tv, radio, internet, etc. - with these low teaser rates that common sense would tell you could not stay that low. I remember seeing ads for 2%. TWO PERCENT.

Now, anyone with a little common sense SHOULD have thought... wow, great rate, but WHAT'S THE CATCH? Well, the catch, as we all now see is that these rates are skyrocketing on people.

Here's the gotcha - people were taking loans with monthly payments that they could barely afford at the TEASER rate. Now, with everything that is going on in the mortgage biz, people are freaking out.

I bring this up, b/c the local paper here in Cleveland finally ran a story on it. It was FRONT PAGE. Here's the link to the story - http://blog.cleveland.com/plaindeale...hits_home.html

I just sit here and think... what did you people think? Your rate was going to stay at 2% or 3% for the life of the loan? Give me a break. The paper is trying to play this up like it's the mortgage co's fault, and while they are to blame as well, there is some accountability needed here. If you get a teaser rate, whether it's a credit card or home loan, you need to read the fine print. End of story.

Anyways, looks like there will be some nice home bargains in the Cleveland area soon.
brownsfan019 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-26-2007, 12:14 PM   #2

Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: FL
Posts: 901
Ignore this user

Thanks: 0
Thanked 6 Times in 5 Posts

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

Yep.

That is why one should generally make it a practice to actually read a contract in a business transaction involving hundreds of thousands of dollars.

I hate when people try to seek someone to blame for them being an idiot.

Everyone makes mistakes, and when you do, it's YOUR OWN FAULT.
__________________
Think before you speak...we'll both know more that way
Reaver is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-26-2007, 01:09 PM   #3

brownsfan019's Avatar

Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: USA
Posts: 4,255
Ignore this user

Thanks: 1,912
Thanked 1,789 Times in 895 Posts

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

Unfortunately Nate, it's much easier to just point the finger at someone else.
brownsfan019 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-26-2007, 01:39 PM   #4

Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 177
Ignore this user

Thanks: 0
Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

Brown....i'm curious about this situation in the states right now. Are home values actually going down? Or is this mainly a problem with the mortage companies. I wonder if this problem would spill over into the Canadian real estate market.
The Bear is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-26-2007, 01:42 PM   #5

Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: FL
Posts: 901
Ignore this user

Thanks: 0
Thanked 6 Times in 5 Posts

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

Quote:
Originally Posted by brownsfan019 »
Unfortunately Nate, it's much easier to just point the finger at someone else.
Yeah you're right about that.

It is the same mentality that allows one to break into someone else's home and get attacked by their dog and sue for damages....and win....

The victim mentality/entitlement complex runs rampant these days.

:frustrating:
__________________
Think before you speak...we'll both know more that way
Reaver is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-26-2007, 11:00 PM   #6

brownsfan019's Avatar

Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: USA
Posts: 4,255
Ignore this user

Thanks: 1,912
Thanked 1,789 Times in 895 Posts

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Bear »
Brown....i'm curious about this situation in the states right now. Are home values actually going down? Or is this mainly a problem with the mortage companies. I wonder if this problem would spill over into the Canadian real estate market.
Bear,
The biggest issue right now is people's mortgage payments going up more than they anticipated (or even considered to begin with) and now their payments are going up more than they can handle. Property values are suffering as a result since now is a 'buyers market'.

It's an interesting situation to say the least and will be a good one to watch going forward. Some in gov't are calling for the federal gov't to step in and stop this mess from getting worse. I'm not sure what they can do to fix this, but it's bad.

Time will tell.
brownsfan019 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-27-2007, 08:00 AM   #7

Soultrader's Avatar

Status: Super Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Tokyo
Posts: 3,623
Ignore this user

Thanks: 545
Thanked 1,371 Times in 492 Posts
Blog Entries: 4

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

Hi browns,

How exactly does this work when mortage rates are going up for home buyers. Was the 2% not a fixed rate but an interest rate adjusted floating rate? Was there any deals at that time when mortage rates were fixed?

I know a few people straight out of college about 2.5 years ago who purchased a home in Chicago on a 30 year loan. Im curious to know what happened to buyers like them.
__________________

Soultrader is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 08-27-2007, 09:46 AM   #8

brownsfan019's Avatar

Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: USA
Posts: 4,255
Ignore this user

Thanks: 1,912
Thanked 1,789 Times in 895 Posts

Re: Mortgage crisis in the US...

James,
Most of these buyers received a 'teaser rate' - a very low rate that was set for a short period of time (usually no more than 5 years) and after that teaser rate was adjusted 'accordingly'. Well, if you got a 2% rate, I can pretty much guess which way that rate is going when it needs to 'adjust', right? And these adjustments are causing people to be late on the mortgage or just unable to meet the new payment period. Which of course then leads to foreclosures and the domino effect from there that we are seeing now.

Most of these mortgages here are referred to as a ARM - Adjustable Rate Mortgage. Even in the name of the loan it tells you what may happen.
brownsfan019 is offline  
Reply With Quote

Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes Help Others By Rating This Thread
Help Others By Rating This Thread:


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:34 PM.
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
CS to VB integration by DeskLancer
©2006-2011 Traders Laboratory, All Rights Reserved.