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![]() Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada Posts: 227 Thanks: 1
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| Where's the volume??? It took me a while to understand the importance of volume and the meaning of this important indicator. What's everyone's take on volume? besides the text book answer of: price up, volume up = good price up, volume lower = caution etc. | ||
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| The Following User Says Thank You to wsam29 For This Useful Post: | ||
vking27 (04-26-2011) | ||
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![]() | Re: Where's the volume??? Volume Churn = Volume / Range Volume Climax = Volume x Range BT Emini Futures Trading Every Day | Emini-Watch.com | ||
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![]() | Re: Where's the volume??? That's how I interpret it.
__________________ "Today is not my day, but it'll be my week." Last edited by torero; 01-29-2007 at 07:52 AM. | ||
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| | #4 | ||
| Status: Super Moderator Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Tokyo Posts: 3,618 Thanks: 545
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Blog Entries: 4 | Re: Where's the volume??? If Im long a position, I like to take profits at a climatic candle. The tall green bars with alot of contracts being bought at the ask. To me this indicates a volume spike or a short term euphoric stage. I tend to be a little more careful on the short side... price doenst stall as much during a decline.
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| | #5 | ||
![]() | Re: Where's the volume??? Quote:
Volume Churn= Bill Williams' squat. Short hand definition, according to Bill, a bar with a lesser range than the previous bar and Higher volume than previous bar. This is the definition I use. Actual technical definition is mfi less previous range and volume greater. These are telling bars. Bill's story, however, is not correct. The range is held narrow because the market makers, who can see both sides of the market, see large orders on one side of the market , for example buy orders. They know that these orders are from the Professional operators. Thus their perception of value is higher so they are willing to keep the range narrow as they sell to the herd. The unsuspecting members of the herd think they are getting a good fill on their orders, which they are. But it is because of a large supply of buy orders on the other side; and that large amount of buy orders is coming from the Smart Money-the ones who tend to be buying bottoms and selling tops. Markets move because of imbalances of supply and demand. In particular the supply and demand coming from the professional operator, or Smart Money. BT-nice site. Would love to see some more posts and charts. I have a thread on another site where I do about 99% of the posting, which is why I have not opened a volume/price thread here: I DONT WANT TO BE THE ONLY ONE POSTING. Nothing would make me happier than an interactive thread on all things volume here on the best forum. | ||
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vking27 (04-26-2011) | ||
| | #6 | ||
| Status: Super Moderator Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Tokyo Posts: 3,618 Thanks: 545
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Blog Entries: 4 | Re: Where's the volume??? I attached an interesting chart from today. Notice the double top test at the R1 pivot line indicated by the green line. Notice the double top was on less volume. I personally use a TICK chart and read tape but.... a few trading buddies on mine love seeing double, triple tops with less volume. What are your thoughts on this? Thanks
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![]() | Re: Where's the volume??? When one understands price and volume, the message of the markets becomes so much more clear. On the left side. Here we see price as the market trades on Sunday into Monday. The black arrows point to Squat bars (volume churn). The small green arrows underneath some bars are No Supply bars. The red arrow points to a No Demand bar. Okay, let's tell a story: The market is trading below the narrow Value Area (t). As price trades lower it is meet with Demand (buying) at certain points. What is happening, is that there is Accumulation going on. The Professional Money is slowly, and quietly soaking up the supply in the market. This leads prices to rise up a bit to the middle of the Value Area (t). However, when price gets there we see No Demand. At that time, the Pros are still not interested in higher prices. (as we are only looking at the 10 min, we can not see that there have been NO signs of either supply or demand on the 30. Hence there is not the background strength that seems to be on the 10). Notice that price falls back down after the No demand bar. Price falls back under the Value Area(t), which is actually a cluster pivot zone in this example. Now note that price does not fall as low as it had just recently been. At the low, we get a No Supply bar. There are no sellers underneath this price. The Smart Money has soaked up the supply at these levels. With no supply in the market, price starts to head upwards. Note that the range of the bars starts to widen and volume picks up as price makes an attempt to get above the cluster zone. Price gets above it. Now we see our first red dot. This is a squat (volume churn) bar. Some of the Professional operators are selling (taking profits) at this level. But what is more likely, is that some retail traders that bought on Friday are trying to sell back at break even today. Check out the time, we are now into the open of the London session, so more players of all sizes are in the market. The bar that can barely be seen on the left, is the first bar on the right hand chart. So price does fall but finds support at the cluster zone. Resistance becomes support. The first red dot shows that there was more supply (selling) entering the market in this bar. Many people would see this up bar on higher volume as bullish. But it is not. If it were bullish, then the next bar would not be down. So this new supply cause price to fall. Price falls all the way to under the cluster zone. THIS IS THE FIRST KEY BAR: price falls but we see a No Supply bar. Note that this bar does not go as low as price traded previously. If those previous bars did indeed represent Professional Money soaking up supply, then price should not return to those levels. All the selling at those levels should be done. Price heads right back over the Pivot Area. Now we see a couple more signs of supply entering the market. However, Price responds be moving sideways more so than down. Again, we are seeing Accumulation by the Smart Money. Stealthily, they are buying into any selling by the retail traders. The two green x's are there because there are actually signs of buying (green dots ) on these bars but they are slightly obscured by the cluster zone. So we can see some of the Professional demand at these levels. At this point on the 30, we get our fist signal of Professional activity in the form of buying. THE BAR WITH THE GREEN ARROW IS THE SECOND KEY. This is a 'test'. The Pros are testing for supply underneath the market. Again note that the low is at the same level as the previous No Supply bar and not as low as price traded in the earlier hours (left side). This bar trades lower, closes on or near its highs and has volume less than the previous two bars. The low volume tells us that they did not find any supply(sellers) there. Now prices are poised to go up. On the 30, 10 minutes later, we get a Shake-out. The Pros take prices down, before closing near the high in an attempt to bring in late shorts and take out early longs. The dark green line shows the first bar after we get the Shake-out on the higher timeframe. Note that there was some supply entering on the previous bar. However, this bar is narrow and the volume has dried up-less than the previous two and less than the moving average. Coupled with what we know about the 30 min chart, we now have background strength on both timeframes. We enter on the open of the next bar. Last edited by Anonymous; 02-07-2008 at 08:41 AM. | ||
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