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Showing content with the highest reputation on 09/24/18 in all areas

  1. 1 point
    zdo

    Gauge upcoming high volatility

    Have you looked at tweaking https://www.incrediblecharts.com/indicators/chaikin_volatility.php Basics = On charts: - statistically speaking, nothing has been found in markets that comes closer to following linear cycles than 'volatility' - statistically speaking, sideways ‘congestions’ are followed by ‘volatility’ - statistically speaking, narrowing ranges are followed by expanding ranges “statistically speaking” means these indications give no "gauge" / information about the size of next move or the risks involved... only that ‘activity’ typically follows ‘inactivity’ ie-with options, nothing (outside of astro) is reliably predictive of the variance of the next move... ie with buying options, you have to figure out a way to play all the major waves in order to be there for the outliers ie- hope you’re writing ‘insurance policies’ into screaming volatilty instead of buying them in dead volatility... who makes money ? the insurer or the bozo who buys policies left and right... took taleb years to figure that out and he’s a pretty smart cookie... sorry - off topic now.... and congestion time is due to end ... hth
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