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Old 04-11-2008, 09:20 PM   #1

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VSA : Crock or Not?

This thread has come about to enable discussion on the philosophy of VSA away from the VSA threads, which are venues more for application of VSA.

Those wanting to question the usefulness of VSA ideas/concepts have done so in the VSA threads, but the questioning has beome so persistent and no resolution appears in sight that this thread has been created to enable that disucssion to continue.

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Old 04-11-2008, 10:02 PM   #2
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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

Is VSA distinct from MP or part of it?

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Old 04-11-2008, 10:12 PM   #3
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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

Quote:
Originally Posted by forsearch »
Is VSA distinct from MP or part of it?

-fs
Totally distinct though then could be mixed just like any other styles used for the markets.
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Old 04-11-2008, 10:13 PM   #4

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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

Hi forsearch - have you checked out the MP posts on this website? There is heaps of info there on MP and I think once you have read started reading those the differences between MP and VSA will be much clearer?
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Old 04-11-2008, 10:43 PM   #5
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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

Quote:
Originally Posted by mcichocki_ »
Totally distinct though then could be mixed just like any other styles used for the markets.
OK, but, I'm also trying to understand the nuances of VSA that would lead the candlestick boys to trash your methodology.

Not that the nuances of candlesticks aren't subtle enough as it is, given that something may have been "lost in translation" by Nison, et al, from the original Japanese implementation.

Candlestick analysis with reference to the corresponding volume bar is what VSA is all about; traditional candlestick trading eschews any reading of volume, correct?

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Old 04-11-2008, 11:04 PM   #6

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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

Quote:
Originally Posted by forsearch »
Candlestick analysis with reference to the corresponding volume bar is what VSA is all about; traditional candlestick trading eschews any reading of volume, correct?

-fs
One small point, but important in Tom Williams' VSA, is that the OPEN value on any bar is not utilized (of course the OPEN defines one end of the body - if any - of a candle). Even the latest TradeGuider software rev. soft-pedals the alphanumeric display of the OPEN value.
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Old 04-12-2008, 06:40 AM   #7

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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

Guys, this is getting a little beyond a joke.

I don't want to create a long post, however I think problems come about from either misunderstanding or forgetting the core concepts types of analysis such as VSA are built on.

Markets have buyers, and sellers. They move in a direction when one exceeds the other.

Getting caught up on the nuances of the 'open' of a bar, etc. does not make any sense. Who cares.

Apologies if I sound a little blunt, but focusing on minor, insignificant details is what software advertising tends to do, trying to make you think it's important. This is designed for retail trades, who on net go broke. Avoid thinking like that.

For any valid type of analysis, often you can 'follow through' the reasoning of it, and get the same conclusions as you with another type of analysis.

An example scenario:

Market is falling.

Trader A suddenly sees huge bids waiting down in a correlated market. He buys the market, anticipating the implied demand from the other market, will send his market up.

Trader B sees that the market is about to hit XYZ moving average (insert: indicator name) and decides to buy.

Trader C sees that this bar was a widespread off the close with significantly above average volume. They buy.

Trader D sees that the market has hit a support level, and created a strong bullish hammer on above average volume. They buy.

Trader E sees a green light on his black box trading system, and buys.

End result = we all bought the market, for various reasons. Demand was there, for "whatever" reason - a candle, VSA, black box system, moving average, whatever, who cares - there was demand. The profitable trader bought it. The losing trader sold it.

All you want to do is be the trader who has 'some' way to identify those situations to profit more often than not.

Worthless types of analysis is generally when it can't be tied back to (real or implied) demand/supply in some way.
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Old 04-12-2008, 07:13 AM   #8

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Re: VSA : Crock or Not?

"Well, he said, the customers are bound to lose their money anyhow, no matter what they buy, or how or where or when. When they lose their money I lose the customers. Well, I might as well get as much of their money as I can and then look for a new crop." (38)


This is a total joke. Why are most traders such asses? VSA is not a crock. VSA is one way of forming a framework to understand price action. Its really just one mans interpretation and modification of Wyckoff's work. Is VSA any better than Wyckoff? Of course its not. Is VSA any better than Candlestick analysis or simple bar chart pattern recognition? Of course its not. Is technical analysis any better than fundamental analysis? Of course its not. Each is simply a framework that may allow you build an edge. Its seems most people are totally lost. They are still in search for the grail. Get on the right path and become a expert in just one method. If you want to read book that deals almost exclusively with that concept read Brett Steenbargers Enhancing Trader Performance and maybe you will finally get it.
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