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Old 10-08-2006, 01:18 PM   #1

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Where does energy price go?

As long as China, India and other large emerging markets continue with GDP at or above 9%, any temporarily decline in US energy consumption cannot stop oil (energy) prices to move up. The mathematics is rather simple: assume the shortfall in oil consumption in the United States (3%?), compare it with the increase consumption in China, India and others (10%?) and you see still an surplus in the world's demand for oil. In addition, the OPEC decision the cut production will have to create some pressure on prices. One should always consider that some minor/major catastrophes (hurricanes, international political issues etc.) may arise somewhere, and we will have an immediate correction to current oil prices.
Some oil/energy companies, therefore, seem to trade in attractive prices
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