| General Discussion Need to take a break? Talk politics, business, entertainment, etc... Anything goes! |
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![]() | Understanding Derivatives ![]() Understanding Derivatives > > > This is good. The lesson on "understanding derivatives", while contrived, > is delivered in a simple manner that virtually any person can grasp. Heidi > is a nice person who wishes to please her (non-paying) customers. The > clients (alcoholics) get their "fix". (Unpaid) credit sales increase. Heidi > is recognized by increasing (phantom) revenues and her lenders extend more > credit. Debt is perceived as collateral by the participating lenders, and > even more support is extended by creating bonds backed by this (phantom) > collateral. Bondholders are stuck with these highly rated but hollow > financial instruments, Then, the house of cards collapses, and the damage > extends far beyond the direct participants in this bizarre process. > > > > > Understanding Derivatives -- A Primer > > > > Heidi is the proprietor of a bar in Detroit. She realizes that virtually > all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer > afford to patronize her bar. To solve this problem, she comes up with a new > marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. > > > > Heidi keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the > customers' loans). Word gets around about Heidi's "drink now, pay later" > marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood > into Heidi's bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in > Detroit. > > > > By providing her customers freedom from immediate payment demands, Heidi > gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases > her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, > Heidi's gross sales volume increases massively. > > > > A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these > customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Heidi's > borrowing limit. He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the > debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral! > > At the bank's corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make > huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINK BONDS. > These "securities" then are bundled and traded on international securities > markets. > > > > Naive investors don't really understand that the securities being sold to > them as "AAA Secured Bonds" really are debts of unemployed alcoholics. > Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon > become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation's leading brokerage > houses. > > > > One day, even though the bond prices still are climbing, a risk manager at > the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on > the debts incurred by the drinkers at Heidi's bar. He so informs Heidi. > > > > Heidi then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed > alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts. Since Heidi cannot > fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy. The bar closes > and Heidi's 11 employees lose their jobs. > > > > Overnight, DRINK BOND prices drop by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value > destroys the bank's liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus > freezing credit and economic activity in the community. > > > > The suppliers of Heidi's bar had granted her generous payment extensions and > had invested their firms' pension funds in the BOND securities. They find > they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing > over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds. > > > > Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family > business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken > over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off > 150 workers. > > > > Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective > executives are saved and bailed out by a multibillion dollar no-strings > attached cash infusion from the government. The funds required for this > bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, > nondrinkers who have never been in Heidi's bar. > > > > Now do you understand? | ||
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