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    • all your algorithm are belong to us https://hackernoon.com/sundar-pichai-and-the-ethics-of-algorithms-7948226aa7f6
    • Date : 18th December 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th December 2018.



      FX News Today

      FX News Today The 20-year Treasury yields are down -1.3 bp at 2.814%, as the sell off in stock markets, continued during the Asian session. Topix and Nikkei are down -1.99% and -1.82% respectively. Dovish RBA minutes: No strong case for a change in monetary policy. China’s President Xi Jinping offered no fresh stimulus plans or a further opening of the economy in his keynote speech marking 40-years of Chinese reforms. Concern rises over the outlook for Chinese and World Growth amid ongoing trade tensions weighing on sentiment. US stock futures are slightly higher though as the Fed decision comes into view, with Powell expected to confirm that the central bank will switch from autopilot to data dependency on rate hikes after the widely expected move this week. USA500 closed at the lowest level in 14 months. Oil prices declined and the WTI future fell back to $48.93 per barrel, as risk of demand destruction hits prices. Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today German Ifo Business Climate – Expectations – To fall back to 101.7 from 102.0 in November, with the expectations reading, in particular, under pressure. The manufacturing sector is looking shaky again amid fresh challenges for the automobile sector, which continues to struggle with emissions standards and the lingering diesel scandal, which has considerably undermined confidence, especially in Germany where consumers are facing driving bans without compensation from producers. US housing starts – Expectations – They are estimated slipping 0.2% to a 1.225 mln pace in November, after a 1.5% gain to 1.228 mln in October. Canadian Manufacturing shipments – Expectations – They are expected to rise 0.5% in October after the 0.2% gain in September. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.

      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex

      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (December 17 - 21, 2018)          Here’s the market outlook for the week:   EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This is a bear market, although the bearishness is not that strong. Price has been going downwards gradually, targeting the support lines at 1.1300, 1.1250 and 1.1200. These targets may be reached soon, but price may not go seriously below them as a strong reversal is expected to happen anytime, which will accompany some form of weakness in USD. This is what might bring about a bullish bias.   USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USDCHF is bullish in the long-term, and neutral in the short-term. Nonetheless, looking more closely, it is revealed that price is a kind of rising gradually, and generating a “buy” signal, which would eventually become significant in case the market continues moving upwards. A meaningful bearish movement cannot be seen unless there is a considerable amount of loss on Greenback stamina.   GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish   There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the Cable as bears continue to frustrate bulls’ effort to reverse the trend and push price upwards. Apart from Brexit and political news surrounding the UK, the US dollar stamina is preventing the market from going upwards. Once bears give way, there may be a significant rise in the market. Right now, the bearish bias remains in place and long positions are not currently recommended.     USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This currency trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, and neutral in the short-term. The bullishness is not that great as there has not been a significant directional movement in the market. A rise in volatility remains a possibility before the end of this week or next week. Further movement to the upside will result in more emphasis on bullish outlook while a significant drop from here would result in a bearish outlook.   EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The bias on this cross is generally neutral, as there has not been a significant directional movement for the past several weeks. It is possible that this neutrality would continue until the end of this year because trading activity is expected to thin out (unless there is a breakout between this week or next). For the neutrality to end, price would need to go above the supply zone at 131.00 or below the demand zone at 125.00, and this will no doubt, require a strong bullish momentum.   GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish   There is a confirmed bearishness (Bearish Confirmation Pattern) on this cross, because of the weakness in GBP. This trend will continue until it is clear that things are no longer bearish. That will be this week or next, and before that happens, there could still be at least, a movement of about 200 pips towards the south.   This forecast is concluded with the quote below:   “However, if a trading strategy has been proven to work over the long run, with a quality risk to reward profile, it needs to be adhered to no matter the way trades play out. Ask yourself a question: is it the trading strategy producing the results or the trader producing the results?” – Sam Evans     Source: www.tallinex.com        
    • Weekly trading signals for major cryptos - DECEMBER 17th   Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Monero (XMR), Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), Stellar (XLM), EOS, Bitcoin SV (BCHSV), Tron (TRX), Litecoin (LTC) BTC/USD Dominant trend: Bearish
      Supply zone: $5000, $6000, $7000
      Demand zone: $2000, $1500, $1000   BTC/USD continues in a bearish trend in the long-term outlook. After breaking the predicted target at $3377 in the demand area of last week analysis on 13th December, the strong bearish pressure further pushed the cryptocurrency down to a new lower low at $3215 on 15th December ending the week in a bullish doji.   This suggests brief bullish pullback may be expected in the days ahead. The bears’ return may be around the 10-EMA, after exhaustion. Moreover, the price remains below the two EMAs, the stochastic oscillator is in the oversold region at 6%, and its signal points down. These suggest further downward movement in BTC/USD. $3000 in the demand area may be the bears targeted lower low.   ETH/USD Dominant trend: Bearish
      Supply zones: $250, $300, $350
      Demand zones: $50, $30, $10   The week just ended opened bullish on 9th December as ETH/USD was up at $102.50 in the supply area, but the bulls later lost momentum as the day closed as an inverted hammer. This was a signal that the bears were back. $85.94 was the initial low but increased momentum dropped ETH/USD down to $83.17 in the demand area on 15th December ending the week with a bullish hammer.   With a possible trend reversal, the bulls are gradually staging a return. ETH/USD was up at $91.46 in the supply area earlier today. Further upward movement was rejected by the 10-EMA which acted as a strong resistance. The bears still remain in control of the market and may return and push price further down south. With the price below the two EMAs and the stochastic oscillator signal at 8% in the oversold region, this suggests downward momentum. $50.00 in the demand area is still on the card as the trading week commences.   For more signals: https://www.cryptocomparer.com/news/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-btc-ethereum-eth-monero-xmr-ripple-xrp-cardano-ada-stellar-xlm-eos-bitcoin-sv-bchsv-tron-trx-litecoin-ltc-weekly-trading-signals-for-december-17th/
    • Date : 17th December 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 17th December 2018.



      The Economic week ahead

      Central bank meetings are the highlight, and include those of FOMC, BoE, BoJ, Bank Indonesia, Bank of Thailand, and Taiwan. Fed Chairman Powell is expected to play Santa Claus by delivering a 25 bp rate hike, wrapped in a dovish spin. Geopolitics remain important risk factors amid signs that tariff worries, Treasury curve inversions, China’s deceleration, Brexit uncertainties, Italy’s budget battles, and French riots are exacerbating a global slowing.

      United States: The US calendar is dominated by FOMC meeting (Tuesday,Wednesday). Data is light and won’t factor materially into FOMC’s stance. FOMC is universally expected to deliver a 25 bps rate hike to increase the target band to 2.25% to 2.50%. Along with FOMC, there is also risk of a partial government shutdown at the end of the week. There won’t be any significant or meaningful impact on the economy from a temporary shutdown, but it could add to market nervousness and worries about the effects of reduced stimulus next year.

      There are only a few tier one economic numbers this week and none will impact the FOMC decision. November personal income (Friday) is expected to rise 0.3% after a solid 0.5% pace in October. Consumption is expected to rise 0.3%. The December Empire State index (Monday) is expected to dip from 23.3 to 21.0. The Philly Fed index (Thursday) is seen rising to 19.0 in December from 12.9 in November. Housing data are on tap, and all the November reports face downside risk from adverse weather and the California fires, but upside risk as prior disaster distortions are unwound. November durable goods orders (Friday) should rebound 1.7% in November, after a 4.3% October drop. The third reading on Q3 GDP growth (Friday) is expected unchanged at a 3.5% rate, though slower than Q2’s 4.1% clip.

      Canada: It is a busy calendar and features several top-tier reports. Manufacturing shipments (Tuesday) are expected to rise 0.5% in October after the 0.2% gain in September. The CPI (Wednesday) is seen falling 0.4% m/m (nsa) in November after the 0.3% gain in October, as a 10% plunge in gasoline prices pulls the CPI lower relative to October. Retail sales (Friday) are projected to grow 0.5% in October after the 0.2% rise in September. GDP (Friday) is anticipated to rebound 0.1% in October after the 0.1% drop in September. BoC’s winter Business Outlook Survey (Friday) is expected to reveal a still upbeat outlook, although some caution may seep in given the daily swings in sentiment on the global trade outlook.

      Europe: This week’s round of data releases should on the whole back the cautious stance of the central bank. The December German Ifo Business Climate (Tuesday)is expected to fall back to 101.7 from 102.0 in November, with the expectations reading in particular under pressure. The manufacturing sector looking shaky again amid fresh challenges for the automobile sector, which continues to struggle with emissions standards and the lingering diesel scandal, which has considerably undermined confidence, especially in Germany, where consumers are facing driving bans without compensation from producers.

      Eurozone consumer confidence and German GfK consumer confidence (both Friday), are also likely to show the strain of negative headlines and dissatisfaction with government policies, despite ongoing improvement on labour markets and the forecasts for lower readings. The final reading of Eurozone CPI (Monday) is expected to confirm the core rate at just 1.0% y/y. The headline rate remains much higher at 2.0%, but remains impacted by base effects from energy prices, which are also underpinning very strong rates in German producer prices (Wednesday) and import price (Friday). The busy calendar also includes Eurozone trade and current account data as well as French consumption numbers and the final reading of French Q3 GDP. There also is ECB speak from Hansson (Wednesday).

      UK: It’s “crystal clear” — in the words of European Commission President Juncker on Friday — that there won’t be any renegotiation by the EU, other than a clarification of the deal on offer. This suggests that the Withdrawal Agreement from the EU is headed for eventual failure in the UK Parliament. The parliamentary vote will be January; date undecided, but before the legislated deadline of January 21.

      The calendar this week is busy and includes BoE’s December Monetary Policy Committee meeting (Thursday). However, this should prove to be a non-event for markets as no changes are all but certain. Data releases will be of limited interest given the now intense distraction of Brexit and associated political uncertainty in the UK. Data releases will be highlighted by the November inflation report, where CPI is expected to ebb to 2.3% from 2.4%. November retail ales and the third and final release of Q3 GDP are also due (Thursday and Friday, respectively).

      Japan: BoJ announces policy (Wednesday, Thursday) with no changes expected. The November trade report (Wednesday) should see the deficit widen to JPY 700.0 bln from 450.0 bln previously. But there is risk from a weaker oil import bill. The October all-industry index (Thursday) is seen rising 1.5% from the prior 0.9% decline. November overall CPI (Friday) is penciled in sliding to a 0.7% y/y pace, half of the prior 1.4%, and to 0.9% y/y from 1.0% on a core basis.

      Australia: The employment report (Thursday) is expected to reveal a 25.0k gain in November jobs after the 32.8k bounce in October. The unemployment rate is seen holding steady at 5.0%. The minutes to RBA’s December meeting are due on Tuesday. RBA held rates steady at 1.50% at the December 4 meeting. There are not any RBA speakers scheduled through year-end.

      New Zealand’s calendar has Q3 GDP (Thursday), expected to slow to a 0.5% pace from the 1.0% rate of expansion in Q2 (q/q, sa). The trade deficit (Thursday)is projected to narrow to -NZ$1,000 mln in November from -1,295 mln in October. The next RBNZ meeting is February 13, 2019.


      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news. 

      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex

      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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