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Old 09-01-2007, 11:37 PM   #25

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

Hey,thanks for that brown. I entered short because of the 1min trend was down,the 5 sec is to time it.
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Old 09-02-2007, 12:31 AM   #26

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

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Hey,thanks for that brown. I entered short because of the 1min trend was down,the 5 sec is to time it.
I didn't even notice that was a 5 SECOND chart.
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Old 09-02-2007, 05:48 AM   #27

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

With any luck there will be a copy of Bemacs Fantail VMA attached.
Had to rename it with a .txt extension.
DL fantail_vma_vtscr.txt, rename to fantail_vma.vtscr
Once it has been imported into VT, look for Fantail Var MA's in the indicator list.
Use the same time period chart as Walter or you will get different results.
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Old 09-02-2007, 07:46 AM   #28
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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

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Originally Posted by walterw »
Ok... so lets start with the first definition here : Trend Definition



Now this new Rainbow indicator is based from a Variable Moving Average, as you should know VMA`s do adapt their input depending on the amount of volatilty... here is some definition http://www.fmlabs.com/reference/defa...VariableMA.htm in that definition you may notice that the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is normally used for volatilty calculation on this average, well Bemac aparently uses some form of ADX for his VMA and then creates the rainbow with emas from this VMA...


First should we talk about the normal problems trend indicators suffer.... next post... cheers Walter.
Walter, did u ever get to the bottom of how BMc uses the ADX in the calcualtions?
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Old 09-02-2007, 11:44 AM   #29

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

Ok... so far I had been talking about Trend Definition with the momentum definition included there... in this post I have to make one clear logic warning about a scenario wich will resemble as a very strong trend as all the above definitions BUT is inminent a change on the course of that trend...

Should we call that "inminent strong trend exhaustion"...

You will have the rainbow all spread out... you will have all the averages on the same beautifull side of the magenta, you will have an "old ladder" and watch out here ¡¡ when we did such a great big move... we MUST have caution on what may happen there, as probably market may be about to exhaust...

You can tell me we have all the trend and momentum definitions present YES... but we already did too much travelling and market may want to take a break at least...




Look on the image above how the trend and momentum definitions are present on the yellow arrow BUT we already did too much of a super move... some basic logic tells us that at this point our trend and momentum definitions would be suspicios at this time...

Here is where the chimp is tempted to start thinking in counter-trend setups, but at this point he will still dont bother with them... he will stick to the trend trades...

So this is some kind of prevention as to all the above definitions of trend and momentum, where they should be questioned after great big moves...

On the next posts I will start talking about pullbacks (dips and rallys) and Timing... cheers Walter.
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Old 09-02-2007, 12:23 PM   #30

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

Walter,
What timeframe(s) are you using here and what market(s)?

I'm curious if you've applied this setup to stocks, futures, etc. as well? I usually hang back on many of your threads with a watchful eye, but a moving average system intrigues me as I like them!
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Old 09-02-2007, 12:30 PM   #31

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

And for those w/o this VT platform, is this easily represented in other charting packages?
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Old 09-02-2007, 12:32 PM   #32

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Re: Walter`s Forex "Trend Trades"

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Originally Posted by brownsfan019 »
Walter,
What timeframe(s) are you using here and what market(s)?

I'm curious if you've applied this setup to stocks, futures, etc. as well? I usually hang back on many of your threads with a watchful eye, but a moving average system intrigues me as I like them!
Hi Brown... at this point this research is pointed to forex, obviously all this methods could be eventually applied on other markets and time frames as well...

The charts so far posted are AUD/USD 5 minutes... cheers Walter.
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