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Old 02-22-2007, 07:41 PM   #1

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ER2 Trading Strategy Question

My strength as a day trader lies in the morning session. I dont have trouble finding setups during the morning and I usually have levels that I identify premarket that I focus on at the open.

Although I do not lose in the afternoon sessions, my weakness lies clearly during this timezone. I have trouble identifying setups and usually miss the nice afernoon reversals.

An interesting comment was made in the chat room today by GCB.

Quote:
Well, I should have anticipated that big ER breakout. The market broke down, but ER really didn't. The overall breakdown fizzled and ER went to the top of its range. Should have banked on it. I love those kind of plays.
It didnt strike me at first but I was going over my trades after the close today and this comment triggered in my mind. I realized that I need to add further method to play these reversals myself. The comment refers to the ER2 breakout from todays chart.




I would love to hear other traders thoughts on identifying afternoon turning points and strategies. How do you guys decide whether a market will reverse or continue in the initial direction of the trend?

One method I use it by using fib retracements but then I would be getting a pretty late entry on the long side. (break of 61.8% retracement)

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Old 02-22-2007, 09:31 PM   #2

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

I just avoid the afternoon all together. (That is what I did from my best month)

Give it a try, go do something else other than wanting to trade. At first, its hard to do because you have all these ideas you want to try out. That curiosity needs to be satisfied, and the end result may end up losing what you made in the morning.

If you made money in the morning, trade smaller position in the afternoon.

Now I know you use tick charts, just do a volume comparison with a time chart. More volume, more people at the party, people with BIG accounts. Heck I don't mind rubbing elbows with the rich and snub the poor. :p I snub myself all the time!
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Old 02-22-2007, 09:33 PM   #3

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

I understand that is an option. But rather than avoiding it all together I would like to gain new insights into afternoon trading so I can come up with a strategy. Trading small when in profit is an option as well but I only do so when I dont feel comfortable with the current market condition and trading setup.
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Old 02-22-2007, 09:44 PM   #4

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

From what I recall hearing from someone, some of those locals are done after the morning session. Win or lose.

I figure, why not emulate what they do, and believe me, it takes a lot of self discipline to say "I am not going to trade the afternoon session." When you have a family and kids, that will come naturally because all you want to do is spend time with them. Thinking of new ways to trade would be the least of your concern. I look forward to that day myself.

Or do what JC and HS do, we did when I was there in Austin, TX. 2 hour lunch and be back for 1400h and look for plays in the last 2 hours of the session.

Tiger Woods loves to tweak his swing from what I hear, even when its fine, he ended up being in a slump one season because he kept tweaking. Like that saying goes, "Don't fix it until its broke."
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Old 02-22-2007, 09:46 PM   #5

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

I usually draw trend lines and when the price breaks the trend lines I am in a trade that direction. I get out on the break of the next trend line. I use a method of finding the trend line points. A to B equals C to D. THen I draw the trend line from A to C. I tried to post a picture but it would not post. It is up-loaded though. If you can post it for me soultrader it would be much appreciated.
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Old 02-22-2007, 10:08 PM   #6

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

Is this the chart you are referring to?

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Old 02-22-2007, 10:14 PM   #7

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

Yep, thats my trading chart. I made $400 off that chart today. 3 trades no losses.
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Old 02-22-2007, 10:32 PM   #8

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Re: ER2 Trading Strategy Question

Could you explain a little on that chart? I see alot of trendlines but how do you determine entries? How do you draw your trendlines? etc..
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