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wykcoff

Cost of One E-mini S&P 500 Contract?

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Hi all

 

I am new here and new to trading (still reading , learning, and paper trading)

 

I am i right in thinking one contract costs $500?

 

If i open a small account (very small) with $10,000+Margin how many contracts would i be able to buy. I will only start out with one contract at a time untill i am sure i know what i am doing and am profitable.

 

Any help is appreciated

Thanks.

Edited by wykcoff

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Thanks for the reply mini500 its appreciated.

 

i plan to open an account with MB trading and need $2000 to open a margin account to trade stocks, options, and futures.

 

here is a table from there site :-

 

Product Name - E-Mini S&P 500

 

Type Exchange Fee - $1.16

 

Total Fee - $2.11

 

Initial Intraday - $1,250

 

Initial Maintenance - $1,000

 

Initial Overnight - $5,000

Maintenance

 

Overnight - $4,000

Maintenance

 

 

So i am not too sure what all that means, but as far as i can tell i need $1250 per contract, and maintain a balance of at least $1000, and if i want to hold the position overnight i would need to have $5000 in my account.

Does that sound right or am i totally of base?. i could really use some help in understanding this.

 

Again any help is appreciated

Thanks

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Thanks for the reply mini500 its appreciated.

 

i plan to open an account with MB trading and need $2000 to open a margin account to trade stocks, options, and futures.

 

here is a table from there site :-

 

Product Name - E-Mini S&P 500

 

Type Exchange Fee - $1.16

 

Total Fee - $2.11

 

Initial Intraday - $1,250

 

Initial Maintenance - $1,000

 

Initial Overnight - $5,000

Maintenance

 

Overnight - $4,000

Maintenance

 

 

So i am not too sure what all that means, but as far as i can tell i need $1250 per contract, and maintain a balance of at least $1000, and if i want to hold the position overnight i would need to have $5000 in my account.

Does that sound right or am i totally of base?. i could really use some help in understanding this.

 

Again any help is appreciated

Thanks

 

Seems like you understand it.

 

it sounds like they won't let you trade if your account gets lower than 1250.

 

If the 2000 is not part of a larger pool of money, I would wait before you make the donation. With 2k you won't be able to use futures market leverage to the fullest capacity. If you have, say 25k, you can start a trade with 2 contracts and lose with those 2 contracts, but if you get a winner you can end up with as many as 20 contracts with that broker if you do it right. if you make only 3 pts on 20 contracts, you made 60 pts and only ever had 4 points at risk.

 

You can't do that with a tiny account.

 

MM

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Hi all

...

 

If i open a small account (very small) with $10,000+Margin how many contracts would i be able to buy. ...

 

Any help is appreciated

Thanks.

 

with a $10k account,

 

theoretically you can daytrade a lot of contracts. Some brokers require only $500 initial margin.

 

practically speaking... experienced traders will tell you -- you should trade a max of ONE contract.

I would even tell you not to start with less than $20k,

 

It is not the amount of risk capital that matters,

it is not the size of your past profit that matters,

What matters is... YOUR ability to make consistent small profits, day in and day out, with minimal intraday draw down.

When you have achieved that, then you can think about larger profit targets, and multiple contracts.

 

 

my 2c only,

there are more than one way to skin a cat,

other method/criteria have proven to be profitable as well.

Edited by Tams

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Dear USA traders

Are you saying it costs $500 to enter 1 contract?

Is this a 10 point spread @$50 a point or a one off charge ?

Here in sunny South Africa I trade the ALSI 40 which is similar to your DOW

I pay the spread which is 17 points (30 points after hours)

That means if the bid is 100 and the offer is 117 I pay 117 to buy 1 contract

At $10 a point ,it costs me $170 for 1 contract. The contract must move 17 points before I break even

The market usually moves 200 points a day, but very volitile

I thought SA was expensive but $500 is a lot more

Kind regards

bobcollett

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Dear USA traders

Are you saying it costs $500 to enter 1 contract?

Is this a 10 point spread @$50 a point or a one off charge ?

Here in sunny South Africa I trade the ALSI 40 which is similar to your DOW

I pay the spread which is 17 points (30 points after hours)

That means if the bid is 100 and the offer is 117 I pay 117 to buy 1 contract

At $10 a point ,it costs me $170 for 1 contract. The contract must move 17 points before I break even

The market usually moves 200 points a day, but very volitile

I thought SA was expensive but $500 is a lot more

Kind regards

bobcollett

 

No!

 

You need as little as $500 of margin to trade 1 contract. The spread that you have to pay is normally 1 tick. So, with a 10k USD account you can trade 20 contracts.

If the market is 1280 bid 1280.25 offer, then to get in right away you buy at 1280.25.

 

To get out right away you would get out at 1280 and lose .25 ( 1tick ) on 20 contracts. In ES it's 12.50 USD a tick.

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Dear MightyMouse

Thankyou

I was quite shocked when I first read the commission story.

I have been waiting for my green card for 3 years

When I get to the USA, I AM GOING TO KILL YOU GUYS ,and George Sorres.

And I am looking for Steve46

Kind regards

bobcolett

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Wykcoff, you should be able to sit down with your broker and go over all the specifics. It's extremely important to fully understand all the terms and limits because a broker will close out your position if you don't meet the requirements.

 

It's also incredibly important that you don't trade more than 2 contracts with an account less than 10k. I say 2 because the difference between 1 and 2 contracts and the ability to scale out can dramatically transform your trading, so getting to 2 contracts is important.

 

That being said, if you risk 1% per trade on a 20k account that's $200, which would be an 8 tick stop on two contracts on the ES.

 

Focus on risk first, then reward.

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Hi Tim

 

I will only be trading one contract at a time to begin with (for quite some time) and was thinking a six tick stop loss or maybe a four, although four seems a little tight to me. I will have 10k to start with, all profits will be compounded as i don't need the money to live on.

But I have also been thinking about an 8k ES account and a 2k micro forex account, still working things out, and learning.

 

Thanks for the advice.

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If people don't know the answer they should not be replying to questions with elusive answers like politicians! That spoils the entire forum. No one wants to see a whole lot of nothing! Least of all the questioners!

 

For this I blame the moderator who allows such postings...or are you guys so desperate for text to fill posts that anything will do???!!!

 

one Emini S&P500 contract = $50 US

1 contract = 4 ticks

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If people don't know the answer they should not be replying to questions with elusive answers like politicians! That spoils the entire forum. No one wants to see a whole lot of nothing! Least of all the questioners!

 

For this I blame the moderator who allows such postings...or are you guys so desperate for text to fill posts that anything will do???!!!

 

one Emini S&P500 contract = $50 US

1 contract = 4 ticks

 

Hi Cagineer

So one contract costs $50

What has the 4 ticks got to do with it?

Is this the spread to break even?

More questions!!

And thats what I like about TL . I can ask questions

Regards

bobcollett

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If people don't know the answer they should not be replying to questions with elusive answers like politicians! That spoils the entire forum. No one wants to see a whole lot of nothing! Least of all the questioners!

 

For this I blame the moderator who allows such postings...or are you guys so desperate for text to fill posts that anything will do???!!!

 

one Emini S&P500 contract = $50 US

1 contract = 4 ticks

 

which kettle is black?

 

 

 

note: black is not the politically correct adjective anymore.

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No, you have the wrong idea entirely. 1 ES contract is worth $50 * the price quoted. This is about $60,000 worth of SPY. Your broker will typically require anywhere from $500 to $1500 to open 1 contract. This is margin you put up. This is for day session. Overnight the CME sets a higher margin, it runs around $5,700.

 

I recommend if you are new that you should probably need at least 15k to start trading futures. If you are highly experienced, it is possible to do it with a 7k-8k account or even a bit less.

 

 

 

 

Hi all

 

I am new here and new to trading (still reading , learning, and paper trading)

 

I am i right in thinking one contract costs $500?

 

If i open a small account (very small) with $10,000+Margin how many contracts would i be able to buy. I will only start out with one contract at a time untill i am sure i know what i am doing and am profitable.

 

Any help is appreciated

Thanks.

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Dear Wykoff

If you are "new",you should,nt be trading Futures !!!!!

You will loose all your cash

You should start with nice moving shares like General Motors or General Electric.

They cost more to trade ,and you wont make any money, but your money lasts longer while you learn

And learning takes 5 years ( 8 hours a day X 200 days a year X 5 years = 8000 hours)

So if you are a part time trader , it will take a while.

And about FIVE $20000 accounts

Kind regards

bobcollett

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Seems like you understand it.

 

it sounds like they won't let you trade if your account gets lower than 1250.

 

If the 2000 is not part of a larger pool of money, I would wait before you make the donation. With 2k you won't be able to use futures market leverage to the fullest capacity. If you have, say 25k, you can start a trade with 2 contracts and lose with those 2 contracts, but if you get a winner you can end up with as many as 20 contracts with that broker if you do it right. if you make only 3 pts on 20 contracts, you made 60 pts and only ever had 4 points at risk.

 

You can't do that with a tiny account.

 

MM

 

MightyMouse, can you elaborate on this comment? I'm a newbie. I'm not sure I understand what you mean.

 

If you have $25k, and you trade 2 contracts, how do you end up with 20 contracts, and how do you risk only 4 points for a 60 point gain?

 

Sounds great, but I'm just confused on how you would accomplish this.

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MightyMouse, can you elaborate on this comment? I'm a newbie. I'm not sure I understand what you mean.

 

If you have $25k, and you trade 2 contracts, how do you end up with 20 contracts, and how do you risk only 4 points for a 60 point gain?

 

Sounds great, but I'm just confused on how you would accomplish this.

 

Hi intothefutures,

 

Not certain what MM was meaning exactly, but . . .

 

Once you have an open profit on a position you can move your stop-loss to "lock in" profit. At this stage you have neutralized your risk but you still have a position with (theoretically unlimited) potential for profit. The "locked in" profit can now be used to fund further contracts to add to the position.

 

A few things that you need to be aware of are that this would generally only be appropriate for scaling into a more significant market movement (trying to drag stop losses up behind the market every few ticks on small scalping type day-trades will generally just lead to stops being hit by the "noise" of the market), and that any kind of adjustment to the position of a stop loss can and will alter the dynamics of the return of your strategy over time.

 

Here is a quick (simplified) example:

 

  • You need $1128 to fund a single contract of ES. Your account balance is $2256.
  • You buy 2 contracts at 1760.***
  • The market moves to 1774, giving you an open profit of $1400.
  • You move your stop-loss to 1772.
  • You now have a guaranteed profit of $1200, and 2 contract position with an open profit of $1400.
  • You buy another contract of ES at 1774. You can do this because your account balance is $1400 higher than it was when you bought your first two contracts. Although this is theoretically "open" profit, in actuality it is the same as closed out profit because your trailed stop loss prevents it being lost.
  • The market trades up to 1782. Because your open profit above 1774 is now the product of a 3 contract position, you only need the market to move two thirds the distance it moved last time before you are able to add another contract.
    Once a fourth contract is added, the market will only have to move in your favor by half as much as with two contracts, before the necessary profit is made to add a fifth.

 

Finally, note that this is pretty "advanced chess". I've never done it. Not even on swing positions where I could have. When you get it right and the market continues to run in your direction, it should result in outlier gains on single trades.

 

Hope that helps!

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

*** I am NOT suggesting that it would be appropriate to trade two contracts with this initial balance - a single tick of movement against you and you'd be below required margin!

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MightyMouse, can you elaborate on this comment? I'm a newbie. I'm not sure I understand what you mean.

 

If you have $25k, and you trade 2 contracts, how do you end up with 20 contracts, and how do you risk only 4 points for a 60 point gain?

 

Sounds great, but I'm just confused on how you would accomplish this.

 

The way you do this is you start a position with 2 contracts risking 2 points (if it moves against you, you lose 4 points 2x2). As it moves in your favor you add to the position and add and add and you can end up with 12, 15, 20 contracts, or etc. When your position has grown to 20 contracts and price is 3 points above your average price for the 20 contract position, then if you close it out, you will have grossed 60 points in profit. You really need to know what you are doing to do this. It comes with huge gains and lots of heart aches.

 

To do this you need enough money in your account to meet the minimum margin of your broker for day trading. If you tried to hold a 20 contract position into the overnight with an account size of $25k, your broker would close out the position or close out the contracts that do not meet the min margin for holding overnight.

 

If you are new to trading and can't wait to start trading live, pick a target and a stop and develop the balls to stay in the trade until either the target or stop are hit. If you can accomplish this, you will be miles ahead of most.

 

Good Luck

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Thank you BlueHorseShoe and MightyMouse! That was very helpful. I understand what you mean now. I was just curious what you meant, because I wasn't able to follow your line of reasoning. Now I can.

 

Question... if I start with a 20k account, trading 2 contracts, what are some of the best ways to get consistently profitable as a beginner?

 

Trade gaps? Trade 2-3 hrs in the morning only (EST)?

 

What kind of setups and indicators is it best to use, and why are people using tick charts instead of candlesticks?

 

I realize these are loaded questions. Just trying to figure out where to get good quality info on how to get started with futures day trading. There seems to be an abundance of information and e-books, and "trading schools" but I don't know who's credible, and some are asking for a lot of money, or teaching platforms like Ninja Trading, which I never heard of. I was thinking of using ThinkorSwim. Is that okay for futures, or do I need to get something like TradeStation?

 

Lastly, I've heard conflicting opinions about whether or not to paper trade. Any thoughts?

 

Thank you in advance for any info you can provide.

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Thank you BlueHorseShoe and MightyMouse! That was very helpful. I understand what you mean now. I was just curious what you meant, because I wasn't able to follow your line of reasoning. Now I can.

 

Question... if I start with a 20k account, trading 2 contracts, what are some of the best ways to get consistently profitable as a beginner?

 

Trade gaps? Trade 2-3 hrs in the morning only (EST)?

 

What kind of setups and indicators is it best to use, and why are people using tick charts instead of candlesticks?

 

I realize these are loaded questions. Just trying to figure out where to get good quality info on how to get started with futures day trading. There seems to be an abundance of information and e-books, and "trading schools" but I don't know who's credible, and some are asking for a lot of money, or teaching platforms like Ninja Trading, which I never heard of. I was thinking of using ThinkorSwim. Is that okay for futures, or do I need to get something like TradeStation?

 

Lastly, I've heard conflicting opinions about whether or not to paper trade. Any thoughts?

 

Thank you in advance for any info you can provide.

 

Hello,

 

These are all very subjective questions (although I do realize that to you they probably seem perfectly reasonable).

 

You'll get as many different answers as people you ask.

 

Here are some bits of advice I would give you - they have very little to do with "becoming a consistently profitable trader" or "trading for a living", and more to do with how approach the long journey on which you about to commence . . .

 

Don't pay for anything in terms of educators, courses, any instructional stuff. Everything you need to know, and everything you can know, is already there in the data that you have at your disposal. All that makes the difference in the long run is your ability to analyze this.

 

Learn lots and lots of (relatively rudimentary) statistical analysis methods, and just as importantly, how to determine how robust your findings may be. By interrogating the data you can uncover general tendencies that will instruct your trading. You don't trade by reading about something in a book (or on a forum) and then doing it - you have to be cynical, assume everything is rubbish and focus your efforts towards trying to disprove it (proper scientific method), and treat your own ideas and insights in a similar fashion. With time, you will uncover a few diamonds in the rubbish tip. Be a scavenger. Be a cynic.

 

Learn about money management. Money management is about stop-losses or anything like that. It's not about when to buy, sell, enter, or exit, but about how much to buy or sell. This is how wealth can be built from a limited capital base.

 

Learn about market micro-structure. Often ignored (used to be less relevant). I can show you numerous simple strategies that would rake in several thousand dollars per day on a single contract with a $5k account, before you've paid for liquidity (and with these costs deducted - i.e. reality - they will empty your account just as fast). Once you understand market-microstructure you can decide how to position yourself in terms of it.

 

I hope that helps.

 

BlueHorseshoe

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Thank you again BlueHorseShoe. Yes, that does help, and I'm sure that in a few years from now, I would look at my post and scratch my head.

 

How do you feel about Van Tharp's ideas about money management? That's mostly what I learned so far that made sense to me: position sizing, expectancy, etc.

 

As for statistical analysis methods and market micro structure, I am not familiar with those concepts, but I will Google it and see what I can find out. If you have any specific resources in mind I will definitely check them out.

 

I started paper trading the ES today without a real plan, without a clear idea of how to configure my charts, and without really knowing how to use thinkorswim, and I see what you mean about just how long the journey might be...

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    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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